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The Guardian
22-05-2025
- Business
- The Guardian
The Guardian view on Starmer's U-turn: change direction – or keep losing support
Sir Keir Starmer's U-turn on winter fuel payments did not just represent a policy reversal. It was the moment when the prime minister, elected on promises of national renewal, was forced to confront the political reality that his strategy had refused to acknowledge. It may also prove to be the moment he lost control. The original policy, hatched in the Treasury and defended for months, had cut winter fuel payments, worth up to £300 annually, to millions of pensioners. It was unpopular, and unnecessary. Local election losses and a looming backbench revolt over disability benefit cuts made it politically toxic. The result? On Wednesday, Sir Keir reversed course at the dispatch box – with his chancellor, Rachel Reeves, notably absent. Too little, too late: voters saw delay; activists cried betrayal. This wasn't just a policy slip. It was a strategic, ideological and sociological misfire. The Labour leadership had convinced itself that its electoral base was composed not of university-educated social liberals and younger renters – key to its election-winning coalition – but of Reform-curious, socially conservative voters yearning for fiscal discipline and border control. That misreading, fuelled by factional folklore and backed up by the Labour MP Luke Akehurst, a key figure among the party's centre and right, was always a mirage. Most Reform UK voters are not Labour's to win back. They are largely embedded within a 'right-Conservative' bloc, as noted by Manchester University's James David Griffiths. Chasing them means alienating Labour's base. That appears to be happening. Sir Keir recorded the lowest net favourability of his spell as Labour leader in May. And now, with U-turns piling up, the story has acquired another dimension: a cabinet revolt. A leak blew open the ideological rift between Ms Reeves and the deputy prime minister, Angela Rayner. The latter's memo to Ms Reeves, proposing tax rises on the better-off instead of cuts to meet self-imposed fiscal rules, revealed the schism. This is not just about tax policy. It is a flashpoint in the struggle over Labour's identity. Ms Rayner represents a politics grounded in contemporary Britain: professional, socially liberal, economically redistributive. Ms Reeves represents a cautious centrist revivalism that imagines Britain as it was in 1997. But this isn't Blair's Britain any more. The electorate is more middle class, more educated and more diverse. The realignment is done. Labour's survival depends on recognising it. Labour's centrist power brokers are fighting the last war – not against the Tories, but against Jeremy Corbyn. The party risks joining Europe's centre-left casualties – triangulating through turbulence with a broken political compass. If Labour continues to ignore electoral bloc dynamics and strategic coalition-building, it will cede ground to both the left and the populist right. Meagre public sector pay awards suggest Labour won't budge – yet. But its economic strategy is running out of road. A pivot is possible: towards tax fairness, green investment, a new language on immigration, electoral reform, ending austerity and rebuilding trust with the young urban voters who put Labour in power. But it should be decisive. Sir Keir must lead a government of transformation, not Tory-lite continuity. If he won't shift course, 'stepping up' may soon look just like standing in the way. The winter fuel fiasco wasn't only a tactical error – it exposed Labour's flawed view of the electorate. And voters, inconveniently, noticed.
ITV News
15-05-2025
- Politics
- ITV News
Around The House: Watch May 2025 programme
Thursday 15 May 2025 at 3:08pm Tom Sheldrick and guests (l-r: Luke Akehurst MP (Lab), Baroness McIntosh (Con) and Lord Beith (Lib Dem) Credit: The latest edition of Around The House is now available to watch on ITVX. The Reform UK councillor, who will be the new leader of Durham County Council, says they will ll look into restricting the number of asylum seekers being housed in the county. The latest edition of Around The House is available to watch now on ITVX: Reform chose their new Durham leader last night, after winning control of the authority in the local elections. Andrew Husband also played down Nigel Farage's suggestion that staff working in diversity and climate should "seek alternative careers". The next edition of Around The House is on Thursday 19th June. Have you heard our new podcast Talking Politics? Every week Tom, Robert and Anushka dig into the biggest issues dominating the political agenda...
