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Smallcap auto stock soars 12%, nears record high; what's behind the rally?
Smallcap auto stock soars 12%, nears record high; what's behind the rally?

Business Standard

time02-05-2025

  • Automotive
  • Business Standard

Smallcap auto stock soars 12%, nears record high; what's behind the rally?

Force Motors share price today Shares of Force Motors, a leading manufacturer of rugged and reliable vehicles, moved higher by 12 per cent to hit a fresh 52-week high of ₹9,991 on the BSE in Friday's intraday deals after the company reported a healthy operational performance in the March 2025 quarter (Q4FY25). Stock price of the smallcap automobile company surpassed its previous high of ₹9,885.05, which it had touched on May 6, 2024. It has bounced back 61 per cent from its February low of ₹6,210.55, hit on the BSE. Meanwhile, the stock had hit an all-time high of ₹10,272.65 on April 29, 2024. Force Motors Q4 results: For the January to March 2025 quarter (Q4FY25), Force Motors' reported profit before exceptional items and tax increased by 27.2 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) and 56 per cent quarter-on-quarter (Q-o-Q) to ₹268.11 crore. Revenue from operations grew 17 per cent Y-o-Y and 24.7 per cent Q-o-Q to ₹2,355.89 crore. Exceptional items in the quarter represented exceptional income of ₹394.57 crore, being Government Incentives, as per the Madhya Pradesh Industrial Investment Promotion Assistance Scheme, 2010, recognised on the basis of sanction orders dated February 21, 2025, received in March, 2025, for FY 2022-23 and FY 2023-24. Out of the said sanctioned amount of ₹394.57 crore, Force Motors said the company has received disbursement amounting to ₹294.57 crore. Force Motors to supply over 2,900 Force Gurkha vehicles to the Indian Defence Forces On March 27, 2025, Force Motors announced a landmark order of 2,978 vehicles from the Indian Defence Forces. The company has to deliver 2,978 Force Gurkha light vehicles (GS 4X4 800 kg Soft Top) to the Indian Defence Forces. The order was awarded by Directorate General of Capb, Devp (CD-13/14) General Staff Branch, IHQ of MoD (Army), New Delhi. These vehicles are tailored to meet the diverse operational requirements of both the Indian Army and the Indian Air Force, showcasing Force Motors' capability to deliver mission-ready vehicles designed to perform in demanding defence environments, the company said in an exchange filing. Force Motors has been catering to the defence sector for many years through its Gurkha LSV (Light Strike Vehicle) , a vehicle renowned for its durability, off-road prowess, and adaptability. About Force Motors Founded in 1958, Force Motors began its journey with an aim to provide affordable, reliable, and efficient transportation to the masses. Today, it stands as a fully integrated automobile company, specialising in the engineering, development, and manufacture of vehicles, aggregates, and components. Force Motors is a versatile automotive company with the capability to cater to diverse international markets by offering customized, country-specific solutions. Its formidable product range spans light commercial vehicles and multi-utility vehicles, and its export presence extends to the Middle East and Gulf region, Asia, Latin America, and Africa. Mercedes-Benz and BMW assigned Force Motors the responsibility of producing and testing engines for all cars and SUVs manufactured in India. Every Mercedes-Benz vehicle made in India is powered by an engine produced at Force Motors in Chakan Pune. Force MTU Power Systems Pvt. Ltd. is a joint venture between Force Motors and Rolls-Royce Power Systems AG. The venture specialises in producing 10 and 12-cylinder Series 1600 engines, ranging from 545 hp to 1050 hp, at its manufacturing facility in Chakan, Pune. These engines are supplied globally for power generation and underfloor rail applications.

Force Motors Q4: Strong show, but can the momentum last?
Force Motors Q4: Strong show, but can the momentum last?

Mint

time28-04-2025

  • Automotive
  • Mint

Force Motors Q4: Strong show, but can the momentum last?

Force Motors is back on investors' radar. Earlier this month, the stock was in the news for its entry into the defence sector. This time, it's the company's results for the March 2025 quarter. The light commercial vehicle manufacturer (LCV), which announced its results after market hours on 25 April, reported a significant improvement in its consolidated performance. The company's net profit tripled while revenue grew steadily, reflecting strong operational efficiency and better product mix. So, what drove the company's performance? Can it sustain this momentum in the future? Let's find out. Force Motors reported a whopping 210% year-on-year (YoY) jump in net profit for the March quarter to ₹ 434.7 crores. This was on the back of a one-time exceptional gain of ₹ 394.6 crores. The company received this amount as an incentive under the Madhya Pradesh Industrial Investment Promotion Assistance Scheme. It was sanctioned for FY23 and FY24 and received in March 2025. An increase in revenue also boosted the company's net profit. Revenue rose 17% year on year (YoY) to ₹ 2,356 crores on account of steady demand growth across key segments. The company's revenue stood at ₹ 2,011 crores in the same period last year. Due to the increase in revenue, the company reported an 18% YoY increase in operating profit to ₹ 329 crores. Operating margin also came in marginally higher at 14% despite the increase in raw material, employee, and other expenses. Raw material costs continued to be the largest expense for the company followed by employee benefit expenses and other operating expenses. This is, however, the highest ever operating profit margin reported by the company. Crisil expects margins to stabilize at 12-13% in the medium term supported by sustained healthy product mix, ensuring strong annual cash generation. Net profit margin also expanded 11.5% YoY to 18.5%, reflecting the company's strong profitability. Also Read: Force Motors is shifting gears—will the rally keep rolling? Force Motors also reported a standout performance for the financial year 2025. It was the company's best year ever, with record revenue and net profit, as the company maintained a strong momentum across its businesses. The company's revenue from operations rose 15% YoY to ₹ 8,071 crores driven by demand across segments. Operating profit also followed suit, rising 20% YoY to ₹ 1,093 crores on the back of operational efficiency. Operating margin rose 0.5% YoY to 13.5% even as expenses rose. Overall, the company registered a net profit of ₹ 801 crores, more than double its bottom line of ₹ 388 crores in FY24 on the back of government incentives received in the March 2025 quarter. The decline in finance costs and increase in other income further boosted its net profit for the year. Net profit margin of the company, too, rose 4.4% YoY to 9.9%. Even when adjusting for the exceptional income, Force Motors showed solid progress. The company's profit before taxes & share of joint ventures and exceptional items came in higher by 36% YoY at ₹ 843 crores. The board of directors of the company recommended a dividend of ₹ 40 per share for FY25, signaling confidence in the company's sustainable earnings growth. The dividend payout while generous, still leaves sufficient reserves to fund the company's future expansion plans. Robust ratios & healthy cash reserves The exceptional performance of the company in FY25 resulted in an improvement of many of its financial ratios. While both operating and net profit margins increased in FY25, what really stood out was the improvement in return ratios. Return on equity (RoE) of the company rose to 30.3x from 18.8x in FY24 while return on capital employed (RoCE) rose to 23.4x from 23.1x, both indicating outstanding returns on investment. The company's total equity also increased significantly to ₹ 3,036 crores compared to ₹ 2,257 crores, primarily driven by retained earnings from higher profitability. Borrowings, on the other hand, dropped sharply, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.005x for FY25, down from 0.23x in FY24, reflecting a low risk profile. The company's liquidity position remained strong, with a current ratio of 1.5x, up from 1.25x in FY24, supported by robust cash generation from operations. Interest coverage ratio of more than 30x also showed that the company generates enough profit to cover its finance costs multiple times over. Read more | US tariffs, EV slowdown pose global hurdles for Indian auto The company is shifting gears by entering the premium LCV (light commercial vehicle) segment with its high-end LCV - 'Urbania' to capitalize on the growing demand for luxury and high-end commercial vehicles. It also plans to expand its business overseas in Africa, West Asia and Latin America, and grow its exports business. Apart from this, the company plans to enter the electric vehicle (EV) segment. Of the ₹ 2,000 crores it plans for capex over the next 3-4 years, ₹ 200-300 crores is expected to be on EVs. While these plans seem right on the nose, the company could face many hurdles. Any slowdown in the broader economy, disruptions in supply chains, or fluctuations in raw material prices could put pressure on its margins. Exports, too, could see a downturn due to geopolitical issues. For reasons unknown, the company's exports for the month of March dropped by a whopping 77% YoY, with only 94 units shipped in the month compared to 420 units in March 2024. Sales data for the month also revealed that the company's total sales increased only marginally to 3,700 units, up 0.87% from 3,668 units in the year-ago period. While this could be a temporary blip, it cannot be ignored. Then there are execution risks associated with its EV expansion plans. Regulatory changes around emissions, safety standards, and EV policies could demand further investments or even delay product launches. The sector is also highly competitive with companies such as Tata Motors , and Mahindra & Mahindra having already made an entry into the segment. While the company reported robust results for the quarter and the year, shares of the company did not respond with the same enthusiasm. The stock is up only marginally while the Sensex is up more than 1,000 points. Earlier this month, the stock had fallen over 7% after the company announced a fall in exports in its sales data for March 2025. However, since then the stock has recovered, rising steadily. It is up 1.6% over the last month and over 40% in the past six months. Despite the recent dip in share price, the stock is still expensive, trading at price to book value of 4.04x, a 190% premium to its five-year average of 1.39x. Also Read: Hero MotoCorp has hit a speed bump—can it rebound? Going ahead, Force Motors appears well-positioned financially to continue its growth trajectory. For FY25, the company's management targeted a top-line growth of 10-15% and was successful in meeting that target. However, for the next two years, it plans to grow at a rate of 40%, which will require immense financial discipline and stability. So far, the company seems to be checking all the boxes required to make the jump – a sharp rise in profitability, healthy cash reserves and a virtually debt-free status. It also has many expansion plans underway including a big EV push on the horizon, which could take it to the next level. However, EV expansion plans, while promising, carry execution risks. Achieving a 40% growth rate will also require favourable external conditions. While Force Motors is well-positioned today, careful navigation of these risks will be key to realizing its ambitious growth aspirations. For more such analyses, read Profit Pulse. Ayesha Shetty is a research analyst registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India. She is a certified Financial Risk Manager (FRM) and is working toward the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation. Disclosure: The author does not hold shares in any of the companies discussed. The views expressed are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.

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