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New York Post
13 hours ago
- Politics
- New York Post
Andrew Cuomo's comfortable lead over Zohran Mamdani cut by 50% in home stretch before Dem mayoral primary: poll
Surging socialist Zohran Mamdani is making up ground in the Democratic mayoral primary — cutting frontrunner Andrew Cuomo's lead in half from just a month ago, according to a poll released Wednesday. In the ranked-choice voting contest, Cuomo prevails 55% to 45% against Mamdani in the 7th round, the new Marist College Institute for Public Opinion survey found. That's a big drop from a poll Marist conducted in May, when Cuomo led Mamdani 60% to 40% after all the other candidates were eliminated and second preference votes transferred to the two finalists. Advertisement 5 The most recent Marist poll had Cuomo up 55% to 45% against Mamdani in the 7th round. Stephen Yang The findings come with early voting in full swing — and less than a week before the June 24 primary day finale. One of the big changes in the poll was Mamdani boosting his support among Latino voters, jumping to 41% from just 20% last month. Advertisement By comparison, Cuomo's support with Latino voters dipped to 36%, from 41% in last month's Marist poll. 'That was the surprise in the poll — absolutely,' Marist polling director Lee Miringoff said. 5 One of the big changes in the poll was Mamdani boosting his support among Latino voters, jumping to 41% from just 20% last month. Paul Martinka Fellow Democratic socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorsed Mamdani since the last poll, possibly lifting the 33-year Queens assemblyman with younger Latino voters, Miringoff surmised. Advertisement The rank-choice results exclude the 11% of voters who are still undecided, down from 17% in May. No other candidate broke 10% among likely Democratic voters in the first round in ranked choice voting: City Comptroller Brad Lander got 8%; Council Speaker Adrienne Adams 7%; former city Comptroller Scott Stringer 4%, and Brooklyn state Sen. Zellnor Myrie and former Bronx Assemblyman Michael Blake 2% apiece. The survey of 1,350 like Democratic voters was conducted from June 9-12, before last week's second and final mayoral debate. 5 Former New York Governor and New York City mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo holds a union campaign rally at Union Square in Lower Manhattan. Stephen Yang Advertisement 'It's truly a two person race,' Miringoff said. Cuomo started out with the support of 43% of Democrats in the first round, followed by Mamdani with 31%, the poll showed. When undecideds were included, Cuomo got the backing of 38% of likely Democratic primary voters to 27% for Mamdani — up from 18% last month. Cuomo's frontrunner status was buffeted by the support of black and older voters. Nearly half of black voters — 48% — support Cuomo compared to just 11% for Mamdani and 12% for Adrienne Adams, a black lawmaker from southeast Queens. 5 Senator Bernie Sanders backed Zohran Mamdani for NYC Mayor on Tuesday, Jun 17, 2025 Paul Martinka But 21% of African American voters were still undecided, by far the highest of any racial group. Mamdani captured 52% of voters under the age of 45 compared to just 18% for Cuomo. Advertisement Conversely, Cuomo clobbered Mamdani among voters over 45 — 47% to 17%. Every morning, the NY POSTcast offers a deep dive into the headlines with the Post's signature mix of politics, business, pop culture, true crime and everything in between. Subscribe here! In the later rounds, Mamdani's support jumps to 62% from voters under 45, while Cuomo's backing among older voters hits 63%. Marist predicts that 70% of those who vote will be 45 or older, which benefits Cuomo. Advertisement But the calculus benefits Mamdani if he can drive a higher percentage of younger voters to come and vote for him than the polls project. 5 NYC Mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo gets a hero's welcome as he receives the endorsement from the city's organized labor unions, 707 8th ave., NYC. Matthew McDermott White voters were evenly split with 32% for Cuomo and 31% for Mamdani. But Cuomo could benefit from late-breaking support from blocs of voters in the ultra-Orthodox Jewish community. The first ranked-choice mayoral primary election was in 2021, and the results then indicate that the race between Cuomo and Mamdani could be closer than the polls indicate. Advertisement In 2021, the Marist College poll released just days before the primary as well had Mayor Eric Adams leading rival Katherine Garcia by a much smaller margin in the first round, 25% to 17% . But the final round was similar to the Cuomo-Mamdani findings, with Adams securing 56% in the 2021 poll compared to Garcia's 44% after 12 rounds. Adams went on to narrowly win the Democratic nomination by less than a percentage point over Garcia— representing just over 7,000 votes. 'Ranked choice voting adds an element of uncertainty to the race,' Miringoff said.
Yahoo
14-05-2025
- Politics
- Yahoo
Andrew Cuomo holds massive lead in NYC mayor primary, but Zohran Mamdani has edge with Dems under 45: poll
Ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo maintained his commanding lead ahead of next month's Democratic primary for mayor — but rival Zohran Mamdani has the edge with voters under 45 years old, a new survey released Wednesday showed. Cuomo is the choice of 37% of likely Democratic voters in what has largely become a two-person race, compared to 18% for Mamdani, a democratic socialist Queens Assemblyman, according to the poll released Wednesday by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. 'Right now Cuomo is on a path to success,' Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said. 'Someone is going to have to bring him down.' The vote will be ranked choice, which could give other candidates hope in later rounds as the slate thins out — but the clock is ticking with the poll coming just one month before early voting begins for the June 24 election The poll found 9% of likely Dems supported Council Speaker Adrienne Adams, 8% backed city Comptroller Brad Lander and 4% for former city Comptroller Scott Stringer. Brooklyn Sen. Zellnor Myrie trailed with 3%, followed by Queens Sen. Jessica Ramos (2%) and Whitney Tilson (1%). A considerable 17% of likely Dems still said they were undecided. When removing the undecideds in the simulated ranked choice voting contest, Cuomo starts at 44% in the first round, hits the majority 53% in the fifth round and defeats Mamdani 60% to 40% in the sixth round when all other candidates are eliminated. Cuomo is capturing support of nearly half of likely Democrats age 45 and older, the poll showed. Older voters tend to vote in larger numbers than younger voters in elections. Mamdani led among voters under age 45 — with 38% compared to 18% for Cuomo, according to the survey. Mamdani won nearly half the support of Democrats who describe themselves as 'very liberal' while Cuomo led among liberal, moderates and conservatives. Half of black voters said they would support Cuomo, as did 41% of Latino voters, double the 20% support for Mamdani. One in seven African-American Dems support Adrienne Adams. Jewish voters were more split — 26% for Cuomo, 17% for Lander, 14% for Mamdani and 10% for Adrienne Adams, no relation to incumbent Mayor Eric Adams. About half of Democrats in the Bronx, Queens and Staten Island backed Cuomo, while the ex-governor was ahead by a narrower margin in Manhattan, the poll found. Brooklyn was split, with 25% for the ex-governor and 25% for Mamdani, according to the survey. A Cuomo primary victory would be a startling comeback after he resigned as governor under the threat of impeachment in 2021 over sexual misconduct accusations he denies. A stunning 81% of likely Democratic primary voters polled said New York City is going in the wrong direction, while 19% said it's headed in the right direction. Current Mayor Eric Adams has dropped out of the Democratic primary and is planning to run for re-election under his own independent ballot lines. Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa is the Republican nominee for mayor while lawyer Jim Walden is also running as an independent. The Marist College survey of 3,383 likely Democrats was conducted from May 1-8 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points. Early voting for the primary runs from June 14-22.
New York Post
14-05-2025
- Politics
- New York Post
Andrew Cuomo holds massive lead in NYC mayor primary, but Zohran Mamdani has edge with Dems under 45: poll
Ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo maintained his commanding lead ahead of next month's Democratic primary for mayor — but rival Zohran Mamdani has the edge with voters under 45 years old, a new survey released Wednesday showed. Cuomo is the choice of 37% of likely Democratic voters in what has largely become a two-person race, compared to 18% for Mamdani, a democratic socialist Queens Assemblyman, according to the poll released Wednesday by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. 'Right now Cuomo is on a path to success,' Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said. 3 A new survey released Wednesday reveals that former Gov. Andrew Cuomo is on track to win the Democratic primary for mayor. Gregory P. Mango 'Someone is going to have to bring him down.' The vote will be ranked choice, which could give other candidates hope in later rounds as the slate thins out — but the clock is ticking with the poll coming just one month before early voting begins for the June 24 election The poll found 9% of likely Dems supported Council Speaker Adrienne Adams, 8% backed city Comptroller Brad Lander and 4% for former city Comptroller Scott Stringer. Brooklyn Sen. Zellnor Myrie trailed with 3%, followed by Queens Sen. Jessica Ramos (2%) and Whitney Tilson (1%). A considerable 17% of likely Dems still said they were undecided. When removing the undecideds in the simulated ranked choice voting contest, Cuomo starts at 44% in the first round, hits the majority 53% in the fifth round and defeats Mamdani 60% to 40% in the sixth round when all other candidates are eliminated. 3 Rival Zohran Mamdani does have the edge with voters under 45 years old. Robert Miller Cuomo is capturing support of nearly half of likely Democrats age 45 and older, the poll showed. Older voters tend to vote in larger numbers than younger voters in elections. Mamdani led among voters under age 45 — with 38% compared to 18% for Cuomo, according to the survey. Mamdani won nearly half the support of Democrats who describe themselves as 'very liberal' while Cuomo led among liberal, moderates and conservatives. 3 37% of likely Democratic voters have Cuomo as their top choice, while 18% for Mamdani. Half of black voters said they would support Cuomo, as did 41% of Latino voters, double the 20% support for Mamdani. One in seven African-American Dems support Adrienne Adams. Jewish voters were more split — 26% for Cuomo, 17% for Lander, 14% for Mamdani and 10% for Adrienne Adams, no relation to incumbent Mayor Eric Adams. About half of Democrats in the Bronx, Queens and Staten Island backed Cuomo, while the ex-governor was ahead by a narrower margin in Manhattan, the poll found. Brooklyn was split, with 25% for the ex-governor and 25% for Mamdani, according to the survey. A Cuomo primary victory would be a startling comeback after he resigned as governor under the threat of impeachment in 2021 over sexual misconduct accusations he denies. A stunning 81% of likely Democratic primary voters polled said New York City is going in the wrong direction, while 19% said it's headed in the right direction. Current Mayor Eric Adams has dropped out of the Democratic primary and is planning to run for re-election under his own independent ballot lines. Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa is the Republican nominee for mayor while lawyer Jim Walden is also running as an independent. The Marist College survey of 3,383 likely Democrats was conducted from May 1-8 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points. Early voting for the primary runs from June 14-22.
