Latest news with #Murban
See - Sada Elbalad
7 days ago
- Business
- See - Sada Elbalad
Oil Prices Dip Amid Surprise Surge in US Inventories
Taarek Refaat Oil prices saw a slight decline on Wednesday, as a surprise increase in U.S. fuel inventories overshadowed signs of rising demand. The news also coincided with growing concerns over broader economic impacts from U.S. tariffs, which continued to weigh on the markets. Brent crude closed down by 19 cents, or 0.3%, at $68.52 per barrel. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 14 cents, or 0.2%, ending the day at $66.38 per barrel. Latest Oil Prices: WTI Crude $66.62 +0.10 +0.15% Brent Crude $68.69 -0.02 -0.03% Murban Crude $69.93 -0.17 -0.24% Louisiana Light $70.89 -1.54 -2.13% Bonny Light $78.62 -2.30 -2.84% Mars US $71.88 -1.03 -1.41% Gasoline $2.153 -0.017 -0.78% Natural Gas $3.565 +0.042 +1.19% Despite the ongoing expectations for increased demand, the unexpected inventory rise sent a ripple through the oil markets. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. gasoline stocks surged by 3.4 million barrels last week, while market analysts had forecast a decrease of 1 million barrels. The data further showed that distillate inventories, which include diesel and heating oil, jumped by 4.2 million barrels—vastly surpassing expectations of a mere 200,000 barrel increase. These figures are notable, as they could signal an oversupply in the short-term, affecting global oil prices. Conversely, commercial crude oil stocks fell by 3.9 million barrels to 422.2 million barrels, a larger drawdown than the forecasted 552,000 barrel reduction. This drop in crude reserves could signal stronger demand or more effective supply chain management, balancing out some of the negative signals from the fuel inventories. Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Concerns Loom Amid these market shifts, the broader geopolitical climate remains a significant influence on oil prices. The threat of escalating trade wars, particularly from U.S. President Donald Trump's policies, continues to cloud market forecasts. Trump recently warned of imposing heavy tariffs on Russia in the coming 50 days unless a resolution to the ongoing Ukraine conflict is reached, adding to investor uncertainty. Additionally, the European Commission is preparing for potential countermeasures should talks with Washington fail. These tensions have raised concerns about possible disruptions in global trade, which could further strain energy markets. In the U.S., reports that President Trump might seek to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell led to a sharp rise in short-term U.S. interest rate futures, prompting investors to bet on potential rate cuts beginning as soon as September. Looking forward, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in its latest monthly report projected that the global economy would improve in the second half of the year, driven by stronger growth in China, India, and Brazil, alongside recovery in the U.S. and the European Union. In China, state-run refineries ramped up production after completing maintenance, responding to surging demand in the third quarter. Barclays estimates that China's demand for oil grew by 400,000 barrels per day in the first half of the year, reaching 17.2 million barrels per day. However, the oil market faces ongoing disruptions from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Drone attacks on oil fields in Iraq's Kurdistan region, now continuing for the third consecutive day, have caused a loss in production of approximately 140,000 to 150,000 barrels per day. 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Bloomberg
09-07-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
Abu Dhabi's Oil Giant Draws Trader Ire With Murban Supply Muddle
Confusion around Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.'s supply of its flagship crude grade for this month has left traders frustrated and questioning official messaging around output. At the heart of the issue is predictability. Traders say Adnoc needs to give consistent signals about volumes to enable a stable physical-trading framework. Abu Dhabi also has ambitions for Murban to become a regional benchmark, establishing futures contracts on a regulated exchange four years ago.
Business Recorder
04-07-2025
- Business
- Business Recorder
Discount on Russian Urals oil shipped to India is smallest since 2022, traders say
MOSCOW/NEW DELHI: Discounts for Russia's flagship Urals crude oil for delivery to Indian ports in August shrank to their narrowest levels since 2022 amid high demand and shrinking spot supply, three traders in the grade's market said on Friday. Narrowing discounts and lower supply of spot Russian barrels will push Indian refiners to look for alternative oil like United Arab Emirates' Murban or U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) grades, traders said. The narrowing discount shows how Moscow is managing to keep its oil sales up despite Western sanctions, while its discounted oil is getting more expensive than before, though still cheaper than alternatives. Spot discounts for Urals crude narrowed to $1.70-2 per barrel to dated Brent on delivery ex-ship (DES) basis on average for cargoes arriving in India in August, from $2 to $2.50 per barrel to dated Brent on DES basis in July, the traders said. That is the narrowest discount for Urals oil cargoes to dated Brent in Indian ports since the Ukraine war broke out in 2022. Meanwhile, as the Russian oil grade is traded against Brent benchmark, its outright price has been mostly below the West's $60 per barrel price cap since April this year, allowing Western companies to provide shipping and insurance service for the barrels. India's industrial output growth slows to nine-month low in May Urals oil prices are supported by high demand in India and Turkey, the two largest buyers of the grade, traders said. Turkey's imports of Russia's Urals crude rose in June to their highest level since May 2024 on healthy refinery margins and seasonal demand for motor fuels, LSEG data showed. Meanwhile, Urals oil loadings are set to decline in July from June amid higher refinery runs in Russia. Russian oil supply is also set to decline in August amid a planned shutdown for maintenance of output on the Sakhalin-1 project that exports Sokol oil. India has been the largest buyer of Russian seaborne crude after Moscow diverted its energy supply away from the European Union, which imposed a ban late in 2022. Several Indian refiners that normally buy Russian oil on the spot market are not getting enough Urals oil for delivery in August, the sources said. India is exploring building three new strategic oil reserves to boost its emergency stockpile and strengthen energy security. Large volumes of Russian Urals oil are shipped to India under the deal between the country's largest private refiner, Reliance Industries, and Russian oil giant Rosneft last year, limiting the crude offered in the spot market, traders said.
Arabian Post
27-06-2025
- Business
- Arabian Post
UAE Supply Cut Prompts Murban Derivatives Losses for Oil Majors
A decision by Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to slash July shipments of its flagship Murban crude has led to significant trading losses for equity partners hedging their positions, with estimates reaching $12 per barrel. The move stunned major stakeholders, including BP Plc and TotalEnergies SE, forcing abrupt reshuffling in the derivatives market and weighing on profitability metrics. The volume cut, amounting to approximately 3–4 million barrels or around two days of production, was effected unevenly across equity holders—reducing cargoes by between 5% and 40%, according to industry sources. Term buyers under long-term contracts were reportedly unaffected, indicating a strategic move to preserve foundation relationships while squeezing discretionary volumes. This has created a hedging mismatch: partners had positioned in futures and options to offset anticipated Murban deliveries, but actual supply fell short. The result: mounting mark‑to‑market losses on paper positions, with some market estimates as high as $12 per barrel—a steep decline considering thin typical margins. ADVERTISEMENT Murban crude, trading via ICE Futures Abu Dhabi since March, has been gaining prominence as a Middle East light crude benchmark. However, the recent cut has triggered volatility in its futures market. While spot premiums had previously eased due to ample supply and rising output post-OPEC+ easing, this supply setback has reversed some of that trend. The background to the decision lies in ADNOC's broader strategic recalibration. In late May, the company downgraded its projected Murban export capacity from 1.76 mb/d to 1.61 mb/d through May 2026—choosing to retain more crude for refining and domestic consumption. Analysts suggest this could reflect a drive to optimise margins via Ruwais refinery integration, as well as to better balance global market positioning. Market reaction was swift. Murban spot premiums fell to six‑month lows in Asia, even as export levels surged earlier this year in a bid to undercut competing heavier Middle Eastern grades. Yet the supply curtailment prior to July led to retreating premiums and amplified uncertainty among refiners and traders. BP and TotalEnergies, two of the most significant equity partners, have reportedly taken the hardest hit. With pre‑hedged positions now misaligned to actual cargoes, both companies face pressure to unwind derivatives, likely at a loss. Platts estimates suggest losses could total up to $12 per barrel—potentially eroding tens of millions of dollars in trading gains. These developments underscore the evolving risk profile of Murban as a benchmark. Its growing adoption, underscored by record trading volumes on exchanges such as ICE and Platts MoC, has attracted global attention. Yet supply-side control remains firmly in ADNOC's hands—a stark contrast to more decentralized benchmarks like Brent or WTI—raising questions about market predictability. ADVERTISEMENT The scenario highlights divergent strategies among Murban's partners: equity holders dependent on predictable allocations, versus term buyers whose contractual priority provides insulation from short-term supply shifts. It also accentuates the complexities that major oil trading desks face when aligning physical logistics with financial hedging. Analysts are cautioning that such volatility may influence future demand for Murban derivatives. Omar Najia of BB Energy has previously noted that futures liquidity depends heavily on consistent physical volumes; erratic supply cuts could impede long-term development of a robust trading framework. ADNOC, for its part, has yet to publicly comment on the allocation adjustments for July cargoes. The lack of transparency is typical of the company's market posture, rooted in a strategy that increasingly blends output management with integrated downstream optimisation. Market observers are now eyeing two key developments: first, how quickly ADNOC will restore shipments to original estimates; second, how equity partners will recalibrate hedging approaches to accommodate supply-phase volatility. The shock to trading positions could also spark a reassessment of Murban's maturity as a benchmark. While its rise has been meteoric—becoming the cheapest medium-sour crude in key Asian benchmarks earlier this year, prompting record cargo allocations via Platts MoC —the latest contraction exposes vulnerabilities inherent in single-provider control. Equity partners are said to be preparing for tighter cooperation and improved supply forecasting. Speculators suggest that future terms may include contractual safeguards or compensation clauses to protect those hedging against supply deficits. This episode marks a defining moment for Murban's financial architecture. Traders and refiners will be watching closely to see whether this diversion is an isolated incident or the beginning of recurring supply-management interventions. Either way, it signals the growing pains of what aspires to be a global oil benchmark—one still subject to the strategic impulses of its originator.
Bloomberg
27-06-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
UAE's Oil Partners Face Trading Losses After Surprise Supply Cut
An unexpected move by the United Arab Emirates to cut volumes of a key oil grade sold to project partners including BP Plc and TotalEnergies SE is set to put a dent in some trading books. The hit stems from a mismatch in positions taken in the derivatives market to hedge against their expected supply of Murban crude for July, according to people familiar with the matter. The discrepancy may have led to losses as high as $12 a barrel for some equity shareholders, which is considered steep given profits can be as little as a few cents for each barrel, they added.
