Latest news with #NOAAStormPredictionCenter
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
June is Minnesota's peak for severe weather and 2025 may start fast
June is Minnesota's peak for severe weather and 2025 may start fast originally appeared on Bring Me The News. June arrives Sunday and by Monday there could be severe storms ripping through Minnesota. It could signal the start of a busy stretch in what is typically Minnesota's most active month for severe storms. "The start of June is looking anomalously busy from a severe weather/tornado standpoint. Residents across the High Plains, the Central Plains, parts of the Corn Belt and parts of the Upper Midwest should be [alert]," says meteorologist Matthew Cappucci. "The greatest risk for a few tornadic thunderstorms is over western portions of conventional Great Plains Tornado Alley. Farther east, we may see windy storm complexes pass over parts of the Upper Midwest and into Southern Canada as they ride up and over a ridge of high pressure." NOAA Storm Prediction Center has placed an area of the Dakotas and western Minnesota under a slight risk for severe storms on Monday. At this point, it appears Monday's activity will be most potent west of the Twin Cities, though storms in the metro cannot be ruled out. You get a good glimpse of what might happen Monday when you look at the European model's lightning forecast. Look at how it develops an intense line of storms Monday afternoon and evening. "We're going to see storms develop in South Dakota, western Minnesota late Monday, and then we'll see the leftovers Monday night into Tuesday," says Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard. "Looks like the severe threat for eastern Minnesota will be minimal or non-existent." June is also Minnesota's most active month for tornadoes, though Monday's severe threat looks to be more in the form of damaging winds than tornadoes. From 1991 to 2020, Minnesota averaged 46 tornadoes per year, with a peak of 113 in 2010 and a low of 15 in 2013. "Historically and statistically, June is the month of greatest frequency with July not far behind," the Minnesota DNR says. "May has the third greatest frequency, followed closely by August. Over 85% of all tornadoes in Minnesota have occurred between May and August." The European model is dumping a good amount of rain over the southern half of Minnesota and most of Iowa Monday-Wednesday next week. The outlook for June 2-6 calls for a likelihood of above normal temps and precipitation in Minnesota. From June 4-10, temps are forecast to normalize while it remains favorable for above normal precipitation. With summer starting, now is a good time to look how precipitation has evolved statewide, June-August, in Minnesota since 1900. The GIF blow clearly shows how eastern and southeastern Minnesota have trended wetter in the past 120 years. This story was originally reported by Bring Me The News on May 30, 2025, where it first appeared.
Yahoo
19-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Peoria's rainfall deficit could be overcome with storms ahead
PEORIA, Ill. (WMBD) — May is typically the wettest month of the year, but rainfall is running well behind the normal pace. As of May 18, Peoria was running a deficit of 2.45 inches. A storm system is set to bring widespread, soaking showers and storms to the region overnight Monday and Tuesday. On average, 1 to 2 inches will be common. Isolated higher amounts up to 3 inches will be possible. With so much rain hitting in a short time, nuisance ponding of water will be possible. Make sure to clear any storm drains around your home. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the area is under a level 1 severe risk tonight and Tuesday. Wind and hail will be the primary threats locally. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out. The greatest severe threat tonight will be southwest of Canton, and south of Bloomington on Tuesday. Some scattered showers are possible during the daytime Monday, but they will largely fade out during the afternoon. Showers and storms will begin to increase on radar after sunset, becoming widespread after midnight. Expect periods of heavy rain and lightning along with strong, gusty winds. Most wind gusts will stay between 25-40 mph, but locally higher gusts are possible. The widespread slug of rain will push north of the area around 8 a.m. Tuesday, but additional showers and storms will continue off and on through the day. As the atmosphere grows unstable by late morning and afternoon, we'll have to watch for a couple severe thunderstorms. Most of the rain will be done Tuesday evening. Isolated showers are possible at times through Thursday, but any additional amounts would be light. The bigger story midweek will be the unseasonable chill that settles in. Cloud cover will remain stubborn, and temperatures will feel more like early April. Temperatures will be slow to bounce back, only around 70 by Memorial Day. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
New York Post
02-05-2025
- Climate
- New York Post
Northeast faces another soggy weekend as stalled storm threatens rain for days
NEW YORK – If the weekend forecast in the Northeast sounds familiar, that's because it is. More rain and thunderstorms are expected across the region, marking the sixth out of the past seven weekends that precipitation is in the forecast. Due to the front's slow advancement, much of Saturday could remain relatively dry along the I-95 corridor as temps soar into the 80s, making it feel more like summer. But storms are likely to break out across the interior Northeast and mid-Atlantic Saturday afternoon before racing toward the coast during the evening hours. Advertisement Any storms that do develop in this unstable environment will have the ability to produce damaging winds and some large hail, prompting a level 1 out of 5 risk on NOAA Storm Prediction Center's Severe Weather Outlook scale for Saturday. An upgrade to the risk can't be ruled out given the dynamics at play, according to the FOX Forecast Center. 'So, Saturday, we do have the risk of some thunderstorms,' FOX Weather Meteorologist Melissa Torres said. 'And that goes from Boston all the way down into the northern part of Florida.' That includes the Philadelphia area into Boston and Washington, D.C. 3 A person walks with an umbrella as it rains in the Manhattan borough of New York City on March 24, 2025. AFP via Getty Images Advertisement 'It's going to be really rumbly for the City of Brotherly Love,' said FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin. 'Any sort of outdoor plans (Saturday) night should really be (re)considered.' The FOX Forecast Center said that there is high confidence that it will rain on Saturday, but details beyond that remain extremely uncertain. The dreaded 'cutoff low' looms for next week As we get into Sunday, the forecast gets tricky as confidence is increasing in a stalled low pressure center breaking off from the main flow of the jet stream and meandering over the Ohio Valley for several days. 3 Rain is expected over the Northeast for the entire weekend. FOX Weather Advertisement This type of setup is a hallmark for long-duration rain events as the counterclockwise flow around the low works in tandem with clockwise flow around a high pressure center that's blocking it to the east. This persistent wind flow aloft creates a funnel of atmospheric moisture out of the south that remains fairly stationary for several days. While it's too soon to forecast the exact placement of the heaviest rain, a widespread area of 2 inches or more can be expected from the mid-Atlantic into the Northeast and some areas pushing 3-5 inches of rain by the time the storm is over. It won't rain every minute of the day, but several rounds of showers with embedded downpours can be expected from Sunday through at least Tuesday as this stubborn low takes its time to dissipate before it eventually moves out of the region sometime after Wednesday. 3 Wintery conditions on Lexington Avenue in the Upper East Side neighborhood of Manhattan. Robert Miller Advertisement The FOX Forecast Center says although the rain will initially be beneficial given the ongoing areas of drought, heavier rain late Sunday into Monday and again on Tuesday could pose the risk for some instances of flash flooding. NOAA's Weather Prediction Center has issued a multiday flood outlook from Saturday through Monday that includes Charleston, West Virginia; Washington, D.C.; New York City, and Hartford, Connecticut.
Yahoo
10-03-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Will skies be clear in Montgomery for Thursday's lunar eclipse? What forecasts are saying
As the celestial skies prepare for a lunar eclipse, weather experts are closely monitoring another phenomenon: storm systems that could cloud a skywatchers' view. While the moon's fiery red hue promises to be a spectacle, unpredictable weather patterns may steal the show, casting a shadow over the highly anticipated event. Get ready for a glowing red moon March 13- 14th, as a lunar eclipse takes over the skies. But will the weather hide the show for those in Alabama? forecasts Thursday to be mixed with sunshine and thunderstorms, reaching a high of 74 degrees. As the evening approaches, expect mostly cloudy skies with a few showers and a 79% chance of cloud coverage. This could prohibit views of the lunar eclipse, as stormy weather may obscure the event. A dangerous storm outbreak is expected this week with the possibility of tornadoes. According to AccuWeather, Friday will be the first major day for severe weather, with an extensive storm system affecting nearly 500,000 square miles of the Central U.S. Severe thunderstorms are expected to stretch from the Gulf Coast up to near the Canadian border. This includes Alabama. On Saturday, warm weather will likely get people outside, but severe storms are also a risk. The worst storms are expected in southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, eastern Tennessee and parts of Florida and Georgia. AccuWeather says that both Friday and Saturday pose threats of tornadoes, but you can also expect heavy rain, damaging winds and hail. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center has placed Montgomery under a risk level of 2 out of 5. Jennifer Lindahl is a Breaking and Trending Reporter for the Deep South Connect Team for Gannett/USA Today. Connect with her on X @jenn_lindahl and email at jlindahl@ This article originally appeared on Montgomery Advertiser: Severe weather could impact lunar eclipse in Alabama this week
