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New Paper
6 days ago
- Sport
- New Paper
Aug 6 South Africa (Greyville) form analysis
Race 1 (1,400m) (4) MOHAVE PRINCE ran a tremendous second to the promising Green Gateway at just his second outing. He has a good draw and a strong winning chance. (5) GLOBAL WARRIOR raced greenly on debut, but the winner Soldier Boy was deemed good enough to line up in Grade 1 company. (6) WONDERFUL TONIGHT was narrowly beaten over the course and distance on debut. With that experience, he should be in the firing line. (3) CARNARVON has useful Highveld form over the trip and has a strong winning chance. (11) MASTER DU ROUVRAY has a wide draw and has been rested, but he showed some promise. Race 2 (1,400m) (7) CATCH A PENNY has placed in all 10 starts and should go close again. (6) SPLASH OF LOVE stays the trip. She should feature prominently in this line-up. (3) OMNIA has had only three outings, and her best effort was over the course and distance. (2) INTRO has put in two fair efforts with blinkers. Race 3 (1,400m) Mark Khan makes his first visit to KZN as a trainer and saddles two runners. The better could be (3) SOLAR SAIL, who ran third to Legend Of Arthur in the Grade 1 South African Derby over 2,450m last time in March. This should be on the short side, but he does have a touch of class. (6) GO GRAYSON GO has been knocking at the door and is well in at the weights. This trip will suit. (4) TWO MILES WEST has not been out of the money in his last four starts. The trip will suit and he has a neat draw. Khan's second runner (8) COPPOLA is effective over the trip, but has a wide draw to contend with. Race 4 (1,200m) (1) CAPRICIOUS MISS got a 10-point hike in the ratings after her much improved last run. She enjoyed the Poly and, from pole position, she should be competitive again. At the other end of the barrier, (11) CHERICHERILADY has her first run for Paul Gadsby. She comes with some fair Highveld form and does not meet a strong field, so keep an eye on her. (4) QUEEN OF THE SPEAR was disappointing in her recent runs, but she can improve. (5) DI ROSA is seldom too far back, but she is struggling for her maiden win. (7) MS GALORE caught the eye in all three starts, suggesting that she is much better than her form. She has been rested, but comes from an in-form stable. Race 5 (1,000m) (4) ONE IRISH ROVER was narrowly beaten by his stable companion Lou The Legend last time on the Poly. His last win was over this distance. (2) LIONS EYE has improved at recent outings and Sean Veale has chosen this ride ahead of (8) PURPLE POWAHOUSE, who looks to be the best of Alyson Wright's three runners. The nine-year-old has solid form over the course and distance, and should be competitive again. Stablemate (6) WHEREVERILAYMYHAT has been consistent lately and has a money chance. Race 6 (1,400m) (6) STAR IN MOTION was a maiden winner last time, and had consistent form leading up to that win that has been franked. (5) CARDINAL CHIEF won at his second run for Garth Puller and looks progressive. He has a handy weight and this trip should suit. (1) RUN FOREST RUN was a late starter and obviously has some issues. He had his third run when shedding his maiden back in May, but does appear to have some scope. (10) EL DANTE surprised with his win last time, but he has a big weight and a wide draw. Race 7 (1,400m) It is tough to win three races on the bounce but (5) WING WALKER has made steady progress and is unbeaten on the Poly, albeit switches to the turf. He was doing his best work late last time, so the step-up in trip should not be an issue. (8) SEA SHANTY has been in mustard form on the Highveld, but has hardly moved in the handicap. He is over his optimum trip and will be a big threat to the first choice. (1) KING OF NUMBERS sees a rare foray into KZN by Brett Webber. The gelding has consistent Highveld form recently and has a plum draw. The blinkers come off (2) GRIFFIN PARK as he steps up in trip with Veale, no doubt giving the feedback to MJ Odendaal. Race 8 (1,400m) (10) SCHOOL POLICY made a smart local debut when a beaten favourite and with the blinkers removed, but should improve on that showing. Drawn outside of her is (11) PROM QUEEN, who is holding form well. The draw is a concern. (4) AVERNIAN GODDESS is seldom out of the money, and the step-up in trip suits her well. (8) HAPPY FORTUNE has shown up well in two starts and is in good shape. She has a strong winning chance.
Politico
30-07-2025
- Business
- Politico
Hot n cold
Presented by Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Canada Playbook | Follow Politico Canada Thanks for reading Canada Playbook. In today's edition: → The PM gets room to move — but not for long. → PIERRE POILIEVRE steps back into the spotlight. → Plus, PMJT and a pop star hit the town and blow up the internet. Trade war SUMMER OF LOVE — Canadians are not about to punish Prime Minister MARK CARNEY for chaos beyond his control. Despite campaigning on his ability to strike a deal with President DONALD TRUMP, pollsters say Carney is unlikely to pay a political price if he doesn't deliver by Friday. 'He's got some leeway. He's got some space to play a little bit of hardball from a public opinion standpoint,' SHACHI KURL, president of the Angus Reid Institute, told Playbook. — Now the big caveat: 'Public opinion will — and can — change the minute this starts to really punch Canadians in their pocketbooks.' — Elbow test: After Carney made a concession to Trump by abandoning the digital services tax, Abacus Data CEO DAVID COLETTO tested whether Canadians thought the PM's elbows were up or down. → Survey says: Elbows up. Coletto shared some unreleased data showing more than half of Canadians willing to give the PM the benefit of the doubt, recognizing Trump as unpredictable and uncontrollable. 'I don't see evidence that people are feeling that the decisions the government's made up to this moment are hurting Carney's personal numbers or the government's approval ratings,' Coletto told Playbook. 'I don't see evidence that they're challenging his motivations and his capacity to make the call.' — What Canadians want from the PM: That he puts Canada's interests ahead of political gain, understands the challenges facing ordinary people, has a plan for the country and communicates openly and clearly — according to new research from Abacus Data. — What Canadians like about the PM: That he's a calm and steady force, avoids unnecessary conflict, doesn't pick fights and provides thoughtful answers, Coletto said. And notably — he's not JUSTIN TRUDEAU. — PM's blindspots: Canadians struggle to relate to Carney's global-elite status, but they aren't especially bothered by it. — One love: Canadian premiers aren't budging from the PM's side. At last week's premiers' meeting in Muskoka, Ontario, Playbook asked Nova Scotia Premier TIM HOUSTON, a Progressive Conservative, what more the federal government could be doing. 'The abilities of the prime minister are something that I'm confident in,' Houston replied. — Unbreakable bond: Ontario Premier DOUG FORD says the premiers are united — at least as long as there's a trade war to fight together. 'We came up with a consensus around the table on how we tackle this situation with President Trump,' he told reporters Monday in Toronto. Even Alberta Premier DANIELLE SMITH has nice things to say about Carney. — MIA: With Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE focused on winning back a seat in the House of Commons, the PM has benefited from a lack of high-profile critics questioning his negotiating chops. — The other shoe: Kurl argues Carney is likely to be judged by the kind of deal he eventually secures with the U.S. — not whether he meets Friday's deadline. 'There still continues to be this very 'elbows up, take a hard line,' bloody-minded mentality,' Kurl said. — Elbows down territory: 'When we start to unfortunately see furloughs and layoffs and mills shutting down and factories shutting down — and all of the impacts to related economies,' Kurl added. — In related reading: DAVID AGREN reports on Mexican President CLAUDIA SHEINBAUM's attempts to mollify Trump. A Mexican trade expert tells the Globe: 'Without clear benchmarks, it's really easy for the U.S. government to just keep moving the goal posts.' LISTEN UP, OTTAWA LAST NIGHT IN CAMROSE — PIERRE POILIEVRE is back in campaign mode. He opened his pitch to Battle River-Crowfoot voters with a nod to the values he says he learned in Alberta — 'faith, family and freedom, hard work, helping your neighbors.' And he pledged to be a 'powerful megaphone' against EV mandates — 'because driving a pickup truck is a local issue' — and a defender of law-abiding gun owners. The Conservative leader thanked DAMIEN KUREK, who won the riding in April with 83 percent of the vote, for stepping aside to clear the path for his return. — State of play: ÉRIC GRENIER of The Writ calls Battle River-Crowfoot one of the safest Conservative seats in the country. Our pal PHILIPPE J. FOURNIER at 338Canada says the race doesn't look close. — Everybody in: At an April election forum hosted by the Camrose & District Chamber of Commerce, only a single candidate showed up — reports FAKIHA BAIG of The Canadian Press. Last night, nine candidates shared the stage with Poilievre, including Independent BONNIE CRITCHLEY, Liberal DARCY SPADY and NDP candidate KATHERINE SWAMPY. The would-be MPs and the Conservative leader without a seat fielded questions from constituents assembled in advance. Most used a prompt about the economy to air their views on immigration, though there was a dedicated section for that issue as well. At one point, Critchley challenged Poilievre's candidacy: 'You don't know what's going on here unless you live here.' For most of the forum — which included a 20-minute intermission — candidates took turns blaming Ottawa. Poilievre, an Ottawa-area MP for more than two decades, pointed his finger directly at the Liberals. — For the record: There are more than 200 candidates in the race. Most are associated with the 'Longest Ballot Committee,' a group pushing for electoral reform. 'Many people would agree with their stated objectives,' writes Dalhousie's LORI TURNBULL. 'But let's call B.S. on the tactics.' — Long and short of it: Elections Canada announced this week it will use an adapted ballot. CHRIS SELLEY of the National Post explains: 'Instead of marking your X on a ballot as long as a beach towel, you will write down your chosen candidate's name.' Spelling won't count on voting day. 'As long as your intention is clear, your vote will be counted,' the agency said. Poilievre called the ballot protest a scam. 'When, God willing, if I have your support and I get to Parliament, I will put forward legislative changes to make sure that this never happens again,' he said last night. Election day is Aug. 18. THE ROOMS THAT MATTER — Canada-U.S. Trade Minister DOMINIC LEBLANC is heading to Washington. — The PM will chair a virtual Cabinet meeting at 2 p.m. on the state of the negotiations with the United States and the situation in the Middle East. Carney spoke Tuesday with PM KEIR STARMER, who has vowed the U.K. will recognize a Palestinian state in September unless the Israeli government takes 'substantive steps' to end the crisis in Gaza. The Globe reports that the Carney government is weighing its response. — Bank of Canada Governor TIFF MACKLEM will make an interest rate announcement at 9:45 a.m. today. Want more POLITICO? Download our mobile app to save stories, get notifications on U.S.-Canada relations, and more. In iOS or Android . TALK OF THE TOWN BOOM, BOOM, BOOM — JUSTIN TRUDEAU and KATY PERRY went for a walk Monday in Montreal, ate dinner at a top-notch resto, and then briefly took over the internet when TMZ was first to publish photos of the high-profile hang at Restaurant Le Violon. — More American eyes: People had a take. So did Slate, E! News, Cosmopolitan — the list goes on south of the border. Back home, fishbowl dwellers went all in on speculating, gossiping and obsessing about what the former prime minister and touring pop star were up to together. Every question raised another. → Questions, questions: Were they on a date? Was it all a sly PR move meant to generate a few headlines? Would Trudeau take in Perry's Tuesday night show in Ottawa — or her next concert tonight in Montreal? If the Trudeau-Perry encounter was supposed to stay quiet: uh, whoops. Everybody in Canada got in on it: CP, the Star, the Post, CBC, CTV and on and on. Call it a welcome midsummer distraction from tariffs, trade and roiling geopolitics. MORNING MUST-CLICKS — POLITICO's West Wing Playbook considers how U.S. allies have adapted to Trump and his governing style — no longer treating him as an outcast but as a critical partner and, in recognition of the premium he places on personal relationships, a friend. — CATHERINE MORRISON of The Canadian Press reports that Statistics Canada has announced plans to end most term and casual employment contracts by October. — PAUL WELLS explains why former PM STEPHEN HARPER's counsel is worth hearing. — POLITICO's ALEX GUILLÉN reports on the Trump administration's proposed move to repeal the U.S. federal government's bedrock scientific declaration on the dangers of greenhouse gases. — 'He's been in constant contact with them, as is the prime minister,' Calgary Chamber of Commerce CEO DEBORAH YEDLIN says of Energy Minister TIM HODGSON's reachout to the energy sector. 'We haven't had that kind of dialogue in a very, very, very long time,' she tells the Calgary Herald. PROZONE The latest Pro Canada PM subscriber newsletter: Walking backward toward a deal. Our latest headlines for POLITICO Pro readers: — Interior push to fast-track minerals-from-waste projects faces backlash. — Meet the only US company building an advanced reactor. — Italian court allows climate lawsuit against energy giant to proceed. — Lutnick says U.S. will continue to press EU on digital services taxes. — Europe learned to love American LNG. This is how Trump wrecks it. LOBBY WATCH Our daily check-in on federal lobbyist registrations and notable meetings around town: — Alcoa Canada, the subsidiary of the U.S.-based aluminum producer, logged July meetings with a spate of senior political staff and bureaucrats: — Crestview's MIRA AHMAD registered to lobby on behalf of the Public Service Alliance of Canada. On the priority list: 'Federal public service workforce reductions, including staffing cuts, outsourcing, job security concerns, and the long-term impacts on service delivery and the capacity of the public service.' PLAYBOOKERS Birthdays: HBD to former Ottawa Mayor JIM WATSON, former Quebec MNA LORRAINE RICHARD, Alberta MLA JOE CECI and former Conservative MP KELLIE LEITCH (55!) Noted: The PM spoke with Ukraine President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY on Tuesday afternoon. The 'Auto Mayors' want the federal government to ax the EV sales mandate. The Globe's ERIC ATKINS has the details. Movers and shakers: CATHAY WAGANTALL, a Conservative MP from Saskatchewan, announced that she will not seek reelection in the next federal election … VICTORIA LACHANCE joined McMillan Vantage as a consultant. Former Health Minister MARK HOLLAND was named CEO of the Canadian National Exhibition … KATHERINE CUPLINSKAS is senior manager of media relations at Bell Canada … Fortinet, the cybersecurity company, appointed longtime senior Hill staffer MIKE POWER as Canada's head of government affairs. The U.S. Senate has approved the nomination of WILLIAM KIMMITT to be undersecretary of Commerce for international trade. POLITICO's ARI HAWKINS reports that Kimmitt served as counselor to then-U.S. Trade Representative ROBERT LIGHTHIZER in the first Trump administration. According to Kimmitt's law firm biography, he was also deeply involved in implementing the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. TRIVIA Tuesday's answer: Prince CHARLES and Lady DIANA SPENCER wed on July 28, 1981. For wedding gifts, Canada presented antique Canadian furniture, books by Canadian authors, a painting by ROBERT BATEMAN and a brooch. Props to MARCEL MARCOTTE, RAY DEL BIANCO, BARB SULLIVAN, SHAUGHN MCARTHUR, JOHN PEPPER, CAMERON BISHOP, CAMERON RYAN, JENN KEAY, MALCOLM MCKAY, ELIZABETH BURN, and GANGA WIGNARAJAH. Wednesday's question: Then-PM JOHN DIEFENBAKER officially opened the Trans-Canada Highway in 1962. In what year was it finally completed? Answers to canadaplaybook@ Writing tomorrow's Playbook: MICKEY DJURIC and NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY. Canada Playbook would not happen without: Canada Editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and POLITICO's Grace Maalouf.
