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The Diplomat
27-06-2025
- Politics
- The Diplomat
Mongolia's Government Transition: Democracy in Action or Foreign Interference?
A recent report alleges that Mongolia's change in government was the product of a Moscow-linked influence operation. Far from it. Mongolia's recent change in government has been widely debated, with some international media outlets speculating about foreign interference. Such claims overlook the deeper democratic processes at play. Far from it, the leadership transition reflects Mongolia's evolving political maturity and the public's demand for transparency and accountability. On June 11, British newspaper The Times published an article alleging that Mongolia's recent change in government was shaped by Kremlin-linked influence and internal power struggles. The article went so far as to frame Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai's resignation as 'an effective coup,' a characterization based solely on unnamed government sources and not corroborated by any other independent outlet. The piece portrayed Mongolia's domestic politics as potentially vulnerable to manipulation by external actors. While this perspective may resonate with broader geopolitical concerns, it overlooks the complex internal dynamics and democratic processes that in fact drove recent developments. A Crisis of Communication and Credibility, Not Foreign Interference The resignation of Oyun-Erdene was not the result of foreign interference. It was the outcome of a lawful democratic process, triggered by sustained public protests over allegations of corruption and government opacity. What began as an organic youth movement, sparked by revelations about the prime minister's son's life of luxury, evolved into a broader call for transparency, integrity, and reform. What ultimately sealed Oyun-Erdene's fate was not external meddling but his failure to engage meaningfully with the public. This misstep is striking, given that in December 2022 he had met face-to-face with thousands protesting corruption in the coal sector. His personal appearance back then defused tensions and earned his government time. When this round of protests began in May 2025, protestors initially made a modest demand: they asked Oyun-Erdene to explain his son's lavish lifestyle, as displayed in social media posts. Yet the prime minister declined to engage, offered no explanation, and appeared to dismiss their concerns. His remarks, referring to protestors as 'flies' and questioning the protests' authenticity, only deepened the disconnect. What began as a call for accountability gradually became a call for resignation. In parliament, Oyun-Erdene argued that his government needed more time to deliver on mega-projects that would, he claimed, raise GDP per capita to $10,000. But after five years, the longest tenure of any prime minister in modern Mongolian history, the public's patience had worn thin. The promise that stability would bring prosperity was no longer convincing; his credibility had eroded. Legislators thus faced a difficult choice: preserve executive stability or respond to an increasingly vocal electorate. The no-confidence vote that followed was not a coup or the product of foreign plots. It was the lawful exercise of democratic checks and balances by elected representatives responding to their constituents. Reuters, the Associated Press, and Al Jazeera all reported the episode as an example of democracy at work, not the result of foreign manipulation. The Danger of Simplistic Narratives Mongolia's geography, landlocked between China and Russia, and its complex foreign policy naturally draw scrutiny. International partners are right to be vigilant about undue foreign influence in any small democracy facing external pressures. But vigilance must not slide into oversimplification. Portraying domestic political developments as mere extensions of great power rivalry diminishes Mongolia's agency and misrepresents its democracy. This is not just a matter of fairness. It is precisely because of Mongolia's foreign policy challenges that such narratives could be so damaging. By portraying Mongolia's democracy as weak and easily manipulated by one of its neighbors, this type of reporting may undermine efforts to strengthen ties not only with China and Russia but also with its so-called third neighbors, including the European Union, Japan, and the United States. If these partners come to see Mongolia as anything less than an independent, sovereign democracy, they will hesitate to deepen engagement. That would be a severe setback at a moment when Mongolia urgently needs investment, cultural exchange, stronger institutions, and deeper diplomatic partnerships. The threat goes well beyond economics. Mongolia's democracy already faces pressures identified by indices such as V-Dem, including diminishing media freedom, reduced judicial independence, and declining public trust. Its health depends on continued support from democratic partners. Emphasizing unverified narratives of foreign manipulation risks weakening Mongolia's international standing, feeding public cynicism, and hampering its ability to build the partnerships essential for protecting its democratic progress. Mongolia's Foreign Minister Battsetseg Batmunkh has publicly challenged the narrative presented in The Times, emphasizing that such portrayals misrepresent the country's political realities and risk undermining its diplomatic credibility. In a recent interview with Arctus Analytics, an Ulaanbaatar-based research and analysis firm, she elaborated on the government's broader concerns about the increasing complexity of Mongolia's international engagement. 'Our foreign relations have expanded rapidly in recent years,' she noted. 'This growth has brought many new actors into the space, including government agencies, local authorities, businesses, and civil society organizations. While this is a welcome sign of international engagement, it also underscores the need for better coordination and oversight, aligned with Mongolia's national interests and security.' Battsetseg revealed that the government is in the process of drafting a comprehensive law to establish clearer guidelines on who may engage in foreign relations on behalf of the state and under what conditions. 'Had such a framework been in place earlier,' she added, 'we might have avoided some of the confusion and misrepresentation that arose from recent international reporting.' Mongolia's Balanced Diplomacy and Expanding Global Partnerships Mongolia's multi-pillared foreign policy is designed to preserve its sovereignty by engaging a wide range of partners and expanding the areas of cooperation. The country maintains strategic partnerships with China and Russia while actively cultivating strong ties with third neighbors such as Japan, the European Union, and other like-minded democracies. What makes this approach effective is not merely the number of partners but also the growing diversity of fields in which Mongolia engages, including mining, infrastructure, energy, education, technology, climate resilience, and cultural exchange. This strategy has delivered tangible results. Japan's support for infrastructure modernization and France's investment in Mongolia's uranium sector demonstrate how Ulaanbaatar has broadened cooperation with trusted partners. Mongolia's uranium partnership with France in particular represents the first major investment from a Western partner since the Oyu Tolgoi agreement and marks a significant milestone in third neighbor cooperation. Mongolia's diplomatic activity also underscores its success in building credibility on the international stage. In 2023 alone, the country hosted or conducted 12 presidential-level visits, six by parliamentary speakers, five by prime ministers, and 23 by foreign ministers, signing 41 intergovernmental documents across diverse sectors. The momentum continued in 2024 with 15 presidential visits, eight prime ministerial meetings, and 19 foreign ministry consultations, reflecting growing international interest in Ulaanbaatar as a credible and neutral interlocutor committed to balanced engagement. At the same time, Mongolia has strengthened its balanced relations with its two neighbors. Recent agreements with China and Russia include a cross-border railway accord to enhance connectivity and a deal to expand and modernize a key power station. These steps show that Mongolia's balanced foreign policy is not merely aspirational; it is being actively implemented. A Call for Thoughtful Engagement Mongolia's recent change in government was not the product of foreign manipulation. It was the outcome of a people holding their leaders accountable through lawful and democratic means. This is not the story of a pawn caught between powerful neighbors. It is the story of a democracy, imperfect yet resilient, determined to chart its own course in a complex region. Oversimplified narratives that portray Mongolia as vulnerable to external manipulation risk undermining the progress the country has made. They damage its standing on the international stage and jeopardize efforts to deepen ties not only with its immediate neighbors but also with trusted partners across the democratic world. Mongolia's diplomacy, marked by new agreements with both neighbors and third neighbor countries, shows that its multi-pillared foreign policy is being implemented in practice, not just in principle. Mongolia deserves thoughtful engagement from international partners who are committed to supporting its sovereignty and its efforts to maintain balance in a challenging geopolitical environment. In an era of rising polarization and competing narratives, responsible journalism and principled diplomacy are not luxuries for small democracies like Mongolia. They are essential safeguards for a nation working to secure its place as a credible, independent, and constructive member of the international community.


Asahi Shimbun
04-06-2025
- Business
- Asahi Shimbun
Resource-rich Mongolia faces political uncertainty after the prime minister resigns
A protestor holds a sign that reads ''Resign, Kettle, Resign' in reference to Mongolia's Prime Minister, at the Sukhbaatar Square in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, on May 22. (AP Photo) TAIPEI--Resource-rich Mongolia is facing political uncertainty following the resignation early on Tuesday of its prime minister in the wake of protests over endemic corruption in the landlocked Asian country, squeezed between China and Russia. Before he lost the confidence vote in the parliament, Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai warned that his removal could undermine Mongolia's fledgling democracy. The vote followed weeks of protests sparked by reports of lavish spending by his son and calls for him to step down. The reports, which cited expensive jewelry and helicopter rides for the son's female companion, underscored the vast gap between Mongolians who have grown extremely wealthy off the country's exports and much of the rest of the population, mired in poverty. Here is a look at why what is happening in Mongolia matters: Mongolia, a country of about 3.5 million people, borders Russia to the north and China to the south. Its stunning alpine mountains interspersed with vast deserts hold an abundance of coal, copper and other natural resources used in high-tech manufacturing. The question of who benefits from the wealth has been a key issue since Mongolia began negotiating with foreign mining giants — rumors of secret deals and under-the-table payments have circulated for years. After Mongolia threw off Communism at the end of the Cold War, it lost generous Soviet Union aid packages. Since then, it has been slowly becoming a democracy but is struggling to avoid falling into debt while holding Chinese and Russian interests at bay. China is a particularly important neighbor as its ruling Communist Party buys up 92% of Mongolia's exports. Over the years, the capital of Ulaanbaataar transformed itself from a city of clunky Soviet-era buildings surrounded by traditional herders' felt tents known as gers, into a metropolis of shopping malls and fancy hotels. The protesters have said the country's mineral riches have benefited business interests and the wealthy, while many Mongolians still live in poverty. Early on Tuesday morning, Oyun-Erdene only got 44 votes of support in the 126-seat legislature — the State Great Khural — well short of the 64 needed, according to the head of the counting commission, M. Narantuya-nara. Oyun-Erdene accepted defeat, saying it had been an honor to serve the nation through the coronavirus pandemic, Russia's war on Ukraine and the ongoing strife over U.S. tariffs. But he also warned of the threat of a 'spider's web' of special interests that he said are working to hold the Mongolian people back. Oyun-Erdene, who ran a coalition government, will remain prime minister until his replacement is elected in parliament, most likely from the ranks of opposition lawmakers. Those who pick his successor will likely also have to find a platform that will satisfy the demands of the largely young and well-educated class that has led the protests. That could include moving ahead with a national sovereignty fund introduced recently to better help spread the wealth. In stepping down, Oyun-Erdene defended his integrity but said he had made the mistake of 'paying insufficient attention to social and internal political matters.' He also warned of political instability ahead, saying it 'could lead the public to lose faith in parliamentary rule and potentially put our democratic parliamentary system at risk of collapse.' Erin Murphy, deputy director and senior fellow of India and emerging Asian economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said it's not easy to 'build that foundation for democracy' at a time when Mongolia also must tackle economic problems. Julian Dierkes, a Mongolia expert at the University of Mannheim in Germany, said he doesn't expect any major policy changes, whoever becomes the next prime minister. 'They will be selected on the basis of personal networks and patronage,' Dierkes said. Many people on the street seemed worried for the future and some defended the outgoing prime minister on Tuesday. Oyun-Erdene should not be responsible for his son's failings, said Gansukh Batbayar, a military retiree in Ulaanbaatar who lauded what he described as Oyun-Erdene's efforts to 'confiscate illegally earned assets and money of corrupt officials' and distribute it more fairly. 'We barely survive in these chaotic times and our pensions are very small,' said an older woman on a public bus in Ulaanbaataar, who declined to give her name to speak about the political developments. She counts on her children 'to have food to eat and a roof over my head,' she said.

03-06-2025
- Business
Resource-rich Mongolia faces political uncertainty after the prime minister resigns
TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Resource-rich Mongolia is facing political uncertainty following the resignation early on Tuesday of its prime minister in the wake of protests over endemic corruption in the landlocked Asian country, squeezed between China and Russia. Before he lost the confidence vote in the parliament, Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai warned that his removal could undermine Mongolia's fledgling democracy. The vote followed weeks of protests sparked by reports of lavish spending by his son and calls for him to step down. The reports, which cited expensive jewelry and helicopter rides for the son's female companion, underscored the vast gap between Mongolians who have grown extremely wealthy off the country's exports and much of the rest of the population, mired in poverty. Here is a look at why what is happening in Mongolia matters: Mongolia, a country of about 3.5 million people, borders Russia to the north and China to the south. Its stunning alpine mountains interspersed with vast deserts hold an abundance of coal, copper and other natural resources used in high-tech manufacturing. The question of who benefits from the wealth has been a key issue since Mongolia began negotiating with foreign mining giants — rumors of secret deals and under-the-table payments have circulated for years. After Mongolia threw off Communism at the end of the Cold War, it lost generous Soviet Union aid packages. Since then, it has been slowly becoming a democracy but is struggling to avoid falling into debt while holding Chinese and Russian interests at bay. China is a particularly important neighbor as its ruling Communist Party buys up 92% of Mongolia's exports. Over the years, the capital of Ulaanbaataar transformed itself from a city of clunky Soviet-era buildings surrounded by traditional herders' felt tents known as gers, into a metropolis of shopping malls and fancy hotels. The protesters have said the country's mineral riches have benefited business interests and the wealthy, while many Mongolians still live in poverty. Early on Tuesday morning, Oyun-Erdene only got 44 votes of support in the 126-seat legislature — the State Great Khural — well short of the 64 needed, according to the head of the counting commission, M. Narantuya-nara. Oyun-Erdene accepted defeat, saying it had been an honor to serve the nation through the coronavirus pandemic, Russia's war on Ukraine and the ongoing strife over U.S. tariffs. But he also warned of the threat of a 'spider's web' of special interests that he said are working to hold the Mongolian people back. Oyun-Erdene, who ran a coalition government, will remain prime minister until his replacement is elected in parliament, most likely from the ranks of opposition lawmakers. Those who pick his successor will likely also have to find a platform that will satisfy the demands of the largely young and well-educated class that has led the protests. That could include moving ahead with a national sovereignty fund introduced recently to better help spread the wealth. In stepping down, Oyun-Erdene defended his integrity but said he had made the mistake of 'paying insufficient attention to social and internal political matters.' He also warned of political instability ahead, saying it "could lead the public to lose faith in parliamentary rule and potentially put our democratic parliamentary system at risk of collapse.' Erin Murphy, deputy director and senior fellow of India and emerging Asian economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said it's not easy to "build that foundation for democracy' at a time when Mongolia also must tackle economic problems. Julian Dierkes, a Mongolia expert at the University of Mannheim in Germany, said he doesn't expect any major policy changes, whoever becomes the next prime minister. 'They will be selected on the basis of personal networks and patronage,' Dierkes said. Many people on the street seemed worried for the future and some defended the outgoing prime minister on Tuesday. Oyun-Erdene should not be responsible for his son's failings, said Gansukh Batbayar, a military retiree in Ulaanbaatar who lauded what he described as Oyun-Erdene's efforts to 'confiscate illegally earned assets and money of corrupt officials' and distribute it more fairly. 'We barely survive in these chaotic times and our pensions are very small,' said an older woman on a public bus in Ulaanbaataar, who declined to give her name to speak about the political developments. She counts on her children "to have food to eat and a roof over my head,' she said.


The Hill
03-06-2025
- Business
- The Hill
Resource-rich Mongolia faces political uncertainty after the prime minister resigns
TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — Resource-rich Mongolia is facing political uncertainty following the resignation early on Tuesday of its prime minister in the wake of protests over endemic corruption in the landlocked Asian country, squeezed between China and Russia. Before he lost the confidence vote in the parliament, Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai warned that his removal could undermine Mongolia's fledgling democracy. The vote followed weeks of protests sparked by reports of lavish spending by his son and calls for him to step down. The reports, which cited expensive jewelry and helicopter rides for the son's female companion, underscored the vast gap between Mongolians who have grown extremely wealthy off the country's exports and much of the rest of the population, mired in poverty. Here is a look at why what is happening in Mongolia matters: Mongolia, a country of about 3.5 million people, borders Russia to the north and China to the south. Its stunning alpine mountains interspersed with vast deserts hold an abundance of coal, copper and other natural resources used in high-tech manufacturing. The question of who benefits from the wealth has been a key issue since Mongolia began negotiating with foreign mining giants — rumors of secret deals and under-the-table payments have circulated for years. After Mongolia threw off Communism at the end of the Cold War, it lost generous Soviet Union aid packages. Since then, it has been slowly becoming a democracy but is struggling to avoid falling into debt while holding Chinese and Russian interests at bay. China is a particularly important neighbor as its ruling Communist Party buys up 92% of Mongolia's exports. Over the years, the capital of Ulaanbaataar transformed itself from a city of clunky Soviet-era buildings surrounded by traditional herders' felt tents known as gers, into a metropolis of shopping malls and fancy hotels. The protesters have said the country's mineral riches have benefited business interests and the wealthy, while many Mongolians still live in poverty. Early on Tuesday morning, Oyun-Erdene only got 44 votes of support in the 126-seat legislature — the State Great Khural — well short of the 64 needed, according to the head of the counting commission, M. Narantuya-nara. Oyun-Erdene accepted defeat, saying it had been an honor to serve the nation through the coronavirus pandemic, Russia's war on Ukraine and the ongoing strife over U.S. tariffs. But he also warned of the threat of a 'spider's web' of special interests that he said are working to hold the Mongolian people back. Oyun-Erdene, who ran a coalition government, will remain prime minister until his replacement is elected in parliament, most likely from the ranks of opposition lawmakers. Those who pick his successor will likely also have to find a platform that will satisfy the demands of the largely young and well-educated class that has led the protests. That could include moving ahead with a national sovereignty fund introduced recently to better help spread the wealth. In stepping down, Oyun-Erdene defended his integrity but said he had made the mistake of 'paying insufficient attention to social and internal political matters.' He also warned of political instability ahead, saying it 'could lead the public to lose faith in parliamentary rule and potentially put our democratic parliamentary system at risk of collapse.' Erin Murphy, deputy director and senior fellow of India and emerging Asian economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said it's not easy to 'build that foundation for democracy' at a time when Mongolia also must tackle economic problems. Julian Dierkes, a Mongolia expert at the University of Mannheim in Germany, said he doesn't expect any major policy changes, whoever becomes the next prime minister. 'They will be selected on the basis of personal networks and patronage,' Dierkes said. Many people on the street seemed worried for the future and some defended the outgoing prime minister on Tuesday. Oyun-Erdene should not be responsible for his son's failings, said Gansukh Batbayar, a military retiree in Ulaanbaatar who lauded what he described as Oyun-Erdene's efforts to 'confiscate illegally earned assets and money of corrupt officials' and distribute it more fairly. 'We barely survive in these chaotic times and our pensions are very small,' said an older woman on a public bus in Ulaanbaataar, who declined to give her name to speak about the political developments. She counts on her children 'to have food to eat and a roof over my head,' she said. ___ Associated Press writers Didi Tang in Washington and Ken Moritsugu in Beijing contributed to this report.


Washington Post
03-06-2025
- Business
- Washington Post
Resource-rich Mongolia faces political uncertainty after the prime minister resigns
TAIPEI, Taiwan — Resource-rich Mongolia is facing political uncertainty following the resignation early on Tuesday of its prime minister in the wake of protests over endemic corruption in the landlocked Asian country, squeezed between China and Russia. Before he lost the confidence vote in the parliament, Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai warned that his removal could undermine Mongolia's fledgling democracy. The vote followed weeks of protests sparked by reports of lavish spending by his son and calls for him to step down.