Latest news with #PaulGoldschmidt
Washington Post
4 days ago
- Sport
- Washington Post
The Yankees have been the unluckiest team in MLB this season
The 2025 baseball season has already delivered its share of unexpected twists, both in standout individual performances and surprising team results. Among those experiencing some unexpected outcomes are the New York Yankees, fresh off a World Series appearance but battling a stretch of bad luck that has obscured their true talent. No team has been more snakebit this season than the Bronx Bombers. Despite being picked as a playoff contender, the Yankees have seen bounces go the wrong way and breaks fall for their rivals, making their current record more a reflection of variance than vulnerability. On the surface, New York is having a decent season. The team is 10 games above .500 (53-43) and entered the all-star break two games ahead in the wild-card race. However, if you look at the Yankees' run differential, they should have better results in the win-loss column. They have outscored opponents 501 to 390 — a run differential found among teams that have 59 wins at this point in the season, not 53. Only the Texas Rangers and Atlanta Braves have seen as big a discrepancy between actual and expected wins this season, per data from FanGraphs. New York has also won an MLB-leading eight fewer games than expected based on the sequencing of its team events, also known as BaseRuns. Why is this happening? The Yankees are underperforming not because they're a bad team, but because of a mix of bad timing and execution. Major sluggers such as Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Paul Goldschmidt have stalled in key moments, batting a combined .159 with runners in scoring position in June. The Yankees are also five games under .500 in one-run contests. The Red Sox are in a similar predicament. Boston has won 53 games, but its run differential (plus-61) suggests a 55-win team, and the sequence of its events projects even higher to 58 wins. Instead of vying for the division lead, the Red Sox are a game ahead of the Mariners for the second wild-card spot. The Toronto Blue Jays, meanwhile, are the luckiest team in the majors at the break. They established the longest winning streak in franchise history this season (10 games), and their 55th win is also the most before the all-star break in franchise history, surpassing the 1985 and 1992 seasons. But Toronto, 55-41, has scored 440 runs and allowed 423, similar to teams with a 50-46 record at this point of the season. Accounting for when they got their hits, strikeouts, etc., that performance is equivalent to a team with a 49-47 record. The Baltimore Orioles have had their fair share of luck, too (43 wins compared to 38 and 37), but they would still be in the basement of the American League East no matter which method of performance estimation we used. Why should we care? At the all-star break, Pythagorean and BaseRuns wins are essential tools for cutting through the noise of the MLB standings. While a team's record reflects what has happened, these metrics reveal what should have happened based on underlying performance. Together, they consistently spot frauds and sleepers before the standings catch up. That matters immensely in the second half of the season, when regression to the mean can swing playoff races, reshape trade deadline decisions and create betting value. If a team is outperforming its expected record, odds are the wins won't keep coming unless something fundamental changes. Conversely, a team with a losing record but strong BaseRuns might be primed for a surge. For example, in 2021, the Atlanta Braves had an actual record of 44-45 at the all-star break, but their underlying metrics suggested a 49-win club, a significant difference. Atlanta went 44-28 in the second half and won the World Series. A year later, the Minnesota Twins were 50-44 at the all-star break, but we should have expected 45 wins. Minnesota went 28-40 in the second half and missed the playoffs. This year, the AL East should look completely different, and it probably will by season's end. The Yankees should be the division leader, by three games, while the Blue Jays would fall to fourth place. The oddsmakers in Vegas agree. They have New York as low as -130 to win the division (bet $130 to win $100), while Toronto's best price is +190 (wager $100 to win $190) — showing the smart money is seeing beyond teams' records and putting more emphasis on the underlying performance those are built on.
USA Today
13-07-2025
- Sport
- USA Today
Paul Goldschmidt Player Props: July 13, Yankees vs. Cubs
Paul Goldschmidt is looking to get back on track following a hitless showing in his last game (0 for 4). His New York Yankees square off versus Shota Imanaga and the Chicago Cubs on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET on MLB Network, YES and MARQ. Find odds, stats, and more below to make your Paul Goldschmidt player prop bets. Goldschmidt is hitting .291 with 22 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 28 walks. Watch tonight's Yankees game on Fubo! Paul Goldschmidt Prop Bets and Odds How to Watch New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs Paul Goldschmidt vs. Shota Imanaga Paul Goldschmidt prop bet insights MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 1:26 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Paul Goldschmidt stats against the Cubs Cubs starter: Shota Imanaga
Yahoo
12-07-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Aaron Judge's 350th career home run
Clarke Schmidt, Paul Goldschmidt and Aaron Boone on listless Yankees loss to Athletics It was a day to forget for the Yankees, both on the mound and at the plate in a 7-0 loss to the A's. Starter Clarke Schmidt admitted to being "frustrated" with giving up a pair of home run balls while Paul Goldschmidt and manager Aaron Boone tipped their cap to A's starter and former Yankee JP Sears who allowed just two hits over 5.2 innings, as New York's offense continues to struggle. 9:48 Now Playing Paused Ad Playing
USA Today
11-07-2025
- Sport
- USA Today
Paul Goldschmidt Player Props: July 11, Yankees vs. Cubs
Paul Goldschmidt and the New York Yankees take on Chris Flexen and the Chicago Cubs on Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET on YES and MARQ. Goldschmidt is coming off a game in which he reached base in his only plate appearance, going 0 for 0. Find odds, stats, and more below to make your Paul Goldschmidt player prop bets. Goldschmidt is batting .290 with 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 28 walks. Watch tonight's Yankees game on Fubo! Paul Goldschmidt Prop Bets and Odds How to Watch New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs Paul Goldschmidt vs. Chris Flexen Paul Goldschmidt prop bet insights MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 6:26 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Paul Goldschmidt stats against the Cubs Cubs starter: Chris Flexen
Yahoo
09-07-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Which Yankees Will Join Aaron Judge at the 2025 MLB All-Star Game
Which Yankees Will Join Aaron Judge at the 2025 MLB All-Star Game originally appeared on Athlon Sports. The Captain is in. That was never in doubt, especially seeing as how Aaron Judge garnered the most All-Star votes out of any player in the American League. Advertisement The question now becomes, which of Judge's Yankees teammates will join him on July 15th at MLB's annual All-Star Game at Truist Park in Atlanta? AL Manager Aaron Boone is also the Yankees' Manager, so while the rules state that there must be at least one player from every AL team on his 32-man roster, he'll still have some influence on the outcome. The New York Yankees celebrate a victory in May 2025Brad Penner-Imagn Images Of course, the player ballot and the Commissioner's Office will have first crack at it, so they could put other Bombers on the team without the need for Boone to do anything. That being said, with the Yankees in a tailspin and many players on the team underperforming, do any of them even deserve to make the cut? Well, according to the fans, Paul Goldschmidt and Ben Rice should pack their bags for Atlanta, as they each finished second in the voting for their respective positions. Advertisement Are there any others who should be considered? Max Fried is in the thick of the AL Cy Young race and is either tied for The League lead or leads The League outright in the following categories: Wins (10), W-L% (.833%) and GS (18). Luke Weaver hasn't been as automatic as he was last year, but Boone could still choose to bring him. Jazz Chisholm Jr. didn't start the year on an All-Star pace but he's been on a tear ever since returning from injury and if he keeps that up, he could make it as a reserve. Cody Bellinger is a former two-time All-Star and could garner some support amongst his fellow players. Even though Judge is the only elected starter, he's still likely to be joined by at least one or two of his New York teammates at the Midsummer Classic – they are Yankees after all. Advertisement Related: Aaron Judge Needs a Running Mate, Hopefully it is Jazz Chisholm Related: Surprise All-Star Trade Target Could Reshape Yankees' Infield This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jul 3, 2025, where it first appeared.
