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Most Accurate Pollster Finds New Lead 2028 Democratic Candidate
Most Accurate Pollster Finds New Lead 2028 Democratic Candidate

Newsweek

time2 days ago

  • Politics
  • Newsweek

Most Accurate Pollster Finds New Lead 2028 Democratic Candidate

Based on factual reporting, incorporates the expertise of the journalist and may offer interpretations and conclusions. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. American pollster AtlasIntel found in its most recent survey that former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg is leading the pack for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsweek reached out to Buttigieg's talent agency via email outside normal business hours and to former vice president Kamala Harris via online form. Why It Matters The veteran pollster and election analyst Nate Silver touted AtlasIntel as "top-rated" and the most accurate pollster of the 2024 presidential election. This month's survey from AtlasIntel comes as the Democratic Party has drawn criticism for lacking a clear message following Harris's loss to President Donald Trump in November. The party's lack of direction has led to a number of high-profile clashes between its more progressive members and establishment leaders heading into the 2026 midterm elections. What To Know The AtlasIntel poll surveyed a total of 3,469 U.S. adults and was conducted from May 21 to May 27 and had a margin or error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Among those who identified as Democrats, 31.5 percent ranked Buttigieg as their top choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, one of the most progressive members of the party, came in second place with 19.4 percent and Harris ranked third with 16.6 percent of the vote. Other top candidates included Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey (10.4 percent), California Governor Gavin Newsom (7.1 percent), Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (4.8 percent) and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (3.7 percent). Among Republican voters, 37.3 percent said they would want Vice President JD Vance to be the party's 2028 presidential nominee, followed by State Secretary Marco Rubio at 18.7 percent. Donald Trump Jr. secured 8.8 percent of the vote and Florida Governor snagged 7 percent. But 15.6 percent of Republican voters said they would choose "none of the above," according to the poll. U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris is joined by Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg as she delivers opening remarks during a plenary meeting with Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders in the Loy... U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris is joined by Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg as she delivers opening remarks during a plenary meeting with Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders in the Loy Henderson Room at the State Department on May 13, 2022 in Washington, DC. MoreWhen respondents were asked which party they would most likely vote for if the midterm elections were held today, 50.9 percent said they would pick a Democratic candidate and 41.7 percent said they would choose a Republican. Around 7.1 percent of respondents said they didn't know how they would vote, and 0.4 percent said they would not vote at all. What People Are Saying During a Substack Live Interview published on May 13, Pete Buttigieg said of a potential presidential bid: "There are times I follow that process and decided to run, and there are times I followed that process and decided not to run — and the process can lead you to surprising places," adding that "any kind of decision process there is a long way off." Harris, speaking about her plans earlier this year while visiting sites impacted by the Los Angeles wildfires, said: "My plans are to be in touch with my community, to be in touch with the leaders and figure out what I can do to support them...I am here and would be here regardless of the office I hold, because it is the right thing to do, which is to show up in your community and thank the folks who are on the ground." What Happens Next Candidates are likely to wait until after the 2026 midterm elections to declare their intention to run, but speculation about the field of candidates will remain—and most likely ramp up—in the months ahead.

Buttigieg reveals how he'd advise Democrats on key issues if he could time travel back to 2020
Buttigieg reveals how he'd advise Democrats on key issues if he could time travel back to 2020

New York Post

time4 days ago

  • Politics
  • New York Post

Buttigieg reveals how he'd advise Democrats on key issues if he could time travel back to 2020

Former U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg offered multiple ways he would change the Democratic Party platform if he could time travel back to 2020. In the wake of the party's decisive defeat in 2024, several prominent Democrats have spoken about how they need to change on America's most pressing issues. Advertisement Many Democrats have argued that the party needs to moderate not only its tone, but its policies. Buttigieg, who has spoken out before on how the party needs to stop alienating voters, is no exception. Tim Miller, a political strategist for The Bulwark, released a new episode of the outlet's podcast on Tuesday where he interviewed Buttigieg. Miller referenced the time-traveling DeLorean from 'Back to the Future,' and asked Buttigieg what advice he would give his past self and then-nominee Joe Biden to prevent the state of the U.S. today. 'What do you think y'all should have done differently?' Miller asked. Advertisement 'One, for the love of God, figure out a way to get the schools open sooner,' Buttigieg said. 'We got very knee-jerk about this and the costs were — not just politically — but in a profound way I think, for a generation, the costs were profound, and I think anybody who's involved, who was, by the way obviously doing their best to deal with a crisis that killed a million Americans, but I think most people involved would like to be able to have found a way to safely get more schools open more quickly.' Pete Buttigieg hosts a VotVets town hall in Cedar Rapids focused on challenges veterans face under the Trump Administration. Holden Smith/ZUMA / The former transportation secretary followed up with another key issue that has grown prominent in recent years. 'Obviously, pay more attention to the border,' he said, noting another piece of advice for 2020 Democrats. 'That's real, and that's going to be something that you can't just, like, take your time to deal with. These are all things, by the way, that's super, you know, policy-wise and politically, we have the benefit of hindsight to reflect upon this.' Advertisement Democratic U.S. presidential nominee Joe Biden speaks during a campaign stop at Jose Marti Gym in Miami, Florida, U.S., October 5, 2020. REUTERS The third piece of advice he offered, particularly to himself, was about the nature of how the economy is perceived. 'Three, even though you spent your entire political lifetime believing that 'the economy and jobs are the same thing, and if you have lots of jobs, it's a good economy, and if you have a problem with jobs, it's a bad economy.' Remember that prices is just as big a part of the economy, it just hasn't come up much in the last 40 years,' he said. Buttigieg argued that no country was able to save its economy from the pandemic without taking on some inflation, 'but I do think there were a lot of moments where people kind of waved it away in the first year or two, even just like the conversation about it.'

Buttigieg reveals how he'd advise Democrats on key issues if he could time travel back to 2020
Buttigieg reveals how he'd advise Democrats on key issues if he could time travel back to 2020

Fox News

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • Fox News

Buttigieg reveals how he'd advise Democrats on key issues if he could time travel back to 2020

Former U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg offered multiple ways he would change the Democratic Party platform if he could time travel back to 2020. In the wake of the party's decisive defeat in 2024, several prominent Democrats have spoken about how they need to change on America's most pressing issues. Many Democrats have argued that the party needs to moderate not only its tone, but its policies. Buttigieg, who has spoken out before on how the party needs to stop alienating voters, is no exception. Tim Miller, a political strategist for The Bulwark, released a new episode of the outlet's podcast on Tuesday where he interviewed Buttigieg. Miller referenced the time-traveling DeLorean from "Back to the Future," and asked Buttigieg what advice he would give his past self and then-nominee Joe Biden to prevent the state of the U.S. today. "What do you think y'all should have done differently?" Miller asked. "One, for the love of God, figure out a way to get the schools open sooner," Buttigieg said. "We got very knee-jerk about this and the costs were — not just politically — but in a profound way I think, for a generation, the costs were profound, and I think anybody who's involved, who was, by the way obviously doing their best to deal with a crisis that killed a million Americans, but I think most people involved would like to be able to have found a way to safely get more schools open more quickly." The former transportation secretary followed up with another key issue that has grown prominent in recent years. "Obviously, pay more attention to the border," he said, noting another piece of advice for 2020 Democrats. "That's real, and that's going to be something that you can't just, like, take your time to deal with. These are all things, by the way, that's super, you know, policy-wise and politically, we have the benefit of hindsight to reflect upon this." The third piece of advice he offered, particularly to himself, was about the nature of how the economy is perceived. "Three, even though you spent your entire political lifetime believing that 'the economy and jobs are the same thing, and if you have lots of jobs, it's a good economy, and if you have a problem with jobs, it's a bad economy.' Remember that prices is just as big a part of the economy, it just hasn't come up much in the last 40 years," he said. Buttigieg argued that no country was able to save its economy from the pandemic without taking on some inflation, "but I do think there were a lot of moments where people kind of waved it away in the first year or two, even just like the conversation about it."

Rahm Emanuel calls Democrat's party brand 'weak,' appearing to weigh White House run
Rahm Emanuel calls Democrat's party brand 'weak,' appearing to weigh White House run

Fox News

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • Fox News

Rahm Emanuel calls Democrat's party brand 'weak,' appearing to weigh White House run

Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel appears to be teasing a 2028 presidential run, urging reforms to a Democratic Party he described as "weak and woke" in an interview with the Wall Street Journal. Emanuel blasted the current Democratic platform as "toxic," arguing party leaders need to get back to basics rather than getting dragged into unpopular cultural debates. Emanuel is one of many names in Democratic circles who has been floated as a potential 2028 candidate, alongside Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and former Transportation Sec. Pete Buttigieg. "If you want the country to give you the keys to the car, somebody's got to be articulating an agenda that's fighting for America, not just fighting Trump," Emanuel said. "The American dream has become unaffordable. It's inaccessible. And that has to be unacceptable to us." Emanuel recently returned to the U.S. after serving as U.S. ambassador to Japan under President Joe Biden's administration. In addition to serving as Chicago mayor, Emanuel also worked as President Barack Obama's White House chief of staff and served in Congress representing Illinois. The longtime Democratic insider also argued that U.S. education needs to be more focused on meeting high standards than proliferating social doctrine. "I'm empathetic and sympathetic to a child trying to figure out their pronoun, but it doesn't trump the fact that the rest of the class doesn't know what a pronoun is," he said. So far, no Democrats have openly declared their intentions to run for president in 2028, though several have toyed with the idea. Walz told reporters that he would do "whatever it takes" to run if he is "asked to serve." Similarly, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear has said he "would consider" a White House bid. Buttigieg has also played coy about his all but certain intentions to run, telling Fox News after a town hall appearance in Iowa that, "Right now I'm not running for anything." Other likely 2028 Democratic candidates include California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker.

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