10-07-2025
July 12 Australia form analysis of last five Bunbury races
RACE 4
(6) OUR PALADIN AL was enormous over the last 200m last start. He is still doing everything wrong: He does not jump, he intermittently travels in running, he lays inwards across heels in the home straight - but, once he finally balances and puts his mind on the task, he has a booming finish. This is a huge step-up in grade from a Grad to the Aquanita, but he is exciting and we will take the leap of faith with him.
(1) ELITE MISSILE has finished second and third behind Opportunistic. That is the A-Grade form.
(4) REDBACK FLYER was gassed in the Belmont Guineas but came again late.
(2) ARCADIA PARK will likely lead and is a threat if left alone up front.
RACE 5
(8) LORD SHIVA is quick, but so is (7) DESERT WHISPER. Interesting to see what Lord Shiva's jockey Holly Watson's plans are in the early stages when the filly burns across to her outside; does she hold up and absorb the pressure or does she hand up and track her every move? Both are going super but advantage goes to Lord Shiva with the gate.
(6) WANT A WINNER is now three-from-three undefeated and while he made hard work of his first-up win, he still managed to get the job done and that is the sign of a good horse. Back to a high-speed 1,000m will be a good test for him.
(1) BRAVE VENTURE is a quality animal on his day. Do not discount at big odds.
RACE 6 (Best Bet)
(1) FANCY RED should be taking care of her rivals in this. Every year Adam Durrant seems to find a winter filly who just continues to raise the bar and goes from a maiden into the Belmont Oaks, and this is yet another example. Beat the older horses last week, backs up off seven days, draws to get all the favours and will have regular partner, Perth ace William Pike up. Little trier who keeps improving and just needs to stay the trip.
(2) SHOWLAS held her own impressively behind Opportunistic, Storyville and Elite Missile. They are good names.
(3) KIMBERLEY ROSE will get back but does look like she will be able to sustain a run from the back.
(7) IMPRESSIVE JEWEL may well roll to the top. How far she will go is a question mark.
RACE 7
(10) SUNNY HONEY has been in form all preparation and deserves to win one. Was brave in defeat last start after doing plenty of work in the run, and now from the gate, should be able to park and ride behind a genuine tempo and present down the middle of the track. Right place, right time.
(9) SENTIMENTAL BELLE went to a whole new level at Belmont last winter on the rain-affected tracks. No doubt they have been timing their return with her.
(4) SUPERSESSION is back to his best. The only query will be barrier No. 1 by this time of day.
(12) NO BRAINER is four from five and resumes without a trial.
RACE 8
(15) SUPERNATURAL looks really well placed by Adam Durrant into this 66+ 1,400m. Beat the older horses fresh at 1,100m, got the line well in an on-speed dominated 1,000m behind Desert Whisper second-up, and then third-up at 1,200m, was working through late into fifth beaten under half-a-length. Another 200m, Pike and a pattern which likely suits by the end of the day - out wide and storming home. Sold.
(12) REGAL STATUE has been building towards a win and forget the wide gate, it could be a blessing in disguise.
(4) GREAT FORTUNE makes his own luck and will get them chasing.
(5) DECORATION is going better than numerical form suggests.
Comments courtesy of Racing WA
