Latest news with #RachelBattaglia
Global News
11-08-2025
- Business
- Global News
Rents are cooling in most Canadian cities, RBC report finds
Renters in Canada are catching a bit of a break as rents continue to fall across most major cities, a new report by the Royal Bank of Canada shows. Rents declined for the first three months of the year in more than half of Canada's 40 major cities compared with the same period a year ago, analysis from RBC economist Rachel Battaglia found. Vancouver leads with the steepest decline in rent for two-bedroom units, with a drop of $270 a month. This was followed by Kelowna, B.C., which saw a $230 drop, Calgary with a $170 drop, Toronto with a $160 drop and Halifax with a decline of $150. The cooling of the market, however, predates U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war. The report said that 'affordability constraints, decelerating population growth, and increased rental supply have collectively helped rebalance rental market dynamics in recent quarters.' Story continues below advertisement 2:15 Business Matters: Affordability challenges plague renters despite falling prices The report found that rental markets in Ontario and B.C. have been disproportionately impacted by the federal government's cuts to immigration levels. Get breaking National news For news impacting Canada and around the world, sign up for breaking news alerts delivered directly to you when they happen. Sign up for breaking National newsletter Sign Up By providing your email address, you have read and agree to Global News' Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy 'That's helped ease housing demand while rental supply continues to build, fostering softer rental market conditions compared to other regions,' the report said. Markets with a high concentration of students have seen sharp drops in rents. Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo and Guelph in Ontario, for example, have seen monthly rents fall by $130 and $50, respectively, which has coincided with the broader decline in international students due to federal restrictions. While the market was cooling before the Trump tariffs hit Canada, the report said trade war pressure is intensifying the trend. 'We're now seeing clearer signs of labour market weakness in trade-exposed industries, which may be contributing to the sustained downward pressure on rents,' the report said. Story continues below advertisement Ontario's manufacturing hubs saw rents fall, with Hamilton seeing a $40 drop, Peterborough seeing rents decline by $30 and Oshawa by $20. In Windsor, which shares a border with Detroit, rents have flatlined. However, despite the recent drops, rents remain elevated in many major cities compared with pre-pandemic levels. The report expects rents across Canada to continue to moderate. 'Several factors point to lower rents going forward. Persistent labour market weakness will likely suppress wage gains, while stricter immigration targets continue to slow population growth and limit new household formations,' it said.
Yahoo
17-07-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Posthaste: Canada's industrial heartland is bleeding jobs
Canada's unemployment rate will continue to climb as Donald Trump's tariff war batters sectors and regions reliant on trade, says RBC. Uncertainty about tariffs has curbed hiring across the economy, but actual job losses have been mainly concentrated in trade-related sectors and the provinces that house them, said Royal Bank of Canada economist Rachel Battaglia in a report out yesterday. Manufacturing, resource industries, transportation and warehousing have suffered the biggest employment declines. Trade uncertainty is driving much of this, but volatile commodity prices and a slowdown in home construction are also contributing, she said. Ontario, a centre for Canada's manufacturing workforce, has accounted for 60 per cent of the climb in the unemployment rate over the past 12 months, said RBC. The weakness has been especially focused in southwestern Ontario, where most of the manufacturing takes place. Four of the five highest unemployment rates in the country are in this region, with Windsor leading the way at 11.2 per cent. The auto city is followed by Peterborough at 10 per cent, Oshawa at 9.3 and Toronto at 8.7. Canadian manufacturing has shed nearly 45,000 jobs since January — the largest employment decline of any sector — and these regions make up almost a quarter of that workforce, said Battaglia. A report by the Financial Accountability Office of Ontario this spring predicted that U.S. tariffs would result in 68,100 fewer jobs in the province this year and 119,200 fewer in 2026. The trade war is expected to raise Ontario's unemployment rate by over a percentage point to average 7.7 per cent over the next four years. Windsor is expected to take the biggest hit, followed by Guelph, Brantford, Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo and London as these cities have more export-focused manufacturing than other centres in the province, the report said. Quebec, home to 30 per cent of Canada's manufacturing workforce, and British Columbia have also added to the rise in the unemployment rate, but Atlantic Canada has shown 'remarkable resilience,' said Battaglia. A region traditionally known for higher unemployment, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick's jobless rates fell below the national average in the second quarter. Other evidence of the trade war's impact shows up in the demographics of labour market weakness. Workers aged 45 and older accounted for almost 40 per cent of the unemployment rate gains over the past year, said RBC. The Canadian-born workforce are also facing more challenges than newcomers, and are driving about 60 per cent of the unemployment rate increase. These trends mark a shift from recent years, when new entrants to the job market were having the hardest time finding employment, and Battaglia said this too is likely related to the trade war. 'Goods-producing sectors employ a disproportionately high share of late career-aged workers, making them particularly vulnerable to current economic headwinds,' she said. to get Posthaste delivered straight to your still have their elbows up, according to an Angus Reid Institute poll on how trade negotiations with the United States should be handled. Three in five Canadians said the country should take a 'hard approach' in trade talks, while just 37 per cent prefer the 'soft' approach, as today's chart shows. More Canadians than not were willing to dump the digital services tax, saying the duty, that was axed after talks stalled, was a non-starter for a deal. But they have stronger feelings about supply management, with half of Canadians saying Mark Carney's team should stand firm on this one, even if it means retaliation. Thirty-five per cent would put it on the table as a last resort and just 15 per cent would offer to end quotas and price controls. Today's Data: Canada international securities transactions, United States retail sales, NAHB housing market index Earnings: Netflix Inc., PepsiCo Inc., General Electric Co., Choice Properties Real Estate, U.S. Bancorp, Abbott Laboratories, Marsh & McLennan Cos Inc. Canadians are finally getting choice in their banking, but will it last? Car prices were supposed to spike because of tariffs but didn't. It could still happen Carney says Canada to curb steel imports to protect industry At 66, Douglas is getting mixed messages from advisers. His financial adviser wants him to leave the money he has in his registered accounts to grow while his accountant says it is time to start drawing down those funds to minimize tax. Family Finance has some suggestions that would allow Douglas to withdraw an extra $4,500 a year and save on taxes, but he has to wait two years. Find out more Send us your summer job search stories Recently, we published a feature on the death of the summer job as student unemployment reaches crisis levels. We want to hear directly from Canadians aged 15-24 about their summer job search. Send us your story, in 50-100 words, and we'll publish the best submissions in an upcoming edition of the Financial Post. You can submit your story by email to fp_economy@ under the subject heading 'Summer job stories.' Please include your name, your age, the city and province where you reside, and a phone number to reach you. Are you worried about having enough for retirement? Do you need to adjust your portfolio? Are you starting out or making a change and wondering how to build wealth? Are you trying to make ends meet? Drop us a line at wealth@ with your contact info and the gist of your problem and we'll find some experts to help you out while writing a Family Finance story about it (we'll keep your name out of it, of course). McLister on mortgages Want to learn more about mortgages? Mortgage strategist Robert McLister's Financial Post column can help navigate the complex sector, from the latest trends to financing opportunities you won't want to miss. Plus check his mortgage rate page for Canada's lowest national mortgage rates, updated daily. Financial Post on YouTube Visit the Financial Post's YouTube channel for interviews with Canada's leading experts in business, economics, housing, the energy sector and more. Today's Posthaste was written by Pamela Heaven with additional reporting from Financial Post staff, The Canadian Press and Bloomberg. Have a story idea, pitch, embargoed report, or a suggestion for this newsletter? Email us at posthaste@ Copper theft is getting so bad Bell Canada is sounding the alarm Why more economists think the Bank of Canada is done cutting interest rates Sign in to access your portfolio
