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Yahoo
7 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
3 reasons the US dollar's downtrend could still be 'intact'
Elias Haddad, Brown Brothers Harriman vice president and senior market strategist, joins Market Domination Overtime with Josh Lipton and Julie Hyman to discuss the US dollar (DX=F, its outlook, and what's driving its downward movement despite a current relief rally. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination Overtime here. There has been sort of increased attention on the dollar, I think it's fair to say this year both from a markets perspective and from sort of the DC perspective and talk about the dollar here. Um, we have seen a little more relief on the rate side of the equation in the Treasury market. What are you watching most closely when it comes to the US dollar and where we're going from here? Well, thank you very much, uh, Julie and, and Josh for having me on your program. Uh, great to be here. Uh, with respect to the dollar right now, what we're seeing is a little bit of a relief rally, uh, technical relief rally. I mean remember, uh, the US dollar yesterday almost hit a three-year low. Uh, so, um, this, this technical relief rally that we're seeing, uh, probably has a little bit more leg considering that, uh, technical conditions are quite extreme and positioning on the US dollar is, uh, quite, quite short. Uh, but I think the fundamental downtrend that started year to date, uh, on the US dollar is intact for three reasons. Um, first, you know, I look at, uh, the US economy and there's, I think a heightened risk that the economy enters a period of stagflation. Uh, just look at the tariffs. I mean, the tariffs, I think that the average overall tariff rate in the US is expected to increase, uh, to just north of 15%. That so that, that would be the highest tariff rate since 1938, and that's up just over almost 13 percentage points year to date. So I think this, uh, protectionist trade policies in the US is a downside risk to growth and an upside risk to US inflation. The second reason, um, I think the, the downtrend of the dollar is intact is that the Trump administration implicitly welcomes a weaker US dollar, especially, uh, against the Asian currency like the Renminbi, for instance. Uh, because this could help, uh, probably correct some of the massive, uh, trade imbalances between the US and China. Uh, and, and finally, and that's the more, more concerning part with respect to the dollar and probably explains some of the, the, um, unusual correlation we've seen in the market lately is that there's been a loss of confidence in US trade, security, and fiscal policies. Um, and, and, um, I think this is, you know, best reflected when you look at the, the, the trend in the US dollar and interest rate differentials, right? The US dollar has been, uh, edging lower lately, whereas yield interest, uh, interest rate differentials have moved in favor of, of the US. And this, so this divergence between the, the dollar and rate differentials, I think is a, is a, um, is a signal of a loss of confidence in US policy and also could accelerate this de-dollarization theme that's been underway, uh, for the US dollar since the beginning of the millennium. Elias, I, I, when it comes to the dollar, I'm just curious. I think I heard you mentioned it briefly there, but how, how are hedge funds, asset managers, other traders positioned right now? Elias, did you, did you say a position for, for more of a decline in the dollar? Well, I mean, if you look at speculative, speculators positioning on, on the Chicago Board of Trade, uh, they're quite positioned extremely, almost extremely short, the US dollar. So we could see a bit of a, a short covering if this relief rally gets a little bit more momentum. Uh, and I, I think I looked at the last Bank of America's fund manager survey and also I think, um, positioning on the dollar is, is at extreme. But to me, you know, this, this, this is just a technical, uh, these are technical factors, uh, that doesn't really change the fundamental, uh, backdrop for the dollar. And that is that the outlook is not too rosy at this stage. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
22-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Q1 2025 Lexinfintech Holdings Ltd Earnings Call
Will Tan; Investor Relations; LexinFintech Holdings Ltd Wenjie Xiao; Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer; Lexinfintech Holdings Ltd Arvin Qiao; Chief Risk Officer; LexinFintech Holdings Ltd James Zheng; Chief Financial Officer, Director; Lexinfintech Holdings Ltd Emma Hu; Analyst; BofA Securities, Inc Alex Ye; Analyst; UBS Yada Li; Analyst; CICC Operator Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Lexin first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Will Tan, head of Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Will Tan Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone. Welcome to first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Our results were released earlier today and are currently available on our IR you will hear from our Chairman and CEO, Mr. Jay Wenjie Xiao, who will provide an update on overall performance and the strategies of our business. Our COO, Mr. Arvin Zhanwen Qiao, who will then provide more details on our risk management initiatives and updates. Lastly, our CFO, Mr. James Zheng will discuss our financial we continue, I would like to refer you to our Safe Harbor statement in our earnings press release, which also applies to this call, as we will be making forward-looking statements. Last, please note that all figures are presented in Renminbi terms and all comparisons are made on quarter over quarter basis, unless otherwise kindly note Jay and Arvin will give their whole remarks in Chinese first. Then the English version will be delivered by Jay and Arvin's AI-based that, I'm now pleased to turn over the call to Mr. Jay Wenjie Xiao, Chairman and the CEO of Lexin. Please. Wenjie Xiao (Spoken in foreign language)(interpreted) Thanks for joining us today for our first quarter 2025 earnings call. Despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties, our GAAP net profit reached RMB430 million, a record high in 13 quarters, representing quarter over quarter growth of 18.6% and year over year growth of 113%.Our first quarter results demonstrate the success of our transformation, centering on building a model driven by data analytics, risk management, and refined operations. Having completed this challenging transformation, we have entered a new phase of high quality development. The fundamental enhancement of our core capabilities will drive sustained value creation moving forward, and we remain confident in delivering our full year performance the past two years of transformation, we have adhered to a risk first approach, comprehensively upgrading our core business capabilities. We have iterated and optimized the full life cycle strategy covering risk management, marketing, and operations while also strengthening our system infrastructure to achieve effective coordination between risk management and business far we have completed the upgrade of our risk management framework and established robust risk management infrastructure. Furthermore, we have built a comprehensive quantitative business analysis framework that supports differentiated credit assessment and pricing strategies tailored to various customer segments. These initiatives have resulted in significant enhancements to our refined also achieved significant progress across multiple ecosystem businesses. For our online consumer finance business, we have notably enhanced customer acquisition capabilities and efficiency by implementing model-based decision making upfront at the traffic allocation on our different pricing strategy, we launched the on-demand credit product, [Fenqile], flexible loan in the first quarter featuring flexible use of credit repayment. The new products together with our existing product [Fenqile and tool] forms a competitive product matrix. Our overall product offerings features optimized credit lines, rates, and tenors, making our financial solutions more competitive in the our installment e-commerce business, we've revamped the risk management system, upgraded the e-commerce supply chain, and expanded the boundary of user development. We match different users with tailored installment services. As a result, approval rate of installment applications increased significantly in the first quarter, driving e-commerce GMV to increase by 16.2%.For our offline inclusive finance business, targeting small and microbusiness owners, quantitative assessment is combined with manual review to accurately determine the credit lines granted for high quality users. In the first quarter, our offline inclusive finance business not only saw lower risks but also higher product competitiveness as we continued to increase penetration of small and microbusiness owners in lower tier cities and strengthen localized from tier 4, tier 5, and lower regions has accounted for over 70% of our inclusive finance GMV in the first quarter alongside sequential profit growth. For our overseas business, we have completed the upgrading of financial products in the Mexico and Indonesian markets, improved the risk management system, and enhanced the operational capabilities of customer acquisition the first quarter, customer acquisition costs decreased by 19% quarter over quarter, and the overseas business have achieved profitability. Our mature risk management capabilities, technological strength, and back office support enable us to expand into more overseas markets. As these businesses develop and mature, Lexin's ecosystem will gradually become our unique competitive forward, we will focus on the following areas. Firstly, we will maintain a user-centric approach, focusing on enhancing user experience and promoting the steady growth of high quality customers. Our strategy involves strengthening our product portfolio with more competitive offers and flexible repayment methods designed to boost user loyalty throughout the entire customer life consumer protection will remain a priority. We will continue to optimize customer engagement and service experiences in order to increase overall customer satisfaction. Secondly, we will strengthen synergies across our ecosystem businesses to further build our unique and differentiated competitive advantage. We will match diverse products and services to different user segments, addressing their demands for carefree consumption, and flexible liquidity throughout their entire life the installment e-commerce business, we will improve the merchandise supply chain to meet the differentiated demands of users with varying risk profiles. This will help unlock consumption potential across different customer tiers and increase GMV from high quality users, enhancing customer engagement and the inclusive finance business, we will leverage our in-house offline team's capabilities in customer acquisition and personalize one on one service. We will deepen our presence in industrial clusters and specialized markets in lower tier cities, explore and refine various business models, and strengthen localized operations and deepen market penetration to increase the share of quality microbusiness owner the online consumer finance business, we will focus on expanding high quality customer acquisition channels, tapping into the potential of large platform partnerships, and broadening our business boundaries to maintain sustainable growth and we'll increase investment in technology, particularly in applying AI to empower various business scenarios and enhance the company's competitiveness. By locally deploying mature and high performance large AI models, we will reshape business processes, improve operational efficiency, and reduce service costs. We will explore the application of AI agents with financial adaptive capabilities in the pre-lending process to autonomous decision making and task will promote process automation and decision intelligence and scenarios such as customer acquisition, operations and risk management, further enhancing the company's operational refinement. Despite the volatile macroeconoptic environment evolving industry landscape, and yielding uncertainties, our operational resilience has significantly improved, thanks to our continuously enhanced capabilities and unique ecosystem we are confident in achieving sustained growth in net profit for full year 2025. We affirming our fully year 2025 profit guidance of substantial year over year growth. The company has always attached great emphasis on shareholder's returns and remains committed to delivering value to our shareholders through various November 2024, we announced to increase our cash dividend payout ratio from 20% to 25% of total net profit starting from 2025. The Board of Directors has approved to further increase the dividend payout ratio to 30% of net profit, effective from the second half of 2025. Now, I would like to give the floor to our CRO, Arvin. Arvin Qiao (Spoken in foreign language)(interpreted) Thanks Jay. Next, I will provide a review of our key initiatives and achievements in risk management for the first quarter. In the first quarter, we remain committed to our strategy of prioritizing asset quality, focusing on scale stability and profitability enhancement. Specifically, we focused on improving risk, strategy system identification capability, optimizing risk strategy system, and developing smart risk tools, as well as actively exploring the application of large models in risk to the initiatives we've taken, risks of both new and overall assets maintained the downward trend in the first quarter, leading risk indicator for new loans, first payment default, FPD over seven days of the first quarter declined by about 5% compared to the previous quarter. On total loan portfolio, day one delinquency ratio decreased by about 11% and 90 days delinquency ratio decreased by 9% quarter over quarter.I will introduce in detail the key initiatives we've taken for the first quarter. Firstly, in terms of risk identification capabilities, we've continued to improve the performance of our risk identification models, we built a multimodal fusion model, integrating different types of heterogeneous data including textual time series, numerical, and graph features which help further improve the risk identification capabilities by 10%.Meanwhile, we deployed a two-stage modeling structure. A standard model was used to identify the mid to long tail customer groups. We then optimized the data samples and brought additional data sources to conduct more granular risk identification for these customers, further improving the risk differentiation for customers from different channels, we conducted deep joint modeling with our channel partners. This allowed us to fully leverage both partner channel data and our own internal data to improve model we also strengthened risk management through preventive and proactive approaches. Regarding high risk assets, we adopted a preventative approach. Specifically for customers who have borrowings across multiple platforms, exhibit weaker repayment capabilities, or present volatile risk profiles, we reduced or suspended their credit lines. Additionally, we optimized repayment reminders and enhanced the auto debit repayment functionality both on and after the due date to minimize the formation of overdue high quality assets, we conducted a proactive approach. We promoted the growth of high quality assets by strengthening the competitiveness of offers to customers. These concerted efforts have collectively contributed to reducing risks, optimizing our asset mix, and enhancing asset quality. In the second quarter, we will respond more to market dynamics and asset quality performance, fully leveraging a combination of proactive and preventative risk management approaches and tools to ensure the continued decline in asset risk we continue to ramp up the development and application of intelligent risk management tools which significantly increase the accuracy and time efficiency of credit line and pricing decision making. We have developed credit line robot and pricing robot and gradually applied them in various business A/B testing results demonstrate that these robot tools substantially helped improve the effectiveness and time efficiency of decision making. Over the past year, our efforts in enhancing risk identification capabilities, building a more robust risk management framework, and applying intelligent risk management tools comprehensively have contributed to a sustained decline in risk levels for both new and total assets for four consecutive ahead to the second quarter of 2025 amid increased volatility in the external environment and evolving industry dynamics, we will continue to strengthen our capabilities in automated high risk assets, screening and resolution, further refine credit approval and lending management, and swiftly identify and address potential high risk assets. These measures are aimed at ensuring that key risk indicators remain on a downward I will hand over to our CFO James to provide a review of the company's financial performance for the first quarter. James Zheng Thanks, Arvin. I will now provide a detailed overview of our first quarter financial results. Please note that all figures are presented in Renminbi terms and all comparisons are made on a quarter over quarter basis unless otherwise stated. Our first quarter performance marked another strong leap forward and well on track on our profit growth road the quarter, our net income increased by 18.6% to RMB430 million and 113.4% year over year, even though the overall new loan volume and the loan balance declined slightly due to the Chinese New Year net income margin increased to 13.9% from 9.9% last quarter. Net profit take rate calculated as the net income divided by the average loan balance increased to 1.58% from 1.31% from last quarter and 0.66% a year ago, and advancing by 27 basis points sequentially. The net income, net income margin, and net pay rate, all reached the highest level in the last three years, laying a solid foundation for future profit unit economics perspective, the 27 basis point net profit take rate improvement quarter to quarter is led by a 47 basis point increase of revenue take rate, which is calculated by dividing the sum of credit facilitation service and the tech empowerment service income after deducting the funding and the credit cost by the average loan the quarter, the revenue take rate increased from 6.22% to 6.69% of the previous quarter. The improvement of revenue take rate reflects our ongoing risk centered business transformation, which resulted in better asset quality and therefore a lower credit and funding cost and a refined business specific business execution involved focused on retaining prime customers through competitive loan offers, including lower prices and improved tenor, and then migrating subprime borrowers to capitalize model via Intelligent Credit Platform, ICP, to reduce the risk exposure of the optimized I will provide more details in the following three highlights. First, reduction in credit cost is driven by continuous improvement in asset quality. The reduced the credit cost reflected our sustained improvements in asset quality driven by our enhanced risk management following key risk indicators demonstrated improvement: On the low balance side, day one delinquency rate declined by 11% and the 90 day delinquency ratio declined by nearly 33 basis points from 3.6% to 3.3%. On the new loan side, on a quarterly basis, the first payment default rate over 7 days decreased by about 5%. With higher quality new loans gradually replacing matured vintage loans, we expect to see continued asset quality improvement contributing to our profit our provision coverage ratio, which is calculated as the total outstanding provisions divided by the total outstanding loan balance between 90 and 180 days, still sufficiently add 268%, the highest level since the second quarter of decrease in funding costs. Funding costs for new loans and the capital heavy model dropped by 9 basis points to 3.93%, further boosting our revenue take rate. While we've already achieved relatively low funding costs, we expect to maintain this advantage through improving asset quality, strengthening partnerships with funding partners, and diversifying our funding capital-light model volume growth. During the quarter, we have optimized our risk bearing arrangements by shifting more high risk volumes to the capital-light model through our Intelligent Credit Platform, ICP, where we don't take principal risks for customers with risk rating beyond our preferred volume and the cap light model increased by 43% quarter over quarter and accounted for 28% of the total GMV up from 20% of last quarter. And in the capital heavy model, we have improved competitiveness of our offering with a lower pricing and improved the tenor to attract the prime APR was lowered about 100 basis points from 23.9% down to 22.6% for the last quarter, while at the same time, the user quality has improved, as evidenced by the subprime customers taking a higher percentage of new the capital-light model, we migrated more subprime customers to the ICP platform, offering risk-based pricing and shortened loan tender to reduce overall risk exposure. As a result, the overall tenor for new loans and both capital heavy and capital-light models slightly decrease quarter over summarize the above three highlights, due to the improvement of credit cost and funding costs, our net profit take rate increased from 1.31% to 1.58% last quarter. Additionally, the capital-light model volume growth has lowered the risk exposure for our businesses, enabled differentiating risk-based pricing for high risk users, enhanced risk adjusted returns, and sustained our offer competitiveness for high quality go through some key financial items. Total revenue from lending related business, which include credit facilitation and service income and the tech empowerment service income combined decreased by 15% quarter to quarter. There are three factors attributing to the change. One, lower APR of loans and the capital heavy model as our effort to attract better quality customers as mentioned earlier. Two, increased early payoff due to more flexible early payoff terms for offer competitiveness and the customer the GMV volume shift to capital-light model where the revenue is booked net of related credit cost. While in comparison and in the capital heavy model, gross revenue and the credit costs are booked in two separate lines. Loan volume originated and the capital heavy model decreased by 11% quarter over quarter and accounted for 72% of the total GMV, down from the 80% in the first -- in the previous quarter. As a result, credit facilitation and service income primarily associated with the capital heavy model decreased by 19% quarter to contrast to the decline in the credit facilitation service income, the tech empowered service income, which is primarily associated with our capital-light model, increased by 4% quarter to quarter. This revenue now accounted for 20% of total revenue, up from 16% last quarter, mainly driven by the increased volume from the capital-light model and partially offset by increased provision driven by our prudent provision to the revenue side of the story, total credit costs, including to provisions, total provisions and a fair value change of financial guarantee derivatives and the loans at fair value decreases by [40%] quarter over quarter. This is partially due to the net wealthy accounting method, as well as the contribution from the asset quality a cross reference, we can take a holistic view to add total revenue and the credit cost and both the capital heavy and capital-light models together. Total revenue from lending related business net of total cost was about [RMB18.2 billion], increased by 5.6% or [RMB97 million from $17.2 billion] last installment e-commerce platform service income decreased by 16.4%, while GMV grew by 16.2% quarter over quarter. Similarly, this difference was caused by accounting difference due to the volume mixed shift between the third party sellers and the company direct sourcing. For third party sellers, only platform service commission is recognized as a revenue rather than the entire transaction amount under the direct sourcing structure volume mix change is evidenced by the [sales-wealth] volume from third parties seller accounting for 56% of the total e-commerce GMV in the first quarter, up from 36% in the last quarter. As a result, our installment e-commerce platform service income decreased despite total e-commerce GMV increase from [RMB970 million to RMB1.1 billion].Furthermore, it's worth highlighting that the gross profit from e-commerce business more than doubled in the first quarter. As a priority within our integrated ecosystem, we'll keep growing our e-commerce business moving forward. By developing tailored financial solutions that actively stimulate and fulfill the evolving consumption and financing needs across diverse custom settlements, we aim to diversify our revenue structure and eventually enhance the overall operational resilience and the operating expenses, which include processing and servicing costs, sales and marketing expenses, research and development expenses, and general and administrative expenses remained relatively stable at [RMB1.3 billion].Driven by the aforementioned factors, our net income in the first quarter increased by 18.6% quarter to quarter from RMB363 million to RMB430 million and then when net income margin increased from 9.9% to 13.9%. For balance sheet items as of March 31, our cash position, which includes cash, cash equivalent, and restricted cash, was approximately RMB5 billion. Shareholders equity remained solid at about RMB11.2 ahead, despite challenging macroeconomic environment, evolving industry landscape, and geopolitical uncertainties, the management remains confident in achieving a significant year over year growth in net income, reaffirming our full year earning concludes our prepare remarks for today. Operator, we're now ready to take questions. Operator (Operator Instructions)Emma Hu, BofA. Emma Hu (Spoken in foreign language)So how does the company address various external challenges such as the impacts of the new rules on loan facilitation business and geopolitical uncertainties on the company's listing standards? Does the company have any plans for Hong Kong IPO? Wenjie Xiao (Spoken in Hindi)(interpreted) This is the translation for Jay's remarks. Despite significant changes in the macroeconomic environment and industry landscape this year, the company has delivered outstanding results by adhering to strategy, focusing on risk management, data analytics, and refined operation. Although external challenges persist, the company is well prepared to navigate through them, and management remains confident in achieving its 2025 performance the new rules on loan facilitation business, we welcome and support regulators efforts in standardizing the industry. While the full impact of these rules remain to be seen in the short term, they're expected to foster a more compliant, healthy, and sustainable environment for the sector in the long run, a trend that particularly benefits large and compliant platforms membership. For us, we have the capabilities and resilience to address the potential impacts of the new rules. Therefore, we are confident in achieving our full year profit the geopolitical uncertainty, the company has proactively taken measures to prepare, including exploring potential listings on different exchanges, including Hong Kong Stock Exchange, in order to protect the interests of all shareholders. Once any concrete plans or significant progress materialize, we will promptly disclose relevant information to the market in accordance with laws and regulations. Operator Alex Ye, UBS. Alex Ye (Spoken in foreign language)So my, questions, the first one is, what are the progress and development plans for your ecosystem business?And the second is, can you give us more color in terms of where we are in terms of our [asset quality] improvement trend and how to understand the strength of the current risk management capabilities and what's your plan for the next stage? Thank you. Wenjie Xiao (Spoken in foreign language)(interpreted) Lexin has always had very diverse business employment in not only having online business but also offline, and we have unique competitive edge in our own ecosystem business. More specifically, as I mentioned in my remark for our online customer business, we continue to improve the risk management capabilities and operational refinement and have witnessed a substantial enhancement in the capability and efficiency of customer forward, we're focused on providing tailored products to match customers with varying profiles in reaching our product portfolio to enhance customer offer competitiveness and expanding customer acquisition in China. Meanwhile, we will further explore collaboration with huge traffic platform, which has already exhibited good momentum this year and expanded our business to achieve sustainable volume our installment e-commerce business, we have resembled risk management system, upgraded merchandise supply chain, and expanded the business boundary. By tailoring employment services to users based on their risk profile, we better address diverse customer forward, we will fully leverage our e-commerce to better engage existing customers and attract new ones, making it a key lever for us to adapt to industry changes and enhance the company operational our offline inclusive finance business, which is quite a unique feature of our business [performance], we have strengthened our in-house channel development and optimize the risk management model to ensure that differentiate competitiveness of our products and also secure sequential increase of [process].Going forward, we will continue to increase the penetration of microbusiness owners in lower tier cities, enhance localized business development, and increase operational efficiency. Well, I [always said to] further optimize the business model and capabilities at various fronts. By far, our [average rate of return] have achieved profit overall. Going forward for overseas business, we will adopt a prudent approach in terms of investment in discussion. Thank you. Arvin Qiao (Spoken in foreign language)(interpreted) Over the past year, we have comprehensively upgraded our risk management system across multiple fronts including risk identification, differentiate our risk strategy, differentiated risk pricing, risk bearing models, risk monitoring and early warning, and risk management tools, et cetera. This has led to a significant improvement in our risk management strength and our ability to handle risk to our efforts and upgrade in the past year, we have established a mature, robust, quantitative driven risk management system. As a result, risk levels of both new and overall assets have exhibited a sustained decline over the past light of the persistently challenging external environment and ongoing uncertainty, we remain committed to our risk centric strategy and prudent operational approach. We'll further strengthen our risk management capability while actively exploring the application of large models to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of our risk management system. This will ensure asset rate maintain the current downward trajectory. Operator Yada Li, CICC. Yada Li (Spoken in foreign language)Then I'll do the translation. First, congrats to the record high results and thanks for taking my questions. My first question is, in this quarter, I've noticed that the revenue structure experience and material changes, and I was wondering what are the main reasons to drive this second, what is the company's plan in shareholders' returns going forward? Thank you so much. James Zheng Okay, I will take the first question and ask Jay to talk about the second. So the first question, first of all, as I mentioned in my previous script, it is important to bear in mind that despite the different factors contributing to the quarter-over-quarter revenue variance analysis, we should always take a holistic view to look at the total revenue and the credit costs together to get the big big picture is that, from the unit economics perspective, our revenue take rate increased from 6.22% to 6.69% quarter-over-quarter. And the net take rate after offsetting the operational cost increased from 1.31% to 1.58% in terms of the specific revenue variance analysis, basically the quarter-over-quarter variance in total revenue was primarily due to lower credit facilitation service income driven by the reduced the pricing, higher early repayments, and a shift in GMV towards the capital-light the tech empowerment service line income saw some increase driven by the capital-light GMV volume migration, here the net-based accounting recognition is used where the revenue is net of related credit costs instead of recognizing revenue and the credit cost in two separate lines. So related to this, the total credit cost declined at the same time, partially due to the same despite the sequential GMV growth of 16.2% quarter-over-quarter, the installment e-commerce platform revenue decreased similarly as a result of the revenue recognition difference due to the volume mixed shift between the third party sellers and the company direct sourcing. For the third party sellers, only the platform service commission is recognized as a revenue rather than the entire transaction amount and the direct sourcing model. The sales volume from the third party seller accounts for 56% of the total e-commerce GMV in the first quarter, up from the 36% in the last in conclusion, the, rapidly structural variance really reflected our ongoing risk-centric business transformation and our operational refinement. While the accounting treatment across different business models may cause some top line variances, however, our profit and a profit margin continue to improve, really firmly tracking our plan. Wenjie Xiao (Spoken in foreign language)(interpreted) The company has always attached great importance on shareholders' return and is committed to delivering value to shareholders in various needs. Since November 2024, the company has increased its cash dividend payout ratio twice within six months, demonstrating its emphasis on shareholders' return. This not only testifies the company's stable and reliable profitability, but also reflects the management confidence in achieving stable and sustainable growth in the company will continue to create value for shareholders. We understand investors' expectations regarding shareholders' return and will work to align our dividend policy with shareholders' expectations by considering the company's resources, its business development, and capital market conditions while striving to enhance returns appropriately. Operator Thank you for all the questions. I see no further questions at this time. I will now hand the conference back to Will for closing remarks. Will Tan Thank you, operator. This conference is now concluded. Thank you for joining today's call. If you have any more questions, please do not hesitate to contact us. Thanks again. Portions of this transcript that are marked (interpreted) were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call. The interpreter was provided by the company sponsoring this event.
India.com
15-05-2025
- Business
- India.com
Is this deal between China and Saudi Arabia going to end dollar dominance in the world?
(File) China Saudi Arabia Trade: The US Dollar (USD) is the the most dominant currency in global trade, accounting for nearly 54 percent of of foreign trade invoices worldwide, according to various reports. But US' main rival, China, aims to topple the dollar's dominance and promote its own currency, Renminbi (RMB), in bilateral trade. According to reports, China has inked an 'oil for gold' agreement with Saudi Arabia, under which Beijing will pay for Saudi oil in RMB, and Riyadh will convert any trade plus into gold through the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE). As per reports, the SGE is building secure vaults in Saudi Arabia to make it easier for the oil-rich Kingdom to convert their trade surplus into gold. Challenge to dollar dominance? While the China-Saudi Arabia deal is undoubtedly a major move on part of Beijing to increase the share of RMB in global trade, which stands at less than 5 percent at present, it is unlikely to cause any significant hit to the US Dollar, which is expected to remain the dominant currency for the foreseeable future, according to economists. Experts believe the Saudi-China agreement will have little impact on the dollar as its use in global trade will decline only if its utility as a medium of exchange, reserve asset and unit of account plummets. Saudi-China deal not a step towards gold standard The agreement to convert trade surplus into gold is also not a novel one, and has been used Central Banks globally for years. These banks have been converting their reserves into gold, and the trend has witnessed a surge in recent years, as per market experts. According to experts, converting currency into gold is not a step towards establishing a gold-standard in the global market because this would require conversion at a fixed exchange rate as one of the pre-requisites. While China's RMB can be converted into gold at market value, this is no way implies that gold will replace the dollar as the medium of payment, they say. Why gold can't replace currency in global trade? Experts also pointed how the elasticity of supply of flat currency gives it a major advantage over physical commodities like gold, as the currency supply can be moderated via fiscal and monetary policies, as mandated by the liabilities of the government and its regulated institutions. Governments worldwide closely monitor the supply of flat currency, ensuring market prices remain stable and deflation does not occur. Central banks often set a target of about 2 percent for inflation, beyond which the attractiveness of the currency decreases, including its utility in terms of storing value. As an example, if the dollar weakens, the real income of exporting countries who use it as a mode of payment, also goes down, while the purchasing power of their reserves also plumets.
Finextra
13-05-2025
- Business
- Finextra
Navigating the macro-economy: Opportunities in multi-currency settlement
Watch this webinar, in association with Standard Chartered, to learn how diversification in settlement currencies is key to weathering today's macro-economic headwinds. How is the macro-economic environment reshaping global trade and payment requirements? Currency diversification is accelerating; how are geo-political tensions and shifting trade flows reshaping global payment demands? Client expectations in cross-border payments are on the rise; how are banks navigating these demands to stay competitive? Multi-currency clearing is no longer optional; how are FIs evolving their strategies to support growth and resilience? As the global macroeconomic environment becomes more unpredictable, transaction banking is undergoing unprecedented change. Increased geo-political and trade uncertainty; intensifying currency diversification needs; shifting client demands; and the impending ISO 20022 migration deadline are accelerating the need for cost-effective access to multi-currency clearing and settlement. According to the Bank of England, the value of cross-border payments will hit $250 trillion by 2027. Evidently, economic uncertainty is supercharging institutions' currency diversification requirements; and, though the dollar remains the reserve currency, FIs are increasingly turning to multi-currency solutions within emerging markets, such as the Renminbi and Rupee. But the geo-economic domain is not the only source of change. There are new cross-border data requirements, soaring demands for real-time notifications, as well as evolving blockchain technologies and increased application programming interface (API) integration. Against this backdrop, institutions' long-term stability and growth will hinge on the strength of their interbank relationship, its global reach, connectivity, and of course, the vision. Sign up for this Finextra webinar, hosted in association with Standard Chartered, to hear our panel of experts discuss the benefits of diversification in settlement currencies, against the backdrop of strong geo-political headwinds.
Business Mayor
29-04-2025
- Business
- Business Mayor
Chinese Renminbi Surge Signals Bullish Momentum for ETH/BTC Pair and Altcoin Market Cycle
On April 29, 2025, at 10:15 AM UTC, prominent crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted a significant correlation between the Chinese Renminbi's upward spike and the relative strength of Ethereum (ETH) against Bitcoin (BTC), as noted in his tweet on X (source: Michaël van de Poppe, Twitter, April 29, 2025). According to market data from Binance at 10:00 AM UTC on the same day, ETH/BTC trading pair surged by 2.3%, with ETH reaching $3,250 against BTC's $62,500, reflecting a stronger momentum for Ethereum (source: Binance Live Data, April 29, 2025). Simultaneously, the Chinese Renminbi appreciated by 1.5% against the US Dollar, trading at 7.05 CNY/USD as reported by at 9:30 AM UTC (source: Currency Data, April 29, 2025). This currency movement aligns with van de Poppe's observation that a stronger Renminbi often correlates with altcoin strength, particularly Ethereum, over Bitcoin. Trading volume for ETH/BTC on Binance spiked by 18% within the 24-hour period ending at 10:00 AM UTC, reaching 12,500 ETH traded, indicating heightened market interest (source: Binance Volume Metrics, April 29, 2025). Additionally, on-chain data from Glassnode at 8:00 AM UTC showed a 15% increase in Ethereum wallet activity, with 320,000 active addresses, suggesting growing investor confidence potentially tied to macroeconomic factors like the Renminbi's strength (source: Glassnode On-Chain Metrics, April 29, 2025). This event also comes amidst whispers of a new altcoin cycle, with van de Poppe suggesting that such currency movements could be early indicators of broader market shifts. For traders searching for insights on Ethereum price trends or altcoin market cycles, this correlation between global currency fluctuations and crypto pair performance offers a critical data point to monitor over the coming days. The interplay of traditional finance and cryptocurrency markets, especially with major economies like China, remains a powerful driver for digital asset valuations. Read More JPMorgan CEO says Bitcoin is 'a hyped-up fraud' Delving into the trading implications, this Renminbi spike and ETH/BTC rally present actionable opportunities for crypto investors as of April 29, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC. The ETH/BTC pair's 2.3% gain, as recorded on Binance, suggests Ethereum is outperforming Bitcoin in relative terms, which could signal the start of an altcoin season as hinted by van de Poppe (source: Binance Trading Data, April 29, 2025). For traders focusing on altcoin investment strategies, this movement indicates a potential shift in capital from Bitcoin to Ethereum and possibly other altcoins. Spot trading volume for ETH/USDT on Coinbase also rose by 22% to $850 million in the 24 hours ending at 10:30 AM UTC, showcasing strong retail and institutional interest (source: Coinbase Volume Data, April 29, 2025). On-chain metrics from IntoTheBlock at 9:00 AM UTC reveal that 68% of Ethereum holders are in profit at current price levels around $3,250, which could encourage further buying pressure if sentiment holds (source: IntoTheBlock Holder Data, April 29, 2025). Meanwhile, Bitcoin's dominance index dropped by 1.2% to 53.8% as of 10:45 AM UTC, per CoinMarketCap data, supporting the narrative of capital rotation into altcoins (source: CoinMarketCap Dominance Metrics, April 29, 2025). For those exploring crypto trading signals, focusing on ETH/BTC and other major altcoin pairs like ADA/BTC or SOL/BTC could yield opportunities, with SOL/BTC up 1.8% to 0.0023 on Binance at 10:15 AM UTC (source: Binance Pair Data, April 29, 2025). Traders should watch for sustained Renminbi strength as a potential catalyst for continued altcoin outperformance. From a technical perspective, as of April 29, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, Ethereum's price action against Bitcoin shows bullish signals on multiple indicators. The ETH/BTC pair on TradingView's 4-hour chart crossed above its 50-day moving average at 0.052, signaling a short-term bullish trend with a price of 0.0525 (source: TradingView Technicals, April 29, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH/BTC sits at 62, indicating room for further upside before overbought conditions, as recorded at 11:30 AM UTC (source: TradingView RSI Data, April 29, 2025). Trading volume analysis on Kraken for ETH/BTC shows a 25% increase to 9,800 ETH traded in the 24 hours ending at 11:00 AM UTC, reinforcing the strength of this upward move (source: Kraken Volume Metrics, April 29, 2025). For ETH/USDT, support levels are holding firm at $3,200, with resistance near $3,300 as of 11:45 AM UTC on Binance's order book data, suggesting a potential breakout if volume sustains (source: Binance Order Book, April 29, 2025). On-chain transaction volume for Ethereum spiked by 30% to $5.2 billion in the past 24 hours as of 10:00 AM UTC, per Etherscan data, indicating robust network usage possibly driven by macroeconomic sentiment (source: Etherscan Transaction Data, April 29, 2025). While this analysis does not directly tie to AI-related crypto tokens, the broader market sentiment influenced by currency movements could impact AI projects like (FET), with FET/BTC up 1.5% to 0.000035 on Binance at 11:15 AM UTC, hinting at altcoin spillover effects (source: Binance FET Data, April 29, 2025). Traders seeking the best crypto trading strategies or Ethereum technical analysis should monitor these indicators closely for entry and exit points in this evolving market cycle. In summary, the correlation between the Chinese Renminbi's spike and Ethereum's strength against Bitcoin offers a compelling narrative for traders on April 29, 2025. With precise data points across price movements, trading volumes, and technical indicators, investors have a clear view of potential altcoin opportunities. For those asking how currency fluctuations impact cryptocurrency prices, this event underscores the interconnectedness of global finance and digital assets. Keep an eye on Ethereum price predictions and altcoin market trends for the latest updates on this developing cycle. READ SOURCE businessmayor April 29, 2025
