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Fox News
22-05-2025
- Business
- Fox News
Trump's 2nd-term approval ratings dip despite border security gains
Four months into his second tour of duty in the White House, President Donald Trump's approval ratings remain slightly underwater. The president stands at 46% approval and 54% disapproval in a new national survey by Marquette Law School. And Trump is at 42% approval and 52% disapproval in a Reuters/Ipsos poll. Most, but not all, of the latest national surveys place the president's approval rating in negative territory, with a handful indicating Trump is above water. Trump has aggressively asserted executive authority in his second term, overturning longstanding government policy and aiming to make major cuts to the federal workforce through an avalanche of sweeping and controversial executive orders and actions, with some aimed at addressing grievances he has held since his first term. Trump started his second administration with poll numbers in positive territory, but his poll numbers started to slide soon after his late-January inauguration. But two issues where the president remains at or above water in some surveys are border security and immigration, which were front and center in Trump's successful 2024 campaign to win back the White House. Trump stands at 56% approval on border security and 50% approval on immigration in the Marquette Law School poll, which was conducted May 5-15. But Trump's muscular moves on border security and immigration, which have sparked controversy and legal pushback, don't appear to be helping his overall approval ratings. "Immigration is declining now as a salient issue," said Daron Shaw, who serves as a member of the Fox News Decision Team and is the Republican partner on the Fox News poll. Shaw, a politics professor and chair at the University of Texas, said "immigration and especially border security are beginning to lose steam as one of the top-three issues facing the country. Republicans still rate them fairly highly, but Democrats and independents, who had kind of joined the chorus in 2024, have moved on and in particular moved back to the economy as a focal point." Pointing to Trump, Shaw added that "when you have success on an issue, it tends to move to the back burner." Contributing to the slide over the past couple of months in Trump's overall approval ratings was his performance on the economy and, in particular, inflation, which were pressing issues that kept former President Joe Biden's approval ratings well below water for most of his presidency. Trump's blockbuster tariff announcement in early April sparked a trade war with some of the nation's top trading partners and triggered a massive sell-off in the financial markets and increased concerns about a recession. But the markets have rebounded, thanks in part to a truce between the U.S. and China in their tariff standoff as Trump tapped the brakes on his controversial tariff implementation. Trump stood at 37% approval on tariffs and 34% on inflation/cost of living in the Marquette Law School poll. And he stood at 39% on the economy and 33% on cost of living in the Reuters/Ipsos poll, which was conducted May 16-18. Doug Heye, a longtime GOP strategist and former RNC and Bush administration official, pointed to last year's election, saying, "The main reason Trump won was to lower prices. Prices haven't lowered, and polls are reflecting that." "With the exception of gas prices, there hasn't been much of a reduction in prices," Shaw said. "Prices haven't come down, and it's not clear that people will say the absence of inflation is an economic victory. They still feel that an appreciable portion of their money is going to pay for basic things," he added. "What Trump is realizing is that prices have to come down for him to be able to declare success."
Forbes
21-05-2025
- Business
- Forbes
Trump Approval Polls: Latest Survey Shows Return To Lowest Level
President Donald Trump's approval rating has steadied in some polls this week, but slightly declined in others after a tariff-induced slump that has somewhat steadied since he rolled back most of the levies. President Donald Trump speaks to the press before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White ... More House on Friday April 25, 2025. May 19-10 net approval rating: Trump's approval rating dipped to 42% in the latest Ipsos/Reuters survey of 1,024 U.S. adults taken May 16-18 (margin of error 3), a two-point decline from the groups' May 12-13 poll, while his disapproval rating held at 52%. The 42% approval rating matches Trump's lowest approval rating recorded by Reuters/Ipsos during his second term. May 19-8: Trump's approval rating, 43%, was unchanged in the Economist/YouGov poll of 1,710 U.S. adults conducted May 16-19 (margin of error 3.2) compared to the groups' previous poll earlier this month, while his disapproval rating (51%) ticked down one point. May 19-2: Trump's approval rating has improved two points, from 46% to 48%, and his disapproval rating has decreased two points, from 52% to 50%, in Morning Consult's most recent poll, compared to its previous weekly survey (the most recent poll of 2,208 registered voters taken May 16-19 has a 2-point margin of error). May 19-1: Trump's approval rating stands at 47% and his disapproval rating at 48% in a new Harvard CAPS/Harris poll that also found widespread approval of his trip to the Middle East last week, with 59% of voters supporting his efforts to have strong relations with Saudi Arabia and 59% approving of his removal of sanctions against the Syrian government (the May 14-15 survey of 1,903 registered voters has a 2.2-point margin of error). The poll found a three-point decrease in Trump's net approval rating compared to the groups' April survey. May 13-9: Trump's disapproval rating remained steady at 52%, while his approval rating ticked up one point, to 43%, in the Economist/YouGov's weekly survey of 1,786 adult citizens taken May 9-12 (margin of error 3), compared to their poll last week. May 12-6: Trump's standing with voters in Morning Consult's weekly poll was unchanged from last week, with 46% approving and 52% disapproving in the May 9-11 survey of 2,221 registered voters (margin of error 2). May 9-16: Trump's approval rating ticked up two points, to 41%, while his disapproval rating decreased by two points, to 57%, in an Associated Press/NORC survey of 1,175 adults taken May 1-5 compared to the groups' previous survey last month that found Trump with a net -20 disapproval rating (the latest poll has a margin of error of 4). May 6-6: Slightly more than half, 52%, disapprove of Trump, a rating unchanged from last week's Morning Consult poll, while 46% approve, a one-point increase, according to the survey of 2,263 registered voters conducted May 2-4 (margin of error 2), as voters' sentiment about his handling of the economy improved from a net -6 to net -2. May 6-10: An Economist/YouGov survey taken May 2-5 among 1,850 U.S. adults also found Trump has a 52% disapproval rating, and a 42% approval rating, marking the second week in a row Trump's approval rating did not fall after several weeks of decline (the poll has a margin of error of 3.5). April 29-11: A PBS/NPR/Marist survey of 1,439 U.S. adults, taken April 21-23 found 53% disapprove of Trump's job performance and 42% approve, compared to a 49%/45% split in the groups' March survey (the latest poll has a margin of error of 3.3). The survey found 61% believe Trump is rushing changes without considering the impact of his actions, though 39% believe he's taking the appropriate actions to get the country back on track. April 28-10: The majority, 55%, of the 2,356 U.S. adults who responded to an April 23-25 CBS/YouGov poll disapprove of Trump's job performance, while 45% said they approve. The majority, 69%, also said Trump is not putting enough emphasis on lowering prices, and 62% said he's putting too much emphasis on imposing new tariffs. April 27-18: Trump's 59% disapproval/41% approval rating is the lowest for any newly elected president at this point in their term, dating back to Dwight Eisenhower in the 1950s, according to a CNN/SSRS poll of 1,678 U.S. adults conducted April 17-24 (margin of error 2.9). April 27-10: A poll from NBC News, which surveyed 19,682 adults from April 11-20, found 55% of Americans disapproved of Trump's handling of his job, while 45% approved (margin of error of 2.2 points). Furthermore, 60% of respondents said America is on the wrong track, and more respondents disapproved than approved of Trump's handling of immigration and border security (51% disapproved), his handling of inflation and the cost of living (60% disapproved) and his handling of tariffs and trade (61% disapproved). April 25-16: Trump's net approval rating declined from -8 in February in the most recent survey of 2,464 U.S. adults conducted April 18-22 by Ipsos for The Washington Post and ABC News (margin of error 2). April 25-12: Trump had a 42% approval rating and 54% disapproval rating in a New York Times/Siena poll that also found the majority of voters reject his handling of immigration, management of the federal government, the economy, trade, foreign conflicts, the Russia-Ukraine war and the deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia (the poll of 913 voters conducted April 21-24 has a 3.8-point margin of error). More than half also said the words 'scary' and 'chaotic' describe the Trump presidency well, including significant shares of Republicans: 47% for chaotic and 36% for scary, though 82% of Republicans also said the word 'exciting' describes Trump's tenure well. April 23-19: Pew found 59% of 3,589 respondents to an April 7-13 survey (margin of error 1.8) disapprove of Trump's job performance, compared to 40% who approve, a seven-point decline in his approval rating since February. The majority of respondents said they aren't confident in Trump to handle each of the 10 issues Pew asked about, while the 45% who said they're confident in Trump to handle the economy represent his worst marks since 2019. April 23-11: A majority, 53%, of respondents to a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken April 16-21 disapprove of Trump's job performance, while 42% approve, a steep decline from his +6 net approval rating in the groups' poll taken during the first week of his second term, but largely unchanged from the groups' previous survey taken March 31-April 2 (the latest poll of 4,306 U.S. adults has a margin of error of 2). Trump's handling of the economy received a net -14 approval rating (37% to 51%), better than Biden's 34% economic approval rating in December, but below Trump's worst economic approval rating (44%) during his first term, Retuers/Ipsos found. April 23-30: A Harvard Kennedy School survey of young adults found 61% disapprove of Trump and 31% approve, while 42% think Trump will hurt their personal finances and 20% believe he'll help, 9% said he'll have no impact and 26% said they don't know (the poll of 2,096 18- to 29-year-olds taken March 14-25 has a margin of error of 3.2). Younger voters typically lean toward Democratic presidential candidates, though Vice President Kamala Harris' numbers with the demographic were below the 60% average support for Democratic presidential candidates since 2008, according to a NPR analysis. While more young men voted for Trump in 2024—56% compared to 41% in 2020, according to an analysis of Associated Press exit polls by the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University—the Harvard poll found 34% of young men approve of Trump's job performance and 59% disapprove. April 23-13: An Economist/YouGov poll of 1,625 U.S. adults taken April 19-22 (margin of error 3) found 54% disapprove of the way Trump is doing his job, compared to 41% who approve, representing a two-point decline in Trump's approval rating since the groups' previous poll released April 16. April 21-6: Trump's approval rating improved (from 45% to 46%) for the first time since February in Morning Consult's latest weekly poll, while 52% disapprove of his job performance, though his handling of the economy received its worst marks—49% disapproval compared to 44% approval—since the start of his trade war in April (the latest poll of 2,207 registered voters conducted April 18-20 has a margin of error of 2). April 17-9: More than half, 53%, of respondents disapprove of Trump's job performance in Gallup's April 1-14 survey of 1,006 adults (margin of error 4), while 44% approve. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who Trump recently said he's considering firing, has a 37% approval rating, beneath the lowest approval ratings for the previous three federal reserve chairs, but above his 36% average approval rating in 2023, Gallup found. April 16-10: An Economist/YouGov poll of 1,512 U.S. adults found 52% disapprove of Trump's job performance, compared to 42% who approve (margin of error 3.4). April 14-7: Trump's approval rating dropped to a new low for his second term in Morning Consult's weekly poll, with 45% approving of his job performance and 52% disapproving (the poll of 2,203 registered voters was taken April 11-13 and has a 2-point margin of error). On trade, Trump has a net -5 approval rating, and 24% of respondents said it's a top priority for Trump, though only 48% think it should be. April 14+2: Representing an outlier in polls taken since Trump's April 2 tariff announcement, Harvard CAPS/Harris found 48% approve of Trump's job performance and 46% disapprove, a seven-point decline in his net approval rating compared to the groups' February poll and a two-point decline since March (the latest survey was taken April 9-10 among 2,286 registered voters and has a 1.9-point margin of error). Voters' perceptions of the economy as a whole are largely unchanged since January, even though a greater share, 45%, say their financial situation is getting worse, compared to 41% in the groups' previous survey in March—while Trump's handling of inflation, and tariffs and trade policy, had the worst approval ratings, both at 41%, of eight issues the poll asked about. April 14-7: A University of Massachusetts poll of 1,000 U.S. adults conducted April 4-9 by YouGov found 51% disapprove of Trump's job performance, while 44% approve (the poll has a 3.7-point margin of error). Trump received his worst approval rating of six issues the poll asked about on inflation (33%), followed by trade (36%), civil rights (36%), jobs (38%), foreign affairs (39%) and immigration (50%). April 13-6: More than half, 53%, of the 2,410 U.S. adults who responded to an April 8-11 CBS/YouGov poll said they disapprove of Trump's job performance, compared to 47% who approve (margin of error 2.4 points), a dip in Trump's rating since the groups' March survey that found equal shares of Americans approve and disapprove. The poll also found 58% oppose and 42% favor Trump's new tariffs on imported goods, but 51% like his goals for the tariffs—to return manufacturing jobs to the U.S. and decrease the import/export margins between the U.S. and its trading partners, he has said—though 63% dislike his approach for achieving those goals. More Americans, 59%, believe Trump is using the new tariffs to negotiate with other countries and will remove them later, compared to 41% who think he'll keep them permanently. April 9-12: Trump's disapproval rating stayed stagnant, at 53%, in the latest Quinnipiac University poll taken April 3-7 among 1,407 self-identified registered voters, though his approval rating decreased one point, to 41%, compared to the group's previous survey taken in March (the shift is within the poll's 2.6-point margin of error). The poll found the majority of voters (72%) think Trump's tariffs on all U.S. trading partners would hurt the economy in the short-term, while 53% said they believe the policy would hurt the economy in the long-term. April 9-8: A new Economist/YouGov survey taken April 5-8, after Trump's sweeping tariff announcement on April 2, found 51% disapprove of his job performance, compared to 43% who approve, a five-point swing since the groups' previous survey taken March 30-April 1 (the latest survey of 1,741 U.S. adults has a margin of error of 3.1 points). April 7-6: Representing the lowest rating of his second term in Morning Consult's weekly poll, 46% of registered voters surveyed said they approve of Trump's job performance, compared to 52% who said they disapprove (the survey of 2,207 registered U.S. voters was conducted April 4-6 and has a margin of error of 2 points). Trump's net approval rating on trade also declined to -3, down from +13 just after taking office in January. April 2-8: A Marquette Law school poll found Trump has a 46% approval rating and a 54% disapproval rating (the survey of 1,021 U.S. adults was taken March 17-27 and has a margin of error of 3.5 points). The majority, 58%, of respondents said they think tariffs hurt the economy, while 28% said they help and 14% said they don't make much difference—as Trump has imposed new tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, steel aluminum and auto imports, and is expected to announce a new round of reciprocal tariffs against U.S. trading partners Wednesday, which the White House is referring to as 'Liberation Day.' The share of registered voters who say they identify with Trump's Make America Great Again movement has increased sharply during Trump's second term, according to NBC polling. A total of 36% of 1,000 registered voters polled March 7-11 said they consider themselves part of the MAGA coalition, compared to a 23% average in NBC's March polling and 27% in the network's 2024 polls (the most recent poll has a 3.1-point margin of error). 44%. That's Trump's average approval rating so far during his second term, higher than his 41% average approval rating throughout the duration of his first term, according to Gallup, but lower than every other post-World War II president. 54%, according to Gallup's May 3-18 average. Trump announced on May 12 he'd slash the 145% tariffs on China down to 30%, for at least 90 days, marking his latest reverse-course from the steep 'Liberation Day' tariffs he announced on April 2 against nearly all U.S. trading partners. The move sent stock markets in the U.S. and abroad into a tailspin, fueled recession fears and prompted some of Trump's allies in the business community to speak out against the policy. A 10% baseline tariff on all countries took effect April 5, and steeper rates for countries the U.S. runs a trade deficit with were imposed for less than a day in mid-April, until Trump announced a 90-day pause for all countries except China. Other big moments in Trump's presidency include the leak of U.S. military attack plans to Atlantic editor-in-chief Jeffrey Goldberg, what was widely considered to be the first major blunder of his second term. Trump's tariff war with U.S. trading partners, and his efforts to slash the federal workforce with the help of the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency, have largely consumed his first few months in office. He's hosted several world leaders for Oval Office sit downs, including most recently Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who was elected, in part, for his tough talk against Trump's suggestions that Canada should become the 51st state. In an explosive Oval Office meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February, he and Vice President JD Vance berated the Ukrainian president in front of the media. Trump's use of the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport migrants has also led to allegations he's flouted due process and defied court orders, sparking a broader debate about the judiciary's authority over the executive branch. Trump Announces Reciprocal Tariff Rates—54% For China, 20% On EU (Forbes) Appeals Court Strikes Down Trump Request To Fire Workers: Here's Where Trump And Musk Are Winning—And Losing—In Court (Forbes) Here's Where Trump's Government Layoffs Are Targeted—As Pentagon Reportedly Plans 60,000 Job Cuts (Forbes)
Yahoo
21-02-2025
- Politics
- Yahoo
"Never meant to be ruled by a dictator or a king": The DOGE backlash hits Trump districts
It's been a month since Donald Trump was inaugurated and it feels like a year. When they said they were going to be hit with "shock and awe" they meant it and when Trump said he was going to be a dictator on day one, he actually told the truth for once. It's been one of the most fearful, distressing political events in most of our lifetimes and it's gotten worse every day. As a result of his many escapes from accountability for his crimes and a Supreme Court that gave him the green light to commit more with impunity, Trump believes that he is invincible, even recently quoting a (possibly apocryphal) line from Napoleon Bonaparte: 'He who saves his Country does not violate any Law.' He's carrying on about "manifest destiny" and dreaming aloud about expanding American territory and starting wars with neighbors. He is convinced that he can bully everyone into submission, whether it's a political opponent, an ally or a foreign adversary. He has even called himself a king. Over the course of this past month, it has appeared that he's not wrong. The Republican Congress has completely abandoned any pretense of integrity and independence. He's sending migrants to Guantánamo and flobbing off others on foreign countries to suffer who-knows-what fate. His followers have physically threatened those few who showed any inkling that they might oppose him and his executioner, Elon Musk, a man charged with the destruction of the federal workforce. In record time he has managed to storm through the government like an Abrams tank, crushing everything in his path and leaving anyone who survives stunned and disoriented. I have to spend my days poring over every news story because that's my job but I understand if people are choosing to limit their exposure to this carnage so that they can keep their sanity. But I confess that I've been worried that too many Americans have been averting their gaze in order to maintain some sense of emotional equilibrium. I worried that perhaps we are failing to fully understand the seriousness of our current moment. The last couple of days have given me reason to hope otherwise. Trump has been telling his followers that he now has a 71 percent approval rating: That's a complete fantasy. While it's true that his approval numbers have been higher in this first month than they were the first time, he still has the lowest numbers of any president at this point in his term, except one — himself. In fact the latest rash of polls this week show that his numbers in the high 40s are rapidly declining. A new Reuters Ipsos poll has him at 44%, down from 47% in January. The Washington Post poll has him at 43% and Quinnipiac University, CNN and Gallup all range from 44 to 47%. In other words, he's pretty much back to where he's always been. But these polls are finding massive discontent over his policies. In the Reuters poll, the wrong track number rose to 53% from 43% percent in just one month and his economic approval number is now at 39%. Only 41% are in favor of Trump's tariffs with 53% opposing the policy. How about the DOGE cuts? You might have assumed from the commentary that Americans don't care about foreign aid so putting USAID in the "woodchipper," as Musk described it, wouldn't be particularly unpopular. Not so. In the Post poll, 59% oppose Musk's scheme while only 38% approve. In the CNN poll, it was 53-28. The Post also reports that the mass firing of federal workers is opposed by 58% to 39% as well. And while 51% in the Post poll say they support mass deportation of undocumented immigrants, it's not that simple. According to the Post: Americans strongly oppose deporting undocumented immigrants who aren't criminals (57-39), who arrived as children (70-26) and who have U.S. citizen children (66-30). Quinnipiac reports that only 38% of voters think the system of checks and balances is working well while 54% do not. And they find that 55% think Elon Musk has too much power while 36% think it's just fine. CNN reports that 62% feel Trump hasn't gone far enough in trying to reduce the cost of living and that includes 47% of Republicans. And from their opinions on the tariffs, it's pretty clear they understand that he's only going to make things worse. These polls numbers indicate that people are paying attention and they understand what's going on. Trump may be fantasizing about a 71% approval rating, and there's no telling him otherwise, but other elected Republicans are apparently starting to panic. After all, they have to face the voters in two years. Politico reported that while they are all being very good boys and girls in public, in private they are freaking out: [M]any are feeling helpless to counter the meat-ax approach that has been embraced so far, with lawmakers especially concerned about the dismissal of military veterans working in federal agencies as well as USDA employees handling the growing bird flu outbreak affecting poultry and dairy farms. They are being inundated with phone calls and the town halls are starting to look like they're about to get a taste of some of their own tea party medicine. Atlanta Journal-Constitution reporter Greg Bluestein reported on a Thursday night meeting with Rep. Rich McCormick, R-Ga., in which an overflow crowd of very angry constituents in this very red district denounced Trump as a tyrant and a king. "It's clear from all of the writings of our founding fathers and mothers," one constituent noted, "that our great republic was never meant to be ruled by a dictator or a king." Some California Republicans were greeted by some very angry protesters in Los Angeles on Thursday as well:We haven't yet seen the mass street protests we saw in 2017 or the aftermath of the 2020 George Floyd murder, but they are springing up organically all over the country. People are showing up at Tesla showrooms to protest Musk and closing down streets to oppose the deportations. Federal workers who are being treated despicably by the DOGE operation are rallying in Washington and elsewhere. High school kids are walking out of classes and boycotts are being organized to oppose corporate America folding to Donald Trump's crusade against DEI. So far, most Republicans are sticking with Trump. The opposition consists of Democrats and a surprisingly large majority of independents and it's growing rapidly. This could matter when it comes to whether the judiciary actually stands up for the Constitution (yes they do pay attention to public opinion) which remains the best hope to slow down Trump and Musk. Meanwhile, the Republican Party still has a job to do, which is to pass a budget. Public opinion has a strong effect on how Congress is going to deal with that and those GOP House members in marginal districts (and possibly even in some presumably safe districts if that town hall in Georgia is any indication) are going to be squeezed from both sides, giving the Democrats some real leverage. It took a while to shake off the despondency and depression many of us felt after Trump was restored and then deputized a weird billionaire to wreck the government. But the opposition is awake and clear-eyed about what they are doing to our country and they aren't going to take it lying down. It won't be a one-sided battle after all.
