Latest news with #RyanTruchelut
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center eyeing tropical wave as season nears, here's where
The official start of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is just two days away and so far, the tropics are quiet. As of Friday, May 30, the National Hurricane Center is tracking one tropical wave moving into the Caribbean, but no tropical cyclone activity is expected for the next seven days. On the other side of Mexico, Tropical Storm Alvin, the first tropical storm in the Northern Hemisphere in the 2025 hurricane season, is sending swells to the coasts of west-central and southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula, but it expected to unravel quickly, the NHC said. 1st tropical storm of season: Tropical Storm Alvin forms in Pacific: See projected path, spaghetti models The 2025 Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic season, which officially begins Sunday, June 1. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its prediction for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, May 22, predicting an above-average season, with 13 to 19 named storms and six to 10 hurricanes. The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic season will be Andrea. Here's the National Hurricane Center's daily outlook as of 6 a.m. on Friday, May 29. ➤ Track all active storms The National Hurricane Center said there are no tropical disturbances in the Atlantic basin and no tropical cyclone activity is expected during the next seven days. Forecasters are tracking one tropical wave: The axis of a tropical wave is near 68W south of 15N, southeast of Puerto Rico, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Limited convection is noted with this wave. The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Donald Trump's order. Forecasters urge all residents to keep an eye on the tropics and to always be prepared. ➤ Creating hurricane supplies kit important, but what if money is tight? Tips, resources to help NOAA is predicting there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance for a below-normal season. ➤ NOAA predicting above-average 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. What can Florida expect? Forecasters predict: Named storms: 13-19 Hurricanes: 6-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 A major hurricane is a Category 3 storm or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. Tallahassee meteorologist Ryan Truchelut, who forecasts under WeatherTiger, is predicting landfall risks as near to slightly above normal this year due to closer-to-average sea temperatures in 2025. Truchelut looks more at impact than the Atlantic basin as a whole. So far, he's predicting 65% odds of an above normal season: Tropical storms: 16-20 Hurricanes: 7-9 Major hurricanes: 3-4 Tracking the storms: New study finds this company most accurate for hurricane predictions. Is it right? A tropical wave is a system of low pressure that moves westward across the tropics. Waves can lead to the formation of tropical cyclones, under the right conditions, according to the National Weather Service. The majority of tropical cyclones develop out of tropical waves, which also are called easterly waves, according to NOAA. AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said 85% of all tropical storms can trace their origins to tropical waves. "If a tropical wave survives its journey westward, it will find increasingly warm waters and moist air as it approaches the Lesser Antilles, a group of islands in the Caribbean Sea," AccuWeather said. The Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Since 2003, there have been 15 tropical cyclones that have formed before June 1. Eleven of those storms formed in May. There have even been occasions when a tropical cyclone has formed in January. Here's a look back at a few of the early storms: Jan. 16-17, 2023: Unnamed subtropical storm. May 22-23, 2021: Tropical Storm Ana. May 16-19, 2020: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 27-28, 2020: Tropical Storm Bertha. May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea. May 25-31, 2018: Tropical Storm Alberto. April 19-21, 2017: Tropical Storm Arlene. Jan. 12-15, 2016: Hurricane Alex May 27-June 4, 2016: Tropical Storm Bonnie May 8-11, 2015: Tropical Storm Ana. May 19-22, 2012: Tropical Storm Alberto. May 26-30, 2012: Tropical Storm Beryl. May 31-June 1, 2008: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea. April 20-24, 2003: Tropical Storm Ana. The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea. Since 2003, Andrea has appeared twice in May, including the last year the name appeared in 2019. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea The World Meteorological Committee maintains six lists of hurricane names in the Atlantic basin and separate lists for the Pacific basin. There are 21 names on each list. The six lists of names are used on a rotating basis, so names from the list used in 2025 will appear again in 2031, unless a name is retired. A nation hit hardest by a devastating storm can request its name be removed because use of the name again would be insensitive. Beryl, Helene and Milton were retired from the list used last year and were replaced with Brianna, Holly and Miguel. Tropical outlooks are issued every day by the National Hurricane Center from May 15 through Nov. 30. The outlooks come out at 8 a.m., 2 p.m., 8 p.m. and 2 a.m. ET. ➤ Where can I find Hurricane Center's tropical outlooks? ➤ Where will Hurricane Center issue advisories? A map highlights "significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next seven days," said Larry Kelly, hurricane specialist with the National Hurricane Center, in an email. Contained in the outlook are the probabilities an area could develop into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and seven days: A low probability of development ranges from 0-30% (designated in yellow) A medium probability of development ranges from 40-60% (designated in orange) A high probability of development ranges from 70-100% (designated in red) "The hatched areas on the graphic represent the potential formation area during the forecast period. It is important to note that it is not a forecast track and just a formation area," Kelly said. ➤ In a rush? 15 things you should know before 2025 hurricane season arrives "The tropical weather outlook provides forecasts on areas of disturbed weather that could develop into tropical cyclones," Kelly said. "It highlights the location, movement, and development potential of these systems over the next two to seven days. "This information is important for early preparation and awareness during hurricane season so you can be prepared for the hazards that systems can bring, including storm surge, flooding, strong winds, tornadoes and hazardous marine and beach conditions." Although many people search Google for an answer to the question "When is Florida hurricane season?" there actually is no such thing. The Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 and lasts until Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said, so storms can form before and after those dates. Tropical storms and hurricanes that develop in the Atlantic basin do impact the U.S., from the Gulf Coast and Florida north into Canada. The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. Predictions released as of May 13 predict an above-normal number of named tropical systems, ranging from: Named storms: 13-21 Hurricanes: 7-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 ➤ Florida is No. 1. That's not good when it comes to hurricane season predictions. See forecast Named storms: 14 Hurricanes: 7 Major hurricanes: 3 The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA said. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will provided tropical weather coverage daily until Nov. 30 to keep you informed and prepared. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: 2025 hurricane season starts Sunday; NHC tracking tropical wave
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
New study finds this company most accurate for hurricane predictions. Is it right?
As the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season approaches, it is vitally important for Floridians who are potentially in the line of fire to have the most accurate, up-to-date weather information available. A new study by London-based marketing and analytics firm Kantar suggests that it might come from AccuWeather. Based on forecasts during the 2024 Atlantic season, Kantar determined that "AccuWeather's forecasts are, on average, the most accurate, the best communicated, and overall the most useful for people to make the best decisions to protect life and property." However, other meteorologists pointed out problems with Kantar's report. "The AccuWeather 'study' makes claims about their forecast skill that cannot be falsified, and thus are not scientific," said Dr. Ryan Truchelut, co-founder, president, and chief meteorologist of Tallahassee-based weather forecasting company WeatherTiger. "Without offering a study methodology to scrutinize, there is no way to evaluate the so-called findings in the slide deck, other than to say the document overall reads like something put together by consultants with no background in meteorology, working backwards from a conclusion," Truchelut said in an email. "As Accuweather does not issue detailed track and intensity forecasts to the public each 6 hours as the NHC does, there is no independent means of verifying their forecasts, as the NHC rigorously does after each season." Other critics pointed out that the report seemingly does not include false positives where AccuWeather forecasted system developments that never happened, the study looked at only one year, and it may not have compared apples to apples in the data. "The report is an exercise in marketing and self-aggrandizement, and nothing else," Truchelut said. "Furthermore, it is also in extraordinarily ill taste to attack the NHC now, with NOAA and the NWS suffering continued cuts." The report comes as the Trump administration has made drastic cuts to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which oversees the National Weather Service and the National Hurricane Service, among other agencies. More than 550 of the 4,800 weather service employees have been dismissed, retired or accepted incentive offers to step down, leaving many of the forecast offices shorthanded with staff reductions from 20-40% and scrambling to cover staffing and maintain the usual quality and number of measurements. Several offices were forced to end weather balloon launches, which can reduce the agency's ability to predict weather, and CNN reported on May 2 that 30 NWS offices no longer had a lead meteorologist. 'This has never happened before. We've always been an agency that has provided 24/7 service to the American public,' Tom Fahy, legislative director for the National Weather Service Employees Organization, told ABC News. 'The risk is extremely high — if cuts like this continue to the National Weather Service, people will die.' Weather forecasts: Trump cuts leave National Weather Service scrambling to cover vital shifts Project 2025, the conservative roadmap and wishlist from right-wing think tank The Heritage Foundation, calls for NOAA to be broken up due to its position in the "climate change alarm industry" and says the government should charge for National Weather Service data that is currently free. Trump disavowed Project 2025 during his campaign, but many of his initiatives mirror or surpass the project's goals and he has placed some of its writers into administrative positions including key author Russell Vought, now the Trump administration's budget office director. The study concluded, after analyzing coverage of all storms during the 2024 season, that AccuWeather was, on average: 6.2% more accurate than the NHC and other sources for track forecasts 8.9% more accurate for storms that made landfall 8.6% more accurate for landfall location prediction 37.8% more accurate for landfall intensity forecasts 4% more accurate for maximum wind intensity forecasts Kantar said AccuWeather's storm track and intensity forecasts extended 25 hours further into the future than the NHC and all other sources for all 2024 storms, and 31 hours further into the future for those that made U.S. landfall. It also praised AccuWeather's proprietary RealImpact Scale for communicating the potential dangers of hurricanes as compared to the standard Saffir-Simpson Scale, which only measures windspeed. "We are very gratified by these results, which further support our mission of saving lives and protecting property," said AccuWeather Founder and Executive Chairman Dr. Joel N. Myers in a release. "This historic report marks the first time a third-party has verified that another source has been more accurate and more effective in predicting hurricanes and their impacts than NOAA's National Hurricane Center." Not everyone took the report at face value. "With professional respect to my colleagues at AccuWeather, this is a study *paid for* by AccuWeather that uses highly questionable methods and makes a number of false claims," Matthew Cappucci, a meteorologist for the Washington Post, in a series of posts on X. "AccuWeather claims to win 'all landfalling storms,' presumably with a U.S. bias... ...which allows them to completely throw out their absolutely erroneous forecast of a high-end Category 2 slamming into Florida. (It died over the Yucatan as a T.S.)," he said, referring to Tropical Storm Sara, a November 2024 storm that made landfall in Central America. "Case in point," Cappucci said. "AccuWeather wants to make a case that they were right from the beginning with regard to Francine, but then sweep many other forecasts, like that of Sara, under the rug." Dr. Levi Cowan, FSU meteorology grad and owner of forecast site pointed out that the report analyzed forecasts at 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, 84 and 108 hours from the issued time. "But @NHC_Atlantic issues forecasts at lead times of 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 96, and 120 hours, making it unclear exactly how this analysis was done," he said in an X post. "Was interpolation of some data to a different set of lead times performed? Was mean absolute error or some other metric used? We don't know, because the report is opaque." In a release, AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter said that the important foundational work of the National Hurricane Center should in no way be disregarded. But AccuWeather, unlike most other weather services, uses its own data as well as data from the NHC. "The agency provides a vital life-saving service," he said. "Our work complements this effort and state and local agencies and companies that need the most accurate forecast of hurricane tracks and impacts ranging from storm surge to rain flooding to tornadoes to wind and water damage, we are not discouraging the use of the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service forecasts, but if you want the best and access to expert consulting meteorologists that you can speak to at any time 24/7, AccuWeather is the answer." AccuWeather is predicting the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could bring: Named storms: 13 to 18 Hurricanes: 7-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 Direct U.S. impacts: 3-6 NOAA is predicting a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance for a below-normal season. Forecasters predict: Named storms: 13-19 Hurricanes: 6-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 Colorado State University meteorologists predict: 17 named storms 9 hurricanes 4 major hurricanes Dr. Ryan Truchelut of WeatherTiger hedged his bets and predicted that the 2025 season has a 50-50 chance of landing in the ranges of: 16-21 tropical storms 7-9 hurricanes 3-4 major hurricanes Dinah Voyles Pulver, USA TODAY, and Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida contributed to this story. This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Is AccuWeather more accurate than NHC? Critics call study unscientific
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center has Tropical Storm Alvin forming in Pacific today; tracking tropical waves
A tropical depression in the Pacific is expected to become the first tropical storm in the Northern Hemisphere Thursday, May 29 for the 2025 hurricane season. If it does, it'll be called Alvin. But for once, it isn't Florida's problem. "Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts, the National Hurricane Center said in a morning update. "Some strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today." 1st tropical storm of season? Tropical Storm Alvin likely to form in Pacific: See projected path, spaghetti models The 2025 Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic season, which officially begins Sunday, June 1. Things are quieter off our coasts. The NHC has been tracking two tropical waves all week, one in the Atlantic approaching South America and one on the Caribbean extending southward toward Panama. Both continue to move west, but NHC forecasters don't expect any tropical cyclone activity over the next seven days. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its prediction for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, May 22, predicting an above-average season, with 13 to 19 named storms and six to 10 hurricanes. The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic season will be Andrea. Here's the National Hurricane Center's daily outlook as of 6 a.m. on Wednesday, May 28. ➤ Track all active storms The National Hurricane Center said there are no tropical disturbances in the Atlantic basin and no tropical cyclone activity is expected during the next seven days. Forecasters are tracking two tropical waves: The first tropical wave is in the Atlantic Ocean, moving west at 12 to 17 mph and approaching Suriname in South America. The second tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean, extending southward to central Panama, moving west at about 17 mph. The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Donald Trump's order. Forecasters urge all residents to keep an eye on the tropics and to always be prepared. ➤ Creating hurricane supplies kit important, but what if money is tight? Tips, resources to help NOAA is predicting there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance for a below-normal season. ➤ NOAA predicting above-average 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. What can Florida expect? Forecasters predict: Named storms: 13-19 Hurricanes: 6-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 A major hurricane is a Category 3 storm or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. Tallahassee meteorologist Ryan Truchelut, who forecasts under WeatherTiger, is predicting landfall risks as near to slightly above normal this year due to closer-to-average sea temperatures in 2025. Truchelut looks more at impact than the Atlantic basin as a whole. So far, he's predicting 65% odds of an above normal season: Tropical storms: 16-20 Hurricanes: 7-9 Major hurricanes: 3-4 A tropical wave is a system of low pressure that moves westward across the tropics. Waves can lead to the formation of tropical cyclones, under the right conditions, according to the National Weather Service. The majority of tropical cyclones develop out of tropical waves, which also are called easterly waves, according to NOAA. AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said 85% of all tropical storms can trace their origins to tropical waves. "If a tropical wave survives its journey westward, it will find increasingly warm waters and moist air as it approaches the Lesser Antilles, a group of islands in the Caribbean Sea," AccuWeather said. The Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Since 2003, there have been 15 tropical cyclones that have formed before June 1. Eleven of those storms formed in May. There have even been occasions when a tropical cyclone has formed in January. Here's a look back at a few of the early storms: Jan. 16-17, 2023: Unnamed subtropical storm. May 22-23, 2021: Tropical Storm Ana. May 16-19, 2020: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 27-28, 2020: Tropical Storm Bertha. May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea. May 25-31, 2018: Tropical Storm Alberto. April 19-21, 2017: Tropical Storm Arlene. Jan. 12-15, 2016: Hurricane Alex May 27-June 4, 2016: Tropical Storm Bonnie May 8-11, 2015: Tropical Storm Ana. May 19-22, 2012: Tropical Storm Alberto. May 26-30, 2012: Tropical Storm Beryl. May 31-June 1, 2008: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea. April 20-24, 2003: Tropical Storm Ana. The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea. Since 2003, Andrea has appeared twice in May, including the last year the name appeared in 2019. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea The World Meteorological Committee maintains six lists of hurricane names in the Atlantic basin and separate lists for the Pacific basin. There are 21 names on each list. The six lists of names are used on a rotating basis, so names from the list used in 2025 will appear again in 2031, unless a name is retired. A nation hit hardest by a devastating storm can request its name be removed because use of the name again would be insensitive. Beryl, Helene and Milton were retired from the list used last year and were replaced with Brianna, Holly and Miguel. Tropical outlooks are issued every day by the National Hurricane Center from May 15 through Nov. 30. The outlooks come out at 8 a.m., 2 p.m., 8 p.m. and 2 a.m. ET. ➤ Where can I find Hurricane Center's tropical outlooks? ➤ Where will Hurricane Center issue advisories? A map highlights "significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next seven days," said Larry Kelly, hurricane specialist with the National Hurricane Center, in an email. Contained in the outlook are the probabilities an area could develop into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and seven days: A low probability of development ranges from 0-30% (designated in yellow) A medium probability of development ranges from 40-60% (designated in orange) A high probability of development ranges from 70-100% (designated in red) "The hatched areas on the graphic represent the potential formation area during the forecast period. It is important to note that it is not a forecast track and just a formation area," Kelly said. ➤ In a rush? 15 things you should know before 2025 hurricane season arrives "The tropical weather outlook provides forecasts on areas of disturbed weather that could develop into tropical cyclones," Kelly said. "It highlights the location, movement, and development potential of these systems over the next two to seven days. "This information is important for early preparation and awareness during hurricane season so you can be prepared for the hazards that systems can bring, including storm surge, flooding, strong winds, tornadoes and hazardous marine and beach conditions." Although many people search Google for an answer to the question "When is Florida hurricane season?" there actually is no such thing. The Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 and lasts until Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said, so storms can form before and after those dates. Tropical storms and hurricanes that develop in the Atlantic basin do impact the U.S., from the Gulf Coast and Florida north into Canada. The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. Predictions released as of May 13 predict an above-normal number of named tropical systems, ranging from: Named storms: 13-21 Hurricanes: 7-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 ➤ Florida is No. 1. That's not good when it comes to hurricane season predictions. See forecast Named storms: 14 Hurricanes: 7 Major hurricanes: 3 The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA said. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will provided tropical weather coverage daily until Nov. 30 to keep you informed and prepared. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: National Hurricane Center tracking waves in Atlantic, Caribbean
Yahoo
22-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Watch live as NOAA announces its prediction for 2025 hurricane season
Today is the day many Florida residents have been waiting for: the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will release its predictions for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. The announcement is scheduled to come at 11 a.m. ET and will be livestreamed. AccuWeather and Colorado State University forecasters released their first predictions for the season in March and April, respectively. Both are predicting 2025 will be an above-average season. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location ➤ Track all active storms The National Hurricane Center, which most Florida residents focus on, is a branch of NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Its mission is to "save lives, mitigate property loss and improve economic efficiency by issuing the best watches, warnings, forecasts and analyses of hazardous tropical weather and by increasing understanding of these hazards." The first named storm of the 2025 season will be Andrea. Colorado State University meteorologists are predicting the following for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season: 17 named storms 9 hurricanes 4 major hurricanes AccuWeather is predicting the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could bring: Named storms: 13 to 18 Hurricanes: 7-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 Direct U.S. impacts: 3-6 Florida meteorologist Dr. Ryan Truchelut, also known as WeatherTiger, predicted the 2025 season has a 50-50 shot of landing in the ranges of: Named storms: 16-21 Hurricanes: 7-9 Major hurricanes: 3-4 A major hurricane is a Category 3 storm or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. There were 18 named storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Eleven became hurricanes, with winds of 74 mph or greater. Five intensified to major hurricanes, with winds of 111 mph or greater, with are Category 3 or higher storms. ➤ 2024 Atlantic hurricane season ends with above-average number of storms. That's above the historical average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes, according to NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service. The season saw above-average activity, with a record-breaking ramp-up after a lull, during what is typically the busiest period — from mid-August through mid-October, the National Hurricane Center said in its post-season wrap-up. Five hurricanes made landfall in the continental U.S., with two storms making landfall as major hurricanes, according to the National Hurricane Center. Five hurricane landfalls put 2024 tied for the fourth-most landfalls on records dating back to the 1800s. ➤ Five storms made landfall in the continental U.S., two hit as major hurricanes. Three of those hurricanes made landfall in Florida: Debby, Helene and Milton. The 2024 season had it slowest start since 2014, with the first named storm developing June 19, according to NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 and runs until Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea: AN-dree uh Barry: BAIR-ree Chantal: shahn-TAHL Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee We will provide tropical weather coverage daily until Nov. 30 to keep you informed and prepared. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Fort Myers News-Press: NOAA, NHC announce prediction 2025 hurricane season. Watch live stream
Yahoo
22-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Watch live as NOAA announces its prediction for 2025 hurricane season
Today is the day many Florida residents have been waiting for: the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will release its predictions for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. The announcement is scheduled to come at 11 a.m. ET and will be livestreamed. AccuWeather and Colorado State University forecasters released their first predictions for the season in March and April, respectively. Both are predicting 2025 will be an above-average season. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location ➤ Track all active storms The National Hurricane Center, which most Florida residents focus on, is a branch of NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Its mission is to "save lives, mitigate property loss and improve economic efficiency by issuing the best watches, warnings, forecasts and analyses of hazardous tropical weather and by increasing understanding of these hazards." The first named storm of the 2025 season will be Andrea. Colorado State University meteorologists are predicting the following for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season: 17 named storms 9 hurricanes 4 major hurricanes AccuWeather is predicting the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could bring: Named storms: 13 to 18 Hurricanes: 7-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 Direct U.S. impacts: 3-6 Florida meteorologist Dr. Ryan Truchelut, also known as WeatherTiger, predicted the 2025 season has a 50-50 shot of landing in the ranges of: Named storms: 16-21 Hurricanes: 7-9 Major hurricanes: 3-4 A major hurricane is a Category 3 storm or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. There were 18 named storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Eleven became hurricanes, with winds of 74 mph or greater. Five intensified to major hurricanes, with winds of 111 mph or greater, with are Category 3 or higher storms. ➤ 2024 Atlantic hurricane season ends with above-average number of storms. That's above the historical average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes, according to NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service. The season saw above-average activity, with a record-breaking ramp-up after a lull, during what is typically the busiest period — from mid-August through mid-October, the National Hurricane Center said in its post-season wrap-up. Five hurricanes made landfall in the continental U.S., with two storms making landfall as major hurricanes, according to the National Hurricane Center. Five hurricane landfalls put 2024 tied for the fourth-most landfalls on records dating back to the 1800s. ➤ Five storms made landfall in the continental U.S., two hit as major hurricanes. Three of those hurricanes made landfall in Florida: Debby, Helene and Milton. The 2024 season had it slowest start since 2014, with the first named storm developing June 19, according to NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 and runs until Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea: AN-dree uh Barry: BAIR-ree Chantal: shahn-TAHL Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee We will provide tropical weather coverage daily until Nov. 30 to keep you informed and prepared. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Fort Myers News-Press: NOAA, NHC announce prediction 2025 hurricane season. Watch live stream
