Latest news with #S&Pmid-cap
Forbes
3 days ago
- Business
- Forbes
Gitlab Stock Earnings To Beat Expectations?
INDIA - 2024/12/17: In this photo illustration, a Gitlab logo is seen displayed on a smartphone and ... More in the background. (Photo Illustration by Avishek Das/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) GitLab (NASDAQ:GTLB), a firm that offers tools to assist teams in managing their software development lifecycle, is anticipated to release its Q1 results on June 10. Consensus forecasts indicate revenues nearing $213 million for the quarter, marking a 26% increase compared to the previous year, while earnings are estimated to be around $0.15 per share, nearly 5 times higher than last year. Historical data imply that the stock has a strong probability of rising after earnings, as GitLab has experienced a positive one-day return post-earnings about 75% of the time over the past three years. The company currently has a market capitalization of $7.4 billion. Revenue over the past twelve months was $759 million, and it reported an operational loss of $-143 million, along with a net income of $-6.3 million. Therefore, if you are looking for upside with less volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an option, having surpassed the S&P 500 and yielded returns over 91% since its inception. See earnings reaction history of all stocks Here are some insights regarding one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional information regarding observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post-earnings is compiled along with the statistics in the table below. GTLB 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return A relatively lower-risk strategy (although ineffective if the correlation is weak) involves analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings, identifying the pair with the strongest correlation, and executing the suitable trade. For instance, if the 1D and 5D returns exhibit the highest correlation, a trader might consider taking a "long" position for the next five days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data derived from a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) analysis. Note that the correlation 1D_5D represents the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and the following 5D returns. GTLB Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns At times, the performance of peers can impact stock reactions following earnings. In fact, the pricing might start before the earnings are released. Below is some historical data regarding GitLab stock's past post-earnings performance compared to the performance of peers reporting earnings just prior to GitLab. To ensure fairness, peer stock returns also reflect post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. GTLB Correlation With Peer Earnings Learn more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (comprising all three, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), providing robust returns for investors. Additionally, if you are seeking a smoother experience with greater upside than an individual stock like GitLab, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, achieving returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
Forbes
21-05-2025
- Business
- Forbes
How Will Deckers' Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Photo byDeckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE: DECK) is set to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings (March year) on Thursday, May 22, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of 60 cents per share and revenue of $1 billion. This would indicate a 28% decline in earnings year-over-year, along with a 4% sales growth compared to last year's figures of 83 cents per share and $960 million in revenue. Historically, DECK stock has risen 61% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 9.0% and a maximum recorded rise of 19%. Deckers primarily owns the Ugg and Hoka shoe brands, which represent its two largest and most important sources of revenue, accounting for approximately 68% and 29% of total sales, respectively. In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, both brands showed strong consumer interest, with Ugg achieving a 16% increase in sales while Hoka outperformed with a 24% gain. Despite having a relatively narrow brand portfolio, the company's key products continue to resonate well with consumers. However, investors might currently be concerned about tariff-related issues, as a substantial part of Deckers' footwear manufacturing occurs in Asia. The company currently holds a market capitalization of $19 Bil. Revenue for the past twelve months was $4.9 Bil, and it was operationally profitable with $1.1 Bil in operating profits and $942 Mil in net income. For event-driven traders, historical trends may provide an advantage, whether by positioning before earnings releases or responding to post-release actions. This said, for those wanting upside potential with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative, having surpassed the S&P 500 and achieving returns over 91% since its launch. See earnings reaction history of all stocks. Here are some insights on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Further data on the observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below. DECK Post Earnings Returns A relatively less risky approach (though not useful if the correlation is weak) is to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identifying a pair with the highest correlation, and executing the suitable trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D show the strongest correlation, a trader could adopt a 'long' position for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D indicates the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and the following 5D returns. DECK Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (the combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), yielding strong returns for investors.
Forbes
05-05-2025
- Business
- Forbes
Is NY Times' Poised For A Post-Earnings Rally?
New York Times building in Manhattan, New York City, United States of America on July 16th, 2024. ... More (Photo by Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images) The New York Times' stock (NYSE: NYT) is set to announce its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with analysts anticipating earnings of 34 cents per share on $635 million in revenue. This would indicate a 42% year-over-year increase in earnings and a 7% rise in sales compared to the previous year's results of 24 cents per share and $594 million in revenue. Historically, the NY Times' stock has tended to outperform after earnings announcements, increasing 60% of the time with a median one-day gain of 3.9% and a maximum observed gain of 12%. Looking forward to Q1 2025, NYT expects year-over-year growth of 14% to 17% in digital-only subscription revenue, along with a mid-single-digit rise across other revenue streams. Adjusted operating expenses are projected to increase by 5% to 6%, attributed to planned investments in technology and content creation. The company's legal stance regarding intellectual property and its ongoing technological efforts are crucial to its strategy for maintaining competitive advantage and subscriber engagement. The NYT currently holds a market capitalization of $8.5 billion. In the past twelve months, it reported $2.6 billion in revenue, with $351 million in operating profit and $294 million in net income. For event-driven traders, historical trends can provide an advantage, whether by positioning prior to earnings or responding to post-release movements. If you're aiming for upside with lower volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative, outperforming the S&P 500 and achieving returns over 91% since its inception. See earnings reaction history of all stocks. Here are some insights on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Further data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post-earnings is summarized in the table below along with the statistics. NYT 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return A relatively lower-risk approach (though not ideal if the correlation is low) is to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D demonstrate the strongest correlation, a trader can adopt a 'long' position for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. NYT Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns Learn more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of all three: the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), resulting in strong returns for investors.
Forbes
30-04-2025
- Business
- Forbes
Buy Or Sell ICE Stock Ahead Of Q1 Results?
Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE) is expected to announce its earnings on Thursday, May 1, 2025. Revenues are anticipated to increase approximately 10% year-over-year to $1.23 billion, while earnings are forecasted to be roughly $0.77 per share, an increase of about $0.14 compared to a year ago. Several trends have been contributing to recent performance, including record activity in futures and options, as well as heightened trading volumes in energy and interest rates. These trends are likely to persist in Q1, with the markets experiencing significant volatility. When ICE disclosed its Q4 earnings in January, it indicated that January trading volumes had already risen 21% year-over-year, with open interest up 11%, suggesting ongoing momentum in its futures and options division. The company currently has a market capitalization of $94 billion. Revenue for the past twelve months was $12 billion, and it was operationally profitable with $4.4 billion in operating profits and a net income of $2.8 billion. That said, for those seeking greater returns with lower volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative, having outperformed the S&P 500 and yielded returns exceeding 91% since its inception. View earnings reaction history of all stocks Here are some insights on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional information on observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is summarized with the statistics in the table below. ICE 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return Trefis A relatively lower-risk approach (although not beneficial if the correlation is weak) is to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and perform the corresponding trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D demonstrate the highest correlation, a trader can adopt a 'long' position for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data based on 5-year and more recent 3-year history. Note that the correlation noted as 1D_5D refers to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and the following 5D returns. Occasionally, the performance of peers can affect post-earnings reactions in stocks. Pricing may start to be factored in before the earnings announcement. Here is some historical data comparing the post-earnings performance of Intercontinental Exchange stock to the stock performance of peers that released earnings prior to Intercontinental Exchange. For a fair assessment, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. ICE Correlation With Peer Earnings Trefis Discover more about Trefis RV strategy, which has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (comprising all three indices: the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), yielding strong returns for investors. Additionally, if you are looking for upside with a smoother experience than an individual stock such as Intercontinental Exchange, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its inception.
Forbes
28-04-2025
- Business
- Forbes
Can EBAY Stock Rally On Its Upcoming Earnings?
eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) is set to release its earnings report on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. An examination of the stock's historical performance in connection with earnings announcements over the previous five years shows that eBay recorded a negative one-day return in 57% of these cases. The median negative return was -7.1%, with the most significant one-day decline reaching -11.7%. For event-driven traders, comprehending these historical patterns can be beneficial. There are two primary strategies: first, to evaluate the historical probabilities of various post-earnings stock movements to establish a position before the earnings announcement. Second, to analyze the relationship between the immediate stock response and medium-term returns after the earnings are disclosed, and then position themselves accordingly. Current consensus forecasts indicate earnings per share (EPS) of $1.34 on revenue of $2.55 billion for the upcoming quarter. This is compared to the same period last year, which reported earnings of $1.25 per share on revenue of $2.56 billion. Elevated inflation and weak consumer sentiment are expected to impact the company's top-line growth negatively. From a fundamental perspective, eBay currently possesses a market capitalization of $32 billion. Over the last twelve months, the company generated $10 billion in revenue, achieving operating profits of $2.3 billion and a net income of $2.0 billion. Ultimately, the market's response to eBay's forthcoming earnings will be significantly influenced by how the actual financial results align with these consensus estimates and broader market anticipations. That being said, if you are looking for potential gains with reduced volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative — having surpassed the S&P 500 and provided returns exceeding 91% since its inception. See earnings reaction history of all stocks Some insights on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns after earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below. EBAY 1D, 5D, & 21D Post Earnings Return Trefis A relatively less risky approach (although not effective if the correlation is weak) is to comprehend the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and execute the suitable trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D display the strongest correlation, a trader can position themselves 'long' for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data from the 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D pertains to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and following 5D returns. Learn more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of all 3: the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), delivering strong returns for investors. Additionally, if you are seeking potential gains with a smoother experience than an individual stock like eBay, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since inception.
