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New Paper
25-07-2025
- Sport
- New Paper
July 26 South Africa (Turffontein/Kenilworth) form analysis
Race 1 (1,160m) Well-bred (11) QUEENSLAND outran market expectations when finishing second on debut over track and trip. She would have benefited from that experience and with any improvement could go one better. (7) UMZINGELI WENYATHI has shown enough to make his presence felt and should acquit himself competitively. Newcomers (2) CLEVER TREVOR and (10) MEMPHIS are all respected on debut, especially if the market speaks in their favour. Watch the betting. Race 2 (1,160m) Well-related (5) SISTERSHIP caught the eye on debut when a fast-finishing second over track and trip, despite drifting in the betting and suffering interference at the start. She would have come on nicely with that experience and it should pay to follow her progress. Imported debutant (6) STORMY DAY should not be ignored. (2) GASLIGHT DANCER was a game-in-defeat when third over this course and distance last time in open company. So she should have a role to play if confirming that improvement. (7) VAMANOS has not been seen since making her debut in March but she was fancied that day, so is respected on her reappearance. Race 3 (1,000m) (11) MAGICAL PALACE ran a cracker on debut. With natural improvement, should be hard to beat. (5) SARDINIA BAY improved at the second run and has to be respected for all bets - strong each-way chance. (9) WAROFDYNAMITE with weight off can earn and (8) WORLD CHAMPION can improve to get closer. Race 4 (1,000m) (4) CHIEFTAIN beat several re-opposing rivals over this course and distance when an authoritative winner of a similar event last time. He carries a three-point penalty for that success but is progressive and could improve sufficiently to confirm his superiority over his familiar foes, despite the unfavourable weight turnarounds. Stablemate (2) COSMIC STAR and speedy (5) ONE FELL SWOOP should pose more of a threat on these terms. Hard-knocker (8) HALBERDIER will not be far off the mark. Race 5 (1,200m) (2) MEGHAN'S DIAMOND is showing some ability and can improve further and could be tough to get past. (3) NEBULOUS has not been far away in both her runs thus far and will be a huge chance. (6) HAZEL GREEN improved length-wise last time and could be the place value. (7) WAIT FOR ME can build on the debut performance. Race 6 (1,000m) (4) RAFA BAY confirmed the promise of his Highveld introduction (third) with a dominant start-to-finish victory at this level over track and trip last month and with any improvement in his peak outing, the resultant six-point penalty should not halt his momentum. (13) NAZARE should not be taken lightly. (7) TIGER STORM had excuses last time and is capable of having a say too. Last-start winner (11) FAITHFUL NEO also remains competitive despite penalties. Race 7 (1,200m) (7) BEACH VERSE improved at long odds last time and with further progression expected, can go very close to winning. (8) CHICKASAW caught the eye last time and can go one more. (1) PITERAQ was far from disgraced first-up and can improve to earn her first cheque. (5) UP IN FLAMES is a must for trifectas and quartets. Race 8 (1,800m) Hard-knockers (2) ELEMBEE has the form and experience at this level to play a leading role, especially off current ratings. (3) ART NOUVEAU beat male rivals when winning on her handicap debut over this trip and even under a five-point penalty, another bold showing is expected in her hat-trick bid against female-only opposition. Top-weight (1) TEO TORRIATTE has improved with cheekpieces fitted and confirmed by winning at a higher level last time. She too races off a career-high mark but should remain competitive. (4) WAGRAM is better than her last run suggests. Best kept onside. Race 9 (1,400m) (3) RIKKITIKKITAVI never justified favouritism last time but was far from disgraced and can bounce right back to winning ways. The weight off will help. (7) GOODNESSGRACIOUSME can run fresh back in Cape Town from KZN and is a massive runner. (4) MIRACULOUS has a huge place chance and (2) FUN ZONE is ultra-consistent and can win - big chance as always. Race 10 (1,800m) (2) DIMAKO'S JET has winning form at this level and has a better record over 1,800m, so is preferred, despite Gavin Lerena opting to ride (4) KISSHOTEN. Both were beaten by It's Her Way recently but Dimako's Jet gave 3.5kg to that rival when second over track and trip whereas Kisshoten received 0.5kg when third over 1,600m. (1) LAST CAR TO PASS has made giant strides in three starts with this headgear configuration and the five-point penalty for her dominant last-start success over 1,600m should not prevent her from making another bold bid. (5) ACCEPT COOKIES will not be far off. Race 11 (1,400m) (3) ONCIDIUM caught the eye when trotting up in the maidens and could be anything - follow. (1) MISS NEW YORK is never far off the action and has each-way claims. (5) IM THE BUZZ is taking time to win again but is running well and can place as always. (9) ANGEL'S OASIS has a quartet chance. Form is solid. Race 12 (1,400m) (7) MAX THE MAGICIAN ran on powerfully from the rear (wide draw) to finish ahead of (6) FRENCH BOLT. On the evidence of that performance, this is a good opportunity for him to bounce back to winning ways. After an encouraging and close-up seventh on the Inside track last time, French Bolt is also of interest. (1) GRAND CRESCENDO is talented but plagued with issues, so he is best watched for now. (2) VULCANITE is the only filly in the race and one to watch on her reappearance for a new stable. Race 13 (1,400m) (1) LANDOFTHERISINGSUN has won his last two well and is confidently selected to reel off the hat-trick. (3) CAPTAIN WEST is holding form and should be in the first four with a winning shout. (7) AIR RAID has won two out of his last three and can continue on these ways - serious chance. (5) SAN PEDRO could be the place value - respect and include. Race 14 (1,400m) Several who have legitimate chances in a tricky contest but it could be worth siding with (9) OPEN HIGHWAY whose consistency could finally be rewarded, especially given his slightly reduced mark after close-up recent finishes. (1) PRESSONREGARDLESS had legitimate excuses for his last start at a higher level and is capable of bouncing back in this grade. Youngster (13) NYAKA NYAKA will be tested from a wide draw and against older opposition but he is open to improvement, so must be respected under 54.5kg. (6) SHINTO SHRINE is not to be taken lightly. Race 15 (1,600m) (4) WEHAVEASITUATION from gate 1 will have every opportunity to reel off the hat-trick and is selected to do so. (11) BENEATH THE CLOUDS is another searching for the hat-trick and will be very competitive for it - big danger to the first choice. (6) TAKE IT AS RED was far from disgraced last time and can get much closer - bright chance. (3) GOLDEN ANGEL must make the quartet shortlist. Race 16 (1,200m) (2) LHASA ran a good race last time and has each-way claims in a tough race. (10) WILD APPLAUSE ran an absolute cracker first time out of the maidens and can go one more. (8) SHE'S MY WORLD has huge each-way claims and (7) MUSIC OF THE NIGHT has a first-four chance.
New Paper
24-05-2025
- Sport
- New Paper
May 25 South Africa (Kenilworth) form analysis
Race 1 (1,200m) (10) SARDINIA BAY ran a lovely race on debut behind Churchillian. He showed some great speed early, and got tired only very late to finish just over three lengths behind the winner. Include him in all bets. (8) GETUPANDGO has been rested and gelded. He is much better than his last run on March 16. If he does not need the run badly, he should bounce back to his best form. (7) WORLD CHOICE ran against winners on debut. He was very green early, and then stayed on to finish just under 10 lengths behind North Point. Will improve. (1) CASINO KING ran a much better race last time with the blinkers fitted. If he can build on that performance, he might be able to sneak into the placings. Race 2 (1,000m) (2) INSIDE VOICE has run two great races in succession. She is a young filly with lots of ability and will be right there in the finish. (15) DU MAURIER showed good speed on debut, staying on nicely for second behind She's My World. Include her in all bets. (9) MARKETA was a lot more settled in her race last time. She sat just off the speed early and then stayed on for third in the same race as Du Maurier. If she can build on that run, she will be competitive. (7) PENNYS CHOICE completes the shortlist. Race 3 (1,600m) (2) TUNGUSKA drew deep last time and still managed to catch the eye late for second behind Show Off. From a good draw here, he should get the perfect run in transit and go very close to winning this race. (6) SIGNOR DANTE absolutely took off late to run third behind Father Christmas on May 6. He will love the step-up in trip. Include him in all bets. (4) MAGNUS THE GOOD tried to lead the field from start to finish last time. If he can build on that last run, he should be among the places from a good draw. (1) EXALTED LOVE was green early at his last start and then tried to run on very late behind Thomas Jenkins. Place value. Race 4 (1,400m) (5) PLEASE BE TRUE was definitely the eye-catcher late last time behind Dumbledore. This is a much better trip for him. He will be very hard to beat. (3) AIR RAID looks to be the nearest danger to Please Be True, even if he went a bit flat in his second start from a small break last time. (2) WORLD OF PLEASURE has been rested for 64 days. He is in good form, and he gets a nice draw for this competitive race. Good place chance. (6) GREEN GARNET won really well on April 28. If he gets to the front, he will be quite dangerous. Race 5 (1,400m) (5) HAPPY VERSE was terribly green early on debut, and then motored home to beat Bugle Boy. He will love the step-up in trip to 1,400m. He looks to have serious ability and will be right there in the finish from a good draw. (14) SUN DAZED had no luck in running up the straight last time. He was taken up for a number of strides at the 300m mark and then finished strongly to run third behind Trippi's Silk. Unfortunately the bad draw will make life tough for him, but he will be doing good work late. (4) FIRINGONALLENGINES is much better than his recent form. He can be a tricky customer, but the step-up in trip should help him improve. (13) ISCHYRO made up lots of ground to win a good race on April 28. He likes to be switched off early and then he comes with a storming run late. Watch him closely. Race 6 (1,800m) (5) BATON ROUGE ran a much better race behind Dubbelosix on April 28. If he can build on that last performance, he will have a nice each-way chance in this tough race. (4) COUNT WILLIAM improved to win a good race last time. He went to the front and pretty much led the field from start to finish. He could certainly win again. (12) TOTHEMOONANDBACK drops in trip significantly for this D stakes. He has been in good form of late, despite the negatives of a wide draw and a big weight. He could be some serious value here. Include him in all bets. (11) SPECTACULAR improved to run a fair race behind Jet A One on May 4. He clearly enjoyed the step-up in trip. If he can beat the draw, he will be competitive. Race 7 (1,800m) (3) TIME FOR LOVE returned from a break to win the Listed Ladies Mile exceptionally well on May 4. She will love the 1,800m trip and can easily win again. (5) GOLD POKER GAME ran a terrific race behind Time For Love last time. She was dropped out early and then finished like a train late. Include her in all bets. (1) BEWARE THE BOMB needed her last run badly. She was quite strong early in her race and then stayed on to be beaten just over one length behind Time For Love. Watch for improvement. (7) FUN ZONE ran the race of her life in the Listed Ladies Mile on May 4. If she gets the right run, she could be among the places. Race 8 (1,950m) (4) MUCHO DINERO ran a terrific race first-up in the Grade 3 Legal Eagle Stakes on May 4 at Kenilworth. He quickened smartly to run third to Garrix. He will love the step-up in trip. (2) OTTO LUYKEN went to the front with blinkers on last time and fought really hard all the way to the line. Include him in all bets. (7) GARRIX had to dig deep to win the Grade 3 on May 4. The only concern would be the trip of 1,950m, but he can score on class. (6) BILLY BOWLEGS might be able to sneak into the quartet on his best form. Race 9 (1,000m) (8) THE US OF A was given five points for his impressive May 4 win. He is progressive and will be very hard to beat again. (1) TOUGH TERRAIN ran a great race behind The US Of A last time. He can be a tricky ride, but jockey Muzi Yeni knows him well. He should run a good race. (7) COUNTER ATTACK ran a much better race on May 4. He finished third, beaten just over three lengths by the winner. On best form, he can earn for connections. (2) BLUFF ON BLUFF never runs a bad race. He has been quite busy over the last few weeks. If this race has not come too soon, he could snag a placing.
