Latest news with #SaraTonks
The Herald Scotland
5 days ago
- Climate
- The Herald Scotland
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, an unusual first for 2025
Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. In mid-May, forecasters noted that multiple storms, often in the western North Pacific, usually had formed by this point in the year. The oddity didn't stop the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from predicting an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean. More: See projected path, spaghetti models of Alvin (While all is quiet at the moment in the Atlantic, forecasters are keeping an eye on several weather systems ahead of the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.) It is possible Alvin may strengthen further into a hurricane, AccuWeather said. The storm is expected to begin to lose wind intensity as it moves northward toward Mexico into the weekend and moves over cooler waters and an area of increased wind shear, which acts to tear storms apart. Alvin marks an early start to the eastern Pacific season. The average date for the first tropical storm of that season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. Some rain, clouds may reach US southwest Alvin "may still wander far enough to the north along the west coast of Mexico to allow some moisture in the form of clouds and downpours to reach parts of Texas or New Mexico as early as this weekend," AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes seldom have any major impact on the U.S. "While many eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and eventually fizzle in the open ocean, some do strike land, as we saw in 2023 with the remnant of Hurricane Hilary in the Desert Southwest and with Category 5 Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico," noted meteorologist Sara Tonks in an online forecast. Map shows Alvin's projected storm path This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Below-average season expected in eastern Pacific The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season.
USA Today
5 days ago
- Climate
- USA Today
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, marking an unusual first for 2025
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, marking an unusual first for 2025 Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. Show Caption Hide Caption NOAA predicts at least three hurricanes this season NOAA predicts the three major hurricanes in the 2025 hurricane season. Tropical Storm Alvin formed in the the eastern Pacific Ocean on Thursday, May 29, becoming the first named storm anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center say the storm poses no direct threat to the United States, but it could bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds near the west-central Mexico coastline late week into the weekend. Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. In mid-May, forecasters noted that multiple storms, often in the western North Pacific, usually had formed by this point in the year. The oddity didn't stop the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from predicting an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean. More: See projected path, spaghetti models of Alvin (While all is quiet at the moment in the Atlantic, forecasters are keeping an eye on several weather systems ahead of the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.) It is possible Alvin may strengthen further into a hurricane, AccuWeather said. The storm is expected to begin to lose wind intensity as it moves northward toward Mexico into the weekend and moves over cooler waters and an area of increased wind shear, which acts to tear storms apart. As of 11 a.m. EDT, Thursday May 29, the center of Alvin was located about 670 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja Peninsula. Alvin was moving to the northwest at 10 mph. Its maximum sustained winds were 40 mph. Alvin marks an early start to the eastern Pacific season. The average date for the first tropical storm of that season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. Some rain, clouds may reach US southwest Alvin "may still wander far enough to the north along the west coast of Mexico to allow some moisture in the form of clouds and downpours to reach parts of Texas or New Mexico as early as this weekend," AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes seldom have any major impact on the U.S. "While many eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and eventually fizzle in the open ocean, some do strike land, as we saw in 2023 with the remnant of Hurricane Hilary in the Desert Southwest and with Category 5 Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico," noted meteorologist Sara Tonks in an online forecast. Map shows Alvin's projected storm path This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Below-average season expected in eastern Pacific The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season.
Yahoo
5 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, marking an unusual first for 2025
Tropical Storm Alvin formed in the the eastern Pacific Ocean on Thursday, May 29, becoming the first named storm anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center say the storm poses no direct threat to the United States, but it could bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds near the west-central Mexico coastline late week into the weekend. Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. In mid-May, forecasters noted that multiple storms, often in the western North Pacific, usually had formed by this point in the year. The oddity didn't stop the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from predicting an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean. More: See projected path, spaghetti models of Alvin (While all is quiet at the moment in the Atlantic, forecasters are keeping an eye on several weather systems ahead of the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.) It is possible Alvin may strengthen further into a hurricane, AccuWeather said. The storm is expected to begin to lose wind intensity as it moves northward toward Mexico into the weekend and moves over cooler waters and an area of increased wind shear, which acts to tear storms apart. As of 11 a.m. EDT, Thursday May 29, the center of Alvin was located about 670 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja Peninsula. Alvin was moving to the northwest at 10 mph. Its maximum sustained winds were 40 mph. Alvin marks an early start to the eastern Pacific season. The average date for the first tropical storm of that season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. Alvin "may still wander far enough to the north along the west coast of Mexico to allow some moisture in the form of clouds and downpours to reach parts of Texas or New Mexico as early as this weekend," AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes seldom have any major impact on the U.S. "While many eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and eventually fizzle in the open ocean, some do strike land, as we saw in 2023 with the remnant of Hurricane Hilary in the Desert Southwest and with Category 5 Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico," noted meteorologist Sara Tonks in an online forecast. This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, an unusual first for 2025
Yahoo
26-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center Is Watching An Area That Could Become Tropical Storm Alvin In The Eastern Pacific
The western hemisphere could have its first tropical storm of 2025 this week off the southwestern coast of Mexico, roughly two weeks after the beginning of hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific Basin. What we're watching: The National Hurricane Center is watching a region south of Mexico in the Eastern Pacific that has a high chance of tropical development within the next seven days. (192-hours: Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days – only available on our Premium Pro experience.) A broad trough of low pressure is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, but conditions are in place to support gradual development this week. The odds that the region will undergo tropical formation within the next 48 hours are increasing, and a tropical depression is likely to form midweek. If the interest area becomes a tropical storm, it would be named Tropical Storm Alvin. (MORE: When Could The Atlantic Hurricane Season's First Storm Form?) Is this a threat? The disturbance is several hundred miles south of the Mexican Pacific Coast, and it is slowly moving west-northwestward. Forecast guidance suggests if a tropical depression or storm does form, it could slowly move toward the northwest. This could cause high surf, rip currents and showers along Mexico's Pacific Coast. The season is beginning: As senior meteorologist Chris Dolce wrote about earlier this month, the Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially begins on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season. The season's first tropical storm will be named Alvin. While many Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and eventually fizzle in the open ocean, some do strike land, as we saw in 2023 with the remnant of Hurricane Hilary in the Desert Southwest and with Category 5 Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico. Sara Tonks is a content meteorologist with and has a bachelor's and a master's degree from Georgia Tech in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences along with a master's degree from Unity Environmental University in Marine Science.
Yahoo
02-03-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Winter Storm Lola To Bring Threat Of Blizzard Conditions, Strong Winds To Central Plains This Week
The same system that is set to cause a severe weather threat across the Deep South this week is also expected to cause a significant winter weather threat from the Rockies to the Upper Midwest. The system has been named Winter Storm Lola by The Weather Channel. (MORE: Why Winter Storms Are Named) Winter Storm Lola is causing snow across high elevations in the West on Sunday, including parts of the Sierras and Rocky Mountains. Winter weather alerts have been issued by the National Weather Service in high elevations of California, Nevada, Utah and Colorado, and a winter storm watch has also been issued across portions of the Central Plains. Sunday - Monday: Heavy snow is going to impact high elevations of the Sierras and Rockies through Monday, and some of the peaks could get up to 15 inches of snow. Winds could also gust up to 50 mph, causing potentially reduced visibility and hazardous travel conditions in mountain passes. Monday night - Tuesday: Snow spreads eastward on Monday night into the Central Plains, and the northern edge of the system could cause wintry mix and freezing rain across parts of the Great Lakes. National Weather Service offices across the Plains are warning of potential blizzard conditions from eastern Colorado to southern South Dakota. Winds could gust up to 60 mph, which could cause whiteout conditions. Even though wintry weather is relatively constrained to the Northern Tier, the impacts of the system are widespread with a severe threat Tuesday across the Deep South and strong winds possible across the Central U.S. and Deep South. (MORE: A Severe Weather Outbreak Is Possible Next Week In The South, Including Tornadoes, Flooding Rain) Tuesday night - Wednesday night: The threat of wintry mix and icy precipitation moves into the Midwest and western Great Lakes Tuesday night, stretching across the rest of the Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley by Wednesday night. Because of the overall warm temperatures across the U.S. this week, there will not be a large region of snow from the storm, but wintry mix and icyness could impact cities like Minneapolis, Chicago, Cleveland and Pittsburgh. (192-hours: Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days – only available on our Premium Pro experience.) Thursday - Friday: Lola will begin to wrap up late this week in the Northeast with snow possible for the Interior Northeast and New England. Gusty winds could also threaten coastal cities like Boston and New York. Snowfall totals from Winter Storm Lola will be relatively light for much of the eastern half of the country, especially compared to recent winter storms, but strong winds could turn even a small amount of snow into whiteout or even blizzard conditions. Up to a foot of snow is possible in high elevations, across the Upper Midwest and in some areas of the Central Plains. Sara Tonks is a content meteorologist with and has a bachelor's and a master's degree from Georgia Tech in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences along with a master's degree from Unity Environmental University in Marine Science.
