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The Herald Scotland
28-05-2025
- Business
- The Herald Scotland
Top concerns of Scots ahead of Holyrood election must be heeded
Health care, cost of living, poverty, the economy and, now, immigration - these are the top concerns amongst Scots and politicians should be ready to face all of these worries. Never underestimate the power of public opinion. This is a phrase which should be scrawled all over the walls of political party's campaign rooms ahead of Holyrood 2026. They should be memorising it, living it, breathing it. Without appealing to voters' concerns, political parties are nothing and they would do well in remembering that. It's fortunate there are studies out there to guide them. This month, the Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker, produced by the Diffley Partnership and David Hume Institute, polled 2,326 adults, aged 16 and over, across Scotland. It identified a shift in public concerns as well as rising economic unease. Politicians should be paying heed to this. READ MORE: Immigration ranked as a top concern for Scots, new report reveals Can Reform win the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election? Scottish by-election: Constituents deserve a race to be their MSP The latest survey found that healthcare and the cost of living remain by far the most pressing issues, cited by around a half (49%) and over a third (36%) of people, respectively. The next most cited issue is poverty (17%). However, for the first time since the tracker began in October 2021, immigration has joined the top five public concerns. It is now ranked as a top issue by 16% of Scots, drawing neck and neck with the economy which gained the same amount of percentage points. Amongst those living in the most deprived areas, it is 22%. Senior Research Manager at the Diffley Partnership, Scott Edgar, who led the survey design, told The Herald they have been tracking the topic of immigration for a long time and it's only gradually ticked up over the last 12 months or so. This concern has potentially been brushed away by political parties in Scotland as more of a hot topic for down South with small boats crossing the Channel. It still is, but this study shows it is now on the minds of more and more Scots. Then there's the incredibly pressing issue of economic uncertainty which has stood out in the latest findings. Of those polled, 70% of respondents say economic conditions have worsened compared to a year ago, and almost half (49%) say their own financial situation has deteriorated over the same period. Alarmingly, one in five people said they cannot cover a £100 emergency without borrowing money, a figure that jumps to 44% when considering a £500 expense. What's more, half of Scots report scaling back discretionary expenses, and nearly half are conserving energy at home. Scots are struggling and they are strongly questioning whether the answers lie with the current political establishment as the issue of trust in politicians is also on the rise. With Scotland's main political parties testing out their strategies for next year's parliamentary elections in the Hamilton, Stonehouse and Larkhall by-election right now, they have likely heard some if not all of these issues voiced on the doors. However, this report should sound alarm bells in the ranks of all of Scotland's political parties and shape what they are focusing on in terms of developing their policy platforms ahead of Holyrood 2026. Voters will be looking to Scotland's politicians to offer solutions which address the economic challenges they face, improve their healthcare, standard of living and, now, address the other rising concerns they have. They all better have good answers.
The Herald Scotland
01-05-2025
- Politics
- The Herald Scotland
New Poll: SNP maintains strong lead over Scottish Labour for Holyrood
The poll also surveyed how respondents would vote in an independence referendum: 49% reported that they would vote Yes, while 51% would vote No. The survey asked 1,005 Scots how they would vote in Scottish Parliament and Westminster parliament elections as well as how they would vote in an independence referendum. In voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament, the SNP leads with 36% backing the party in the constituency vote. On the regional list, support stands at 28% – ahead of Labour, which polls at 22% in both ballots. The Scottish Conservatives come in at 13% for the constituency vote and 16% on the list. Reform UK registers double-digit support, with 14% of respondents saying they would vote for the party in the constituency ballot and 12% in the list vote Analysis by Diffley Partnership for The Herald, found that this would leave the SNP with 57 seats in 2026, down 7 in comparison to the 2021 Holyrood election. Labour would gain three seats and have 25 MSPs while the Conservatives would plummet to 17, a decrease of 14. Reform UK is projected to take 12 seats, the Lib Dems 8 and the Green 10. When it comes to Westminster, 33% would support the SNP, 24% would support Labour, 15% would vote for Reform UK, and 14% for the Conservatives. Scott Edgar, Senior Research Manager at Diffley Partnership said: 'With the 2026 Scottish Parliament elections just a year away, this poll shows the SNP are in pole position to remain the largest party at Holyrood come next May. "Despite Labour's efforts in recent months, they have yet to make significant inroads into the SNP's lead. "Meanwhile, Reform UK's polling performance indicates that they will be a force to be reckoned with at next year's election. "As the election approaches, all parties will be looking to seize the narrative, clearly articulate their vision, and make a compelling pitch to voters in what promises to be one of the most consequential elections since devolution.' The SNP, Scottish Labour and the Scottish Conservatives have been contacted for comment.
