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Bitcoin to $1 Million by 2028? Arthur Hayes Says It's Inevitable.
Bitcoin to $1 Million by 2028? Arthur Hayes Says It's Inevitable.

Gulf Insider

time25-05-2025

  • Business
  • Gulf Insider

Bitcoin to $1 Million by 2028? Arthur Hayes Says It's Inevitable.

Arthur Hayes, the outspoken co-founder and former CEO of BitMEX, is no stranger to volatility, be it in markets or in politics. But when he predicts that Bitcoin will hit $1 million by 2028, it is a macroeconomic thesis grounded in decades of monetary policy missteps, geopolitical recalibration, and the slow-motion collapse of the fiat system born in 1971. A System Built On Sand Hayes sees Bitcoin's price action as a structural response to the erosion of financial sovereignty. When the U.S. decoupled the dollar from gold in 1971, it created a global financial system reliant on credit issuance, massive debt accumulation, and central bank intervention. 'The people who benefited the most are those who issue credit – commercial banks,' Hayes explains. 'And anyone who challenges their dominance tends to fall afoul of regulators.' From his perspective, Bitcoin's rise is not a random fluke, it's a very clear reaction. A decentralized, scarce, programmable asset stands in stark contrast to the highly centralized, inflationary fiat model. The Trump Factor And The Strategic Reserve Illusion Hayes is less impressed by politicians claiming to embrace Bitcoin, especially when it is there to serve a populist narrative. Take President Trump's Executive order on the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, while the move grabbed headlines and delighted many in the Bitcoin and crypto community, Hayes remains sceptical. 'Governments buy assets for political reasons and sell them for political reasons,' he warns. 'Why tether your financial future to the whim of politics?' He doesn't see this as actual adoption, but only as a tactical appeal to voters disillusioned by deindustrialization, wage stagnation, and the rise of big finance. Still, the political interest in Bitcoin, no matter how superficial, signals a shift in how governments perceive the role of digital assets in a post-dollar world. Stablecoins Will Lead, But Bitcoin Will Reclaim The Narrative In the short term, Hayes argues that stablecoins, particularly USD-backed ones like USDT, will see greater real-world adoption, especially in regions with limited banking access. 'People want dollars, not volatility,' he notes, citing the Middle East, as a major growth market for stablecoins. Afterall, the Arab region's population is only approximately 40% banked according to the ESCWA Annual SDG Review 2025. But that doesn't mean Bitcoin loses its edge in the stablecoin game. Quite the opposite. Hayes predicts Bitcoin dominance will rise to 70% just before we will see unprecedented price action to $1 million. Why $1 Million Bitcoin Isn't As Wild As It Sounds At the heart of Hayes' forecast is one simple principle: the fiat system must inflate or collapse. Either path fuels Bitcoin's rise. 'The amount of money that will need to be printed just to maintain the current economic structure is staggering,' he explains. 'That's what's going to propel Bitcoin.' Whether or not governments buy Bitcoin is secondary. Their policies of debt expansion, currency debasement, and geopolitical fragmentation will drive more capital into decentralized stores of value. In other words, Bitcoin doesn't need the Government's buy-in or permission to win. We just let governments do their thing, and this leads to Bitcoin winning. Beyond Price: A New Financial Era Hayes' prediction of $1 million isn't rooted in hype. It's based on deep scepticism about the longevity of the current financial order and belief that a decentralized alternative is not only possible but necessary. 'This isn't just about crypto,' Hayes concludes. 'It's about dismantling a system that no longer works and building something better.' Whether Bitcoin reaches $1 million by 2028 remains to be seen. But the conditions that could make it happen are already here.

Anthony Albanese's $1.2bn pledge amid Donald Trump's tariff threat
Anthony Albanese's $1.2bn pledge amid Donald Trump's tariff threat

News.com.au

time23-04-2025

  • Business
  • News.com.au

Anthony Albanese's $1.2bn pledge amid Donald Trump's tariff threat

The Albanese government will invest $1.2bn into Australia's critical minerals supply, which will likely play a major role in negotiating a tariff carveout from the Trump administration. This comes as Australian steel and aluminium imports have been hit with a 25 per cent levy, with other imports slapped with a 10 per cent tariff. Anthony Albanese will on Thursday announce plans to create a Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve to secure quantities of the select minerals that will be made available for domestic projects and select international partners. If re-elected, $1.2bn will be used to secure the initial resource stockpile, and purchases will be made according to strategic and market-conditions. These include elements like titanium, lithium, nickel and cobalt, which are essential for the production of mobile phones, computer chips, electric vehicles, solar panels and defence technologies. Altogether Australia has listed 31 critical minerals, and holds at least 4 per cent of the world's rare earth reserves. The Reserve is expected to be in operation from the second half of 2026, and a taskforce will be created to consult on the design and function of the reserve. Although the Prime Minister did not directly refer to the Trump administration in the announcement, he said the $1.2bn investment into Australia's critical mineral industry would help safeguard 'critical national assets' in 'time of global uncertainty'. 'The Strategic Reserve will mean Government has the power to purchase, own and sell critical minerals found here in Australia,' he said. 'It will mean we can deal with trade and market disruptions from a position of strength. Because Australia will be able to call on an internationally-significant quantity of resources in global demand. 'This will be a national asset and our Government will use it to advance Australia's national interest.' Resources Minister Catherine King said the boost to the industry would also drive industry and jobs in Western Australia, where Mr Albanese will spend Thursday campaigning. 'Critical minerals and rare earths and essential not only to reducing emissions but also for our security and the security of our key partners,' she said. 'While we will continue to supply the world with critical minerals, it's also important that Australia has access to the critical minerals and rare earths we need for a Future Made in Australia. 'The Strategic Reserve, combined with Production Tax Credits and the expansion of the Critical Minerals Facility, shows the Albanese Government is taking the development of an Australian critical minerals industry seriously.'

Anthony Albanese's $1.2bn pledge amid Donald Trump's tariff threat
Anthony Albanese's $1.2bn pledge amid Donald Trump's tariff threat

The Australian

time23-04-2025

  • Business
  • The Australian

Anthony Albanese's $1.2bn pledge amid Donald Trump's tariff threat

The Albanese government will invest $1.2bn into Australia's critical minerals supply, which will likely play a major role in negotiating a tariff carveout from the Trump administration. This comes as Australian steel and aluminium imports have been hit with a 25 per cent levy, with other imports slapped with a 10 per cent tariff. Anthony Albanese will on Thursday announce plans to create a Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve to secure quantities of the select minerals that will be made available for domestic projects and select international partners. Anthony Albanese will make the pledge on Thursday. Picture: Mark Stewart / NewsWire If re-elected, $1.2bn will be used to secure the initial resource stockpile, and purchases will be made according to strategic and market-conditions. These include elements like titanium, lithium, nickel and cobalt, which are essential for the production of mobile phones, computer chips, electric vehicles, solar panels and defence technologies. Altogether Australia has listed 31 critical minerals, and holds at least 4 per cent of the world's rare earth reserves. The Reserve is expected to be in operation from the second half of 2026, and a taskforce will be created to consult on the design and function of the reserve. Although the Prime Minister did not directly refer to the Trump administration in the announcement, he said the $1.2bn investment into Australia's critical mineral industry would help safeguard 'critical national assets' in 'time of global uncertainty'. 'The Strategic Reserve will mean Government has the power to purchase, own and sell critical minerals found here in Australia,' he said. It comes amid Donald Trump's tariff announcement. (Photo by Brendan SMIALOWSKI / AFP) 'It will mean we can deal with trade and market disruptions from a position of strength. Because Australia will be able to call on an internationally-significant quantity of resources in global demand. 'This will be a national asset and our Government will use it to advance Australia's national interest.' Resources Minister Catherine King said the boost to the industry would also drive industry and jobs in Western Australia, where Mr Albanese will spend Thursday campaigning. 'Critical minerals and rare earths and essential not only to reducing emissions but also for our security and the security of our key partners,' she said. 'While we will continue to supply the world with critical minerals, it's also important that Australia has access to the critical minerals and rare earths we need for a Future Made in Australia. 'The Strategic Reserve, combined with Production Tax Credits and the expansion of the Critical Minerals Facility, shows the Albanese Government is taking the development of an Australian critical minerals industry seriously.' Jessica Wang NewsWire Federal Politics Reporter Jessica Wang is a federal politics reporter for NewsWire based in the Canberra Press Gallery. She previously covered NSW state politics for the Wire and has also worked at and Mamamia covering breaking news, entertainment, and lifestyle. @imjesswang_ Jessica Wang

Albo's $1.2bn pledge amid tariff threat
Albo's $1.2bn pledge amid tariff threat

Perth Now

time23-04-2025

  • Business
  • Perth Now

Albo's $1.2bn pledge amid tariff threat

The Albanese government will invest $1.2bn into Australia's critical minerals supply, which will likely play a major role in negotiating a tariff carveout from the Trump administration. This comes as Australian steel and aluminium imports have been hit with a 25 per cent levy, with other imports slapped with a 10 per cent tariff. Anthony Albanese will on Thursday announce plans to create a Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve to secure quantities of the select minerals that will be made available for domestic projects and select international partners. Anthony Albanese will make the pledge on Thursday. Mark Stewart / NewsWire Credit: News Corp Australia If re-elected, $1.2bn will be used to secure the initial resource stockpile, and purchases will be made according to strategic and market-conditions. These include elements like titanium, lithium, nickel and cobalt, which are essential for the production of mobile phones, computer chips, electric vehicles, solar panels and defence technologies. Altogether Australia has listed 31 critical minerals, and holds at least 4 per cent of the world's rare earth reserves. The Reserve is expected to be in operation from the second half of 2026, and a taskforce will be created to consult on the design and function of the reserve. Although the Prime Minister did not directly refer to the Trump administration in the announcement, he said the $1.2bn investment into Australia's critical mineral industry would help safeguard 'critical national assets' in 'time of global uncertainty'. 'The Strategic Reserve will mean Government has the power to purchase, own and sell critical minerals found here in Australia,' he said. 'It will mean we can deal with trade and market disruptions from a position of strength. Because Australia will be able to call on an internationally-significant quantity of resources in global demand. 'This will be a national asset and our Government will use it to advance Australia's national interest.' Resources Minister Catherine King said the boost to the industry would also drive industry and jobs in Western Australia, where Mr Albanese will spend Thursday campaigning. 'Critical minerals and rare earths and essential not only to reducing emissions but also for our security and the security of our key partners,' she said. 'While we will continue to supply the world with critical minerals, it's also important that Australia has access to the critical minerals and rare earths we need for a Future Made in Australia. 'The Strategic Reserve, combined with Production Tax Credits and the expansion of the Critical Minerals Facility, shows the Albanese Government is taking the development of an Australian critical minerals industry seriously.'

Federal election: Labor promises to launch critical minerals reserve in move for ‘national interest'
Federal election: Labor promises to launch critical minerals reserve in move for ‘national interest'

7NEWS

time23-04-2025

  • Business
  • 7NEWS

Federal election: Labor promises to launch critical minerals reserve in move for ‘national interest'

The Albanese Government has promised to establish a Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve that could be used as a bargaining chip in trade talks with US President Donald Trump. Minerals held by the reserve will be made available to domestic industry and key international partners, which would likely include the United States, with the mechanism and allocations to be determined by Government, should it be re-elected on May 3. Labor will establish the reserve in 2026 through national offtake agreements with commercial projects and selective stockpiling of key minerals. Labor says the primary consideration for entering into offtake agreements will be securing priority critical minerals for strategic reasons. The focus will be on a subset of critical minerals that are most important for Australia's national security and the security of our key partners, including rare earths. A re-elected Labor Government will make an initial investment of $1.2 billion into the reserve, including through a $1 billion increase in the existing Critical Minerals Facility. This will take total investment in the Facility to $5 billion. The prime minister said the timing is crucial given the ongoing global uncertainty. 'Australia will be stronger and safer by developing our critical national assets to create economic opportunity and resilience,' Albanese said. 'I will ensure that Australia continues to produce and benefit from the resources that are essential to our national interest. 'The Strategic Reserve will mean Government has the power to purchase, own and sell critical minerals found here in Australia. 'It will mean we can deal with trade and market disruptions from a position of strength. Because Australia will be able to call on an internationally-significant quantity of resources in global demand. 'This will be a national asset and our Government will use it to advance Australia's national interest.' The announcement will be made in Western Australia on Friday, Resources Minister Madeline King said critical minerals and rare earths are essential for reducing emissions and security reasons. 'While we will continue to supply the world with critical minerals, it's also important that Australia has access to the critical minerals and rare earths we need for a future made in Australia,' King says. 'The Strategic Reserve, combined with Production Tax Credits and the expansion of the Critical Minerals Facility shows the Albanese Government is taking the development of an Australian critical minerals industry seriously. 'And that means more investment and more jobs for Western Australia.' Peter Dutton has hinted at using critical minerals to negotiate with Donald Trump for a tariff exemption, but the Liberal leader is yet to reveal the exact details.

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