Latest news with #SummerReliabilityAssessment
Yahoo
05-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Northeast Power Coordinating Council, Inc. Summer Reliability Assessment Forecasts Adequate Electricity Supplies
(The Assessment covers New York, New England, and Eastern Canada) NEW YORK, June 05, 2025--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Northeast Power Coordinating Council, Inc. (NPCC) 2025 Summer Reliability Assessment forecasts the NPCC Region will have an adequate supply of electricity this summer. The overall NPCC coincident electricity summer peak demand is forecasted to be approximately 104,600 MW, which is approximately 400 MW lower than last summer. A total installed capacity of about 157,000 MW is projected to be in place to meet electricity demand in the Region. NPCC's installed capacity has decreased by approximately 1,300 MW from last summer. The largest capacity decrease occurred in Ontario due to the planned retirement of the Pickering G1 and G4 nuclear units. Forecasts also indicate sufficient transmission capability and adequate capacity margins to meet peak demand and required operating reserves. NPCC's spare operable capacity (over and above reserve requirements) this summer is estimated to range from 4,700 MW to over 17,000 MW. "NPCC's assessment indicates our Region has spare capacity for this summer, which can be used to help mitigate reliability risks that may result from unexpected unavailability of key facilities, fuel supply interruptions, generation maintenance, or higher than anticipated demand," said Charles Dickerson, NPCC President and Chief Executive Officer. New England, the state of New York and the Canadian Provinces of Ontario, Québec and the Maritimes are forecasted to have adequate supplies of electricity this summer. Due to its winter peaking nature, Québec is expected to meet forecast electricity demand by a wide margin enabling transfers of surplus electricity supplies to other Areas of the Region, if needed. The assessment considered a wide range of associated risks, including higher than expected demand, forecast demand uncertainty, unexpected generator plant outages, transmission constraints between neighboring Regions and within NPCC, the implementation of operating procedures, the estimated impact of demand response programs, and additional capacity unavailability coupled with reduced transfer capabilities. "NPCC continues to see sustained growth in distributed photovoltaic resources," said Phil Fedora, NPCC Chief Engineer and Senior Vice President of External Affairs. "The reduction to NPCC's summer peak demand due to behind-the-meter photovoltaic resources is estimated to be over 4,000 MW." Throughout the summer, NPCC will continue to monitor the operating conditions of the bulk power system. As part of these efforts, NPCC conducts daily and week-ahead calls between NPCC system operators and neighboring regions to communicate current operating conditions, coordinate planned maintenance and facilitate the procurement of assistance under emergency conditions. In addition, NPCC supports industry-wide reliability and security coordination efforts to promote communications, awareness, and information sharing. Solar storms are expected to increase in occurrence and severity again this summer. NPCC is prepared to initiate its procedures designed to mitigate the effects of geomagnetic disturbances on the power system. The NPCC 2025 Summer Reliability Assessment is available at: Resources | NPCC. About NPCC Northeast Power Coordinating Council, Inc. is one of six Regional Entities located throughout the United States, Canada, and portions of Mexico that, in concert with the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, seeks to assure a highly reliable, resilient, and secure North American bulk power system through the effective and efficient identification, reduction, and mitigation of reliability risks. NPCC's geographic area includes the six New England states, the State of New York, the provinces of Ontario, Québec, and the Canadian Maritime Provinces of New Brunswick and Nova Scotia. Overall, NPCC covers an area of nearly 1.2 million square miles, populated by approximately 62 million people. NPCC carries out its mission through: (i) the development of regional reliability standards and compliance assessment and enforcement of continent-wide and Regional Reliability standards; (ii) coordination of system planning, design and operations, and assessment of reliability; and, (iii) the establishment of Regionally-specific criteria and monitoring and enforcement of compliance with such criteria. View source version on Contacts media@
Yahoo
14-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Middle swath of North America at risk of power shortfalls this summer, regulator says
By Laila Kearney (Reuters) -The middle section of the U.S. and Canada could have a shortfall of electricity this summer if higher-than-normal forecasted temperatures drive up demand as a changing mix of power supplies increases reliability risks, the organization overseeing the area's grid said on Wednesday. Electricity demand in the United States and Canada has grown by 10 gigawatts since last summer -- a more than doubling of the previous year's increase -- while fossil-fired power supplies retire and solar power additions surge, the North American Electricity Reliability Corporation said. At the same time electricity consumption rises from data centers, manufacturing and the electrification of industries like transportation, the sources of power generation on the North American electrical grid are shifting from around-the-clock power plants like coal and nuclear to intermittent supply from renewables, like solar and wind. That change has presented new challenges for grid reliability during the summer months, according to NERC, when the use of energy-guzzling air conditioning systems threatens to strip resources on the grid and cause power shortfalls. ERCOT, which controls the Texas grid, will be tested in the early evening hours, when demand increases but solar power output wanes. "When the sun goes down, that late early evening time period, that's when there's potential to fall short," NERC's John Moura during NERC's annual Summer Reliability Assessment news conference call. In the Southwest Power Pool, which covers states, including Montana, New Mexico and Nebraska, low wind power generation could throw off the supply and demand balance. Major Midwestern grid operator MISO, meanwhile, is expected to have less supply than last year with the retirement of 1,575 megawatts of natural gas and coal-fired generation since last summer. Outlier region New England is also at elevated risk of shortfalls. More than 7 gigawatts of fossil-fired power generation, including coal and natural gas, is expected to have retired since last summer in North America. At the same time as those around-the-clock power supplies retire, about 30 gigawatts of installed solar capacity, along with 13 gigawatts of battery storage capacity, has been added on the continent over the last year, NERC said in its report. The U.S. and Canada will need to add new transmission lines and power supplies to keep up with demand and rising temperatures to avoid shortfalls in the summer months, said Moura, who leads NERC's reliability assessment and system analysis. "As demand grows, we've got to build infrastructure," Moura said.
Reuters
14-05-2025
- Business
- Reuters
Middle swath of North America at risk of power shortfalls this summer, regulator says
May 14 (Reuters) - The middle section of the U.S. and Canada could have a shortfall of electricity this summer if higher-than-normal forecasted temperatures drive up demand as a changing mix of power supplies increases reliability risks, the organization overseeing the area's grid said on Wednesday. Electricity demand in the United States and Canada has grown by 10 gigawatts since last summer -- a more than doubling of the previous year's increase -- while fossil-fired power supplies retire and solar power additions surge, the North American Electricity Reliability Corporation said. At the same time electricity consumption rises from data centers, manufacturing and the electrification of industries like transportation, the sources of power generation on the North American electrical grid are shifting from around-the-clock power plants like coal and nuclear to intermittent supply from renewables, like solar and wind. That change has presented new challenges for grid reliability during the summer months, according to NERC, when the use of energy-guzzling air conditioning systems threatens to strip resources on the grid and cause power shortfalls. ERCOT, which controls the Texas grid, will be tested in the early evening hours, when demand increases but solar power output wanes. "When the sun goes down, that late early evening time period, that's when there's potential to fall short," NERC's John Moura during NERC's annual Summer Reliability Assessment news conference call. In the Southwest Power Pool, which covers states, including Montana, New Mexico and Nebraska, low wind power generation could throw off the supply and demand balance. Major Midwestern grid operator MISO, meanwhile, is expected to have less supply than last year with the retirement of 1,575 megawatts of natural gas and coal-fired generation since last summer. Outlier region New England is also at elevated risk of shortfalls. More than 7 gigawatts of fossil-fired power generation, including coal and natural gas, is expected to have retired since last summer in North America. At the same time as those around-the-clock power supplies retire, about 30 gigawatts of installed solar capacity, along with 13 gigawatts of battery storage capacity, has been added on the continent over the last year, NERC said in its report. The U.S. and Canada will need to add new transmission lines and power supplies to keep up with demand and rising temperatures to avoid shortfalls in the summer months, said Moura, who leads NERC's reliability assessment and system analysis. "As demand grows, we've got to build infrastructure," Moura said.
