Latest news with #TaiwanEconomy

Wall Street Journal
19-06-2025
- Business
- Wall Street Journal
Taiwan Central Bank Stays on Hold Amid Resilient Growth
Taiwan's central bank again left interest rates unchanged as the export-reliant economy remained resilient in the face of tariff headwinds. The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) kept its benchmark discount rate at 2.000% on Thursday, marking a fifth consecutive hold. The decision was expected by all eight economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.


Bloomberg
18-06-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
Taiwan Seen Holding Benchmark Rate Due to Tariff Uncertainty
By and Chien-Hua Wan Save Taiwan is likely to hold its benchmark interest rate for the fifth straight quarter as it considers worries about tariffs, the economy and inflation – though a surge in the local currency provides some incentive for a cut. Of the 28 economists surveyed by Bloomberg, 27 expect the central bank to leave the key rate at 2% — the highest since 2008 — later on Thursday.


CNA
16-06-2025
- Business
- CNA
Taiwan set to hold rates steady with economy strong: Reuters poll
TAIPEI :Taiwan's central bank is likely to maintain its policy interest rate this week and keep it steady through the first quarter of next year, given the strong performance of the tech-focused economy, according to economists in a Reuters poll. In March, the central bank left the benchmark discount rate at 2 per cent, as expected, after raising it from 1.875 per cent in March 2024 in anticipation of a rise in electricity prices. At its next quarterly meeting on Thursday, it is expected to keep the rate steady, according to 29 of the 30 economists surveyed. Economists who provided forecasts beyond this week predicted the bank will maintain its stance through the first quarter of 2026, when they forecast a rate cut to 1.875 per cent. Taiwan's tech-centred, export-dependent economy has been supported by demand from the artificial intelligence boom, which has driven orders for companies such as TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker. "Taiwan's economy is stable and inflation is moderate, so there is no need to cut interest rates," said analyst Chiang Kuang-yu of Masterlink Investment Advisory. The economy is expected to expand 3.1 per cent this year due to the AI boom, the government's statistics agency said last month, though that is slower than last year's growth of 4.59 per cent given uncertainty over U.S. tariffs. On inflation, Taiwan's consumer price index (CPI) rose by a lower-than-forecast 1.55 per cent in May, its lowest level in more than four years. The central bank, which considers 2 per cent its "warning" line, has made easing inflation a priority. Still, Taiwanese policymakers have warned of the impact to the trade-dependent economy posed by higher tariffs threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump. Taiwan and the United States remain in talks to resolve the issue. The central bank is expected to maintain a wait-and-see stance before the end of Trump's 90-day pause on his "reciprocal" tariff rates in early July, Oxford Economics said in a research report. "However, with tariff risks potentially re-emerging from the third quarter and the real estate market continuing to cool, the central bank is projected to initiate an interest rate cut cycle by the end of this year," it added. The Taiwan central bank decision will come one day after the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to hold interest rates steady. The Taiwan central bank will also announce its revised economic growth and inflation forecasts for this year on Thursday.


CNA
16-06-2025
- Business
- CNA
Taiwan set to hold rates steady with economy strong
TAIPEI :Taiwan's central bank is likely to maintain its policy interest rate this week and keep it steady through the first quarter of next year, given the strong performance of the tech-focused economy, according to economists in a Reuters poll. In March, the central bank left the benchmark discount rate at 2 per cent, as expected, after raising it from 1.875 per cent in March 2024 in anticipation of a rise in electricity prices. At its next quarterly meeting on Thursday, it is expected to keep the rate steady, according to 29 of the 30 economists surveyed. Economists who provided forecasts beyond this week predicted the bank will maintain its stance through the first quarter of 2026, when they forecast a rate cut to 1.875 per cent. Taiwan's tech-centred, export-dependent economy has been supported by demand from the artificial intelligence boom, which has driven orders for companies such as TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker. "Taiwan's economy is stable and inflation is moderate, so there is no need to cut interest rates," said analyst Chiang Kuang-yu of Masterlink Investment Advisory. The economy is expected to expand 3.1 per cent this year due to the AI boom, the government's statistics agency said last month, though that is slower than last year's growth of 4.59 per cent given uncertainty over U.S. tariffs. On inflation, Taiwan's consumer price index (CPI) rose by a lower-than-forecast 1.55 per cent in May, its lowest level in more than four years. The central bank, which considers 2 per cent its "warning" line, has made easing inflation a priority. Still, Taiwanese policymakers have warned of the impact to the trade-dependent economy posed by higher tariffs threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump. Taiwan and the United States remain in talks to resolve the issue. The central bank is expected to maintain a wait-and-see stance before the end of Trump's 90-day pause on his "reciprocal" tariff rates in early July, Oxford Economics said in a research report. "However, with tariff risks potentially re-emerging from the third quarter and the real estate market continuing to cool, the central bank is projected to initiate an interest rate cut cycle by the end of this year," it added. The Taiwan central bank decision will come one day after the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to hold interest rates steady. The Taiwan central bank will also announce its revised economic growth and inflation forecasts for this year on Thursday.


Reuters
16-06-2025
- Business
- Reuters
Taiwan set to hold rates steady with economy strong
TAIPEI, June 16 (Reuters) - Taiwan's central bank is likely to maintain its policy interest rate this week and keep it steady through the first quarter of next year, given the strong performance of the tech-focused economy, according to economists in a Reuters poll. In March, the central bank left the benchmark discount rate (TWINTR=ECI), opens new tab at 2%, as expected, after raising it from 1.875% in March 2024 in anticipation of a rise in electricity prices. At its next quarterly meeting on Thursday, it is expected to keep the rate steady, according to 29 of the 30 economists surveyed. Economists who provided forecasts beyond this week predicted the bank will maintain its stance through the first quarter of 2026, when they forecast a rate cut to 1.875%. Taiwan's tech-centred, export-dependent economy has been supported by demand from the artificial intelligence boom, which has driven orders for companies such as TSMC ( opens new tab, the world's largest contract chipmaker. "Taiwan's economy is stable and inflation is moderate, so there is no need to cut interest rates," said analyst Chiang Kuang-yu of Masterlink Investment Advisory. The economy is expected to expand 3.1% this year due to the AI boom, the government's statistics agency said last month, though that is slower than last year's growth of 4.59% given uncertainty over U.S. tariffs. On inflation, Taiwan's consumer price index (CPI) rose by a lower-than-forecast 1.55% in May, its lowest level in more than four years. The central bank, which considers 2% its "warning" line, has made easing inflation a priority. Still, Taiwanese policymakers have warned of the impact to the trade-dependent economy posed by higher tariffs threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump. Taiwan and the United States remain in talks to resolve the issue. The central bank is expected to maintain a wait-and-see stance before the end of Trump's 90-day pause on his "reciprocal" tariff rates in early July, Oxford Economics said in a research report. "However, with tariff risks potentially re-emerging from the third quarter and the real estate market continuing to cool, the central bank is projected to initiate an interest rate cut cycle by the end of this year," it added. The Taiwan central bank decision will come one day after the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to hold interest rates steady. The Taiwan central bank will also announce its revised economic growth and inflation forecasts for this year on Thursday.