Latest news with #TalkingtheTropicsWithMike
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
First Alert Weather: A wet couple of days ahead for the Jacksonville area
The rain and storms caused a mess Tuesday afternoon, with a tree falling on Interstate 95 in St. Johns County. WATCH THE FORECAST | DOWNLOAD THE APPS Here's what the First Alert Weather Team said we can expect the rest of the week: Scattered heavy showers and storms into early Tuesday night across Northeast Florida, then scattered lingering showers overnight thanks to high humidity and a steady wind out of the SE off the Atlantic. Southeast Georgia will begin Tuesday evening mostly dry, but showers and a few storms will increase overnight. Wednesday and Thursday will be mostly cloudy and muggy with on-and-off showers, a few storms. Tropical downpours will result in some locally heavy rainfall and will help keep temperatures lower, 80-85 degrees. Friday turns drier with more sun and temperatures getting back to 90+ degrees with only an isolated shower or storm. INTERACTIVE RADAR: Keep track of the rain as it moves through your neighborhood TROPICS: (1) An area of weak low pressure will develop the next couple days northeast of Jacksonville & near the coast of the Carolinas. While this area has been highlighted in yellow by the NHC for a low risk of development, there will be few if any direct impacts to Jax/Northeast Florida/Southeast Georgia. Tropical moisture will bring showers and storms to the local area Wednesday and Thursday with or without any low pressure actually developing. (2) keeping an eye on the Western Caribbean and Southern Gulf for possible longer-range tropical development – not likely until at least sometime next week or even later, if at all. Always more: 'Talking the Tropics With Mike.' ALLERGY TRACKER: See what the pollen counts look like in our area TONIGHT: Periods of showers, a few evening t'storms. Low: 72 WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with on-and-off showers,a few t'storms. High: 83 WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy & muggy with a few showers. Low: 72 THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers at times, a t'storm. High: 87 FRIDAY: Partly cloudy with an isolated afternoon t'storm. 72/91 SATURDAY: Partly cloudy, an isolated shower or t'storm. 71/93 SUNDAY: Partly cloudy & hot with a few afternoon t'storms. 72/94 MONDAY: Partly sunny with a few showers/t'storms. 73/91 TUESDAY: Partly cloudy with scattered showers/storms. 73/91 Follow Action News Jax Meteorologists on Twitter for updates: Mike Buresh | Garrett Bedenbaugh | Corey Simma | Trevor Gibbs LISTEN: Mike Buresh 'All the Weather, All the Time' Podcast SHARE WITH US: Send us photos of the weather you're seeing in your area ⬇️
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
First Alert Weather: Higher humidity returning along with rain eventually increasing
Higher humidity has moved back in, along with hazy skies, thanks to the jet stream drawing smoke from Canadian wildfires south all the way to the Southeast U.S. The smoke will gradually thin and dissipate over the next day or two. WATCH THE FORECAST | DOWNLOAD THE APPS Here's what you can expect for the rest of the week: Tuesday will be very warm and humid with isolated afternoon showers. Rainfall coverage will begin to increase Tuesday night and even more so for Wednesday and Thursday, when everyone will get at least some rain. The heaviest amounts will be roughly from Interstate 95 to the beaches. Highs will be near 90 on Tuesday, then the 80s on Wednesday and Thursday. We'll go back to a more 'normal' early summer weather pattern Friday into the weekend – hot & humid with a few afternoon storms. INTERACTIVE RADAR: Keep track of the rain as it moves through your neighborhood TROPICS: (1) An area of weak low pressure will develop by midweek northeast of Jacksonville & near the coast of the Carolinas. While this area has been highlighted in yellow by the NHC for a low risk of development, there will be few, if any, direct impacts to Jacksonville/Northeast Florida/Southeast Georgia. Tropical moisture will bring showers and storms to the local area with or without any low pressure actually developing. (2) Keeping an eye on the Western Caribbean and Southern Gulf for possible longer-range tropical development – not likely til at least sometime next week, if at all. Always more at 'Talking the Tropics With Mike.' LISTEN: Mike Buresh 'All the Weather, All the Time' Podcast TONIGHT: Partly cloudy, warmer & more humid. Low: 68 TUESDAY: Partly sunny with an isolated afternoon shower. High: 89 TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy & muggy with a few showers. Low: 72 WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers at times, a t'storm. High: 83 THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with on-&-off showers & a few t'storms. 72/87 FRIDAY: Partly cloudy, a scattered shower or t'storm. 72/91 SATURDAY: Partly clody with an isolated t'storm. 71/93 SUNDAY: Partly cloudy with isolated shower/t'storm. 72/94 MONDAY: Partly cloudy with a scattered shower/storm. 73/91 Follow Action News Jax Meteorologists on Twitter for updates: Mike Buresh | Garrett Bedenbaugh | Corey Simma | Trevor Gibbs ALLERGY TRACKER: See what the pollen counts look like in our area SHARE WITH US: Send us photos of the weather you're seeing in your area ⬇️
Yahoo
27-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Buresh Blog: Hurricane season... June averages... St. Johns Riverkeeper... Most unpredictable cities
To become a part of the First Alert Neighborhood weather station network - scan below &/or click * here *: The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season gets underway Sunday, June 1st. As always - since 2005 - I'll update 'Talking the Tropics With Mike' every day through the season (Nov. 30th). The forecast is for an 'above average' season but, of course, how a season is remembered depends on any landfalls & the intensity & impacts of those landfalls. An 'average' season is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes & 3 major (Cat. 3+) hurricanes. The first name this season is 'Andrea' (names repeat every 6 years & 'Dorian' was retired from the 2019 season & replaced with 'Dexter'). And so we turn the calendars to June. Summer is here no doubt! It's time to celebrate the St. Johns River! Get Your Feet Wet with St. Johns Riverkeeper! St. Johns Riverkeeper (SJRK) is celebrating its 25th Anniversary throughout 2025! Celebrate by joining SJRK and fellow river enthusiasts for events throughout the St. Johns River Watershed. Click * here * to find a list of St. Johns River activities & clean-ups. 'Tideschart' - credit & link * here * - has come up with a list of the cities with the most unpredictable weather. No surprise - the Midwest is the most difficult to forecast though Florida cities did rate high (unpredictable) for rainfall variability. Oklahoma City has the most unpredictable weather in the US and scores 81.06 out of 100 in this study. The city recorded high variations in rainfall with an average of 0.51 inches a day (the fourth highest overall) and daily wind speed deviations of 4.06 mph (the second highest nationally). Omaha, Nebraska ranks second most unpredictable with 79.77 points. In Omaha, temperature swings were more extreme than any other major city in the study. Average temperature variations in Omaha hit 20.82°F, while maximum temperature changes reached 21.50°F. Omaha was discovered to also be the city most likely to see unexpected changes, with an average wind speed deviation of 4.35 mph on an average Minnesota secured third place with 68.96 points on the unpredictability scale, where people face some of the most drastic temperature changes nationwide. Most notably, the city saw standard deviations of 22.40°F in average temperatures and 23.05°F in maximum temperatures. Kansas City scored 68.61 points and Louisville reached 68.17, rounding out the five cities with the US's most unpredictable weather patterns. Oklahoma saw a second city land in the top ten most unstable weather locations, as Tulsa secured sixth place with a score of 65.76. This was then followed by Indianapolis, Indiana in seventh place with a score of 64.63. Chicago, Illinois ranked closely behind in eighth with a score of 63.74. Rounding out the top ten are two Texas cities, with Arlington receiving 63.43 points, and Fort Worth scoring 62.52. The West Coast tells an entirely different weather story, with the study showing significantly more stable and predictable conditions across major cities. Long Beach, California recorded the lowest score at just 19.85 out of 100, making it the most predictable major US city for weather, where residents rarely need to worry about sudden storms or temperature plunges. Los Angeles followed at 21.49 points, with San Diego scoring 21.75, Seattle reaching 24.72, and Portland recording 27.68. California claimed six cities among the ten most stable weather locations, highlighting the state's consistently reliable climate patterns that make weather forecasting much more accurate. The research examined weather patterns across the nation's 50 highest-populated cities through five different weather measurements. Using figures from the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), the experts anaylzed how much the rain, temperature, and wind speed varied from day to day. Methodology: A total of five factors, which were sourced from the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) were used to compile the index. The factors and their percentage weightings are: Standard deviation of daily precipitation (inches) - 30% weighting Standard deviation of daily average temperature (F) - 20% weighting Standard deviation of daily maximum temperature (F) - 10% weighting Standard deviation of daily minimum temperature (F) - 10% weighting Standard deviation of daily average wind speed (mph) - 30% weighting The raw data for each factor was cleaned, checked, and standardized on the same scale from 0 to 10, where 0 and 10 represent the worst and best values present in the data. A weighting was then assigned to each factor reflecting its importance within the analysis. Once the weightings were assigned, the total score for the factors was calculated, producing an overall index score out of 100 for each entry, upon which the final ranking is based. The standard deviation of a metric is the typical distance from the average of that metric. Most of the data (around 68%) is closer to the average than one standard deviation. The higher the standard deviation, the more the data is spread out and therefore more unpredictable.
