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Business Standard
21-07-2025
- Business
- Business Standard
India VIX at 15-month low as market stays calm; muted volatility to persist
India's market volatility index has slipped to a 15-month low, with analysts attributing the decline to the absence of major geopolitical triggers and expecting the subdued volatility to persist in the near term. India VIX, the measure of market volatility in the domestic market, is currently trading at 11.4, the lowest closing since April 29, 2024. The gauge has fallen for the third straight month and is down 37 per cent so far since May. The volatility gauge measures the market's expectation of future volatility based on Nifty50 index options contracts. It typically rises when market volatility is expected to increase, indicating higher uncertainty or risk in the near future. Currently, there are no major immediate events expected, which is why the VIX is at its lowest level in about 15 months, according to Nilesh Shah, head of derivatives and technical research at Centrum Broking. "We've also seen a steady decline in implied volatility (IV), which is actually supportive for the market," he said. Earlier concerns, such as geopolitical tensions, particularly around US President Trump's tariffs, have also eased, said Chandan Taparia, head of technical and derivatives research at Motilal Oswal Wealth Management. "There's stability in crude oil prices and no immediate concerns around central banks like the Federal Reserve (FOMC) or the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). With most major events behind us, the focus has shifted to quarterly earnings." Global stability across equity markets, including in indices like the Dow Jones, is another reason why India's volatility remains subdued, Taparia noted. The CBOE VIX, America's volatility index, has dropped over the past four months, he added. No Jane Street Impact There is no connection between the decline in India VIX and the Jane Street ban, analysts clarified. The curb on trading by Jane Street has already played out, Shah said. 'Since this is based on the Nifty Index options contracts, some might think there's a connection. But India VIX reflects overall market sentiment, not direct movements in the options market,' he explained. Investors need to assess implied volatility to understand activity in the options market more precisely. Taparia also emphasised that the current low VIX levels are not related to the ban on Jane Street.


Time of India
21-07-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Stocks to buy today: ONGC, HDFC AMC among top 7 trading ideas for 21 July 2025
The Indian market is likely to open lower on Monday, tracking weak global cues. Nifty futures closed lower on Friday, slipping 0.59% to 25,026. Meanwhile, India VIX rose 1.3% to end at 11.39, indicating a slight uptick in market volatility. Explore courses from Top Institutes in Select a Course Category Project Management PGDM healthcare Public Policy Finance Operations Management Data Science Data Analytics Healthcare CXO Product Management Others MCA Artificial Intelligence Cybersecurity MBA Digital Marketing Technology Data Science Degree Design Thinking Management Leadership others Skills you'll gain: Project Planning & Governance Agile Software Development Practices Project Management Tools & Software Techniques Scrum Framework Duration: 12 Weeks Indian School of Business Certificate Programme in IT Project Management Starts on Jun 20, 2024 Get Details Skills you'll gain: Portfolio Management Project Planning & Risk Analysis Strategic Project/Portfolio Selection Adaptive & Agile Project Management Duration: 6 Months IIT Delhi Certificate Programme in Project Management Starts on May 30, 2024 Get Details by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like The Safest Cities Where People can Live in Peace Undo On the options front, maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is seen at the 25,100 strike, followed by 25,200, while maximum Put OI is placed at 25,000, then 24,900. Call writing has been observed at the 25,100 and 25,000 strikes, while Put writing is seen at 25,000 and 24,900, suggesting a key tussle around these levels. 'Options data suggests a broader trading range between 24,500 and 25,500, with an immediate range between 24,700 and 25,200,' said Chandan Taparia, Analyst - Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services . Live Events 'Signs of profit-taking have been building over the last few sessions. The index now needs a decisive move above 25,000 to negate the immediate bearish outlook and trigger a meaningful recovery,' he added. 'A bearish candle was formed on both daily and weekly charts. As long as Nifty holds below 25,000, weakness could extend toward 24,800, then 24,650 zones, while resistances are seen at 25,150 and 25,250,' Taparia said. Expert: Chandan Taparia, Motilal Oswal Financial Services HDFC AMC : Buy | Target: Rs 5,900 | Stop Loss: Rs 5,450 SAIL : Buy | Target: Rs 144 | Stop Loss: Rs 132 Dalmia Bharat : Buy | Target: Rs 2,365 | Stop Loss: Rs 2,210 F&O Strategy – ONGC (July 31 Expiry): Buy | Target: Rs 258 | Stop Loss: Rs 240 Expert: Sharan Lillaney, Independent SEBI Research Analyst Tata Steel : Buy | Target: Rs 168 | Stop Loss: Rs 156 Muthoot Finance : Buy | Target: Rs 2,740 | Stop Loss: Rs 2,580 Whirlpool : Buy | Target: Rs 1,514 | Stop Loss: Rs 1,374 ( Disclaimer : Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)


Time of India
15-07-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Stocks to buy or sell today: Biocon, Voltas among 7 trading ideas for 15 July 2025
The Indian market is likely to consolidate on Tuesday, tracking mixed global cues. The Nifty future closed negatively with losses of 0.20% at 25,173 levels on Monday. India VIX was up 1.3% to close at 11.98 in the previous session. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Villas Prices In Dubai Might Be More Affordable Than You Think Villas In Dubai | Search Ads Get Quote Undo On the options front, the maximum Call OI is at 25,500 and then at 25,300 strikes, while the maximum Put OI is at 25,000 and then at 25,100 strikes. Call writing is seen at 25,100 and then at 25,200 strikes, while Put writing is seen at 25,100 and then at 25,000 strikes. 'Options data suggests a broader trading range in between 24,600 to 25,600 zones while an immediate range between 24,800 to 25,300 levels,' Chandan Taparia, Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited , said. Live Events 'Nifty formed a bearish candle on the daily frame on Monday and has begun to slope downward as its making lower top - lower bottom structure indicating some selling pressure is intact at bounce,' he added. 'Now till the Nifty index holds below 25,150 zones, weakness could be seen towards 25,000 then 24,800 zones while hurdles are shifting lower at 25,222 then 25,350 zones,' recommended Taparia. We have collated stocks from various experts for traders who have a short-term trading horizon: Expert: Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd told ETBureau Biocon : Buy| Target Rs 398| Stop Loss Rs 368 LIC Housing Finance: Buy| Target Rs 628| Stop Loss Rs 694 Marico: Buy| Target Rs 755| Stop Loss Rs 714 Tata Motors: Sell| Target Rs 642| Stop Loss Rs 692 Expert: Sharan Lillaney, Independent SEBI Research Analyst Prestige Estates Projects Ltd: Buy| Target Rs 1776| Stop Loss Rs 1676 Ambuja Cements: Buy| Target Rs 605| Stop Loss Rs 575 Voltas : Buy| Target Rs 1401| Stop Loss Rs 1351 ( Disclaimer : Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)


Time of India
14-07-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Stocks to buy or sell today: Voltas, REC among 6 trading ideas for 14 July 2025
The Indian market is likely to consolidate on Monday, tracking muted global cues. The Nifty future closed negatively with losses of 0.84% at 25208 levels. India VIX rose 1.2% to close at 11.82 in the previous session. On the options front, the maximum Call OI is placed at 25,500 and then towards 25,300 strikes while the maximum Put OI is placed at 25,000 and then towards 25,100 strikes. Call writing is seen at 25,300 and then at 25,200 strikes, while Put writing is seen at 25,000 and then towards 25,2000 strikes. 'Options data suggests a broader trading range in between 24,600 to 25,600 zones while an immediate range between 24,900 to 25,400 levels,' Chandan Taparia, Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited , said. The Nifty50 index broke its immediate support levels and sank below the 25,150 zone last week. It failed to sustain above 25550 and witnessed price and time correction for most of the week gone by. 'It formed a bearish candle on the daily and weekly frame on Friday and has been forming a lower top-lower bottom structure on the lower time frame, indicating some selling pressure,' added Taparia. 'Now if Nifty holds below 25,222 zones, then weakness could be seen towards 25,000, then 24,800 zones while hurdles are shifting lower at 25,300, then 25,450 zones,' he recommended. We have collated stocks from various experts for traders who have a short-term trading horizon: Expert: Aakash Hindocha, Technical Analyst, Research at Nuvama Wealth told ETBureau Voltas Ltd: Buy| Target Rs 1500| Stop Loss Rs 1325 Allied Builders & Distillers Ltd : Buy| Target Rs 482| Stop Loss Rs 430 REC: Buy| Target Rs 430| Stop Loss Rs 389 Expert: Sharan Lillaney, Independent SEBI Research Analyst Piramal Enterprises Ltd: Buy| Target Rs 1290| Stop Loss Rs 1157 Whirlpool Ltd : Buy| Target Rs 1432| Stop Loss Rs 1312 BHEL : Sell| Target Rs 254| Stop Loss Rs 264 ( Disclaimer : Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)


Time of India
10-07-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Stocks to buy today: Data Pattern, Cummins India among 6 trading ideas for 10 July 2025
The Indian market is likely to consolidate on Thursday, tracking mixed global cues. The Nifty future closed negatively with losses of 0.24% at 25,550 levels on Wednesday. India VIX fell more than 2% to close at 11.94 in the previous session. On the options front, the maximum Call OI is placed at 25,500 and then towards 25,600 strikes while the maximum Put OI is placed at 25,500 and then towards 25,400 strikes. Call writing is seen at 25,500 and then towards 25,600 strikes while Put writing is seen at 25,500 and then towards 25,450 strikes. 'Options data suggests a broader trading range in between 25,000 to 26,000 zones while an immediate range between 25,300 to 25,700 levels,' Chandan Taparia, Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited , said. Live Events 'Nifty formed a small-bodied bearish candle on the daily frame on Wednesday with longer lower shadow indicating support-based buying is intact,' he added. 'Now the index has to cross and hold above 25,500 zones for an up move towards 25,650 then 25,800 zones whereas support can be seen at 25,400 then 25,300 zones,' recommended Taparia. We have collated stocks from various experts for traders who have a short-term trading horizon: Expert: Jaynit Vora, CMT - Research Analyst, IIFL told ETBureau Data Pattern Ltd: Buy| Target Rs 3180| Stop Loss Rs 2930 UltraTech Cements Ltd: Buy| Target Rs 13,100| Stop Loss Rs 12,250 ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd: Buy| Target Rs 714| Stop Loss Rs 657 Expert: Kunal Bothra, Market Expert told ETNow Cummins India : Buy| Target Rs 3650| Stop Loss Rs 3450 Hindustan Unilever: Buy| Target Rs 2500| Stop Loss Rs 2370 Container Corp: Buy| Target Rs 630| Stop Loss Rs 605 ( Disclaimer : Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)