Latest news with #ThirdWay
Yahoo
6 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
US perceptions of China are improving, poll finds
Americans are starting to think more positively about China, according to new polling from the think tank Third Way shared with Semafor. Since 2023, the share of Americans who view China as an 'enemy' dropped by seven percentage points, while the share who see it as an 'ally or trade partner' grew by eight percentage points. A majority of respondents also said they wanted to cooperate and find 'areas of agreement' with China, up from 32% in 2023. Third Way conducted the poll in May, after Trump had begun his first round of aggressive tariffs on Beijing. 'Americans aren't softening on China because they hold the country and its leaders in high regard,' read a memo accompanying the poll. 'But they have become more aware of the role China plays in their daily lives and, as a result, have become more hesitant to use blunt force.' Solve the daily Crossword
Politico
01-08-2025
- Business
- Politico
Liberation Day, Part III
Presented by With help from Eli Okun, Bethany Irvine and Ali Bianco On today's Playbook Podcast, Adam Wren and Zack Stanton talk through President Donald Trump's latest round of tariff threats, how Laura Loomer wields influence in the administration and the latest escalation in the redistricting arms race. Good morning. I'm Adam Wren. It's Aug. 1. Where has the year gone? Get in touch. In today's Playbook … — Far-right activist Laura Loomer has become President Donald Trump's MAGA loyalty enforcer from outside the administration — and sees 'hundreds' left to purge. — An exclusive new poll out this morning shows Roy Cooper leading Michael Whatley by 6 points in the North Carolina Senate race. — Sarah McBride says voters feel like Democrats have 'been assholes to them,' she tells Playbook's Dasha Burns. … And new polling from Third Way outlines Dems' most effective lines of attack on the GOP megalaw. DRIVING THE DAY LIBERATION DAY, PART III: For months, today's date was circled on calendars in national capitals throughout the world as the deadline when President Donald Trump's threat of major new tariffs would be enacted. Then, in an executive order last night, Trump made an eleventh-hour change, giving nearly 70 U.S. trading partners seven days to negotiate deals or face new tariffs ranging from 15 to 41 percent. TACO Trump? Not quite. This time seems different than the past deadlines, as reflected in three different arenas: the markets, the campaign trail and the White House. THE MARKETS: When the first 'Liberation Day' tariff threat came in the spring, the U.S. stock and bond markets were badly hit, and their huge losses led Trump to back down. Not so this time. 'Markets are all about expectations, so maybe all of this is already baked in,' Scott Lincicome, the vice president of general economics at the libertarian-minded Cato Institute, told Playbook last night. 'The real reason why Liberation Day was so chaotic and catastrophic for markets is that none of the institutional investor guys were expecting Liberation Day.' Now, they are. The markets' ho-hum expectations leading up to today have buoyed Trump. His 'faith in tariffs has been reinforced by the economy, which has been chugging along despite the tariff-sized dent,' POLITICO international trade reporter Daniel Desrochers writes into Playbook. 'Unemployment has remained relatively low, inflation hasn't spiked dramatically and the tariffs have already brought in more than $136 billion in revenue, according to data kept by Customs and Border Protection.' Or, as Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) — who's not particularly fond of tariffs — put it yesterday: 'So far, so good. The economy in America is fine.' That certainty on Trump's part, in turn, stokes certainty within the markets: They have a sense of what to expect, and the risk is more manageable. And his sweeping executive order yesterday 'means that tariff rates appear settled for the foreseeable future,' Daniel tells us — which will allow Trump 'to keep his wish of setting up a tariff firewall on imports to the U.S., in the hopes of boosting domestic production.' One important caveat: The newly announced rates will be a major test for Trump's economic theory. And what could make this test different is that so far, most of the inflationary pressure has been borne by businesses rather than consumers, and has come while the rate has been stuck at 10 percent for most imports — a level businesses have said is manageable. 'Now, those same businesses will have to figure out how much of the higher rates they can swallow before passing them on to customers, particularly as the inventory they stockpiled in the beginning of the year starts to grow thin,' Daniel tells us. Indeed, Lincicome sees price hikes as a certainty. 'The only concrete terms in these tariff deals are really high taxes on American companies and consumers, totaling hundreds of billions of dollars,' he tells Playbook. As for now, though, the politics of the issue don't seem particularly bad for Republicans. Which leads us to … THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL: The tariff issue is already filtering into midterm races. First in Playbook — The tariff litmus test: In a new seven-figure statewide ad buy, businessman Nate Morris — who is running against Rep. Andy Barr and former Kentucky AG Daniel Cameron for the Republican nomination to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell — boasts support for Trump's tariffs as a sign of both his MAGA credentials and blue-collar bona fides. 'Mitch McConnell and his boys, Andy Barr and Daniel Cameron, they don't know hard times,' Morris says in the ad, which Playbook is told was inspired by former pro wrestler Dusty Rhodes. 'Hard times is a man working a job for 30 years, they give him a watch, kick him in the butt and say globalism took your job. That's hard times. And it's why I back Trump's tariffs 100 percent, to bring back American jobs. … I'm a Trump guy, not a McConnell boy.' Watch the 30-second spot The view from a swing state: In battleground Michigan, the calculus may be a bit more complicated. This week, Playbook spoke with former Rep. Mike Rogers, who is seeking the GOP nomination for Senate. Michigan — a famously manufacturing-heavy state with a massive amount of trade with neighboring Canada — is highly exposed to economic fluctuations from tariffs. Rogers hopes the ups and downs of the trade war will be smoothed out by the end of the year in order to avoid becoming a campaign issue Democrats can wield against him. As for the tariffs' economic impact, 'obviously, certainty is always better,' Rogers tells Playbook. 'The shoe is going to pinch every once in a while, and the good news about the White House is when there's a case that comes up that doesn't seem fair or rational, we even call, and they're at least open to a conversation, which is great.' THE WHITE HOUSE: Spirits are relatively high throughout the West Wing. 'Everyone feels good about [the] EU deal and progress on China,' a senior White House official tells Dasha. 'We're moving the ball forward. We're proving that the American market matters more than anything else. … And that is super important and useful as we progress through resetting global trade.' One thing that could sour their mood: Yesterday, an 11-judge federal appeals court panel sharply questioned Trump's 'authority to impose sweeping tariffs on foreign trading partners under an unprecedented use of emergency powers,' POLITICO's Kyle Cheney and Doug Palmer report. The suit is expected to end up at the Supreme Court. And another thing: The July jobs report drops today at 8:30 a.m. It's 'expected to show a net gain of 115,000 jobs, which would mark a considerable downshift from June's 147,000 jobs,' CNN's Alicia Wallace reports. 'The unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 4.2% from 4.1%.' A big-picture observation: Yesterday's tranche of new tariffs came out via a much more orderly and well-honed process than the White House went through at the original 'Liberation Day' earlier this year. In that way, 'Liberation Day, Part III' is sort of the quieter, straight-to-VHS sequel to its April predecessor. But in other ways, as August begins, the Trump White House has maintained something of a fly-by-the-seat-of-the-pants quality that defined its earliest days. LOOMER LOOMS: In that regard, the ongoing influence of Laura Loomer, the far-right activist, is emblematic of how power can work in both the MAGA universe and in Trump's Washington. First in Playbook — The MAGA loyalty enforcer: Even as Trump's second term White House has been marked by far less personnel drama at the senior staff and Cabinet level than his first, the firings are piling up, your Playbook author reports this morning with POLITICO's Eli Stokols, Ben Johansen and Myah Ward. Many of those instances came about because of pressure campaigns from Loomer, who has emerged as something of a MAGA loyalty enforcer from outside the administration. Loomer sees 'hundreds' left to purge: Loomer 'is now fielding tips from administration officials about colleagues they want exiled amid what she called 'a serious vetting crisis,' predicting there are 'hundreds' more she expects to purge,' we report. 'A form of therapy': 'I'm happy to take people's tips about disloyal appointees, disloyal staffers and Biden holdovers,' Loomer told POLITICO. 'And I guess you could say that my tip line has come to serve as a form of therapy for Trump administration officials who want to expose their colleagues who should not be in the positions that they're in.' And she's everywhere: 'I have people in the West Wing,' Loomer said, adding that she gets along with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles 'very well.' 'I have people in pretty much every single agency within the federal government like me, every main agency coming to me with concerns.' THE CAMPAIGN FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Poll position: A new Emerson College poll shows former North Carolina Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper with an early six-point lead in the Tar Heel State Senate race, POLITICO's Elena Schneider scoops this morning. The first public poll of the closely watched race shows Cooper at 47 percent, while former RNC Chair Michael Whatley sits at 41 percent. Another 12 percent are undecided. Whatley's opportunity and challenge: 'Cooper, who finished his second term in 2024, starts the open race to replace [retiring GOP Sen. Thom] Tillis with stronger name recognition and favorability than Whatley, a first-time candidate,' Elena writes. 'By contrast, nearly two-thirds of voters do not know or are unsure of Whatley and another 17 percent view him favorably — capturing his challenge to quickly define himself with an electorate that isn't familiar with him.' MONEY TALKS: The mid-year FEC reports for PACs were due yesterday, and we're sorting through some of the notable numbers. Trump's money bomb: The president's political operation raked in cash during the first half of the year, POLITICO's Jessica Piper reports. Trump's primary super PAC brought in nearly $177 million, while his leadership PAC raised $28 million, per FEC filings. Between them, the two groups had a combined $234 million cash on hand at the end of June — a massive sum that he 'could use next year in primaries or to boost Republicans' prospects in the midterms.' The Musk factor: Elon Musk may have exited the Trump administration, but recent high-dollar donations make it clear the world's richest man hasn't left GOP politics altogether. On June 27, the former DOGE chief donated $5 million to MAGA Inc., $5 million to the Congressional Leadership Fund and $5 million to the Senate Leadership Fund, Jessica reports. That was 'enough to make him the largest known individual donor to the main House and Senate GOP super PACs so far this year.' The week after the donations, Musk said he would start his own political party. Massie attack: The super PAC working to oust Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) hauled in $2 million 'between its launch in late June and the end of the month,' Jessica writes. GOP megadonor Paul Singer gave $1 million, the largest single donation. DEEP IN THE HEART: The Texas redistricting rodeo continues today as the state's House of Representatives gathers in Austin at 11 a.m. ET for the first public hearing on the GOP's proposed congressional map. Follow along on C-SPAN What's the Dems' strategy to block it? Speaking in Austin yesterday, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries declined to say, The Austin American-Statesman's John Moritz reports. 'We're going to do everything possible to support the Texas legislators,' Jeffries said. 'All options should be on the table to protect the people of Texas.' Texas Dems are considering an organized quorum-breaking trip before the special session ends on Aug. 19. GOLD IN THEM THERE HILLS: In response to the GOP's Texas gambit, California Gov. Gavin Newsom announced yesterday that he's looking to call his own special election in November to ask voters to approve new congressional maps to create new Democratic seats, POLITICO's Jeremy White reports. It would be a massive undertaking. 'Newsom would be counting on Democrats' anti-Trump message overcoming voters' reluctance to return power to politicians for an explicitly partisan exercise,' and Democrats 'would need to raise monumental sums on a tight timeline so they could inform and turn out voters.' THE WILDERNESS WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING: Former VP Kamala Harris appeared on Stephen Colbert's 'Late Show' for her first interview since losing the 2024 election. One surprise came in her answer to a question about her decision not to run for California governor — the type of setup that often invites a gauzy answer about spending time with family or some such. Not so for Harris: 'Recently, I made the decision that, for now, I don't want to go back in the system. I think it's broken,' she said. 'I always believed that as fragile as our democracy is, our systems would be strong enough to defend our most fundamental principles and I think right now, they're not as strong as they need to be.' Watch on YouTube And then came something that sounded far more conventional: 'I want to travel the country, I want to listen to people, I want to talk to people,' Harris said. 'And I don't want it to be transactional, where I'm asking for their vote.' (One might call this a 'listening tour.') SNEAK PEEK — A blunt analysis: Rep. Sarah McBride (D-Del.) has a diagnosis for what's been ailing the Democratic Party: 'I think voters feel like Democrats have sort of been assholes to them,' McBride tells Dasha Burns in an interview for this week's episode of 'The Conversation.' McBride's 'two questions': 'I do think that a voter asks two questions when they're considering who to vote for,' McBride continued. 'The first question is, does this candidate, does this party like me? And by extension, do they respect me? If you can't answer that first question to a voter's satisfaction, they won't even get to the second question, which is, what does this party think? What does this candidate think?' Watch the clip … More from POLITICO's Aaron Pellish … Subscribe to 'The Conversation' on YouTube, Apple Podcasts or Spotify FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Dems' recess messaging push: A new polling memo from Third Way outlines a plan of attack for Democrats as they fan out across the country during congressional recess and seek to define the GOP megalaw ahead of the 2026 campaign, Playbook's Ali Bianco scoops. Three recommendations: 'Right now, opposition to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act is driving intense opposition and dwarfing other issues,' the memo reads. In an an online survey of 2,000 registered voters conducted by Third Way and GBAO, they tested 16 lines of attack against the legislation and found that three stood out as the most effective: (1) criticizing Republicans for cutting '$1 trillion from Medicaid;' (2) focusing on the law's impact on the national debt; and (3) homing in on the impact of the Medicaid cuts on rural hospitals. Read the full memo Expect to hear similar criticisms from Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), whose 'Fighting Oligarchy' tour continues with visits to West Virginia and North Carolina next weekend. He'll have a 'particular focus on how Medicaid cuts will impact rural hospitals and working class families,' Sanders' comms director Anna Bahr wrote on X. BIDEN BITES BACK: In a speech last night to the National Bar Association in Chicago, former President Joe Biden expressed alarm at attacks on the rule of law and threats to civil rights under the Trump administration, POLITICO's Shia Kapos reports. 'You can't sugarcoat it. These are dark days,' Biden said. 'My friends, we need to face the hard truth of this administration, and that it has been to ease all the gains we've made in my administration. To erase history rather than making it. To erase fairness, equality, to erase justice itself.' BEST OF THE REST MIDDLE EAST LATEST: Special envoy Steve Witkoff and U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee are in Gaza today to inspect food distribution sites and secure a plan to deliver aid. This morning, Witkoff toured an aid distribution site as the conditions in Gaza have sparked global concern, CNN's Ibrahim Dahman reports. The Gaza visit comes a day after Witkoff held what the White House characterized as a 'very productive' meeting with Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu to discuss Gaza's starvation crisis,per FT's Neri Zilber and Anne-Sylvaine Chassany. Up next for Witkoff: The Kremlin. Trump announced yesterday that Witkoff will travel to Russia after completing his Middle East trip, though details are yet to be announced. RENOVATION STATION: Trump intends to build a $200 million, 90,000-square-foot ballroom in the White House's East Wing, 'effecting one of the biggest changes to 'the People's House' in a century,' WaPo's Jonathan Edwards reports. The new White House State Ballroom 'will seat 650 people, more than triple the capacity of the East Room,' and 'seeks to solve a problem White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said has frustrated the president and his predecessors: a lack of space for major functions that requires 'a large and unsightly tent' about 300 feet from the main building entrance.' Construction is set to start in September. RAISE THE BAR: The D.C. Bar's disciplinary arm recommended yesterday that Trump regulatory czar Jeffrey Clark lose his law license for his role in trying to overturn the results of the 2020 election, POLITICO's Kyle Cheney reports. The recommendation will result in an 'automatic suspension for Clark from practicing law, unless he convinces the court within 30 days to intervene and block that immediate punishment.' The decision now heads to the D.C. Court of Appeals. EPSTEIN ESCAPE HATCH: 'Trump's Options for Dousing the Epstein Fire,' by Ankush Khardori in his latest Rules of Law column for POLITICO Magazine: 'There are no good solutions — but some are worse than others.' THE WEEKEND AHEAD TV TONIGHT — PBS' 'Washington Week': Leigh Ann Caldwell, Andrea Mitchell, Nancy Youssef and Alexander Ward. SUNDAY SO FAR … POLITICO 'The Conversation with Dasha Burns': Rep. Sarah McBride (D-Del.). NBC 'Meet the Press': Kevin Hassett … Sen. Alex Padilla (D-Calif.). Panel: Yamiche Alcindor, Stephen Hayes, Susan Glasser and Symone Sanders-Townsend. CBS 'Face the Nation': New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham … Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) … Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) … CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz. FOX 'Fox News Sunday': Kevin Hassett … Johnnie Moore … Tim Lilley. Panel: Guy Benson, Dan Koh, Susan Page and Tiffany Smiley. CNN 'State of the Union': EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin. Panel: Faiz Shakir, Kate Bedingfield, Jonah Goldberg and Brad Todd. Fox News 'Sunday Morning Futures': Stephen Miller … Rep. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). Panel: Gregg Jarrett, Lee Smith and Mark Levin. MSNBC 'The Weekend': Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D-N.Y.). NewsNation 'The Hill Sunday': DNC Chair Ken Martin. Panel: Burgess Everett, Molly Ball, Paul Kane and Julia Manchester. TALK OF THE TOWN Mike Donilon reportedly told congressional investigators he was paid $4 million for his work on Joe Biden's 2024 campaign — and would have made an additional $4 million if Biden had won in November. Jen Easterly, a Biden admin alum, said she had an appointment to a position at her alma mater West Point rescinded after a pressure campaign from Laura Loomer. She called it a 'casualty of casually manufactured outrage.' MEDIAWATCH — WaPo is facing a slew of high-profile departures this week, including Hank Stuever, Ann Hornaday, Craig Timberg and Joel Achenbach, per NYT's Ben Mullin: 'Source says it feels like the Hunger Games: 'My inbox has literally dozens of announcements of departures or newsroom wide goodbye notes.'' PLAYBOOK METRO SECTION — 'Smithsonian removes Trump from impeachment exhibit in American history museum,' by WaPo's Janay Kingsberry: 'A person familiar with the exhibit plans, who was not authorized to discuss them publicly, said the change came about as part of a content review that the Smithsonian agreed to undertake following pressure from the White House to remove an art museum director. After this story published, the Smithsonian said in a statement that 'a future and updated exhibit will include all impeachments.'' OUT AND ABOUT — The Allbritton Journalism Institute and LSG hosted a book party for Josh Dawsey, Allbritton Journalism Institute instructor and co-author of '2024: How Trump Retook the White House and the Democrats Lost America' ($22.38). SPOTTED: Andie Coller, Ben Jenkins, Arielle and Joel Elliott, Jasmine Wright, Meridith McGraw, Kadia Goba, Sudeep Reddy, Tara Rush, Jackeline Stewart-Hawkins, Erin Billings, Kevin Madden, Annie Karni, Lulu Garcia-Navarro, Patrick Steel, Alex Schriver, Christina Ruffini, Justin Peligri, Cory Combs, Jake Wilkins, Lauren French, Kathy Baird, Will Kinzel, Chris Golden, Brad Bosserman, Jacob Gardenswartz, Chanse Jones, Peter Nonis, Ryann DuRant, Michael Moroney, Francesca Chambers, Brian and Jessica Bartlett, Maggie Severns, Cesca Antonelli, Jeff Zeleny and DJ Judd. TRANSITION — Julia Reese is now federal government affairs principal at Nucor Corporation. She previously was senior legislative assistant to Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa). ENGAGED — Christopher Mika, national security adviser for Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.), and Sonja Packard got engaged on the Speaker's Balcony on Tuesday. HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Josh Harder (D-Calif.) … Howard Kurtz … Ed Gillespie of AT&T … Mikayla DeMasi … POLITICO's Hannah Northey, Chris Buddie and Jackie Ramsay … Toni Atkins … CEI's Travis Burk … Clare Foran … Josie McSpadden of the Gates Foundation … Karen Marangi … Drew Littman of Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck … Roy Loewenstein … Philip Goldberg … Sheila Katz … Dana Zureikat Daoud of the Jordanian Embassy … Ogilvy's Jordan Lubowitz … Benji Englander … Macaulay Porter of the VA … Christina Gungoll Lepore of Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt's D.C. office … Hayden Center's Larry Pfeiffer … former Reps. Rick Boucher (D-Va.), Sue Myrick (R-N.C.), Van Taylor (R-Texas) and Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.) (3-0) … Martin Hamburger … former Sen. Al D'Amato (R-N.Y.) … Dan Shapiro … Graeme Trayner of FGS Global … Cappy McGarr … BGR Group's Ansley Haulbrook … American Conservation Coalition's Amy Mastrine … Angela Coats of The Morning Group … Fox News' Jasmine Baehr … Scott Evertz … Stars and Stripes' Lara Korte Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@ or text us on Signal here. Playbook couldn't happen without our editor Zack Stanton, deputy editor Garrett Ross and Playbook Podcast producer Callan Tansill-Suddath. Correction: Yesterday's Playbook misspelled Aaron Boxerman's name.
NZ Herald
01-08-2025
- Politics
- NZ Herald
Return of Biden, Harris snags Democrats' push to turn the page on last year's election loss
'The shadow of 2024 is long, and I think all perspectives in the mix believe we need something fresh,' said longtime Democratic consultant Donna Bojarsky. Many Democrats do not blame Harris for what went wrong in the last cycle, she said, 'But nobody's saying, let's go back to 2024'. Plenty of other Democrats are building their profiles and making moves to lead the party forward. Governors such as Andy Beshear of Kentucky and JB Pritzker of Illinois and members of Congress such as Arizona Senator Ruben Gallego are taking their pitches around the country in early jockeying for 2028. A little-known state lawmaker, Zohran Mamdani, has emerged as a prominent new voice for the left after winning an upset victory in the New York City mayoral primary. Biden's decision to run again in 2024 at age 81 has hung over Democrats even as he has kept a relatively low profile, appearing periodically in public settings. Books scrutinising the election have brought bursts of new attention to Biden's physical and mental state in office, with one casting the former President's choice to seek re-election as the Democratic Party's 'Original Sin'. Potential 2028 presidential candidates continue to face questions about Biden and whether Democrats were wrong to downplay his age. The 2028 hopefuls need to tackle those questions honestly or risk compromising their credibility, said Matt Bennett, co-founder of the centrist Democratic group Third Way. 'If you say anything other than the guy was not up to the task of running again, and our party made a mistake in not making that clear … voters are going to think you're lying,' he said. And 'no one needs to hear from Hunter Biden', Bennett added. 'Literally no one.' A spokesperson for Biden declined to comment on his post-presidency and other Democrats' desire to move on from their 2024 ticket. A representative for Harris did not respond to requests for comment. Biden has rejected claims he experienced mental decline in office: 'They are wrong,' Biden responded on The View this spring. 'There is nothing to sustain that.' After announcing yesterday that she would forgo a campaign for governor in her home state of California, Harris revealed on social media today that she is publishing a book - 107 Days - on September 23 that will give a 'behind-the-scenes look' at her experience 'leading the shortest presidential campaign in modern history'. Harris replaced Biden on the Democratic ticket after a disastrous debate against Trump in which Biden repeatedly appeared to lose his train of thought. Harris will also appear on The Late Show With Stephen Colbert today to give her first interview since the election. She plans to dive into the 2026 Midterm elections and travel the country to campaign on behalf of Democrats in tough races as she shapes a political organisation of her own, according to aides and confidants familiar with her plans who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss projects that are still in formation. Though some Democratic strategists and candidates are eager for Harris to help them in Midterms, there is more scepticism about her running for the White House again in 2028 - an option she has not ruled out. 'I think most Americans are grateful for the service and contributions of the last generation of officeholders,' said Cooper Teboe, a Silicon Valley-based Democratic strategist. 'But the core reason the Democratic Party is in the position it is in today is because no new figures, no new ideas, have been allowed to rise up and take hold.' Harris did well with the voters whom the party needs to turn out in 2026, when highly engaged supporters could play an outsize role, some strategists said, and she would be a formidable candidate in 2028 with high name recognition. However another White House run would also mean dealing with uncomfortable questions about 2024. Republicans said they were also happy for Harris to hit the trail. 'In fact, we'd offer to pay for her plane ticket to any swing district in the country,' said Mike Marinella, a spokesperson for House Republicans' campaign arm. Biden is set to speak at a closing gala for the National Bar Association's convention in Chicago, where, a spokesperson said, he will discuss 'the cause of justice in America' before the group of mostly black judges and lawyers. The former President has occasionally emerged to give interviews defending his pardons and his decision to run again. Former Biden aides argued the ex-President would not be a focal point for voters at election time and that it was important for the ex-president to push back publicly on certain attacks, such as Republicans' claims that he was not in control of clemency decisions because they were signed with an autopen. '[In] 2026 voters will be outraged that Republicans are raising the costs they promised to lower … not focused on honourable people,' said Andrew Bates, a former Biden spokesperson. Democratic strategist Steve Schale said he was concerned earlier in the year about Biden's appearances 'trying to relitigate his presidency'. Now he thinks Biden has pulled back: 'Him going and giving a speech at the bar association, I don't have a problem with that'. But other events have kept Biden in the news. Republicans, who control Congress, have been calling Biden aides to testify about their ex-boss's fitness for office. The Democratic National Committee is working on an election after-action report that has been criticised by some party insiders because it is not expected to delve into Biden's decision to drop out as he faced persistent concerns from voters about what they perceived as his cognitive decline. DNC Chairman Ken Martin has also drawn criticism for deciding that the after-action report would not examine whether Democrats could have been more successful if they had held an open process to determine Biden's successor as the nominee after he announced that he was abandoning his quest for the nomination in the summer of 2024. Martin said in an interview yesterday that he believed there was little that the party could learn from those two decisions - circumstances that were unique to the 2024 cycle and are unlikely to occur again. 'Do I have a time machine? No. So what good does it serve me or anyone of answering the question, should Joe Biden have stepped down? Can't change it,' Martin said. 'I'm not trying to protect anyone. I'm trying to save us spending a lot of time and energy on a question that really doesn't help me win elections.' But Martin sought to clear up what he said was a misperception that the after-action report will not look into Democrats' spending decisions and tactics - including how billions of dollars were spent by outside groups and why that effort was unsuccessful in helping Harris win. 'We have to look at everything. The campaign is on the table; the parties are on the table - everything,' Martin said. Schale, the Democratic strategist, said the resurfacing of 2024 drama is unavoidable and compared the moment to the aftermath of John Kerry's loss in 2004. 'Things were pretty rudderless for a while,' he said. Then Barack Obama emerged. 'I don't think there's a lot we can do to turn the page until we have a fight over who gets to turn the page,' he said. 'And that will be the 2028 primary fight.'
NZ Herald
30-07-2025
- Politics
- NZ Herald
Swing-state focus group research offers clues on what Democrats have to do to win back young men
They felt no sympathy from the left, who they say brushed away their legitimate economic woes by citing their male privilege. They acknowledge historical patriarchy but assert that doesn't make them invincible in a job market where graduate unemployment is concentrated among men. Those are the latest findings in focus groups conducted by the centrist pro-Democratic group Third Way and HIT Strategies with men aged 18 to 29 from swing states including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The men were lower-propensity voters - more likely to turn out in a presidential year than a midterm - and voted for Joe Biden in 2020 but switched to Trump last year. 'The belief has been that men have it easier in the labour market, and that's been true to a large extent. But that notion is at odds with the reality right now' for many young men as manufacturing gives way to the information age, said Joshua Doss, senior research manager at HIT Strategies. 'They talked about how they're really watching the economy erode the types of jobs that they were told worked for them.' Men feeling left behind elicits eye rolls in many corners of the Democratic Party. The gender pay gap persists, with women making 85% of what men earned in 2024, despite greater female participation in the workforce than in past decades. The numerous calls from party leaders to appeal to the 'manosphere' and appear less 'woke' also elicit concerns that that means throwing marginalised groups under the bus on issues like trans or women's rights. But that line of criticism only proves their point, said Lucas Holtz, a political analyst with Third Way. 'There is complete misconception from Democrats and especially from progressives about young men moving away from the party and takes from 'It was all because of inflation' to 'The guys that supported Trump are incels and sexist,'' Holtz said. 'It's just a really terrible stereotype that has backlash effect on Democrats.' Appealing to young men has been discussed as a nearly existential question for Democrats, who haemorrhaged support in some of their traditionally most reliable demographics. Former President Barack Obama sounded the alarm on former first lady Michelle Obama's podcast this month, saying support for young men is often mistaken for neglect of women's rights. But it's not a zero-sum game. 'We don't think about boys and just assume they're going to be okay because they've been running the world and they've got all the advantages relative to the girls. And all of which has historically been true in all kinds of ways,' the former President said. 'We've made that mistake sometimes in terms of our rhetoric. Where it's like we're constantly talking about what's wrong with the boys, instead of what's right with them.' Incidentally, Obama was the only Democrat focus group participants could name as a masculine role model from the party. 'I think being a masculine leader is, like, outlawed in the Democratic Party right now,' one participant said. Trump broke through with economic promises that appealed to many young men's desires to be financially self-sufficient and support their families. The focus group participants were not heavy news consumers, largely informed through social media and podcasts, but they were still able to list Trump's economic policy promises, such as no taxes on tips, which Republicans passed into law in their recent tax cuts legislation. Focus group participants said Democratic messaging, especially to young black and Latino men, felt like pandering to their race, if it was ever directed to them at all. 'They brought out, like, rappers and stuff. And it's, you know, nothing against rappers, but it's like, what does that do for me?' one black participant said. For all the pull Republicans achieved among young men, many still remained unsold in either direction. Men aged 18 to 29 are the least likely to support Democrats of any age and gender group at only 34%, but they are also the most uncommitted either way, at 13% , according to the Pew Research Centre. While they supported Trump's policies that they thought would speak to their economic concerns, they disapproved of policies that they thought harmed others. Deportation without due process and punishing tariffs applied to foreign countries came up as examples. Doss and Holtz said that gives Democrats ample opportunity to win young men back. Concise aspirational economic messages, something that can be condensed into a three-word slogan, performed well, they found. Several focus group participants also responded well to Democratic leaders who spoke directly to them, whether it was former transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg speaking with podcaster Andrew Schulz about connecting with differing viewpoints or Maryland Governor Wes Moore talking about the need to invest in young men. 'A straight talker, you know, someone that's not, like, beating around the bush,' one participant said of who would be an ideal candidate. 'Somebody that just is not afraid to say what they feel. That's a very masculine trait.'
The Hill
22-07-2025
- Politics
- The Hill
Dem strategist slams socialism, cancel culture, offers glimpse into Project 2029: Jim Kessler
Jim Kessler, executive vice president of policy at Third Way, details Democrats' blueprint, "Project 2029," ahead of the next presidential election.
