Latest news with #USGulfCoast
Yahoo
5 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Oil Traders Race Against Time to Solve Global Diesel Crunch
(Bloomberg) -- The oil market is pulling all the levers it can to ease a global diesel crunch, but the window is narrowing to replenish stockpiles of the world's workhorse fuel before hurricanes and refinery maintenance curtail output. All Hail the Humble Speed Hump Mayor Asked to Explain $1.4 Billion of Wasted Johannesburg Funds Three Deaths Reported as NYC Legionnaires' Outbreak Spreads Major Istanbul Projects Are Stalling as City Leaders Sit in Jail PATH Train Service Resumes After Fire at Jersey City Station From the US Gulf Coast to Rotterdam and Singapore, storage tanks have only recently started rising from dramatically low levels, and traders say it's going to be a tight race to refill them. With price spikes during the Israel-Iran conflict fresh in the memory, most say it's hard to see a major easing, echoing warnings from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and energy giant TotalEnergies SE. The fate of the fuel has wide-reaching ramifications for the global economy. Higher prices can ripple through inflation readings and dent consumer and business confidence at a time when US President Donald Trump's tariff wars also raise costs. American farmers will need large volumes of diesel to power their tractors and grain dryers during harvesting season in the fall, and drivers are already paying the most at the pump in about a year. Meanwhile, Trump's push to punish India for processing Russian crude into much needed global diesel supplies leaves Europe particularly vulnerable. The continent has become more dependent on fuel from further afield after direct imports from nearby Russia were banned. 'We're bullish for the end of the year,' said Rami Ramadan, co-head of global middle distillates at commodity trader BB Energy. 'We are going to be in for some shocks for sure because of how Europe has been disconnected from its closest sources of supply.' US stockpiles of diesel's family of fuels — used in everything from locomotives and trucks to power generation and heating — plunged to their lowest summer levels this century. While inventories should normally build over the summer, longer-term factors have made things more acute in the last few years. A slew of plant closures in the US and Europe since the Covid-driven oil market crash has tightened supplies in key hubs. Even as high margins lead refiners like Phillips 66 and Valero Energy to maximize diesel output, US inventories have only in recent weeks inched past the critical lows seen in the summer of 2022, just after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. In Europe buyers await tankers from the Middle East and Asia. In northwest Europe, stockpiles are forecast to be 3 million barrels lower in the fourth-quarter than a year earlier. After touching the equivalent of $110 a barrel following Israel's air strikes on Iran, prices have retreated closer to $90. Diesel's strength over the summer helped support crude prices while OPEC+ restored production faster than initially planned. Before the war in Ukraine, European diesel seldom traded $15 a barrel above Brent crude. Ever since, it has rarely traded at less than that. The spread, known in market parlance as a crack, is currently above $20 in Europe and around $30 in the US. Goldman Sachs expects both spreads to stay near current levels into 2026 'on continuing structural tightness in refining capacity,' and TotalEnergies said stronger diesel prices will become a 'persistent feature' of the global oil market. 'Heading into hurricane season, if we have some type of supply disruption, I think you'll see a pretty significant market reaction with inventories as low as they are,' Gary Simmons, executive vice president and chief operating officer at Valero, said on an earnings call. 'We expect diesel cracks to remain strong.' Diesel is part of a group of refined products known as middle distillates, which includes jet fuel and heating oil. High demand from the aviation sector has also tightened the balance of supplies, and a cold winter could do the same. 'Over the next three to four months, we're quite constructive on diesel cracks being sustained at levels similar to where they're at today,' Marathon Petroleum Corp.'s Chief Commercial Officer Rick Hessling said on an earnings call, adding that trucking and agriculture demand is 'very healthy.' Hedge funds have rushed into bullish oil and diesel bets in recent weeks as Trump threatened additional levies on buyers of Russian crude. Money managers' net long position in US diesel futures was at the highest in almost four years, according to US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released in the first week of August. Those bets so far haven't paid off, with diesel and crude futures dropping this week after OPEC+ announced a supply increase over the weekend and traders wait to see how Trump's approach to Russia pans out. Not all traders are bullish, though, as there has been some relief in the past few weeks. As well as stockpiles showing signs of recovering, more diesel and jet fuel cargoes left Asia and the Middle East for Europe in July than any time in the last 11 months, according to Kpler data. One diesel-laden supertanker of 2 million barrels is currently sailing to Europe, and another has been booked, according to a person involved in the flows, adding momentum to the resupply. 'One of the things we're doing is watching the Mideast and India, where the global net-distillate length exists for potential imports into Europe,' Brian Mandell, executive vice president of marketing and commercial at Phillips 66, said on an earnings call. Mandell said that prices are likely to eventually ease as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners add extra supplies of heavy crude that's better for making diesel. But it takes time for the group to go from targets to actual production, and then for the barrels to be shipped, processed into diesel and finally reach the fuel's buyers. 'We would think that distillate margins will remain strong through the year, eventually coming off some when you get these extra barrels — heavy crude barrels — back onto the market,' he said. --With assistance from Devika Krishna Kumar, Jack Wittels, Rachel Graham, Archie Hunter and Prejula Prem. (Updates with hedge fund positioning in 14th paragraph.) The Pizza Oven Startup With a Plan to Own Every Piece of the Pie Russia's Secret War and the Plot to Kill a German CEO AI Flight Pricing Can Push Travelers to the Limit of Their Ability to Pay A High-Rise Push Is Helping Mumbai Squeeze in Pools, Gyms and Greenery Government Steps Up Campaign Against Business School Diversity ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.
Yahoo
5 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Oil Traders Race Against Time to Solve a Global Diesel Crunch
(Bloomberg) -- The oil market is pulling all the levers it can to ease a global diesel crunch, but the window is narrowing to replenish stockpiles of the world's workhorse fuel before hurricanes and refinery maintenance curtail output. All Hail the Humble Speed Hump Mayor Asked to Explain $1.4 Billion of Wasted Johannesburg Funds Three Deaths Reported as NYC Legionnaires' Outbreak Spreads Major Istanbul Projects Are Stalling as City Leaders Sit in Jail PATH Train Service Resumes After Fire at Jersey City Station From the US Gulf Coast to Rotterdam and Singapore, storage tanks have only recently started rising from dramatically low levels, and traders say it's going to be a tight race to refill them. With price spikes during the Israel-Iran conflict fresh in the memory, most say it's hard to see a major easing, echoing warnings from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and energy giant TotalEnergies SE. The fate of the fuel has wide-reaching ramifications for the global economy. Higher prices can ripple through inflation readings and dent consumer and business confidence at a time when US President Donald Trump's tariff wars also raise costs. American farmers will need large volumes of diesel to power their tractors and grain dryers during harvesting season in the fall, and drivers are already paying the most at the pump in about a year. Meanwhile, Trump's push to punish India for processing Russian crude into much needed global diesel supplies leaves Europe particularly vulnerable. The continent has become more dependent on fuel from further afield after direct imports from nearby Russia were banned. 'We're bullish for the end of the year,' said Rami Ramadan, co-head of global middle distillates at commodity trader BB Energy. 'We are going to be in for some shocks for sure because of how Europe has been disconnected from its closest sources of supply.' US stockpiles of diesel's family of fuels — used in everything from locomotives and trucks to power generation and heating — plunged to their lowest summer levels this century. While inventories should normally build over the summer, longer-term factors have made things more acute in the last few years. A slew of plant closures in the US and Europe since the Covid-driven oil market crash has tightened supplies in key hubs. Even as high margins lead refiners like Phillips 66 and Valero Energy to maximize diesel output, US inventories have only in recent weeks inched past the critical lows seen in the summer of 2022, just after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. In Europe buyers await tankers from the Middle East and Asia. After touching the equivalent of $110 a barrel following Israel's air strikes on Iran, prices have retreated closer to $90. Diesel's strength over the summer helped support crude prices while OPEC+ restored production faster than initially planned. Before the war in Ukraine, European diesel seldom traded $15 a barrel above Brent crude. Ever since, it has rarely traded at less than that. The spread, known in market parlance as a crack, is currently above $20 in Europe and around $30 in the US. Goldman Sachs expects both spreads to stay near current levels into 2026 'on continuing structural tightness in refining capacity,' and TotalEnergies said stronger diesel prices will become a 'persistent feature' of the global oil market. 'Heading into hurricane season, if we have some type of supply disruption, I think you'll see a pretty significant market reaction with inventories as low as they are,' Gary Simmons, executive vice president and chief operating officer at Valero, said on an earnings call. 'We expect diesel cracks to remain strong.' Diesel is part of a group of refined products known as middle distillates, which includes jet fuel and heating oil. High demand from the aviation sector has also tightened the balance of supplies, and a cold winter could do the same. 'Over the next three to four months, we're quite constructive on diesel cracks being sustained at levels similar to where they're at today,' Marathon Petroleum Corp.'s Chief Commercial Officer Rick Hessling said on an earnings call, adding that trucking and agriculture demand is 'very healthy.' Not all traders are bullish, though, as there has been some relief in the past few weeks. As well as stockpiles showing signs of recovering, more diesel and jet fuel cargoes left Asia and the Middle East for Europe in July than any time in the last 11 months, according to Kpler data. One diesel-laden supertanker of two million barrels is currently sailing to Europe, and another has been booked, according to a person involved in the flows, adding momentum to the resupply. 'One of the things we're doing is watching the Mideast and India, where the global net-distillate length exists for potential imports into Europe,' Brian Mandell, executive vice president of marketing and commercial at Phillips 66, said on an earnings call. Mandell said that prices are likely to eventually ease as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners add extra supplies of heavy crude that's better for making diesel. But it takes time for the group to go from targets to actual production, and then for the barrels to be shipped, processed into diesel and finally reach the fuel's buyers. 'We would think that distillate margins will remain strong through the year, eventually coming off some when you get these extra barrels — heavy crude barrels — back onto the market,' he said. --With assistance from Devika Krishna Kumar, Jack Wittels, Rachel Graham, Archie Hunter and Prejula Prem. Russia's Secret War and the Plot to Kill a German CEO The Pizza Oven Startup With a Plan to Own Every Piece of the Pie AI Flight Pricing Can Push Travelers to the Limit of Their Ability to Pay A High-Rise Push Is Helping Mumbai Squeeze in Pools, Gyms and Greenery Government Steps Up Campaign Against Business School Diversity ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.
Bloomberg
6 days ago
- Business
- Bloomberg
Oil Traders Race Against Time to Solve a Global Diesel Crunch
The oil market is pulling all the levers it can to ease a global diesel crunch, but the window is narrowing to replenish stockpiles of the world's workhorse fuel before hurricanes and refinery maintenance curtail output. From the US Gulf Coast to Rotterdam and Singapore, storage tanks have only recently started rising from dramatically low levels, and traders say it's going to be a tight race to refill them. With price spikes during the Israel-Iran conflict fresh in the memory, most say it's hard to see a major easing, echoing warnings from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and energy giant TotalEnergies SE.
Zawya
17-06-2025
- Business
- Zawya
QatarEnergy LNG remains at 'forefront' of rising global vessel capacities: IGU
QatarEnergy LNG remains at the 'forefront' of rising vessel capacities (globally), ordering 24 new 271,000 cm (QC-max) vessels from China for delivery between 2028 and 2031, according to the International Gas Union (IGU). Globally, some 337 LNG vessels were under construction as of end-2024, IGU said in its '2025 LNG World Report'. Of the 64 newbuilds delivered in 2024, all have a capacity of between 174,000 and 200,000 cm. Vessels of this size remain within the upper limit of the Panama Canal's capacity following its expansion in 2016. They also benefit from economies of scale, particularly as additional LNG capacity is developed in the US Gulf Coast (USGC) for long-haul delivery to Asia, IGU noted. Moving forward, 200,000 cm vessels, or larger, could find favour due to their economies of scale for long-haul voyages, especially for long-term charters, if some flexibility is maintained (Panama Canal, terminal compatibility, etc). The current orderbook for such ships comprises 37 vessels, each with a capacity of either 200,000 cm or 271,000 cm, scheduled for delivery between 2025 and 2031. The global LNG orderbook had 337 newbuild vessels under construction at the end of 2024, equivalent to 45.4% of the current active fleet, with deliveries stretching into 2031. This illustrates shipowners' expectations that LNG trade will continue to grow in line with scheduled increases in liquefaction capacity, particularly from the US and Qatar, and fleet renewal demand from oncoming retirements of older, more inefficient vessels. An expected 97 carriers are scheduled to be delivered in 2025. The orderbook includes 21 icebreaker-class vessels for the Arctic LNG 2 project in Russia. These vessels are highly innovative and require high capital expenditure (CAPEX) which grant them the capability to traverse the Arctic region. Due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these vessels have faced a risk of delayed deliveries or cancellations due to international sanctions on Russia that have complicated equipment delivery and payments. IGU also noted the current global LNG fleet is relatively young, considering the oldest operational LNG carrier was constructed in 1977. As of end-2024, some 84.9% of the fleet is under 20 years of age, consistent with the rapid growth of liquefaction capacity since the turn of the century. Additionally, newer vessels are larger and more efficient, with superior project economics and emissions performance over their operational lifetime. In total, some 7,065 LNG trade voyages were undertaken in 2024, a 0.9% increase from the 7,004 seen in 2023, IGU said. This is in line with minimal growth in LNG production. While Asia remains the dominant demand centre with 4,609 trade voyages, European trade voyages declined by 13% to 1,929 in 2024 due to weak market fundamentals through most of 2024, with Europe importing just over 100mn tonnes. © Gulf Times Newspaper 2022 Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (
