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Bloomberg
3 days ago
- Business
- Bloomberg
Bargain Hunters Scouring For Distressed Sectors May Eye India's Road Developers
Before the trading day starts we bring you a digest of the key news and events that are likely to move markets. Today we look at: Good morning, this is Ashutosh Joshi, an equities reporter in Mumbai. Indian stocks are positioned for a second day of gains, helped by a risk on tone in Asian markets and a sharp decline in volatility index back home. The prospects of ample rainfall could further boost sentiment, benefiting a host of sectors while helping ease inflationary pressures.


Time of India
28-05-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Indices decline over 1% amid global market concerns and profit booking
The Volatility Index or VIX - the market's fear gauge - gained 2.85% to 18.5 on Tuesday, indicating traders expect higher risks in the near term. Indian equity indices experienced a decline of over 1% on Tuesday, influenced by weak global cues and profit-booking in key sectors ahead of the monthly expiry. Despite the downturn, analysts maintain a bullish outlook. Market sentiment was also affected by uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump's tariffs and trade agreements, contributing to investor caution. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Mumbai: India's equity indices fell more than 1% on Tuesday, although the gauges recouped some losses through a choppy trading session marked by weak global cues and profit-booking in heavyweight sectors ahead of the monthly expiry. Analysts said the undertone remains bullish, despite Tuesday's NSE Nifty fell 0.7%, or 174.95 points, to finish at 24,826.20. The BSE Sensex moved 0.8%, or 624.82 points, lower at 81,551.63."The market was jittery amid global nervousness due to lack of clarity on Donald Trump's tariffs, and trade agreements. With the F&O expiry coming up, investors remained cautious," said Siddartha Khemka, Head of Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services A lack of positive triggers at the tail end of the earnings season on the domestic front also caused the gauges to lose momentum, said Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.6%, on Friday. The US markets were closed Monday for the Memorial Day Asia, China and Taiwan fell 0.2% and 0.9%, respectively, while South Korea declined 0.3%. Japan rose 0.5% and Hong Kong rose 0.4%.Analysts said that heavyweight sectors, such as banking, IT and FMCG that together make up almost 60% of the benchmark, witnessed profit booking due to the monthly expiry."The markets were trading lower after testing 25,050 levels during the day and the call concentration and open interest was highest at these levels in Nifty," said Vikas Jain, head of research, Reliance Securities. "The rollover moved up to almost 48% from 35%."The Volatility Index or VIX - the market's fear gauge - gained 2.85% to 18.5 on Tuesday, indicating traders expect higher risks in the near FMCG and IT indices fell 0.9% and 0.8%, respectively, while Bank Nifty moved 0.4% lower. Nifty Auto Index declined 0.7%. The broader market bucked the downtrend and ended higher with the Nifty Mid-cap 150 index advancing 0.21% while the small-cap 250 index ended 0.11% higher. In past week, the mid-cap index and small-cap index rose 1.8% and 1.6%. 'While headline indices witnessed profit-booking due to weak global cues, broader market witnessed good momentum supported by institutional buying in selective sectors,' said Khemka.'IPOs have started coming up which indicates broader market strength.' Out of the 4,084 shares traded on BSE, 1,897 advanced, while 2,053 declined. Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 348.5 crore on Tuesday. Their domestic counterparts bought shares worth Rs 10,104.6 crore. In May, overseas investors bought Rs 15,132.3 crore. Technical analysts said 24,650 is a key level on the downside and if benchmark Nifty breaches this level, then further corrections are possible till 24,300 levels. However, the momentum is positive.
Yahoo
20-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
How To Invest: Use The VIX To Measure Fear And Confirm Key Stock Market Bottoms
The Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, can be used to gauge the amount of fear on Wall Street, and help confirm stock market bottoms.


Arabian Post
17-05-2025
- Business
- Arabian Post
What next for the bond market and the US dollar
Matein Khalid The US Treasury bond market is unnerved by Powell's reluctance to cut rates at the May FOMC and increasing short bets on long duration Uncle Sam IOUs by the world's biggest hedge funds. This is the reason the 2-year Treasury note yield, the single security most sensitive to changes in expectation of US central bank monetary policy, has risen 15 basis points this week to 4.06% despite Bessent's hyped success with the Chinese Vice Premier on trade talks in Geneva, the 10 year US Treasury note has risen to 4.53% and triggered a correspondent rise in the world's cost of long term capital. Since a Fed rate hike is not credible now, crude oil has fallen to the early 60's on WTI and the Volatility Index has tanked to 18 in a benign milieu for risk assets, I doubt if the 10 year US Treasury yield will rise much above 4.70% in the short run, though the prospect of a 7% 'forever' US budget deficit could resurrect the bond vigilantes, the demons of fiscal indiscipline, with a vengeance. The US tax legislation changes, after all, are auguries of higher annual budget deficits and a rising tsunami of long term Treasury bond auctions at a precisely the moment when the Chinese are loath to increase their exposure to Uncle Sam, the Japanese, South Korean/ASEAN central banks will see trade surpluses with the US fall and reduce their appetite to bid for Uncle Sam debt and Gulf Arab central banks have less petrodollars to recycle since oil prices are $35-$40 below their budget breakeven prices while domestic spending ramps up. The smoke signals from the Fed Fund futures contract at the Chicago Merc are increasingly ominous as the timing of the next Fed rate cut is pushed back to an autumn FOMC conclave. Another factor driving up yields above 4.50% on the UST-10 note is the heavy supply of mortgage back securities new issues, whose pipeline is usually hedged by broker/dealers in the T-bond futures pits. The proof of the pudding in interest rate futures markets now lies in April's retail sales, PPI and jobless claims insurance tonight. See also Thriller in Geneva and Trump in Kashmir! As I suspected, Bessent's thrilla in Geneva was not sufficient to negate the consensus view on Planet Forex that the Trump White House wants a much lower dollar. The tidal wave of a strategic asset allocation shift out of the greenback by global central banks/institutional investors is not fooled by Bessent's strong dollar mantra since he is, sadly, not POTUS. This tidal wave could be as high as $5 trillion or 15% of the $36 trillion invested by offshore accounts in US stocks and bonds since Lehman Brothers went belly up in September 2008. So I refuse to be an FX Ostrich with my head in the sand while Uncle Sam engineers another 40% devaluation of the buckeroo, as he did with the Plaza Accords under Reagan/Volcker in 1985 and again under Baby Bush/Bernanke after 9/11. My home trading man-cave is filled with framed copies of busted Ottoman Empire era utility bonds (Electricite de Constantinople was a prime issuer in the offshore loan and sukuk market in 1913. Neither the empire, the company or its poor bondholders survived the Great War). To remind myself that James Bond 007 was dead right in FX – never say never! The 8% rise in the Taiwan dollar in only 2-sessions, an event not seen in Taipei in 40-years, tells me that Asia is petrified that Trump will use its multi-trillion dollar hoard of US Treasuries as a trade bludgeon to devalue the dollar. John Meynard Keynes predicted precisely this scenario at the Bretton Woods conference with his concept of monetary seigniorage, a privilege abused by every banker to the world from the Caesars of ancient Rome to the imperial occupance of Topkapi Serai, Toledo, 11 Downing Street, the Élysée Palace and the White House. See also GCC wealth evaporates when the dollar gets dumped! As Nixon's Treasury Secretary boasted to his foreign creditors when Tricky Dick suspended gold's link to the dollar in August 1971, the US dollar is 'our currency, your problem'. What exactly is the problem? The $36 trillion in investments owned by foreigners is entirely based on no anchor of value, like the price of gold. So the dollar has already devalued by 50% since late 2022 when Dr. Auric bottomed at $1600 an ounce. Sadly, this is the biggest heist in global financial history and it has barely begun. The DXY, trade weighted Dollar Index, now almost 101 can well devalue in the 4-years to 65-70. The scale of US debt/deficits and US geopolitical power rules out any other conclusion for the simple reality that the 4% of the world's population who happen to be American consume 30% of its resources and generate 60% of its debt. The world monetary system is designed to enrich the US and impoverish the rest of the world. The US dollar has lost 50% of its value since Maestro Greenspan took over as Fed Chairman in 1987 and 99% of its value since the Federal Reserve was created by an act of Congress in 1913. Store of value? Yeah right – suckernomics 101! Also published on Medium. Notice an issue? Arabian Post strives to deliver the most accurate and reliable information to its readers. If you believe you have identified an error or inconsistency in this article, please don't hesitate to contact our editorial team at editor[at]thearabianpost[dot]com. We are committed to promptly addressing any concerns and ensuring the highest level of journalistic integrity.


Business Insider
17-05-2025
- Business
- Business Insider
Stock Market News Review: S&P 500 Secures Fifth Straight Daily Gain Despite Falling Consumer Sentiment
The S&P 500 (SPX) closed every single trading day this week in the green while the Volatility Index registered a weekly loss of 11.7% in an extremely bullish showing. Confident Investing Starts Here: Quickly and easily unpack a company's performance with TipRanks' new KPI Data for smart investment decisions Receive undervalued, market resilient stocks straight to you inbox with TipRanks' Smart Value Newsletter In the beginning of April, the SPX was down by 15% year-to-date while the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) had an 18.5% loss. Both indices are now up on the year in an incredible comeback. This morning, the University of Michigan released its preliminary May Index of Consumer Sentiment with a reading of 50.8, the second-lowest level on record and below the expectation for 53.4. If the reading holds, it will mark the fifth consecutive month of declines. In addition, the university's year-ahead inflation expectation is now 7.3% compared to 6.5% in April. That's much higher than April's consumer price index (CPI) of 2.3%, marking the lowest rate since February 2021. In other news, President Trump has warned that Americans will see ' their Taxes going up 65%' if his 'one, big, beautiful bill' isn't passed. The bill still faces several hurdles before it can be passed as it faces opposition from both parties. Finally, the U.S. and EU and have begun 'serious' trade talk negotiations, according to the Financial Times. During the past week, the two sides exchanged trade documents highlighting key areas of consideration. EU trade commissioner Maroš Šefčovič told the FT that the EU was open to purchasing more gas, weapons, and agricultural products from the U.S. and reducing its trade reliance on China for certain products as part of trade negotiations.