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China's promise in the Kurdistan Region: A pragmatic partnership in the making
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China's economic presence in the Kurdistan Region is growing steadily and strategically. From newly erected telecom towers to round-the-clock cement factories and classrooms offering Mandarin lessons, the signs of cooperation are visible. Yet behind this growing footprint lies a deliberate, measured campaign - one that combines commercial outreach, cultural diplomacy, and cautious engagement in major infrastructure projects that still await financing and implementation.
China's global economic pivot - from investment-driven expansion to a more targeted focus on high-tech sectors such as renewable energy, artificial intelligence (AI), and advanced manufacturing - offers important context for understanding its approach to the Kurdistan Region.
International investors and analysts observe that Beijing favors long-term partnerships and sector-specific engagement over headline-grabbing diplomatic gestures. This strategy helps explain why Chinese firms operating in Erbil are active in sectors where quick, tangible results are achievable, while larger infrastructure ambitions advance more slowly.
Zou Demin, Consul for Economic and Trade Affairs of the People's Republic of China in Erbil, described the Kurdistan Region as 'an important gateway for regional trade and a promising hub for economic cooperation.'
Chinese activity in the Region is deliberate and tailored, he said, adding, 'We see opportunities not only in oil and gas but also in agriculture, infrastructure, and technology.' Zou emphasized Beijing's pragmatic approach: projects must align with local needs and capacities, and although progress is gradual, momentum is growing.
A growing commercial footprint
Local business leaders echo this pragmatic tone but offer a sharper on-the-ground perspective.
Kamil Ahmed Hama Rash, advisor at the International Chamber of Commerce in China, noted that Iraq's trade with China reached $40 billion in 2023 - 2024. Chinese customs data puts the total trade volume at $54.2 billion in 2024, with $26.65 billion recorded in the first half of the year alone.
According to Hama Rash, companies in the Kurdistan Region account for roughly $5 billion of this annual trade, facilitated by approximately 250 trading firms. Much of this commerce arrives via the ports of Umm Qasr, Bandar Abbas, and Mersin located in southern Iraq, Iran and Turkey, respectively. A significant portion is re-exported to neighboring markets, underscoring the Region's potential as a logistical and trade hub.
Hama Rash identifies a key logistical priority: establishing a dry port in the Kurdistan Region to streamline trade operations and reduce costs for importers and exporters.
However, structural challenges remain. Many local traders avoid commercial loans due to interest rates that conflict with Islamic financing principles. Additionally, the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) must upgrade its transport infrastructure, customs systems, and legal frameworks to transform trade into broader industrial development.
Agreements vs. actions
Despite these challenges, concrete achievements are visible.
Chinese partnerships, particularly between Huawei and local telecom providers, have advanced digital infrastructure. Chinese-built cement factories supply a large share of materials fueling the Region's post-conflict construction boom.
On the cultural front, China's soft-power efforts are bearing fruit: hundreds of Kurdistan Region residents participated in Chinese training programs in 2024, supported by the China Scholarship Council (CSC) on behalf of the Chinese education ministry. Moreover, the Chinese Language Department at Salahaddin University in Erbil anchors this educational and cultural engagement.
However, grander ambitions have yet to be realized. Memoranda of understanding have been signed for hydropower projects and a major refinery, but financing delays and supply chain constraints have stalled progress. This gap between signed agreements and on-the-ground delivery is a key concern for local observers. While MoUs make for optimistic headlines, meaningful impact demands job creation, technology transfer, and long-term capacity building - not just short-term contracts or imported equipment.
There is also a broader strategic consideration. Relying heavily on a single external partner for critical sectors raises concerns about competition, local value retention, and economic resilience. To maximize benefits from Chinese engagement, experts argue, the KRG must secure binding commitments on local content, workforce training, and transparent procurement processes that prioritize local suppliers and labor.
Consul Zou affirmed that Chinese engagement will continue to deepen. 'Our cooperation should bring mutual benefit and shared growth,' he told Rudaw. But mutual benefit must translate into visible outcomes: sustainable jobs, apprenticeships in Chinese-built facilities, and financing structures aligned with local preferences, including Islamic finance.
A path to sustainable partnership
The policy recommendations are clear, though challenging to implement.
The KRG must prioritize establishing a legal and logistical framework for a dry port to streamline trade and reduce costs. At the same time, it should pursue contracts that include enforceable provisions for local content and workforce development, ensuring that investments lead to meaningful economic participation for the Region's people.
Additionally, the KRG needs to diversify its financing mechanisms in ways that address both religious considerations and commercial concerns, especially given the widespread reluctance toward conventional interest-based loans.
On the other side, Chinese companies and institutions should emphasize measurable local benefits - demonstrating, rather than merely stating, that their investments are improving living standards, creating jobs, and transferring skills.
For the people of Erbil and the wider business community, China's engagement offers a door of opportunity that remains only partially open. The future of this relationship will hinge on whether agreements move beyond paper and result in actual construction, employment, and technology transfer; whether expanding trade flows can be transformed into enduring industrial capacity; and whether both sides can successfully align their legal and financial frameworks to support resilient, locally beneficial projects.
If these elements align, the 'momentum for cooperation' cited by Consul Zou could indeed evolve into a powerful driver of regional growth. If not, China's economic footprint in the Kurdistan Region, while significant, may ultimately fall short of its full potential.
Omar Ahmed is editor-in-chief of Rudaw's Economy Desk.
The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rudaw.
