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Globe and Mail
2 days ago
- Business
- Globe and Mail
US 30-Year Bond (TLT) Yields Drop Sharply Amid Global Debt Market Rally
Long-term Treasury investors breathed a sigh of relief on Tuesday, as a broad global debt rally significantly eased yields, delivering the largest single-day drop in the U.S. 30-year bond (TLT) yield since March. Market participants re-entered longer maturities amid renewed optimism sparked by Japanese authorities considering adjustments to debt issuance, aiming to stabilize their own bond markets after weeks of turmoil. Despite persistent concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook and recent tariff escalations by President Trump, the solid auction of $69 billion in two-year Treasuries provided additional support, highlighting investor demand at the shorter end of the yield curve. The 30-year U.S. yield dropped notably back under the psychologically important 5% level, tempering anxieties surrounding rising government borrowing costs. Market Overview: U.S. 30-year bond yield sees sharpest daily decline since late March. Japanese bond market stabilization efforts boost global bond sentiment. Robust demand for two-year U.S. Treasuries supports broader bond rally. Key Points: Yield retreat occurs despite ongoing U.S. fiscal uncertainty and tariffs. Japan's possible debt issuance adjustment provides critical market relief. U.S. Treasury term premiums remain elevated, indicating ongoing caution. Looking Ahead: Upcoming U.S. bond auctions and Federal Reserve minutes closely watched. Persistent fiscal concerns suggest relief rally could be temporary. Long-term yields likely to remain volatile amid global fiscal pressures. Bull Case: A significant global debt rally led to the largest single-day drop in the U.S. 30-year bond yield since March, with the yield falling back below the key 5% level, providing temporary relief to long-term Treasury investors. Renewed optimism was sparked by considerations from Japanese authorities to adjust their debt issuance to stabilize their own turbulent bond markets, which positively influenced global bond sentiment and U.S. Treasuries. A solid auction of $69 billion in two-year U.S. Treasuries demonstrated investor demand at the shorter end of the yield curve, contributing to the broader bond market rally. The return of yield-hungry buyers, capitalizing on higher yields, has temporarily stabilized market sentiment despite underlying fiscal concerns. Bear Case: Experts warn that the current relief rally in bond markets might be short-lived due to persistent and unresolved concerns over ballooning U.S. fiscal deficits and the nation's overall fiscal trajectory. Moody's recent downgrade of U.S. sovereign debt continues to underscore investor anxiety about the sustainability of U.S. government borrowing. U.S. Treasury term premiums remain elevated, indicating that investors still demand significant compensation for holding long-term U.S. debt due to ongoing caution and perceived risk. Upcoming auctions of intermediate U.S. debt and forthcoming economic data releases could quickly reverse the positive sentiment and reintroduce volatility. Structural concerns about the U.S. fiscal outlook and global fiscal pressures suggest that long-term U.S. borrowing costs are likely to remain volatile and potentially elevated. However, experts warn this relief might be short-lived. Underlying concerns over ballooning U.S. deficits—recently underscored by Moody's downgrade—and persistent investor anxiety about Washington's fiscal trajectory suggest caution is still warranted. Additionally, upcoming auctions of intermediate U.S. debt and forthcoming economic data could quickly shift sentiment again. As markets navigate these turbulent fiscal waters, the return of yield-hungry buyers temporarily stabilizes sentiment. Yet, with structural concerns unresolved, bond investors face continued uncertainty, reinforcing the delicate balance underpinning current market dynamics.


Arab News
27-05-2025
- Business
- Arab News
Saudi authority approves new guidelines for sustainable debt instruments
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia's Capital Market Authority has approved new guidelines for issuing green, social, sustainable, and sustainability-linked debt instruments. These guidelines, which came into effect on may 27, represent a crucial milestone in the CMA's broader strategy to deepen the domestic debt market and align the Kingdom's financial sector with the sustainability objectives outlined in Vision 2030. The initiative is part of the CMA's strategic plan for 2024–2026 and supports the Sustainability Strategy of the Ministerial Committee for Corporate Sustainability Strategy. Developed in collaboration with both public and private sector stakeholders, the guidelines serve as a key deliverable under the initiative titled 'Establish the regulatory framework for sustainable debt instruments.' This initiative aims to encourage local issuances and enhance the role of debt financing in the national economy. The approval of these new guidelines aligns with the CMA's comprehensive strategy, which includes over 40 initiatives designed to advance sustainable finance and develop the capital markets. Among these efforts are the creation of regulatory frameworks for green and ESG-linked bonds, the adoption of open finance practices to foster innovation, and the strengthening of corporate governance regulations to boost accountability and investor confidence. This development is particularly important as it accelerates the adoption of sustainable finance by creating a clear framework for issuing ESG-compliant debt instruments, enabling public and private entities to raise funds for environmentally and socially responsible projects. Furthermore, it strengthens the local debt market by encouraging wider participation from issuers and investors through enhanced regulatory clarity, which in turn improves market liquidity and access to capital. The CMA highlighted that while the new guidelines are non-binding, issuers offering green, social, sustainable, or sustainability-linked debt instruments denominated in Saudi riyals — whether through public or private placements — are required to disclose any deviations from the guidelines in their issuance framework or offering documents. 'The guideline does not entail any changes to the regulatory rules and procedures currently in place in the capital market,' the CMA stated. According to the regulator, the guidelines define four categories of instruments: green debt, social debt, sustainable debt, and sustainability-linked debt. Green, social, and sustainable instruments require that proceeds be used exclusively for projects that deliver positive environmental and/or social outcomes.


Bloomberg
23-05-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
China 50-Year Bond Yields Rise in Auction, First Time Since 2022
China's 50-year sovereign bond auction saw a yield increase for the tenor for the first time since 2022, as government policy support and easing US trade tensions reduced demand for debt. The Ministry of Finance sold the 50-year special sovereign notes at an average yield of 2.1% on Friday, according to traders who bid at the 50 billion yuan offering. That compares with a record low of 1.91% for the 50-year tenor that the last auction fetched in February.


Bloomberg
23-05-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
India-US Yield Gap at 20-Year Low Spurs Concern of Fund Outflows
Follow Bloomberg India on WhatsApp for exclusive content and analysis on what billionaires, businesses and markets are doing. Sign up here. India's bond yield premium over the US has narrowed to its smallest in two decades, likely risking fund outflows from local debt.


Bloomberg
22-05-2025
- Business
- Bloomberg
Telecom Argentina Debt Sale Defies Telefonica Deal Scrutiny
Telecom Argentina SA tapped international debt markets following its acquisition of Telefonica SA 's local unit, a deal that has stoked fierce opposition from President Javier Milei's government. The company sold $800 million of bonds due in 2033, according to people familiar with the matter. The notes priced at 98.862 cents on the dollar with a 9.5% yield, the people added, asking not to be identified because they are not authorized to speak publicly.