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Goldman Sachs sees OPEC+ raising oil output by 0.41 mb/d in August
Goldman Sachs sees OPEC+ raising oil output by 0.41 mb/d in August

Yahoo

time3 hours ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Goldman Sachs sees OPEC+ raising oil output by 0.41 mb/d in August

(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs anticipates the eight country OPEC+ oil group will implement a final 0.41 million barrels per day (mb/d) production increase in August, the bank said in a note dated Sunday. "Relatively tight spot oil fundamentals, beats in hard global activity data, and seasonal summer support to oil demand suggest that the expected demand slowdown is unlikely to be sharp enough to stop raising production when deciding on August production levels on July 6th," Goldman Sachs said in a note. OPEC+, the world's largest group of oil producers, stuck to its guns on Saturday with another big increase of 411,000 barrels per day for July as it looks to wrestle back market share and punish over-producers. The decision likely reflects relatively tight spot fundamentals, a resilient global economy, and an ongoing shift toward a long-term equilibrium aimed at normalizing spare capacity, supporting internal cohesion, and disciplining U.S. shale production, Goldman Sachs noted. Oil prices rebounded more than $1 a barrel in early Asian trade on Monday after OPEC+ decided to increase output in July by the same amount as it did in each of the prior two months, in line with market expectation. [O/R] Goldman Sachs expects OPEC+ to maintain flat production levels from September, citing slowing global growth in third quarter and new large-scale non-OPEC projects ramping up. Goldman maintained its cautious oil price forecast, projecting Brent crude to average $60 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) $56 per barrel for the remainder of 2025. For 2026, it sees Brent at $56 and WTI at $52 per barrel. The forecast reflects expected supply growth outside of U.S. shale will drive surpluses of 1 mbpd in 2025 and 1.5 mbpd in 2026. The bank mainted its oil price forecast stating a moderate upgrade to demand offsets the increase in OPEC+ supply. Goldman Sachs further cited an upward revision of historical International Energy Agency (IEA) Africa demand estimates, stronger-than-expected European demand data, and a softer electric vehicle (EV) outlook in Western markets as contributing factors.

Goldman Sachs sees OPEC+ raising oil output by 0.41 mb/d in August
Goldman Sachs sees OPEC+ raising oil output by 0.41 mb/d in August

Yahoo

time3 hours ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Goldman Sachs sees OPEC+ raising oil output by 0.41 mb/d in August

(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs anticipates the eight country OPEC+ oil group will implement a final 0.41 million barrels per day (mb/d) production increase in August, the bank said in a note dated Sunday. "Relatively tight spot oil fundamentals, beats in hard global activity data, and seasonal summer support to oil demand suggest that the expected demand slowdown is unlikely to be sharp enough to stop raising production when deciding on August production levels on July 6th," Goldman Sachs said in a note. OPEC+, the world's largest group of oil producers, stuck to its guns on Saturday with another big increase of 411,000 barrels per day for July as it looks to wrestle back market share and punish over-producers. The decision likely reflects relatively tight spot fundamentals, a resilient global economy, and an ongoing shift toward a long-term equilibrium aimed at normalizing spare capacity, supporting internal cohesion, and disciplining U.S. shale production, Goldman Sachs noted. Oil prices rebounded more than $1 a barrel in early Asian trade on Monday after OPEC+ decided to increase output in July by the same amount as it did in each of the prior two months, in line with market expectation. [O/R] Goldman Sachs expects OPEC+ to maintain flat production levels from September, citing slowing global growth in third quarter and new large-scale non-OPEC projects ramping up. Goldman maintained its cautious oil price forecast, projecting Brent crude to average $60 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) $56 per barrel for the remainder of 2025. For 2026, it sees Brent at $56 and WTI at $52 per barrel. The forecast reflects expected supply growth outside of U.S. shale will drive surpluses of 1 mbpd in 2025 and 1.5 mbpd in 2026. The bank mainted its oil price forecast stating a moderate upgrade to demand offsets the increase in OPEC+ supply. Goldman Sachs further cited an upward revision of historical International Energy Agency (IEA) Africa demand estimates, stronger-than-expected European demand data, and a softer electric vehicle (EV) outlook in Western markets as contributing factors. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

OPEC+ Agrees on Third Oil Supply Surge to Deepen Price Slump
OPEC+ Agrees on Third Oil Supply Surge to Deepen Price Slump

Bloomberg

time2 days ago

  • Business
  • Bloomberg

OPEC+ Agrees on Third Oil Supply Surge to Deepen Price Slump

OPEC+ agreed to surge oil output by 411,000 barrels a day for the third month in a row, doubling down on a historic policy shift that has sent crude prices sinking. Key nations led by Saudi Arabia agreed during a video-conference on Saturday to add that amount to the market in July, according to delegates. The hike follows equally sized increases scheduled for May and June, which broke with years of efforts by the group to support global oil prices and dragged crude to a four-year low.

US crude inventories fall 2.8M barrels last week
US crude inventories fall 2.8M barrels last week

Argaam

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Argaam

US crude inventories fall 2.8M barrels last week

US crude oil inventories declined more than anticipated in the week ended May 23, signaling a rebound in US energy demand ahead of Memorial Day, according to data released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday. Commercial crude inventories fell by 2.8 million barrels last week, compared to expectations for a rise of 600,000 barrels. Gasoline inventories also decreased by 2.4 million barrels, while distillate stocks—including diesel and heating oil— were down by 700,000 barrels.

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