Latest news with #politicalPoll
RNZ News
10-08-2025
- Business
- RNZ News
New political poll predicts hung Parliament
In preferred prime minister ratings, Christopher Luxon and Chris Hipkins both sit at 20.2 percent. Photo: RNZ The race for Election 2026 appears to be on a knife edge, with a new political poll predicting a hung Parliament. The latest Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll - taken between 3 and 5 August - comes after a string of negative headlines about the economy. Labour has overtaken National as the largest party, gaining 2 points to 33.6 percent, while National drops 2.1 points to 31.8 percent. The Greens are up 0.4 points to 9.8 percent, ACT is down 0.5 points to 8.6 percent, New Zealand First is down 2 points to 7.8 percent and Te Pāti Māori down 0.3 points to 3.2 percent. If an election were held today, the centre-right bloc would lose four MPs for a total 61 seats, while the centre-left bloc would gain four MP and also reach a total 61 seats. With neither bloc having the upper hand, it would be a hung Parliament. The last Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll showed the coalition parties reasserting their lead with enough support for 65 seats, driven by a surge in support for New Zealand First. For the minor parties, TOP is up 1.4 points to 2.6 percent, Outdoors and Freedom is up 1 point to 1.1 percent and Vision NZ is up 0.4 points on 0.4 percent. Cost of living remains voters' most important issue at 24.4 percent (+2.8 points), closely followed by the economy more generally at 20.7 percent (+1.6 points). Health is the next largest issue on 10.0 percent, followed by employment on 6.0 percent. In preferred Prime Minister ratings, Christopher Luxon is up 0.5 points to 20.2 percent while Chris Hipkins is up 0.6 points to also sit at 20.2 percent. Winston Peters is down 1.1 points to 8.2 percent, Chlöe Swarbrick is up 1.0 point to 8 percent, and David Seymour is up 0.5 points to 6.2 percent. The poll was conducted by Curia Market Research Ltd for the Taxpayers' Union. It is a random poll of 1000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population. It was conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online, has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent and 6.2 percent were undecided on the party vote question. Curia is a long-running and established pollster in New Zealand, which has resigned its membership from the Research Association New Zealand (RANZ) industry body. Polls compare to the most recent poll by the same polling company, as different polls can use different methodologies. They are intended to track trends in voting preferences, showing a snapshot in time, rather than be a completely accurate predictor of the final election result. Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero , a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.
NHK
05-07-2025
- Business
- NHK
Elon Musk conducts online poll on his plan for new political party
US tech billionaire Elon Musk has conducted a social media poll on his plan to create a new political party. The move came on Friday when President Donald Trump signed into law a tax-cut and spending bill. Musk had led the Department of Government Efficiency until late May, and worked to reduce government spending. He has been critical of the new legislation, saying that it would significantly increase US fiscal deficits. He wrote on his social media platform X, "Independence Day is the perfect time to ask if you want independence from the two-party system!" Musk asked, "Should we create the America Party?" The online poll has received more than 1.24 million responses before it was closed. The result shows about 65 percent of respondents favor the idea. Currently, the Republican Party holds a slim majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. Musk wrote in another post, "One way to execute on this would be to laser-focus on just 2 or 3 Senate seats and 8 to 10 House districts." He added, "Given the razor-thin legislative margins, that would be enough to serve as the deciding vote on contentious laws, ensuring that they serve the true will of the people." Musk's latest move on X is seen as an attempt to pressure Trump and his Republican Party ahead of next year's mid-term election.
