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Heat vs. Bucks Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, trends for February 23

Heat vs. Bucks Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, trends for February 23

NBC Sports23-02-2025

It's Sunday, February 23, and the Miami Heat (26-28) and Milwaukee Bucks (31-24) are all set to square off from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.
The Heat are currently 13-17 on the road with a point differential of -1, while the Bucks have a 8-2 record in their last ten games at home.
Milwaukee has won the past two games out of the All-Star break with victories over the Clippers (116-110) and Wizards (104-101). Miami beat Toronto on the road in OT (120-111) and will search for its first win against Milwaukee. The Bucks won both meetings versus the Heat by three and 29 points.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Listen to the Rotoworld Basketball Show for the latest fantasy player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.
Game details & how to watch Heat vs. Bucks live today
Date: Sunday, February 23, 2025
Time: 6:00PM EST
Site: Fiserv Forum
City: Milwaukee, WI
Network/Streaming:
Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.
Game odds for Heat vs. Bucks
The latest odds as of Sunday:
Odds: Heat (+157), Bucks (-188)
Spread: Bucks -4.5
Over/Under: 224 points
That gives the Heat an implied team point total of 111.12, and the Bucks 113.47.
Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports' Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!
Expert picks & predictions for Sunday's Heat vs. Bucks game
'Neither team has a defense that you can trust here and Milwaukee didn't show much of any live in the first half against Washington the last time out.
Tyler Herro is a game-wrecker that could drop 30 points on Milwaukee's defense and Bobby Portis getting suspended has weakened the Bucks rotation.
With Miami being 0-2 against Milwaukee this season, I would back Miami +4.5 this time around without Jimmy Butler as this different-looking Heat rotation could catch the Bucks slipping.'
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today's Heat & Bucks game:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Milwaukee Bucks on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Miami Heat at +4.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 224.
Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions pagefrom NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today's calendar!
Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Heat vs. Bucks on Sunday
The Bucks have won 17 of 29 games following a win
Each of the last 3 matchups between the Bucks and the Heat have stayed under the Total
The Heat have failed to cover in 18 of their 31 road games this season
The Bucks have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Heat
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick's insight weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

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