
RBI MPC decision today: Will Sensex, Nifty open higher on likely rate-cut?
Sensex and Nifty are projected to open on a positive note on Friday, in anticipation of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) policy announcement. Analysts predict a rate cut, which could stimulate market activity.Gift Nifty futures were trading at 24,849.50 as of 8:30 am, indicating that Nifty50 will open above Thursday's close of 24,750.90. This optimism is fuelled by expectations that a rate cut will boost liquidity and investor sentiment, potentially leading to a rally in the stock market.advertisementVLA Ambala, Co-Founder of Stock Market Today, said that we can expect Nifty to gain support between 24,540 and 24,430 and meet resistance near 24,920, 25,000, and 25,150 in the next intraday trading session.
"Nifty is also expected to trade within a wide range today," she added. Pranay Aggarwal, Director and CEO of Stoxkart, said, "Soft inflation data and moderate demand trends give the RBI room to act. However, global uncertainties, including US policy and external trade dynamics, could influence the tone of the policy statement."The GDP growth for the fourth quarter was 7.4%, with a gross value added figure of 6.8%, which HSBC suggests better reflects the economy's state. These economic indicators provide a mixed backdrop for the RBI's decision-making process.On Thursday, Nifty and Sensex rose about 0.5%, led by gains in rate-sensitive sectors like realty and financials. Despite this, the benchmarks are approximately 6% below the record highs achieved in late September 2024.advertisementOther Asian markets opened with minimal change, while Wall Street equities closed lower due to tensions involving U.S. President Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The international landscape adds an element of unpredictability to the markets, which could sway investor behavior."Today, the RBI's policy announcement could act as a major trigger, as anticipated rate cuts will likely increase market liquidity. In the session leading up to the announcement, we can expect financial and consumer stocks to remain in focus," explained Ambala.(Disclaimer: The views, opinions, recommendations, and suggestions expressed by experts/brokerages in this article are their own and do not reflect the views of the India Today Group. It is advisable to consult a qualified broker or financial advisor before making any actual investment or trading choices.)Must Watch
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Time of India
31 minutes ago
- Time of India
Market Wrap: D-Street ends higher on US trade talk optimism; Sensex adds 123 pts, Nifty above 25,100
Indian benchmark equity indices Sensex and Nifty ended in the green on Wednesday, lifted by gains in IT and oil & gas stocks, as positive cues from Asian markets and progress in trade talks between the U.S. and key partners like India and China boosted investor sentiment. The BSE Sensex advanced 123.42 points, or 0.15%, to settle at 82,515.14, while the NSE Nifty eked out a gain of 37.15 points, or 0.15% to close at 25,141.40. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Undo


Economic Times
32 minutes ago
- Economic Times
Rupee sticks to muted price action, implied volatility retreats
The Indian rupee ended slightly higher on Wednesday, sticking to rangebound price action for a third consecutive session on two-sided client flows and the absence of cues to firm a directional bias on the currency. ADVERTISEMENT The dollar-rupee pair's implied volatility, a gauge of future expectations, has receded on the back of muted moves in the currency. The 1-month gauge eased to about 4.4%, the lowest in over one month. On the day, the rupee closed at 85.51 against the U.S. dollar, up slightly from its close of 85.6025 in the previous session. Asian currencies were largely steady as well while the dollar index was hovering sideways around the 99-handle. Mild dollar sales from foreign banks helped the rupee tick higher in early trading but routine corporate dollar demand stood in the way of the local currency extending its rise, a trader at a state-run bank said. India's benchmark equity indexes, the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50, ended slightly in the green, tracking a rise in regional equities as markets gave a guarded welcome to the latest signs of progress in trade talks between the United States and China. ADVERTISEMENT "The dollar remains one of the best gauges of trade sentiment. While it has held up generally well early this week, it hasn't built on the late-week momentum following the US-China meeting announcement," ING Bank said in a note. Worries about the impact of wide-ranging U.S. tariffs have weighed on the dollar this year and left it nursing losses of more than 8.5% against major peers. ADVERTISEMENT The focus now turns to U.S. consumer price inflation data, due later on Wednesday, which is expected to show month-on-month core consumer prices rose 0.3% in May, according to a Reuters poll, slightly higher than the 0.2% rise in the previous month. (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)


Mint
39 minutes ago
- Mint
Sensex today gains over 100 points, Nifty near 25,150 amid gains in RIL, IT stocks; OMCs outperform
Stock market today: The Indian stock market closed mixed in Wednesday's trading session, with large-cap stocks outperforming their mid- and small-cap counterparts. Although benchmark indices ended in the green, they closed well off their intraday highs as profit-booking continued in financial and FMCG stocks. However, gains in IT and OMC stocks lent support to the indices, helping them end the session with modest gains. The Nifty 50 settled 0.15% higher at 25,141, closing above the 25,000 mark for the third consecutive session, while the Sensex gained 123 points, or 0.15%, to end at 82,515. In contrast, the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 indices declined over 0.50%. Participants remain slightly cautious amid mixed global cues, and the divergent trend among index heavyweights continues to weigh on overall sentiment. Among large-cap stocks, all three oil marketing companies—IOC, HPCL, and BPCL—ended the session with gains of up to 4%. The rally followed the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) projection that oil inventories will rise by an average of 0.8 million barrels per day in 2025, which is 0.4 million bpd higher than last month's estimate. The EIA cited slowing demand growth and expectations that supply will outpace consumption due to OPEC+'s planned production hike. Domestic tech stocks witnessed healthy buying on a volatile day, as U.S. and Chinese officials agreed on a framework to revive their trade truce and address China's export restrictions on rare earth minerals and magnets. Meanwhile, Indian and U.S. officials made progress in bilateral trade talks held in New Delhi, discussing key areas such as industrial goods, agriculture, tariff reductions, and non-tariff barriers, Reuters reported, citing Indian government sources. On the economic front, the World Bank, in its Global Economic Prospects—June 2025 report, projected India's economy to grow slightly faster at 6.5% in FY27 and 6.7% in FY28. However, it lowered its global growth forecast to 2.3% for the year, citing escalating trade tensions and policy uncertainty.