Why Are Some Analysts Cautious on AMD Stock Despite AI Hype?
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Heading into Q2 results, the hype around AMD's AI business was very high, especially after the Advancing AI event. AMD highlighted its new GPUs (graphics processing units), which revived investors' hopes about the company's prospects after persistent concerns about it lagging behind rival Nvidia (NVDA) in the AI race. However, AMD's Q2 results, especially the data center business growth and AI business revenue decline, disappointed investors. AMD cited U.S. export restrictions that eliminated MI308 sales to China and the transition to its next-generation chips as the reasons for the decline in Q2 AI business revenue.
AMD's Q2 Results Draw Some Concerns
Despite the mixed Q2 results, AMD bulls are confident about the company's potential to grow in both CPU and GPU markets and capture AI opportunities. However, some analysts remain cautious due to the ongoing challenges.
For instance, Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider raised his price target for AMD stock to $150 from $140, but reiterated a Hold rating. The 4-star analyst noted that AMD is seeing strong traction with its Data Center GPU solutions. In particular, Schneider expects the MI355 offering to drive strong double-digit quarter-over-quarter growth in the Data Center segment in the third quarter and continued sequential growth in Q4 2025.
While Schneider remains constructive on AMD's ability to drive significant market share gains in the PC and enterprise server markets in the near term, he retains a neutral stance on the stock as he is 'more guarded' on the company's ability to drive scale in Data Center GPUs over time. Also, he thinks that AMD's earnings power is likely to be hampered by the significant operating expenses ramp needed to support its AI software and systems efforts.
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore lowered his price target for AMD stock to $168 from $185 and maintained a Hold rating. The 5-star analyst stated that the quarter was solid across segments and revenue continues to be 'quite strong, but it's not clear that will be enough to keep the bulls in charge of the narrative.' He contends that AMD's commentary on the timing of resumption of China shipments was 'more vague than expected.' Overall, Moore slashed his price target for AMD stock to reflect lower conviction in China demand and a lack of AI-related upside.
Is AMD Stock a Buy or Sell Now?
Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic on Advanced Micro Devices stock, with a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 25 Buys and 12 Holds. The average AMD stock price target of $180.78 indicates 4.6% upside potential from current levels.
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Los Angeles Times
21 minutes ago
- Los Angeles Times
U.S. will get a 15% cut of Nvidia and AMD chip sales to China under a new, unusual agreement
NEW YORK — Nvidia and AMD have agreed to share 15% of their revenues from chip sales to China with the U.S. government, as part of a deal to secure export licenses for the semiconductors. The Trump administration halted the sale of advanced computer chips to China in April over national security concerns, but Nvidia and AMD revealed in July that Washington would allow them to resume sales of the H20 and MI308 chips, which are used in artificial intelligence development. President Trump confirmed the terms of the unusual arrangement in a Monday press conference while noting that he originally wanted 20% of the sales revenue when Nvidia asked to sell the 'obsolete' H20 chip to China. The president credited Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang for negotiating him down to 15%. 'So we negotiated a little deal. So he's selling a essentially old chip,' Trump said. Nvidia did not comment about the specific details of the agreement or its quid pro quo nature, but said they would adhere to the export rules laid out by the administration. 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide,' Nvidia wrote in a statement to the AP. 'America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race.' AMD did not immediately reply to a request for comment. The top Democrat on a House panel focusing on competition with China raised concerns over the reported agreement, calling it 'a dangerous misuse of export controls that undermines our national security.' Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, the ranking member of the House Select Committee on China, said he would seek answers about the legal basis for this arrangement and demand full transparency from the administration. 'Our export control regime must be based on genuine security considerations, not creative taxation schemes disguised as national security policy,' he said. 'Chip export controls aren't bargaining chips, and they're not casino chips either. We shouldn't be gambling with our national security to raise revenue.' Derek Scissors, senior fellow and China expert at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, questioned the constitutionality of the deal and also warned against risking national security for revenue. 'There's no precedent for this, probably because export taxes are unconstitutional, ' said Derek Scissors, senior fellow and China expert at the conservative American Enterprise Institute. 'They call it a fee, but 15% of sales revenue is about a standard a tax as it comes. For this reason, I don't think the 'arrangement' is at all durable. '' 'If it were to last, it has two possible implications. First, there's a possible export tax that high-profile companies and goods must consider. Or the tax only applies in exceptional situations, such as changing export controls. Then we'd risk national security for the sake of tax revenue, which is effectively the same as cutting the defense budget,' Scissors said. Back in July, Nvidia argued that tight export controls around their chip sales would cost the company an extra $5.5 billion. They've argued that such limits hinder U.S. competition in a sector in one of the world's largest markets for technology, and have also warned that U.S. export controls could end up pushing other countries toward China's AI technology. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told CNBC in July that the renewed sale of Nvidia's chips in China was linked to a trade agreement made between the two countries on rare earth magnets. Restrictions on sales of advanced chips to China have been central to the AI race between the world's two largest economic powers, but such controls are also controversial. Proponents argue that these restrictions are necessary to slow China down enough to allow U.S. companies to keep their lead. Meanwhile, opponents say the export controls have loopholes — and could still spur innovation. The emergence of China's DeepSeek AI chatbot in January particularly renewed concerns over how China might use advanced chips to help develop its own AI capabilities. Associated Press writers Josh Boak, Shawn Chen, Didi Tang and Paul Wiseman contributed to the reporting.
Bloomberg
22 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Bloomberg Tech: Nvidia, AMD AI Deal
Browse all episodes Bloomberg Tech: Nvidia, AMD AI Deal Bloomberg Tech Nvidia, AMD AI Deal Arrow Right 33:47 Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow discuss Nvidia's and AMD's agreement to pay 15% of their revenues from Chinese artificial intelligence chip sales to the US government. Analysts and investors react to the 'unprecedented' deal. Plus, Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan is set to meet with President Donald Trump, after the US leader called his resignation.
Yahoo
24 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Trump tariffs live updates: Trump signs China tariff extension, says gold imports will not face duties
President Trump on Monday signed an executive order extending the tariff truce between the US and China for another 90 days, reports said, pushing trade negotiations out to the fall. Also, Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) agreed to pay the US 15% of the revenue for AI-related chip sales to China, adding a monetization layer to the Trump administration's tariff policy that has reoriented global trade relationships. The New York Times reported that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang agreed to the arrangement, which is "essentially making the federal government a partner in Nvidia's business in China," at a meeting with Trump last week. "To call this unusual or unprecedented would be a staggering understatement," Stephen Olson, a former US trade negotiator, told Bloomberg. "What we are seeing is in effect the monetization of US trade policy in which US companies must pay the US government for permission to export. If that's the case, we've entered into a new and dangerous world." The chips include Nvidia's H20 AI accelerator and AMD's MI308 chips, which the Trump administration had previously targeted with export controls. Elsewhere on Monday, Trump said imports of gold (GC=F) to the US would not face a tariff. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" Trump wrote on social media. Gold futures were little changed after Trump's post. Prices for the metal slid on Monday. The White House had said last week that the administration would issue a new policy clarifying whether gold bars would be subject to duties after a US government agency said they would, prompting chaos and confusion in the market. Meanwhile, Trump's latest sweeping "reciprocal" tariffs hit dozens of US trade partners last week. Read more: What Trump's tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet Here are the latest updates as the policy reverberates around the world. Trump says, 'Gold will not be Tariffed!' President Trump posted on social media that gold will not be subject to tariffs after a surprise US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) ruling sparked confusion over whether the precious metal faced duties. "A Statement from Donald J. Trump, President of the United States of America: Gold will not be Tariffed!" Trump wrote on Truth Social on Monday afternoon. On Friday, the Financial Times reported that CBP classified Swiss one-kilogram and 100-ounce bars of gold as subject to 39% tariffs recently imposed on Switzerland by the Trump administration. Gold futures (GC=F) declined 2.5% early on Monday as investors awaited clarity from the White House over its trade position on the precious metal amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Small US firms paying Trump tariffs face $202B annual hit Small US businesses are struggling to comply with President Trump's new tariffs. These companies, which are the source of more than half of the country's job creation are also finding it hard to cope with the growing financial strain from higher import costs. Bloomberg News: Read more here. Trump on China extension: We'll see what happens President Trump said China has been "dealing quite nicely" with the US, a possible hint that his administration is preparing to extend the countries' trade truce past a deadline that expires Tuesday. "We'll see what happens," he said during a White House press conference, adding, "They've been dealing quite nicely." The countries have held multiple rounds of trade talks during the 90-day suspension of sky-high tariffs on each other. Both sides have hailed progress in those talks. An extension into the fall could potentially set up a Trump meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, which Trump has suggested could happen before the end of the year. 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Canrey recently met with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and various corporate executives. Bloomberg reports: Read more from Bloomberg here. Swiss plane maker Pilatus halts business jet deliveries to US over tariffs Swiss aircraft manufacturer Pilatus said it temporarily stopped deliveries of its PC-12 and PC-24 business jets to the US after President Trump imposed a punishing 39% tariff rate on imports from Switzerland. "The new customs tariff imposed by the US authorities represents a significant competitive disadvantage for Pilatus," the privately held company said. From Reuters: Read more here. Under Armour forecasts downbeat quarterly sales, shares drop Under Armour (UA) stock slumped 12% before the bell on Friday after the sportswear maker forecast second-quarter revenue below Wall Street estimates. The company is grappling with muted demand in North America due to still-high inflation and tariff uncertainty. Reuters reports: Read more here. China defends buying Russian oil after Trump's tariff threat China defended its purchase of Russian oil on Friday, pushing back against President Trumps threat to impose higher tariffs on Beijing for buying energy from Moscow. Trump warned both China and India this week and said he would impose higher tariffs on the nations if they didn't stop buying oil from Russia. The US president followed through on his threat by slapping an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing the total to 50%. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Gold bar tariff surprise gives new blow to Switzerland The US has imposed tariffs on imports of 1kg and 100oz gold bars, unleashing fresh turmoil in the global bullion market. The move threatens trade from Switzerland and other major refining centers. US Customs and Border Protection confirmed that these gold bars are now subject to tariffs, contradicting earlier industry expectations. The Financial Times first reported this change. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Trump says, 'Gold will not be Tariffed!' President Trump posted on social media that gold will not be subject to tariffs after a surprise US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) ruling sparked confusion over whether the precious metal faced duties. "A Statement from Donald J. Trump, President of the United States of America: Gold will not be Tariffed!" Trump wrote on Truth Social on Monday afternoon. On Friday, the Financial Times reported that CBP classified Swiss one-kilogram and 100-ounce bars of gold as subject to 39% tariffs recently imposed on Switzerland by the Trump administration. Gold futures (GC=F) declined 2.5% early on Monday as investors awaited clarity from the White House over its trade position on the precious metal amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. President Trump posted on social media that gold will not be subject to tariffs after a surprise US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) ruling sparked confusion over whether the precious metal faced duties. "A Statement from Donald J. Trump, President of the United States of America: Gold will not be Tariffed!" Trump wrote on Truth Social on Monday afternoon. On Friday, the Financial Times reported that CBP classified Swiss one-kilogram and 100-ounce bars of gold as subject to 39% tariffs recently imposed on Switzerland by the Trump administration. Gold futures (GC=F) declined 2.5% early on Monday as investors awaited clarity from the White House over its trade position on the precious metal amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Small US firms paying Trump tariffs face $202B annual hit Small US businesses are struggling to comply with President Trump's new tariffs. These companies, which are the source of more than half of the country's job creation are also finding it hard to cope with the growing financial strain from higher import costs. Bloomberg News: Read more here. Small US businesses are struggling to comply with President Trump's new tariffs. These companies, which are the source of more than half of the country's job creation are also finding it hard to cope with the growing financial strain from higher import costs. Bloomberg News: Read more here. Trump on China extension: We'll see what happens President Trump said China has been "dealing quite nicely" with the US, a possible hint that his administration is preparing to extend the countries' trade truce past a deadline that expires Tuesday. "We'll see what happens," he said during a White House press conference, adding, "They've been dealing quite nicely." The countries have held multiple rounds of trade talks during the 90-day suspension of sky-high tariffs on each other. Both sides have hailed progress in those talks. An extension into the fall could potentially set up a Trump meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, which Trump has suggested could happen before the end of the year. President Trump said China has been "dealing quite nicely" with the US, a possible hint that his administration is preparing to extend the countries' trade truce past a deadline that expires Tuesday. "We'll see what happens," he said during a White House press conference, adding, "They've been dealing quite nicely." The countries have held multiple rounds of trade talks during the 90-day suspension of sky-high tariffs on each other. Both sides have hailed progress in those talks. An extension into the fall could potentially set up a Trump meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, which Trump has suggested could happen before the end of the year. Swiss government to meet pharma firms to discuss US tariffs The Swiss government is due to meet this week with leaders from Swiss pharmaceutical companies Roche and Novartis, which have faced pressure from President Trump to lower their drug prices in the US. The meeting comes as Switzerland aims to negotiate for a lower tariff rate than the 39% rate the Trump administration imposed last week. And should Trump follow through on pharmaceutical tariffs as well, Roche and Novartis are considered to be more exposed, as they have comparatively fewer US manufacturing sites. From Reuters: Read more here. The Swiss government is due to meet this week with leaders from Swiss pharmaceutical companies Roche and Novartis, which have faced pressure from President Trump to lower their drug prices in the US. The meeting comes as Switzerland aims to negotiate for a lower tariff rate than the 39% rate the Trump administration imposed last week. And should Trump follow through on pharmaceutical tariffs as well, Roche and Novartis are considered to be more exposed, as they have comparatively fewer US manufacturing sites. From Reuters: Read more here. New gold tariffs are in effect. Will Costco gold bars be affected? Gold (GC=F) has been surging all year, and buying gold bars from Costco is just about the easiest way to get your hands on the precious metal — if you're lucky enough to find them in stock. However, the surprising announcement of additional tariffs on gold bars by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) left many wondering if the duties applied to Costco's gold bars as well. Yahoo Finance's Hal Bundrick reports: Read more here. Gold (GC=F) has been surging all year, and buying gold bars from Costco is just about the easiest way to get your hands on the precious metal — if you're lucky enough to find them in stock. However, the surprising announcement of additional tariffs on gold bars by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) left many wondering if the duties applied to Costco's gold bars as well. Yahoo Finance's Hal Bundrick reports: Read more here. US consumers to bear brunt of tariff hit: Goldman Goldman Sachs GS) says that President Trump's tariffs are only beginning to raise prices for shoppers, adding more uncertainty to the Treasury market where investors are unsure about how quickly interest rates will be cut. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Goldman Sachs GS) says that President Trump's tariffs are only beginning to raise prices for shoppers, adding more uncertainty to the Treasury market where investors are unsure about how quickly interest rates will be cut. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Nvidia, AMD to pay 15% on China AI chip sales in US deal Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) have agreed to give 15% of their revenue from AI chip sales in China to the US government. This deal helps them get export licenses but is an unusual step that might worry both companies and Beijing. Nvidia will share 15% of earnings from its H20 AI accelerator in China, while AMD will do the same for its MI308 chip. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) have agreed to give 15% of their revenue from AI chip sales in China to the US government. This deal helps them get export licenses but is an unusual step that might worry both companies and Beijing. Nvidia will share 15% of earnings from its H20 AI accelerator in China, while AMD will do the same for its MI308 chip. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Why Trump's soybean ask of China is 'highly unlikely' China is the world's largest soybean buyer, with nearly a quarter of those purchases coming from the US (and most of the rest coming from Brazil). President Trump's statement that he hopes "China will quickly quadruple its soybean orders" would require China to import the vast majority of its soybeans from the U.S. "It's highly unlikely that China would ever buy four times its usual volume of soybeans from the US," Johnny Xiang, founder of Beijing-based AgRadar Consulting, told Reuters. Read more here. China is the world's largest soybean buyer, with nearly a quarter of those purchases coming from the US (and most of the rest coming from Brazil). President Trump's statement that he hopes "China will quickly quadruple its soybean orders" would require China to import the vast majority of its soybeans from the U.S. "It's highly unlikely that China would ever buy four times its usual volume of soybeans from the US," Johnny Xiang, founder of Beijing-based AgRadar Consulting, told Reuters. Read more here. US gold futures fall as traders await clarification on tariffs US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Swiss economy seen weathering Trump's tariff shock for now Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Commentary: Tariffs are denting profits, and maybe soon your portfolio With over two-thirds of companies having reported earnings, Yahoo Finance found more than four dozen large firms saying tariffs are impacting their businesses in some material way. Yahoo Finance's Rick Newman reports: Read more here. With over two-thirds of companies having reported earnings, Yahoo Finance found more than four dozen large firms saying tariffs are impacting their businesses in some material way. Yahoo Finance's Rick Newman reports: Read more here. A 240-year-old Swiss watchmaker's race to beat Trump's tariff deadline It was a chaotic week for the 240-year-old Swiss watch manufacturer DuBois et fils, as the company rushed to ship watches before President Trump's surprise 39% tariff rate on Switzerland went into effect on Thursday. It was a race against time for DuBois CEO Thomas Steinemann and his company to ship five high-end watches to the US before blocking orders on its US website. Overall, the US accounts for 17% of Switzerland's watch exports. As of April, goods from the country faced a much lower 10% tariff rate. Reuters reports: Read more here. It was a chaotic week for the 240-year-old Swiss watch manufacturer DuBois et fils, as the company rushed to ship watches before President Trump's surprise 39% tariff rate on Switzerland went into effect on Thursday. It was a race against time for DuBois CEO Thomas Steinemann and his company to ship five high-end watches to the US before blocking orders on its US website. Overall, the US accounts for 17% of Switzerland's watch exports. As of April, goods from the country faced a much lower 10% tariff rate. Reuters reports: Read more here. Tariffs are starting to squeeze farmers' profits President Trump has said he loves farmers, but his policies are starting to ripple across the agriculture industry. Trump's tariff policies, in particular, are beginning to raise the cost of machinery and fertilizers, weighing on profits. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. President Trump has said he loves farmers, but his policies are starting to ripple across the agriculture industry. Trump's tariff policies, in particular, are beginning to raise the cost of machinery and fertilizers, weighing on profits. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. The US has slapped a 39% tariff on Switzerland, leaving the country's leaders reeling Bloomberg took a deep dive looking at how the tariff negotiations between the Trump administration and Switzerland began with promise, but eventually led to the US slapping a devastating 39% levy on the country: Read more here. Bloomberg took a deep dive looking at how the tariff negotiations between the Trump administration and Switzerland began with promise, but eventually led to the US slapping a devastating 39% levy on the country: Read more here. Trump says US court ruling against tariff authority 'would be 1929 all over again' Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports: Read more here. Carney is patching up ties with Mexico in face of Trump threats Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is working to repair relations with Mexico as both nations prepare for the fallout from US tariffs. Canrey recently met with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and various corporate executives. Bloomberg reports: Read more from Bloomberg here. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is working to repair relations with Mexico as both nations prepare for the fallout from US tariffs. Canrey recently met with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and various corporate executives. Bloomberg reports: Read more from Bloomberg here. Swiss plane maker Pilatus halts business jet deliveries to US over tariffs Swiss aircraft manufacturer Pilatus said it temporarily stopped deliveries of its PC-12 and PC-24 business jets to the US after President Trump imposed a punishing 39% tariff rate on imports from Switzerland. "The new customs tariff imposed by the US authorities represents a significant competitive disadvantage for Pilatus," the privately held company said. From Reuters: Read more here. Swiss aircraft manufacturer Pilatus said it temporarily stopped deliveries of its PC-12 and PC-24 business jets to the US after President Trump imposed a punishing 39% tariff rate on imports from Switzerland. "The new customs tariff imposed by the US authorities represents a significant competitive disadvantage for Pilatus," the privately held company said. From Reuters: Read more here. Under Armour forecasts downbeat quarterly sales, shares drop Under Armour (UA) stock slumped 12% before the bell on Friday after the sportswear maker forecast second-quarter revenue below Wall Street estimates. The company is grappling with muted demand in North America due to still-high inflation and tariff uncertainty. Reuters reports: Read more here. Under Armour (UA) stock slumped 12% before the bell on Friday after the sportswear maker forecast second-quarter revenue below Wall Street estimates. The company is grappling with muted demand in North America due to still-high inflation and tariff uncertainty. Reuters reports: Read more here. China defends buying Russian oil after Trump's tariff threat China defended its purchase of Russian oil on Friday, pushing back against President Trumps threat to impose higher tariffs on Beijing for buying energy from Moscow. Trump warned both China and India this week and said he would impose higher tariffs on the nations if they didn't stop buying oil from Russia. The US president followed through on his threat by slapping an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing the total to 50%. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. China defended its purchase of Russian oil on Friday, pushing back against President Trumps threat to impose higher tariffs on Beijing for buying energy from Moscow. Trump warned both China and India this week and said he would impose higher tariffs on the nations if they didn't stop buying oil from Russia. The US president followed through on his threat by slapping an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing the total to 50%. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Gold bar tariff surprise gives new blow to Switzerland The US has imposed tariffs on imports of 1kg and 100oz gold bars, unleashing fresh turmoil in the global bullion market. The move threatens trade from Switzerland and other major refining centers. US Customs and Border Protection confirmed that these gold bars are now subject to tariffs, contradicting earlier industry expectations. The Financial Times first reported this change. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. The US has imposed tariffs on imports of 1kg and 100oz gold bars, unleashing fresh turmoil in the global bullion market. The move threatens trade from Switzerland and other major refining centers. US Customs and Border Protection confirmed that these gold bars are now subject to tariffs, contradicting earlier industry expectations. The Financial Times first reported this change. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
