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Stocks slip, dollar sags as Trump tariffs remain after latest courtroom twist

Stocks slip, dollar sags as Trump tariffs remain after latest courtroom twist

Reutersa day ago

TOKYO, May 30 (Reuters) - Stocks slipped in Asia on Friday and the U.S. dollar drooped with Treasury yields as investors digested an appeals court kept President Donald Trump's tariffs in effect, a day after markets rallied on a separate ruling blocking most of them.
Japan's Nikkei (.N225), opens new tab saw the most pronounced selling, after experiencing the most pronounced buying on Thursday, with moves in the exporter-heavy index exacerbated by the ebb and flow in demand for the safe-haven yen.
The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington temporarily reinstated Trump's duties on Thursday while it considers the government's appeal. On Wednesday, a little-known trade court had unanimously ruled Trump overstepped his authority, and tariffs were the jurisdiction of Congress not the president.
Either way, senior Trump administration officials said they were undeterred and expected either to prevail on appeal or to employ other powers to ensure the tariffs remain.
The Nikkei dropped 1.7% in the Asian morning, putting it basically back at Wednesday's closing level. The yen strengthened about 2% from its low on Thursday to last change hands at around 143.48 per dollar . A stronger yen reduces the value of overseas revenues.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng (.HIS), opens new tab sank 1.4% and mainland China's blue chip index (.CSI300), opens new tab eased 0.3% in early trading.
South Korea's KOSPI (.KS11), opens new tab fell 0.5%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS), opens new tab was off 0.4%.
"Trump's trade agenda remains alive and kicking, with the legal battle adding yet another layer of uncertainty," said Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank.
"The only thing that looks more certain is more uncertainty," which will lead to additional delays in investment decisions and hiring, he said.
U.S. S&P 500 futures retreated 0.2%. The cash index (.SPX), opens new tab rose 0.4% overnight, but that was largely the effect of resilient Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab financial results from after the market close on Wednesday, to which Asian shares already had a chance to react.
Pan-European STOXX 50 futures edged 0.1% lower.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was steady at 4.42% on Friday, following a 5.5 basis point slide on Thursday.
Safe-haven gold was little changed at $3,311 per ounce, following a 0.8% advance in the previous session. Risk-sensitive bitcoin slipped to a 10-day low of $104,714.35.
Both Brent and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude eased 0.3% early on Friday, to $63.97 and $60.75 per barrel, respectively.
Despite the uncertainty injected by the courtroom drama, the Trump administration said negotiations with top trading partners continue unabated. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted during an interview with Fox News that he is scheduled to have talks with a high-level Japanese delegation later on Friday in Washington.
Trump had already paused his "Liberation Day" tariff rates on most trade partners for 90 days to July 9 and set a baseline rate of 10% in the meantime in order to give time for some of them to hammer out deals.
So far though, apart from a broad agreement with Britain, deals remain elusive. Bessent said in the interview with Fox News that talks with China are "a bit stalled," and may need the direct involvement of Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to get across the finish line.

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Hegseth sounds alarm on China's 'imminent' Taiwan invasion
Hegseth sounds alarm on China's 'imminent' Taiwan invasion

Daily Mail​

time22 minutes ago

  • Daily Mail​

Hegseth sounds alarm on China's 'imminent' Taiwan invasion

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a chilling warning on the China threat during a defense summit in Singapore. He said on Saturday that the threat from China was potentially imminent as he pushed allies in the Indo-Pacific to spend more on their own defense. Hegseth, speaking for the first time at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, Asia 's forum for defense leaders, militaries and diplomats, underlined that the Indo-Pacific region was a priority for the Trump administration. 'There's no reason to sugar coat it. The threat China poses is real, and it could be imminent' Hegseth said, in some of his strongest comments on the Communist nation since he took office in January. He added that any attempt by China to conquer Taiwan 'would result in devastating consequences for the Indo-Pacific and the world,' and echoed Trump's comment that China will not invade Taiwan on the president's watch. China views Taiwan as its own territory and has vowed to 'reunify' with the democratic and separately governed island, by force if necessary. It has stepped up military and political pressure to assert those claims, including increasing the intensity of war games around Taiwan. Taiwan's government rejects Beijing 's sovereignty claims, saying only the island's people can decide their future. 'It has to be clear to all that Beijing is credibly preparing to potentially use military force to alter the balance of power in the Indo Pacific,' Hegseth said. His comments on allies needing to increase spending is likely to cause anxiety amongst partners, even though experts said Hegseth would face a relatively friendly audience in Singapore. China's Defense Minister Dong Jun skipped the major Asian security forum and Beijing has sent only an academic delegation. Hegseth has previously taken aim at allies in Europe for not spending more on their own defense. In February, he warned Europe against treating America like a 'sucker' while addressing a press conference at NATO headquarters in Brussels. On Friday, while delivering the keynote address at the Shangri-La Dialogue, French President Emmanuel Macron said Hegseth was justified in asking Europe to increase its own defense spending. 'It's hard to believe, a little bit, after some trips to Europe that I'm saying this, but thanks to President Trump, Asian allies should look to countries in Europe as a new found example,' Hegseth said. 'NATO members are pledging to spend 5 percent of their GDP on defense, even Germany. So it doesn't make sense for countries in Europe to do that while key allies in Asia spend less on defense in the face of an even more formidable threat, not to mention North Korea.' Democratic Senator Tammy Duckworth, who is co-leading a bi-partisan delegation to the Shangri-la Dialogue, said it was noteworthy that Hegseth emphasized that the United States was committed to the region, but his language on allies was not helpful. 'I thought it was patronizing of our friends in the Indo-Pacific in particular,' Duckworth said. Spending on weapons and research is spiking among some Asian countries as they respond to a darkening security outlook by broadening their outside industrial partnerships while trying to boost their own defense industries, according to a new study by the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies, the organization that runs the Shangri-La Dialogue. The spike comes even as Asian nations spent an average of 1.5 percent of GDP on defense in 2024, a figure that has kept relatively constant over the last decade, it said. Hegseth suggested that allies in Europe focus on security on the European continent, so that Washington could focus on the threat posed by China in the Indo-Pacific, alongside more participation by allies in Asia. 'We would much prefer that the overwhelming balance of European investment be on that continent, so that as we partner there, which we will continue to do, we're able to use our comparative advantage as an Indo-Pacific nation to support our partners here,' he said in response to a question after his speech. But some of the Trump administration's early moves in the Indo-Pacific have raised eyebrows. The U.S. moved air defense systems from Asia to the Middle East earlier this year as tensions with Iran spiked - an effort that took 73 C-17 flights. Hegseth, a former Fox TV host who has spent much of his first months in office focused on domestic issues, spoke to the international audience on topics that he has frequently talked about when in the United States, like 'restoring the warrior ethos.' 'We are not here to pressure other countries to embrace or adopt our politics or ideology. We are not here to preach to you about climate change or cultural issues,' Hegseth said. 'We respect you, your traditions and your militaries. And we want to work with you where our shared interests align.'

Trump and Putin hint at US-Russia trade revival, but business environment remains hostile
Trump and Putin hint at US-Russia trade revival, but business environment remains hostile

The Independent

time23 minutes ago

  • The Independent

Trump and Putin hint at US-Russia trade revival, but business environment remains hostile

Hundreds of foreign companies left Russia after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, including major U.S. firms like Coca-Cola, Nike, Starbucks, ExxonMobil and Ford Motor Co. But after more than three years of war, President Donald Trump has held out the prospect of restoring U.S.-Russia trade if there's ever a peace settlement. And Russian President Vladimir Putin has said foreign companies could come back under some circumstances. 'Russia wants to do largescale TRADE with the United States when this catastrophic 'bloodbath' is over, and I agree,' Trump said in a statement after a phone call with Putin. 'There is a tremendous opportunity for Russia to create massive amounts of jobs and wealth. Its potential is UNLIMITED.' The president then shifted his tone toward Putin after heavy drone and missile attacks on Kyiv, saying Putin 'has gone absolutely crazy' and threatening new sanctions. That and recent comments from Putin warning Western companies against reclaiming their former stakes seemed to reflect reality more accurately — that it's not going to be a smooth process for businesses going back into Russia. That's because Russia's business environment has massively changed since 2022. And not in ways that favor foreign companies. And with Putin escalating attacks and holding on to territory demands Ukraine likely isn't going to accept, a peace deal seems distant indeed. Here are factors that could deter U.S. companies from ever going back: Risk of losing it all Russian law classifies Ukraine's allies as 'unfriendly states' and imposes severe restrictions on businesses from more than 50 countries. Those include limits on withdrawing money and equipment as well as allowing the Russian government to take control of companies deemed important. Foreign owners' votes on boards of directors can be legally disregarded. Companies that left were required to sell their businesses for 50% or less of their assessed worth, or simply wrote them off while Kremlin-friendly business groups snapped up their assets on the cheap. Under a 2023 presidential decree the Russian government took control of Finnish energy company Fortum, German power company Unipro, France's dairy company Danone and Danish brewer Carlsberg. Even if a peace deal removed the U.S. from the list of unfriendlies, and if the massive Western sanctions restricting business in Russia were dropped, the track record of losses would remain vivid. And there's little sign any of that is going to happen. While the Russian government has talked in general about companies coming back, 'there's no specific evidence of any one company saying that they are ready to come back,' said Chris Weafer, CEO of Macro-Advisory Ltd. consultancy. 'It's all at the political narrative level.' Russia's actions and legal changes have left 'long-lasting damage' to its business environment, says Elina Ribakova, non-resident senior fellow at the Bruegel research institute in Brussels. She said a return of U.S. businesses is 'not very likely.' 'We need to strangle them' In a meeting at the Kremlin on May 26 to mark Russian Entrepreneurs Day, Putin said that Russia needed to throttle large tech firms such as Zoom and Microsoft, which had restricted their services in Russia after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, so that domestic tech companies could thrive instead. 'We need to strangle them,' Putin said. 'After all, they are trying to strangle us: we need to reciprocate. We didn't kick anyone out; we didn't interfere with anyone. We provided the most favorable conditions possible for their work here, in our market, and they are trying to strangle us.' He reassured a representative from Vkusno-i Tochka (Tasty-period) — the Russian-owned company that took over McDonald's restaurants in the country — that Moscow would aid them if the U.S. fast food giant tried to buy back its former stores. Asked for comment, McDonald's referred to their 2022 statement that 'ownership of the business in Russia is no longer tenable.' Not much upside On top of Russia's difficult business environment, the economy is likely to stagnate due to lack of investment in sectors other than the military, economists say. 'Russia has one of the lowest projected long-term growth rates and one of the highest levels of country risk in the world,' says Heli Simola, senior economist at the Bank of Finland in a blog post. 'Only Belarus offers an equally lousy combination of growth and risk.' Most of the opportunity to make money is related to military production, and it's unlikely U.S. companies would work with the Russian military-industrial complex, said Ribakova. 'It's not clear where exactly one could plug in and expect outsize returns that would compensate for this negative investment environment.' Repurchase agreements Some companies, including Renault and Ford Motor Co., left with repurchase agreements letting them buy back their stakes years later if conditions change. But given Russia's unsteady legal environment, that's tough to count on. The Russian purchasers may try to change the terms, look for more money, or ignore the agreements, said Weafer. 'There's a lot of uncertainty as to how those buyback auctions will be enforced.' But what about the oil and gas? Multinational oil companies were among those who suffered losses leaving Russia, so it's an open question whether they would want to try again even given Russia's vast oil and gas reserves. US.. major ExxonMobil saw its stake in the Sakhalin oil project unilaterally terminated and wrote off $3.4 billion. Russia's major oil companies have less need of foreign partners than they did in the immediate post-Soviet era, though smaller oil field services might want to return given the size of Russia's oil industry. But they would have to face new requirements on establishing local presence and investment, Weafer said. Some never left According to the Kyiv School of Economics, 2,329 foreign companies are still doing business in Russia, many from China or other countries that aren't allied with Ukraine, while 1,344 are in the process of leaving and 494 have exited completely. The Yale School of Management's Chief Executive Leadership Institute lists some two dozen U.S. companies still doing business in Russia, while some 100 more have cut back by halting new investments. EU sanctions could remain even if US open U.S. sanctions are considered the toughest, because they carry the threat of being cut off from the U.S. banking and financial system. 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UK forging ahead with US trade talks, despite court block on Trump's tariffs
UK forging ahead with US trade talks, despite court block on Trump's tariffs

The Guardian

time32 minutes ago

  • The Guardian

UK forging ahead with US trade talks, despite court block on Trump's tariffs

British officials are forging ahead in their trade talks with the US despite a recent court decision overturning many of Donald Trump's tariffs, and hope to have a deals covering cars, metals and aeroplane parts in place within weeks. A team of British negotiators spent much of last week in Washington talking to their American counterparts about how to implement the deal was signed earlier this month, including how quickly it can be passed by parliament and Congress. The talks come despite a ruling last week by a federal court overturning Trump's blanket 10% tariffs, which Downing Street believes will eventually be overruled by the president's allies on the supreme court. But on Thursday night, an appeals court paused the ruling while it looks more closely at the arguments – allowing Trump's administration to keep them in place. One government source said: 'Some countries are viewing the court ruling as an indication that they were right not to negotiate over tariffs. We're taking the opposite view, and trying to get this deal implemented as soon as possible.' A government spokesperson said: 'The UK was the first country to secure a deal with the US in a move that will protect British business and jobs across key sectors, from autos to steel. 'We are working to ensure that businesses can benefit from the deal as quickly as possible and will confirm next steps in due course.' The US president announced the US-UK trade deal earlier this month from the Oval Office, calling it 'very special for the UK and special for the United States'. Trump surprised Downing Street with the timing of his announcement, informing Keir Starmer just hours before he made it, with many of the finer details still to be ironed out. Under the terms of the agreement, for example, British car companies will be allowed to export 100,000 vehicles a year at a 10% tariff rate. But the deal does not set out how the Americans will view cars assembled in the UK with a considerable proportion of parts made in other countries, nor how parts themselves will be treated. While the details are being fleshed out, some British companies are being forced by their American customers to reduce their prices, while others say they are simply not exporting at all. Earlier this week, a federal court ruled many of Trump's tariffs were illegal, and that he should first have sought the approval of Congress. But while that ruling applied to the 10% rate Trump has applied to products from across the world, it did not apply to the higher 25% rate he has imposed on cars, steel and aluminium. Downing Street has decided to continue negotiating with the US as if the court ruling did not apply, not least because British officials believe it is likely to be struck out by the supreme court, which is dominated by conservatives. Sign up to First Edition Our morning email breaks down the key stories of the day, telling you what's happening and why it matters after newsletter promotion On Friday night, Trump unexpectedly announced he would be doubling foreign tariffs on steel and aluminium imports to 50%. It was not immediately clear how the announcement would affect the trade agreement negotiated earlier this month that saw tariffs on UK steel and aluminium reduced to zero. Last week, a UK team landed in Washington, including the prime minister's business adviser, Varun Chandra, the business department's head of trade relations, Kate Joseph, and the deputy national security adviser, Jonathan Black. Michael Ellam, the senior Cabinet Office official who played a major role in getting the deal signed, is now concentrating on the EU reset deal, one source said. The team spent much of last week talking to Howard Lutnick, the US commerce secretary, Jamieson Greer, the US trade representative, and Brooke Rollins, the US agriculture secretary. Rollins has been pushing for the UK to open up to more US agricultural and food products, though Starmer has insisted he is not willing to reduce welfare and safety standards to do so. Officials are hoping car tariffs will be dropped in the next two weeks, while steel and aluminium ones could take a few weeks longer. They also believe the US will reduce tariffs on British-made aeroplane parts almost to zero, having promised to give the UK a 'significantly preferential outcome' when deciding tariffs on future products. Discussions about pharmaceutical products, which account for approximately £7bn worth of exports to the US, are still going on, however, given Trump has not yet said what tariffs he intends to impose on the sector. The talks with the US are continuing at the same time as officials get closer to a controversial £1.6bn trade deal with Gulf countries. The Guardian revealed on Friday that that deal contained no concrete provisions on human rights, modern slavery or the environment.

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