
Canada's Liberals benefit from Trump backlash to claim poll victory
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals retained power in the country's election on Monday, but fell short of the majority government he had wanted to help him negotiate tariffs with US President Donald Trump.
The Liberals were leading or elected in 167 electoral districts, known as seats, followed by the Conservatives with 145, with votes still being counted.
The Liberals had needed to win 172 of the House of Commons' 343 seats for a majority that would allow them to govern without support from a smaller party.
"Our old relationship with the United States, a relationship based on steadily increasing integration, is over," Carney said in a victory speech in Ottawa. "The system of open global trade anchored by the United States, a system that Canada has relied on since the Second World War, a system that, while not perfect, has helped deliver prosperity for our country for decades, is over."
"These are tragedies, but it's also our new reality."
Carney said the coming months would be challenging and require sacrifices.
Shachi Kurl, president of the Angus Reid Institute, a polling firm, told Reuters the Liberal win hinged on three factors.
"It was the 'anybody-but-Conservative' factor, it was the Trump tariff factor, and then it was the Trudeau departure... which enabled a lot of left-of-center voters and traditional Liberal voters to come back to the party," Kurl said, referring to the resignation of unpopular former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Carney had promised a tough approach with Washington over its import tariffs and said Canada would need to spend billions to reduce its reliance on the US. But the right-of-center Conservatives, who called for change after more than nine years of Liberal rule, showed unexpected strength.
Minority governments in Canada rarely last longer than 2-1/2 years.
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre conceded defeat to Carney's Liberals and said his party would hold the government to account.
The result capped a notable comeback for the Liberals, who had been 20 percentage points behind in the polls in January before Trudeau announced he was quitting and Trump started threatening tariffs and annexation.
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Middle East Eye
2 hours ago
- Middle East Eye
Exclusive: US quietly sent hundreds of Hellfire missiles to Israel before Iran attack
The US quietly delivered hundreds of Hellfire missiles to Israel before its unprecedented attack on Iran on Friday, Middle East Eye can reveal. The US sent around 300 Hellfire missiles to Israel on Tuesday in a large-scale stock-up of supplies before its attack, and as the Trump administration was saying it was ready to continue engaging Iran in nuclear talks. The transfer of such a large quantity of Hellfires suggests that the Trump administration was well-informed of Israel's plans to attack the Islamic Republic of Iran, two US officials told MEE on the condition of anonymity. The US's delivery of Hellfires or other large quantities of weapons in the lead up to Friday's attack has not been previously reported. The US military helped shoot down Iranian missiles that were headed towards Israel, two US officials told Reuters on Friday. New MEE newsletter: Jerusalem Dispatch Sign up to get the latest insights and analysis on Israel-Palestine, alongside Turkey Unpacked and other MEE newsletters Hellfires are laser-guided air-to-ground missiles. They would not be useful for Israel to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities, but for precision strikes. Israel's military used more than 100 aircraft in its attack on Friday, which used precision tracking to target senior military officials, nuclear scientists, and command centres. 'There is a time and place for Hellfires. They were useful to Israel,' one senior US defence official told MEE. Israel killed scores of senior Iranian officials and nuclear scientists on Friday. Whether with a green light or grudging acceptance, Trump enters war with Iran Read More » The dead include: the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Major General Hossein Salami; Major General Mohammad Bagheri, the chief of staff of Iran's armed forces; and Ali Shamkhani, a close aide to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The Trump administration knew about Israel's attack plans for months. MEE revealed earlier this month that the CIA was briefed in April and May on Israeli plans to unilaterally attack Iran's nuclear sites. Israel's Target Systems Analysis and battle plan for cyberattacks combined with precision strikes without any direct US involvement 'impressed' the administration. But Trump's behaviour in recent months gave observers, and potentially the Iranians, the impression that he would continue to resist Netanyahu's very public lobbying to go along with strikes. Axios reported on Friday, citing two Israeli officials, that the Trump administration was only 'pretending' to resist Israel's attack plans, but privately did not resist them. Trump has since framed his approach as saying that he gave Iran a 60-day window to agree to a new nuclear agreement with his administration before launching strikes. Israeli media reported the 60-day deadline in March 2025. The Trump administration began talks with Iran on 12 April 2025, and the Israeli attack took place exactly 61 days later. The talks in recent weeks hit a wall over the US's insistence that Iran agree not to enrich any uranium, while Tehran said that preserving its right to a low level of enrichment was a red line. Throughout the negotiations, the Trump administration continued a steady supply of arms and weapons to Israel in recent months, two US officials told MEE. The US did not have to provide public notification of the transfer because it was already approved as part of a $7.4bn arms deal that included bombs, missiles, and related equipment that Congress was notified of in February 2025.


Middle East Eye
4 hours ago
- Middle East Eye
Whether with a green light or grudging acceptance, Trump enters war with Iran
After Israel pummelled Iran in an unprecedented attack and the Islamic Republic launched a barrage of missiles targeting Tel Aviv, US President Donald Trump has portrayed himself as above the fray. 'I gave them 60 days and they didn't meet it,' Trump told The New York Post on Friday. 'Today's 61, you know. Today's day 61.' Trump was referencing Israeli media reports from March 2025 that said he had sent Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei a letter laying out a two-month window to agree to a new nuclear deal, or face an attack. The US and Iran held their first round of nuclear talks on 12 April. For two months, Trump used the threat of Israeli strikes as a form of leverage against Iran, as his administration tried to impose an agreement on it that would strip it of all ability to enrich uranium. New MEE newsletter: Jerusalem Dispatch Sign up to get the latest insights and analysis on Israel-Palestine, alongside Turkey Unpacked and other MEE newsletters On Friday, Trump answered the question that had been gnawing at diplomats, analysts and even intelligence officials: whether the president of the United States would give the green light to an Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear programme. 'Israel struck for many reasons - fear Iran's program might soon enter a zone of immunity; [a] risk ready Israeli prime minister for whom striking Iran was a lifelong mission. But the key was Trump's willingness to green light the attacks - or at least not to say no,' Aaron David Miller, a former State Department Middle East negotiator, wrote on X. CIA briefed on unilateral Israeli attack plans It's clear Trump knew about Israel's plans for some time. Middle East Eye revealed earlier this month that the CIA was briefed in April and May on Israeli plans to unilaterally attack Iran's nuclear sites. Israel's Target Systems Analysis and battle plan for cyberattacks combined with precision strikes without any direct US involvement 'impressed' the administration. But Trump's behaviour in recent months gave observers, and potentially the Iranians, the impression that he would continue to resist Netanyahu's very public lobbying to go along with strikes. Israel's attacks on Iran amount to crime of aggression, legal scholars say Read More » Trump surprised Netanyahu in April when he announced at a White House meeting that he would begin direct talks with Iran on curbing its nuclear programme. In early May, he brushed aside his hawkish national security advisor, Mike Waltz, and then snubbed Netanyahu on a visit to the Middle East. For good measure, Trump even cut a unilateral ceasefire with the Houthis in Yemen that left out Israel. On the eve of the Israeli attack, Trump said he did not believe it was 'imminent' but was 'something that could very well happen'. His own Middle East envoy and top negotiator, Steve Witkoff, was set to meet his Iranian counterparts on Sunday in Oman for a sixth round of nuclear talks. The Iranians say they will not attend the talks, but Trump continues to call for a negotiated deal, under the scimitar of Israeli fire. Israel's 'trump card' He warned on Friday of 'even more brutal' attacks to follow and threatened Tehran to 'make a deal…before there is nothing left'. Experts say that despite Trump's call for more negotiations, Netanyahu has effectively torpedoed the diplomatic route. 'Trump's talk of a return to a nuclear deal is likely to be untenable now' - David Schenker, Washington Institute for Near East Policy 'Trump's talk of a return to a nuclear deal is likely to be untenable now,' David Schenker, a former senior official in Trump's first administration and expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, told MEE. While Trump has left little doubt that he knew about the strikes, he has been more circumspect on whether they were his preferred outcome. The US is Israel's closest ally and top military backer, but US officials familiar with Israel's plans say the US had little leverage to prevent an Israeli attack, short of the type of full-scale public censure that no US president has ever issued against Israel, like halting all arms sales. 'If Israel faces what it deems an existential crisis, it could, in theory, threaten to use tactical nuclear weapons against Iran,' a former senior Trump administration official told MEE. Israel is widely believed to have nuclear weapons, but has never publicly acknowledged it. 'Israel can't be compared to Ukraine,' the official added, referring to the other US ally Trump has tried to rein in at war with Russia. Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons after the fall of the Soviet Union. Besides weaponry, one of the US's greatest forms of leverage with its partners is its mastery of intelligence collection, particularly through satellites and intercepting and analysing communications. But Israel has spent decades penetrating the Islamic Republic of Iran and is not dependent on US intelligence there, experts say. 'Look what we saw in Lebanon. Israel has had two primary target sets over the last two decades. One was Hezbollah and the other was Iran,' Schenker told MEE, emphasising how Israel eliminated Hezbollah's senior leadership in 2024 and left the group in disarray. Does Trump trust Israel? Although Trump has tried to frame the Israeli attack as complementing his hard-nosed diplomacy, one Gulf official told MEE they believed the White House was deeply wary of its ally. 'The administration does not view Israel as trustworthy,' the official said. Prem Kumar, who was a senior director for the Middle East and North Africa under the Obama administration, told MEE that Netanyahu had 'sidelined' Trump. What is stopping Israel from bombing Iran's nuclear sites? Read More » 'My sense is that Trump is not pleased with how this ended up. He is trying to use the idea of resuscitating the talks to save face. The idea that the Iranians would resume negotiations is ludicrous. Trump looks weak,' added Kumar, now a Middle East expert at DGA-Albright Stonebridge Group advisory. Regardless of whether Trump gave Israel a green light or tacit approval to attack Iran, experts say that he is now tethered to Israel's military campaign. Asked by Reuters on Friday whether he would support the US's closest Middle East ally, he replied: 'We've been very close to Israel," he said. "We're their number one ally by far." "We'll see what happens," he added. The US came to Israel's defence in April and October 2024 when Iran and Israel exchanged direct fire. Tehran choreographed its attack heavily in April and somewhat in October, experts said. The best Trump can hope for is that Israel replicates its success with its takedown of Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2024. The worst outcome is that he brings the US into the very type of Middle East "forever war" he was elected not to.

Gulf Today
5 hours ago
- Gulf Today
Trump's curveball at Japan tea giant's US expansion
Kentaro Okasaka and John Geddie, Reuters Top Japanese tea brand Ito En's latest push to win over health-conscious US customers with its traditional unsweetened brew has hit a new road bump: President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. The company, which splashed out on a tie-up with Major League Baseball star Shohei Ohtani and launched a less bitter tea to capture a bigger slice of the lucrative growth market, is now debating whether to hike prices or move some production across the Pacific, executives said in interviews with Reuters. The dilemmas facing Ito En can be found across Japan, the biggest foreign investor in the United States, as Tokyo's trade negotiators return to Washington this week to try and strike a deal to cushion the blow to its fragile economy. Makoto Ogi, Ito En's general manager of international business development, told Reuters the company may raise prices of its products in the US to compensate for Trump's 24% levy on Japanese goods set to come into force next month. The problem is their retailers and distributors may resist for fear of losing sales. "We may not be able to ask them to raise our prices despite what Trump is saying," he said. The last time Ito En raised prices in the US - by approximately 10% in 2022 - sales dropped by around 5%. The company said the decline reflected the price hike as well as factors such as COVID-19 that affected market conditions. The company is also considering making tea bags in the United States, and bottling drinks there rather than in Japan, Taiwan and Thailand as it does presently, Ogi and other executives explained during interviews in Tokyo. These details of the firm's potential plans to counter tariffs have not been previously reported. The executives did not disclose the costs of such moves. In its latest results released this month, Ito En reported its profit shrank by 8.2% in the year to April, but forecast an 11% jump this year. It set a modest 3.7% profit growth target for its US tea business, versus 20.7% growth achieved last year, an outlook partly related to tariffs, a company spokesperson said. Its shares rose to nearly a four-month high in the wake of the results, with its president later telling investors the forecasts were "conservative". Many Japanese firms have set up war rooms to chalk out plans to restructure supply chains or cut costs to offset tariffs and keep their US growth plans on track, said Mizuho Bank analyst Asuka Tatebayashi. A survey of 3,000 Japanese companies by export promotion organisation JETRO late last year before Trump's tariffs found the level of interest in US markets at the highest in nearly a decade, with food and beverage companies like Ito En the most enthusiastic. "When you talk to companies in Japan, the US comes first," said Tatebayashi, adding that they face shrinking domestic demand and are generally cautious about expanding into riskier emerging markets. For Ito En, the US has long been a market it is eager to crack. Five years ago, Joshua Walker, the newly-appointed head of U.S. non-profit Japan Society, hosted Ito En's North America head Yosuke Honjo in his New York office. Honjo gestured to the green-coloured bottles of their flagship 'Oi Ocha' brand lining the shelves and said he wanted them to spread around the world like Coca-Cola's red bottle. "It was refreshing. Japanese companies would not normally have ambition of that type of grandeur," said Walker, recounting the executive's previously unreported remarks. Honjo, via a company spokesperson, confirmed the remarks. Founded in the 1960s by Honjo's father and uncle, Ito En has grown to dominate Japan's tea market, using around a quarter of the country's total crude tea production. Since expanding into the US in 2001, it has dabbled in selling sweet and flavoured tea varieties familiar to Americans. But more recently it has focused on the unsweetened tea popular in its home market, hoping to tap health-conscious customers and a boom in Japanese food and cultural exports. Honjo said growth has also been aided by a sharp rise in Asian Americans, estimated at nearly 25 million in 2023, or around 7% of the U.S. population, according to the Pew Research Center. Japan's exports of green tea surged 24.6% to 36.4 billion yen ($251 million) last year, with nearly half destined for the United States, official data showed. Some equity analysts like Jiang Zhu of Tokyo-based rating agency R&I have highlighted the high marketing cost of Ito En's international push at a time it faces tough competition at home from tea brands such as Coca-Cola's Ayataka. The company said it has around a 2% share of the US market for tea beverages, ranking eighth largest, with Unilever's Pure Leaf leading the sector. But it has a long way to catch up with the 3.9 billion gallons of Coca-Cola's trademark Coke drinks sold in the US last year, at only 3.1 million gallons by comparison, according to research firm Beverage Marketing Corporation. "Kikkoman's soy sauce is probably in every American household now, but it took about 50 years for it to become a part of the culture," said Akihiro Murase, Ito En's public relations manager, referencing the Japanese food manufacturer as a template for success. "We are not there yet but we would like to make unsweetened green tea a part of the food culture," he said.