New York Mets at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions
The New York Mets (11-5) and Minnesota Twins (5-12) play the middle game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field in Minneapolis is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Mets vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0
The Mets started their road series in Minnesota on a high note, picking up a 5-1 win Monday as +101 underdogs as the Under (7.5) hit. OF Juan Soto broke things open in the seventh with a 2-run blast—just his second homer of the year. SP Clay Holmes fanned 8 and allowed only 1 run in 5 innings.
The loss was the Twins fourth in the last 5 games. They had just 3 hits Monday and their lone run came on a sac fly from C Christian Vazquez. Starter Joe Ryan turned in a solid outing, giving up only 1 ER in 5 innings.
Mets at Twins projected starters
RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Bailey Ober
Megill (2-1, 0.63 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 14 1/3 innings.
Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 0 ER (2 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-0 home loss vs. Miami Marlins Wednesday
Only start vs Twins: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 2-0 road win Sept. 10, 2023
Ober (0-1, 7.11 ERA) also makes his fourth start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 12 2/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss at Kansas City Royals Thursday
First time facing the Mets
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Mets at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
: Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Mets -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
: Mets -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175) Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Mets at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Twins 2
BET METS (-120).
It's hard not to like the Mets heading into Tuesday's matchup. They've won 9 of their last 11 games and 3 of their last 4 outings on the road, backed by the best team ERA in NL at 2.22. Megill has been a big part of that success, giving up just 1 ER in 14 1/3 IP. He doesn't have much history against Minnesota, but he tossed 5 scoreless innings in his only start against them.
The Twins have been cold at the plate, batting just .203 as a team—fourth worst in the majors. On the mound, Ober hasn't looked sharp, allowing 10 ER in 12 2/3 IP. With the way New York is rolling and the matchups favoring them, I'm locking in the Mets to keep it going on Tuesday.
PASS.
There's nothing wrong with taking the Mets on the run line with the plus odds, but personally I'll play it safe and take the moneyline.
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
While Megill has been outstanding, Ober has also settled in, allowing just 1 ER in each of his last 2 starts. The Twins have hit the Under in 8 of their last 10 games, largely due to their offensive struggles. The Mets have also leaned toward lower-scoring affairs, with the Under cashing in 4 of their last 5 games.
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