Donald Trump would lose to Kamala Harris if elections were held today, claims new poll
A new poll shows Kamala Harris might beat Trump if elections were held today. While she lost in 2024, many still support her. Trump's falling popularity, especially on the economy, could help her chances.
Tired of too many ads?
Remove Ads
2024 US Election results
Tired of too many ads?
Remove Ads
Tired of too many ads?
Remove Ads
FAQs
A new strength In Numbers/Verasight poll says Kamala Harris would beat Donald Trump in a re-run of the 2024 election. If elections were held today, 47% would vote for Harris, 42% for Trump.If people who wouldn't vote were also to be counted, Harris gets 40%, of the popular vote while Trump languishes at 36%. The poll was done between May 1 to 6, with 1,000 adults and a 3.2% margin of error.Trump actually won in November 2024, beating Harris in popular vote 50% to 48%. He won big in the electoral college, 312 votes to Harris 226, which ultimately sweeped the results in his favour.Before that election, some polls showed Harris leading or tied with Trump.Among people who didn't vote in 2024, 36% now support Harris, only 22% support Trump. But 43% of these non-voters say they still wouldn't vote if given a second chance.Among people who voted in 2024, Harris and Trump are tied at 43% each.Harris lost in 2024, but many still think she could be a strong candidate in 2028.She hasn't said if she'll run, but some in the Democrat's ranks think she might. Some also say she might run for Governor of California in 2026.Supporters say she ran a better campaign than Joe Biden did before he dropped out in 2024. They believe she helped close the gap against Trump despite the campaign already I'm disarray due to Biden's perceived ill health.But others in the party are vying for fresh faces and new leaders instead of Harris. Some also say Harris hurt her popularity by supporting moderate Republicans like Liz Cheney.Trump's popularity dropped after he launched "Liberation Day" tariffs on April 2. The tariffs caused stock markets to crash, the worst since June 2020. Since then, many voters don't trust Trump on the economy.In the same poll, more people didn't like how Trump is handling the economy.Only 38% said they approve, while 58% don't, that's a -17 score. On prices and inflation, it's even worse, only 31% approve and 63% don't, giving him a -32 score.Also, 53% of people said the country's economy got worse in the past year. Just 25% think it got better.The poll shows Trump is unpopular on all issues, except border/immigration.Even on immigration, he's barely ahead, 49% disapprove, 47% approve. This matches results from a Fox News poll too.Trump got flak for a controversial deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia from Maryland. The DOJ called it an "administrative error." The Trump admin said Garcia was part of the MS-13 gang, now labeled a terrorist group. But his family and lawyers deny any gang link.In the poll, half the people were told about Garcia's story. Among those, support for deporting all undocumented immigrants dropped to 39%. 43% were against mass deportation.When asked about people with court protections like Garcia, 49% were against deporting them, 29% supported deporting them, 22% were unsure, 45% said wrongly deported immigrants should be allowed to return, 35% said they should stay abroad.This negative view of Trump might help Kamala Harris if she runs again in 2028. She has not confirmed if she's running yet. But polls show she's the front-runner right now.Some other polls say Kamala Harris isn't doing as well. In an April poll by Data for Progress, only 18% of people said they'd vote for her in the Democratic primary.Pete Buttigieg got 14%, AOC and Cory Booker got 12% each, Newsom got 8%, Josh Shapiro got 5%, and Tim Walz, Gretchen Whitmer, and J.B. Pritzker each got 4%.Other recent polls show different numbers. One by Echelon Insights in April showed Harris at 28%. A YouGov poll from March showed her at 25%. And a Survey USA poll from February had her at 37%.Here's what some politicians are saying about Kamala Harris, Senator John Hickenlooper from Colorado told The Hill that Harris 'will add value to the national conversation.'Many Democrats will have different opinions on what the party should focus on next, he added.Q1. Will Kamala Harris run for next president?She has not said yet, but many think she might.Q2. Why are people unhappy with Trump?Most don't like how he's handling the economy and prices.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Time of India
31 minutes ago
- Time of India
Morning Newswrap: Iran strikes back at Israel; Ahmedabad plane crash toll mounts to 274; and more
. Iran struck back at Israel with overnight missile attacks. Trump stirred controversy by claiming he gave Iran a 60-day ultimatum, though his officials had denied any direct role. Back in Asia, India and China agreed to focus on people-centric ties during talks between top diplomats. Meanwhile, the Air India crash toll rose to 274, marking the worst single-aircraft disaster in the country. In Assam, authorities issued shoot-at-sight orders in Dhubri amid rising communal tensions. Iran strikes back Israel; Netanyahu warns 'more is on the way' - How the night unfolded A tense escalation unfolded across the Middle East overnight, as Iran launched back-to-back, and overnight missile strikes toward Israel late Friday and early Saturday. The move came in response to what Iran described as Israel's earlier attacks on its territory. Read full story Air India plane crash: Toll mounts to 274; 33 on-ground deaths confirmed Salvage teams scouring the debris of flight AI 171 found the black box of the crashed 787-8 Dreamliner and 29 more bodies on Friday, taking the toll to 274 and expanding the scale of the worst single-aircraft disaster in the history of Indian aviation. Read full story 'Those who spoke bravely are all dead': Trump says he gave Iran 60-day ultimatum In a dramatic twist, US President Donald Trump claimed credit for setting the stage, citing a 60-day ultimatum he says he gave Iran, even as his officials had denied direct American involvement in the operation. Read full story Focus on people-centric engagements, India & China agree to mend ties In talks between foreign secretary Vikram Misri and visiting Chinese vice foreign minister Sun Weidong, India and China agreed to expedite measures to resume direct air services and to hold 'certain functional dialogues' to resolve specific issues of concern in, among other things, trade and economy. Read full story Shoot-at-sight order at Assam border amid communal unrest The Assam government on Friday issued a shoot-at-sight order in the India-Bangladesh border town of Dhubri after dusk to rein in what CM Himanta Biswa Sarma described as "a communal group" fomenting trouble over the past week. Read full story
Economic Times
37 minutes ago
- Economic Times
Wall Street Week Ahead: Fed meeting in focus as investors seek rate-path hints
The Federal Reserve's balancing act between concerns about a weakening labor market and still above-target inflation will take center stage for investors in the coming week as they weigh risks to the rally in the U.S. stock market. The benchmark S&P 500 has rebounded sharply over the past two months as worries about the impact of trade barriers on the economy have eased since President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" announcement on April 2 sent the market plunging. The rally hit a stumbling block on Friday as stocks fell globally and investors moved to safe-haven assets after Israel launched a military strike on Iran, and Iran fired missiles in response. Major U.S. indexes ended down over 1% on Friday, with the S&P 500 falling 1.1%. The Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting could present the next major obstacle for markets. While the U.S. central bank is widely expected to hold interest rates steady when it announces its decision on Wednesday, investors are eager for any hints about whether the Fed might be poised to lower rates in the coming months. ADVERTISEMENT The fed funds rate has been at 4.25%-4.50% since the central bank last eased in December, by a quarter percentage point. "What the Fed is going to have to try to do next week is encourage the belief that they are able to act without actually promising anything," said Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife Investment Management. "If they move rates lower too early before there is evidence that there is weakening in the economy that they can then point to, they raise the risk of actually boosting inflation expectations further." At its last meeting in May, the central bank said risks of both higher inflation and unemployment had risen. The Fed has a dual mandate to maintain full employment and price stability, and investors will be seeking any signs of whether officials are more concerned about one of those goals and what that means for the path of rates. One area of focus on Wednesday will be an update to Fed officials' projections about monetary policy and the economy, which were last published in March. Larry Werther, chief U.S. economist of Daiwa Capital Markets America, will be watching estimates for unemployment. While the Fed officials' last projection was for unemployment to end 2025 at 4.4%, Werther is projecting a year-end rate of 4.6%, saying recent data including jobless claims has indicated softening in the labor market. "If the unemployment rate is expected to move higher, just aligning with what we've seen in the labor market, and inflation isn't expected to move much beyond what the Fed is projecting, then it opens the door to further easing in support of the labor market later this year," Werther said. Fed funds futures indicate markets expect two rate cuts by the end of this year, with the next one likely in September, according to LSEG data. Such bets were bolstered by benign inflation reports this week. Investors are also focused on Trump's selection to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with the president regularly urging the central bank to lower rates. Trump earlier this month said a decision on the next chair would be coming soon, although he said on Thursday that he would not fire Powell, whose term ends in May 2026. ADVERTISEMENT The release of monthly retail sales on Tuesday will also be in focus. Investors want to see if tariffs are leading to higher prices that pressure consumer spending. Trade developments are likely to continue to keep markets on edge, with a 90-day pause on a wide array of Trump's tariffs set to end on July 8. A trade truce this week between China and the United States offered hope that the two countries can reach a lasting resolution, but the absence of detailed terms left room for potential future conflict. The S&P 500 is up 1.6% so far this year. But the index has gained 20% since its low for the year on April 8, and is 2.7% off its record high set in February. ADVERTISEMENT "The market has rallied so hard, so fast," said Marta Norton, chief investment strategist at retirement and wealth services provider Empower. "There is vulnerability to anything that doesn't support that kind of benign narrative that has been established." Wall St Week Ahead runs every Friday. For the daily stock market report. ADVERTISEMENT (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)
Economic Times
38 minutes ago
- Economic Times
Trump reports tens of millions in income from crypto ventures
Trump reported $57.35 million from token sales at crypto firm World Liberty Financial. He also reported holding 15.75 billion governance tokens in the venture. The annual report was signed as of June 13, but it was not immediately clear what time period it covered. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads US President Donald Trump reported hundreds of millions of dollars in income from crypto , golf clubs and licensing ventures in a public financial disclosure report released on Friday that provided a glimpse of the vast business holdings of America's billionaire annual financial disclosure form, which appeared to cover the 2024 calendar year, shows the president's push into crypto added substantially to his wealth but he also reported large fees from developments and revenues from his other Trump has said he has put his businesses into a trust managed by his children, the disclosures show how income from them still ultimately accrue to the president - something that has opened him to conflicts of interest. Some of his businesses in areas such as crypto, for example, benefit from US policy shifts under him and have become a source of White House did not immediately respond to a request for financial disclosure was signed on June 13 and did not state the time period it covered. The details of the cryptocurrency listings, as well as other information in the disclosure, suggest it was through the end of December 2024, which would exclude most of the money raised by the family's cryptocurrency the speed at which the Trump family has made deals during his ascent to the presidency, the filing is already a time capsule of sorts, capturing a period when they were just starting to get into crypto but were largely still in the world of real estate deals and golf clubs.A meme coin released earlier this year by the president - $TRUMP - alone has earned an estimated $320 million in fees, though it's not publicly known how that amount has been divided between a Trump-controlled entity and its addition to the meme coin fees, the Trump family has raked in more than $400 million from World Liberty Financial, a decentralized finance company. The Trump family is involved, also, with a bitcoin mining operation and digital asset exchange-traded the disclosures, Trump reported $57.35 million from token sales at World Liberty. He also reported holding 15.75 billion governance tokens in the wealth of the Republican businessman-turned-politician ranges from crypto to real estate, and a large part on paper is tied up in his stake in Trump Media & Technology Group, owner of social media platform Truth disclosure showed income from various assets including Trump's properties in Florida. Trump's three golf-focused resorts in the state - Jupiter, Doral and West Palm Beach - plus his nearby private members' club at Mar-a-Lago generated at least $217.7 million in income, according to the disclosure also listed income of $5 million in license fees from a development in collected royalty money, also, from a variety of deals - $1.3 million from the Greenwood Bible (its website describes it as "the only Bible officially endorsed by Lee Greenwood and President Trump"); $2.8 million from Trump Watches, and $2.5 million from Trump Sneakers and listed $1.16 million in income from his NFTs - digital trading cards in his likeness while First Lady Melania Trump earned around $216,700 from license fees her own NFT collection.
