June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper

6 days ago

Race 1 (2,400m)
Veteran (1) NEBRAAS had (6) UNITED COUNCIL and (7) EXPLOSIVE BOND well behind when finishing second in a Listed race over 3,200m last time. He needs to repeat that performance over the shorter trip to end a 794-day winless streak.
(2) SILENT WAR is an unknown quantity over this extended distance but could have a role to play if improving for this sterner test of stamina.
(8) FETCHING FLYER cannot be taken lightly. She can mix her form, but her second to Jordan in a 2,000m race puts her in good stead.
Race 2 (1,160m)
(3) CHERICHERILADY improved with the benefit of an introductory outing to finish third over track and trip last time. She is likely to fight for victory.
(10) ONE SUMMER did not go unnoticed on debut behind that rival. Can acquit herself competitively.
Watch the betting on the newcomers, especially the well-bred two-year-old fillies (11) QUEEN OF PEARLS and (12) QUEENSLAND.
Race 3 (1,160m)
(3) CHAPBOOK was on debut when dead-heating with the experienced (2) CARNARVON over track and trip recently, but the former would have come on from that and should improve to get the better of his familiar foe.
Look out for any betting support on the well-bred newcomers (11) TIGER'S CAPTAIN and (6) JAN VAN GOYEN.
Race 4 (1,600m)
The consistent (2) GOLDEN WARRIOR has improved to finish in the money in both starts with blinkers on. He was touched off last time, and needs only to repeat that run to fight for victory once more.
It could pay to side with (4) MASTER SPY, who caught the eye on debut over a shorter trip, and would have greatly benefited from that experience. On the evidence of that display, the step-up to this trip should be more to his liking.
(8) REJUVENATE appeals most of the remainder.
(6) SERGEANT SOQRAT can sneak in at odds.
Race 5 (1,600m)
(9) FIRE STARTER, (7) MIRROR FLECTION and (5) CURTISS CONDOR have shown promise in both outings and need not improve much to fight out the finish.
(1) PHIL THE FLUTER and (2) CHIEFTAIN'S SHIELD are closely matched on recent form, but the latter could turn the tables on 2.5kg better terms and with blinkers refitted.
Race 6 (1,600m)
(8) ETHICAL and (6) LAVA LAMP have both shown enough to suggest they will not be maidens for much longer. Ethical finished second over this trip on the Inside track last time, so the switch to the Standside course should be to her liking.
Filly (7) BOLD ACTION also has legitimate money chances.
(1) INTRO is a long-time maiden with the form and experience to acquit herself competitively.
(10) INTO DANCING could also make her presence felt.
Race 7 (1,800m)
(11) COUNT HUHTIKUU finished ahead of (1) BACCHUS in a similar contest over 1,600m last month, and should have the measure of that rival again over this extended trip, despite a 0.5kg turnaround.
The lightly raced (7) DJ JUNIOR scored in his only run at this level and should play a leading role.
Last-start winner (6) JORDAN remains competitive under the resultant penalty. The drop from 2,000m to 1,800m should not be an issue.
Race 8 (1,160m)
Good race.
(2) BUFFALO STORM CODY is unbeaten in two starts as a gelding and keeps evolving on a steep upwards trajectory. The Tony Peter-trained 3YO carries another hefty eight-point penalty for winning a similar contest last time, but the hat-trick of wins seems well within his compass.
Grade 2 entry (3) DANTONFROMSANDTON, consistent (6) QUANTUM THEORY, last-start winner (9) YAMADORI and comeback winner (1) READY TO CHARGE all have the means to expose any chinks in the selection's armour.
Race 9 (1,160m)
Consistent class-dropper (2) KINDRED HEART has leading claims.
Last-start scorer (6) BLIZZARD SNOW has more to do at this level but remains competitive under her resultant penalty.
(5) HONG KONG is better off at the weights with her last-start conquerors and should pose more of a threat on these terms.
(1) POINTER is suited on the course and distance, and is better than her recent form over 1,400m suggests, so the filly must be respected.