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July 26 South Africa (Turffontein/Kenilworth) form analysis
July 26 South Africa (Turffontein/Kenilworth) form analysis

New Paper

time25-07-2025

  • Sport
  • New Paper

July 26 South Africa (Turffontein/Kenilworth) form analysis

Race 1 (1,160m) Well-bred (11) QUEENSLAND outran market expectations when finishing second on debut over track and trip. She would have benefited from that experience and with any improvement could go one better. (7) UMZINGELI WENYATHI has shown enough to make his presence felt and should acquit himself competitively. Newcomers (2) CLEVER TREVOR and (10) MEMPHIS are all respected on debut, especially if the market speaks in their favour. Watch the betting. Race 2 (1,160m) Well-related (5) SISTERSHIP caught the eye on debut when a fast-finishing second over track and trip, despite drifting in the betting and suffering interference at the start. She would have come on nicely with that experience and it should pay to follow her progress. Imported debutant (6) STORMY DAY should not be ignored. (2) GASLIGHT DANCER was a game-in-defeat when third over this course and distance last time in open company. So she should have a role to play if confirming that improvement. (7) VAMANOS has not been seen since making her debut in March but she was fancied that day, so is respected on her reappearance. Race 3 (1,000m) (11) MAGICAL PALACE ran a cracker on debut. With natural improvement, should be hard to beat. (5) SARDINIA BAY improved at the second run and has to be respected for all bets - strong each-way chance. (9) WAROFDYNAMITE with weight off can earn and (8) WORLD CHAMPION can improve to get closer. Race 4 (1,000m) (4) CHIEFTAIN beat several re-opposing rivals over this course and distance when an authoritative winner of a similar event last time. He carries a three-point penalty for that success but is progressive and could improve sufficiently to confirm his superiority over his familiar foes, despite the unfavourable weight turnarounds. Stablemate (2) COSMIC STAR and speedy (5) ONE FELL SWOOP should pose more of a threat on these terms. Hard-knocker (8) HALBERDIER will not be far off the mark. Race 5 (1,200m) (2) MEGHAN'S DIAMOND is showing some ability and can improve further and could be tough to get past. (3) NEBULOUS has not been far away in both her runs thus far and will be a huge chance. (6) HAZEL GREEN improved length-wise last time and could be the place value. (7) WAIT FOR ME can build on the debut performance. Race 6 (1,000m) (4) RAFA BAY confirmed the promise of his Highveld introduction (third) with a dominant start-to-finish victory at this level over track and trip last month and with any improvement in his peak outing, the resultant six-point penalty should not halt his momentum. (13) NAZARE should not be taken lightly. (7) TIGER STORM had excuses last time and is capable of having a say too. Last-start winner (11) FAITHFUL NEO also remains competitive despite penalties. Race 7 (1,200m) (7) BEACH VERSE improved at long odds last time and with further progression expected, can go very close to winning. (8) CHICKASAW caught the eye last time and can go one more. (1) PITERAQ was far from disgraced first-up and can improve to earn her first cheque. (5) UP IN FLAMES is a must for trifectas and quartets. Race 8 (1,800m) Hard-knockers (2) ELEMBEE has the form and experience at this level to play a leading role, especially off current ratings. (3) ART NOUVEAU beat male rivals when winning on her handicap debut over this trip and even under a five-point penalty, another bold showing is expected in her hat-trick bid against female-only opposition. Top-weight (1) TEO TORRIATTE has improved with cheekpieces fitted and confirmed by winning at a higher level last time. She too races off a career-high mark but should remain competitive. (4) WAGRAM is better than her last run suggests. Best kept onside. Race 9 (1,400m) (3) RIKKITIKKITAVI never justified favouritism last time but was far from disgraced and can bounce right back to winning ways. The weight off will help. (7) GOODNESSGRACIOUSME can run fresh back in Cape Town from KZN and is a massive runner. (4) MIRACULOUS has a huge place chance and (2) FUN ZONE is ultra-consistent and can win - big chance as always. Race 10 (1,800m) (2) DIMAKO'S JET has winning form at this level and has a better record over 1,800m, so is preferred, despite Gavin Lerena opting to ride (4) KISSHOTEN. Both were beaten by It's Her Way recently but Dimako's Jet gave 3.5kg to that rival when second over track and trip whereas Kisshoten received 0.5kg when third over 1,600m. (1) LAST CAR TO PASS has made giant strides in three starts with this headgear configuration and the five-point penalty for her dominant last-start success over 1,600m should not prevent her from making another bold bid. (5) ACCEPT COOKIES will not be far off. Race 11 (1,400m) (3) ONCIDIUM caught the eye when trotting up in the maidens and could be anything - follow. (1) MISS NEW YORK is never far off the action and has each-way claims. (5) IM THE BUZZ is taking time to win again but is running well and can place as always. (9) ANGEL'S OASIS has a quartet chance. Form is solid. Race 12 (1,400m) (7) MAX THE MAGICIAN ran on powerfully from the rear (wide draw) to finish ahead of (6) FRENCH BOLT. On the evidence of that performance, this is a good opportunity for him to bounce back to winning ways. After an encouraging and close-up seventh on the Inside track last time, French Bolt is also of interest. (1) GRAND CRESCENDO is talented but plagued with issues, so he is best watched for now. (2) VULCANITE is the only filly in the race and one to watch on her reappearance for a new stable. Race 13 (1,400m) (1) LANDOFTHERISINGSUN has won his last two well and is confidently selected to reel off the hat-trick. (3) CAPTAIN WEST is holding form and should be in the first four with a winning shout. (7) AIR RAID has won two out of his last three and can continue on these ways - serious chance. (5) SAN PEDRO could be the place value - respect and include. Race 14 (1,400m) Several who have legitimate chances in a tricky contest but it could be worth siding with (9) OPEN HIGHWAY whose consistency could finally be rewarded, especially given his slightly reduced mark after close-up recent finishes. (1) PRESSONREGARDLESS had legitimate excuses for his last start at a higher level and is capable of bouncing back in this grade. Youngster (13) NYAKA NYAKA will be tested from a wide draw and against older opposition but he is open to improvement, so must be respected under 54.5kg. (6) SHINTO SHRINE is not to be taken lightly. Race 15 (1,600m) (4) WEHAVEASITUATION from gate 1 will have every opportunity to reel off the hat-trick and is selected to do so. (11) BENEATH THE CLOUDS is another searching for the hat-trick and will be very competitive for it - big danger to the first choice. (6) TAKE IT AS RED was far from disgraced last time and can get much closer - bright chance. (3) GOLDEN ANGEL must make the quartet shortlist. Race 16 (1,200m) (2) LHASA ran a good race last time and has each-way claims in a tough race. (10) WILD APPLAUSE ran an absolute cracker first time out of the maidens and can go one more. (8) SHE'S MY WORLD has huge each-way claims and (7) MUSIC OF THE NIGHT has a first-four chance.

June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper

time02-06-2025

  • Sport
  • New Paper

June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

Race 1 (2,400m) Veteran (1) NEBRAAS had (6) UNITED COUNCIL and (7) EXPLOSIVE BOND well behind when finishing second in a Listed race over 3,200m last time. He needs to repeat that performance over the shorter trip to end a 794-day winless streak. (2) SILENT WAR is an unknown quantity over this extended distance but could have a role to play if improving for this sterner test of stamina. (8) FETCHING FLYER cannot be taken lightly. She can mix her form, but her second to Jordan in a 2,000m race puts her in good stead. Race 2 (1,160m) (3) CHERICHERILADY improved with the benefit of an introductory outing to finish third over track and trip last time. She is likely to fight for victory. (10) ONE SUMMER did not go unnoticed on debut behind that rival. Can acquit herself competitively. Watch the betting on the newcomers, especially the well-bred two-year-old fillies (11) QUEEN OF PEARLS and (12) QUEENSLAND. Race 3 (1,160m) (3) CHAPBOOK was on debut when dead-heating with the experienced (2) CARNARVON over track and trip recently, but the former would have come on from that and should improve to get the better of his familiar foe. Look out for any betting support on the well-bred newcomers (11) TIGER'S CAPTAIN and (6) JAN VAN GOYEN. Race 4 (1,600m) The consistent (2) GOLDEN WARRIOR has improved to finish in the money in both starts with blinkers on. He was touched off last time, and needs only to repeat that run to fight for victory once more. It could pay to side with (4) MASTER SPY, who caught the eye on debut over a shorter trip, and would have greatly benefited from that experience. On the evidence of that display, the step-up to this trip should be more to his liking. (8) REJUVENATE appeals most of the remainder. (6) SERGEANT SOQRAT can sneak in at odds. Race 5 (1,600m) (9) FIRE STARTER, (7) MIRROR FLECTION and (5) CURTISS CONDOR have shown promise in both outings and need not improve much to fight out the finish. (1) PHIL THE FLUTER and (2) CHIEFTAIN'S SHIELD are closely matched on recent form, but the latter could turn the tables on 2.5kg better terms and with blinkers refitted. Race 6 (1,600m) (8) ETHICAL and (6) LAVA LAMP have both shown enough to suggest they will not be maidens for much longer. Ethical finished second over this trip on the Inside track last time, so the switch to the Standside course should be to her liking. Filly (7) BOLD ACTION also has legitimate money chances. (1) INTRO is a long-time maiden with the form and experience to acquit herself competitively. (10) INTO DANCING could also make her presence felt. Race 7 (1,800m) (11) COUNT HUHTIKUU finished ahead of (1) BACCHUS in a similar contest over 1,600m last month, and should have the measure of that rival again over this extended trip, despite a 0.5kg turnaround. The lightly raced (7) DJ JUNIOR scored in his only run at this level and should play a leading role. Last-start winner (6) JORDAN remains competitive under the resultant penalty. The drop from 2,000m to 1,800m should not be an issue. Race 8 (1,160m) Good race. (2) BUFFALO STORM CODY is unbeaten in two starts as a gelding and keeps evolving on a steep upwards trajectory. The Tony Peter-trained 3YO carries another hefty eight-point penalty for winning a similar contest last time, but the hat-trick of wins seems well within his compass. Grade 2 entry (3) DANTONFROMSANDTON, consistent (6) QUANTUM THEORY, last-start winner (9) YAMADORI and comeback winner (1) READY TO CHARGE all have the means to expose any chinks in the selection's armour. Race 9 (1,160m) Consistent class-dropper (2) KINDRED HEART has leading claims. Last-start scorer (6) BLIZZARD SNOW has more to do at this level but remains competitive under her resultant penalty. (5) HONG KONG is better off at the weights with her last-start conquerors and should pose more of a threat on these terms. (1) POINTER is suited on the course and distance, and is better than her recent form over 1,400m suggests, so the filly must be respected.

The burning issues Queensland must address before Perth
The burning issues Queensland must address before Perth

The Advertiser

time29-05-2025

  • Sport
  • The Advertiser

The burning issues Queensland must address before Perth

THE FIVE KEY ISSUES THAT WILL DECIDE STATE OF ORIGIN II IN PERTH * WHAT DO QUEENSLAND DO WITH DALY CHERRY-EVANS? Andrew Johns has led the calls for Queensland to drop their captain and halfback for Perth after the 18-6 loss in game one. The Maroons lost the game in the middle and had limited good ball in the series opener. But there is a push to put Tom Dearden in the No.7 with the Queenslanders having mustered just one try in the past two games. * HOW DO THE MAROONS STOP PAYNE HAAS? Haas has spent the past few State of Origins destroying any suggestion that he was yet to own the representative arena. The front-rower laid the platform for NSW in the series opener, despite barely training in the lead up due to a quad tear. Changes could come in the Maroons pack, with Corey Horsburgh, Josh Kerr and Jai Arrow options. * DO QUEENSLAND HAVE TO START HARRY GRANT? Grant had the worst Origin of his career in game one, after being targeted by the Blues pack early. Grant has previously come off the bench with Ben Hunt starting at hooker, but that is out of the question this year given the Brisbane playmaker's injury. One option could be the Maroons picking Max Plath to start at No.9 if fit. * CAN QUEENSLAND SILENCE NSW'S BACK THREE? The Blues' territorial dominance was again set up by Dylan Edwards, Brian To'o and Zac Lomax, just as it was in their two wins last year. The trio prove near impossible to stop coming out of their own end, but the Maroons must find a way. Murray Taulagi could also come in to provide Queensland their own early-set firepower, if he recovers from a calf tear. * HAVE THE BLUES FOUND THEIR PERFECT MATCH? There were plenty of questions around how Mitchell Moses and Nathan Cleary would combine in the series opener, but they were answered in the first 40 minutes. The pair linked up regularly in attack, Moses was free to run and Cleary still had the most touches. The Maroons must find a way to limit the duo's time. THE FIVE KEY ISSUES THAT WILL DECIDE STATE OF ORIGIN II IN PERTH * WHAT DO QUEENSLAND DO WITH DALY CHERRY-EVANS? Andrew Johns has led the calls for Queensland to drop their captain and halfback for Perth after the 18-6 loss in game one. The Maroons lost the game in the middle and had limited good ball in the series opener. But there is a push to put Tom Dearden in the No.7 with the Queenslanders having mustered just one try in the past two games. * HOW DO THE MAROONS STOP PAYNE HAAS? Haas has spent the past few State of Origins destroying any suggestion that he was yet to own the representative arena. The front-rower laid the platform for NSW in the series opener, despite barely training in the lead up due to a quad tear. Changes could come in the Maroons pack, with Corey Horsburgh, Josh Kerr and Jai Arrow options. * DO QUEENSLAND HAVE TO START HARRY GRANT? Grant had the worst Origin of his career in game one, after being targeted by the Blues pack early. Grant has previously come off the bench with Ben Hunt starting at hooker, but that is out of the question this year given the Brisbane playmaker's injury. One option could be the Maroons picking Max Plath to start at No.9 if fit. * CAN QUEENSLAND SILENCE NSW'S BACK THREE? The Blues' territorial dominance was again set up by Dylan Edwards, Brian To'o and Zac Lomax, just as it was in their two wins last year. The trio prove near impossible to stop coming out of their own end, but the Maroons must find a way. Murray Taulagi could also come in to provide Queensland their own early-set firepower, if he recovers from a calf tear. * HAVE THE BLUES FOUND THEIR PERFECT MATCH? There were plenty of questions around how Mitchell Moses and Nathan Cleary would combine in the series opener, but they were answered in the first 40 minutes. The pair linked up regularly in attack, Moses was free to run and Cleary still had the most touches. The Maroons must find a way to limit the duo's time. THE FIVE KEY ISSUES THAT WILL DECIDE STATE OF ORIGIN II IN PERTH * WHAT DO QUEENSLAND DO WITH DALY CHERRY-EVANS? Andrew Johns has led the calls for Queensland to drop their captain and halfback for Perth after the 18-6 loss in game one. The Maroons lost the game in the middle and had limited good ball in the series opener. But there is a push to put Tom Dearden in the No.7 with the Queenslanders having mustered just one try in the past two games. * HOW DO THE MAROONS STOP PAYNE HAAS? Haas has spent the past few State of Origins destroying any suggestion that he was yet to own the representative arena. The front-rower laid the platform for NSW in the series opener, despite barely training in the lead up due to a quad tear. Changes could come in the Maroons pack, with Corey Horsburgh, Josh Kerr and Jai Arrow options. * DO QUEENSLAND HAVE TO START HARRY GRANT? Grant had the worst Origin of his career in game one, after being targeted by the Blues pack early. Grant has previously come off the bench with Ben Hunt starting at hooker, but that is out of the question this year given the Brisbane playmaker's injury. One option could be the Maroons picking Max Plath to start at No.9 if fit. * CAN QUEENSLAND SILENCE NSW'S BACK THREE? The Blues' territorial dominance was again set up by Dylan Edwards, Brian To'o and Zac Lomax, just as it was in their two wins last year. The trio prove near impossible to stop coming out of their own end, but the Maroons must find a way. Murray Taulagi could also come in to provide Queensland their own early-set firepower, if he recovers from a calf tear. * HAVE THE BLUES FOUND THEIR PERFECT MATCH? There were plenty of questions around how Mitchell Moses and Nathan Cleary would combine in the series opener, but they were answered in the first 40 minutes. The pair linked up regularly in attack, Moses was free to run and Cleary still had the most touches. The Maroons must find a way to limit the duo's time.

The burning issues Queensland must address before Perth
The burning issues Queensland must address before Perth

Perth Now

time29-05-2025

  • Sport
  • Perth Now

The burning issues Queensland must address before Perth

THE FIVE KEY ISSUES THAT WILL DECIDE STATE OF ORIGIN II IN PERTH * WHAT DO QUEENSLAND DO WITH DALY CHERRY-EVANS? Andrew Johns has led the calls for Queensland to drop their captain and halfback for Perth after the 18-6 loss in game one. The Maroons lost the game in the middle and had limited good ball in the series opener. But there is a push to put Tom Dearden in the No.7 with the Queenslanders having mustered just one try in the past two games. * HOW DO THE MAROONS STOP PAYNE HAAS? Haas has spent the past few State of Origins destroying any suggestion that he was yet to own the representative arena. The front-rower laid the platform for NSW in the series opener, despite barely training in the lead up due to a quad tear. Changes could come in the Maroons pack, with Corey Horsburgh, Josh Kerr and Jai Arrow options. * DO QUEENSLAND HAVE TO START HARRY GRANT? Grant had the worst Origin of his career in game one, after being targeted by the Blues pack early. Grant has previously come off the bench with Ben Hunt starting at hooker, but that is out of the question this year given the Brisbane playmaker's injury. One option could be the Maroons picking Max Plath to start at No.9 if fit. * CAN QUEENSLAND SILENCE NSW'S BACK THREE? The Blues' territorial dominance was again set up by Dylan Edwards, Brian To'o and Zac Lomax, just as it was in their two wins last year. The trio prove near impossible to stop coming out of their own end, but the Maroons must find a way. Murray Taulagi could also come in to provide Queensland their own early-set firepower, if he recovers from a calf tear. * HAVE THE BLUES FOUND THEIR PERFECT MATCH? There were plenty of questions around how Mitchell Moses and Nathan Cleary would combine in the series opener, but they were answered in the first 40 minutes. The pair linked up regularly in attack, Moses was free to run and Cleary still had the most touches. The Maroons must find a way to limit the duo's time.

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