
How to profit from consumer trade-offs
Our life runs on trade-offs.
Brands
are chosen on trade-offs. Even some of the negative characters portrayed in religious epics trade off on their positive traits before they decide to act. So, what's new about trade-offs? Recent research has opened many interesting insights into this domain; besides, these research pieces enable a marketer to think in an era where they are hard pressed both for time and strategies due to competitive pressures. Human beings seem to be created to make use of trade-offs. Perceived pleasure and loss of something that is traded off in almost every decision we make, and neuro research has established the importance of emotional feeling and rational thinking being useful in decision making, contrary to the widely held beliefs on completely rational decisions in decision making with respect to high involvement purchases.
In 1847, the Governor of Gomm (Mauritius) issued a limited-edition stamps (500 red ones and 500 blue ones) to commemorate the fifth anniversary of his Government. The engraver made a mistake with respect to the stamps. Instead of 'Post Paid', the stamps had Post Office' on them. Subsequently after a century, two of these stamps costing 2 p each were sold to a collector, in an auction for US $3.5 million !Citizen the watch brand in Feb 2025, introduced a limited-edition Citizen 8/831 Mechanical model (restricted to 1800 pieces worldwide) at a price of US$1800.
The examples reflect that trade offs associated with
consumer behavior
is not just limited to functional aspects of an offering ; they may also include social signaling value.
Triggers on insights
A paper published in
Journal of Consumer Research
(Dec 2024) , differentiates between two categories of consumers, one category consistently preferring quantity over quality in their purchases and the other category the other way over. We all decide on this simple criterion in various buying contexts. The paper found that consumers who have the quantity criteria exhibited behaviors like spending more, borrowing more and accruing more debt ( interestingly, such a direction of thinking could also be applied to the data on credit cards and huge data sets are available given the usage of cards in a retail context). Another research paper that was published in
Journal of European Marketing
(Dec 2024) suggests that whenever consumers perceive anthropomorphism with respect to objects /products having human like qualities , they are likely to compromise on monetary value . For instance , if a two-wheeler is given a smiling look by design ,consumers may compromise on the monetary value. Incidentally, providing human names is quite common these days. Cyclones are given human names. Celebrities who are important influencers provide human associations to brands.
Basics of category development and the impact of culture
In an interview with Economic Times, Sanjiv Mehta, the former Chairperson of Hindustan Unilever had underlined the importance of basics with respect to category development in India -the four approaches are raising the consumption, penetration, increasing the frequency of consumption and premiumization.
A product line is a string of similar offerings that have distinctive segments of consumers who choose their trade-off. A shampoo category has the basic one to convert a non-user of shampoo into shampoo usage and ladders up with several levels of benefits at varying prices. Higher the price, more exclusive in the benefit. Demographic and psychographic data
trends
can identify inflection points in consumption that lead the marketer to acquiring consumers at higher price points. But the approach is not linear; the changes in consumer behavior reflecting trade-offs happen in a cultural setting. For instance, after the introduction of instant coffee during the seventies, filter coffee (the one prepared in a traditional manner) has declined and over the last five decades the penetration and consumption of instant coffee variants have diffused considerably. Recognizing the need for a quick process of preparing coffee (the convenience offered by instant coffee) and the trade-off made by consumers of instant coffee with respect to taste , Tata Coffee introduced a premium offering Quick Filter, that provides the taste of the traditional filter coffee and can be prepared instantly. But cultural practices may not always support products that bridge trade-offs.
At one point in time, P&G's research showed Italian housewives used to spend 21 hours a week, on household chores besides cooking as compared to 4 hours for Americans. Italian women used to wash kitchen and bathroom floors 4 times a week compared to Americans who were doing it once in a week. Time taken for cleaning and the cleaning efficiency of a product are generally the two criteria for choosing a cleaner. Unilever's all-purpose spray Cif and P&G's best-selling mop Swiffer were failures, because consumers were not interested in trading off the performance of cleaners and use cleaners that will save time. In fact, Italian women who were using dish washers used to rinse the dishes before they were loaded into dishwashers because the users did not completely did not attribute reliability to the machine. Research also revealed that 72 percent of housewives at that point of time owned more than eight cleaning products to ensure that the cleaning job was completed to perfection. Cultural trends and lifestyles too drive trade-offs that consumers apply in situational contexts. During the sixties and seventies, consumers had relatively a conservative lifestyle and discretionary income too was limited to a few households. Despite limited options for entertainment,
Indian Coffee House
branches in cities (some of them also had a juke box that would play film songs from records for a charge, when a coin is inserted) attracted limited consumers. But after the new millennium, Café Coffee Day other cafes became a hit. The trade-off was on the socialising experience in a café Vs monetary value.
Importance and Complexities of price-benefit relationships
In a category like cars or mobiles, trade-offs can be complex. How do consumers go about making decisions using trade-offs ? Do consumers use trade-off amongst several attributes of the offering? Does more than one attribute appear important with respect to decision making? Are there primary and secondary attributes in the perception of consumers? How do consumers vary across segments? These interesting ways to approach trade-offs have several implications on brand strategies. Advanced marketing research and analytical techniques are used to resolve such challenges.
Psychology on trade-offs will ensure that brands will use appropriate trade-offs with respect to their strategies.
(The author was Professor of Marketing at IIM Bangalore from 1995 to 2022.
Opinions are Personal. The article is for general information purposes only.ETBrandEquity.com makes no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the accuracy, adequacy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information. It does not assume any responsibility or liability for any errors, omissions, or damages arising from the use of this information.We reserve the right to modify or remove any content without prior notice. The reproduction, distribution, or storage of any content without written permission is strictly prohibited.)
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Vijay L Bhambwani's Ticker: Markets will revert to fundamentals
Dear reader, Last week, I wrote about retail traders latching on to a slender hope and the impending Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska triggering a hope-based rally. The executive order signed by Trump to funnel US retirement savings plan 401(k) into riskier assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies triggered some greed. As I wrote last week, big-ticket retirement savings in stock markets have not done well in the past, and a near-term benefit is all we might get. The Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska turned out to be a damp squib with no resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war. Apart from future meetings to thrash out the thornier issues, there seems to be little hope of concrete gains from this exercise, at least for now. The markets will now revert to the usual triggers like retail buying, corporate earnings, cost of funds and inflation, among others. 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Oil and gas companies may also witness higher-than-average traded volumes in two-way trade as financial markets react to large price swings in the underlying assets in the global commodity markets. Oil contracts expire this week, and gas contracts expire early next week. There may be usual short covering ahead of expiry and a temporary rally ahead. I suggest that my readers continue to trade light and maintain tail risk (Hacienda) hedges. A tutorial video on tail risk (Hacienda) hedges is here - Rear view mirror Let us assess what happened last week to gauge what to expect in the coming week. The upthrust was led by the broad-based Nifty 50, whereas the Bank Nifty brought up the rear. Commodities witnessed profit taking despite a weaker US dollar index (DXY) due to profit taking and switching to riskier assets. The rupee gained marginally against the weaker dollar. Indian 10-year bond yields were flat, and the NSE gained 0.9% in market capitalisation. That tells us the rally was somewhat broad-based. Market-wide position limits (MWPL) rose routinely. US headline indices gained and provided tailwinds to our markets. Retail Risk Appetite I use a simple yet highly accurate yardstick for measuring the conviction levels of retail traders—where are they deploying money. I measure what percentage of the turnover was contributed by the lower and higher risk instruments. If they trade more futures which require sizable capital, their risk appetite is higher. Within the futures space, index futures are less volatile than stock futures. A higher footprint in stock futures shows higher aggression levels. Ditto for stock and index options. Last week this is what their footprint looked like (the numbers are average of all trading days of the week) – Traded turnover slipped in the capital intensive, high volatility futures segment last week. In the relatively lower risk, lower capital options segment the turnover rose in the safest segment of index options. Turnover fell in the stock options segment. These figures betray nervousness in the undertone of the derivatives segment of the markets. Matryoshka Analysis Let us peel layer after layer of statistical data to arrive at the core message of the markets. The first chart I share is the NSE advance-decline ratio. After the price itself, this indicator is the fastest (leading) indicator of which way the winds are blowing. This simple yet accurate indicator computes the ratio of rising to falling stocks. Bulls are dominant as long as the number of gaining stocks outnumber losers. This metric gauges the risk appetite of one marshmallow trader. These are pure intraday traders. The Nifty logged weekly gains after six consecutive weeks of declines. However, the weekly advance-decline ratio did not keep pace with the optimism. It rose to 0.90 (prior week: 0.75), meaning there were 90 gainers for every 100 losers last week. For a sustainable rally, this figure needs to stay above 1.0 with rising prices. A tutorial video on the Marshmallow theory in trading is here - The second chart I share is the market wide position limits (MWPL). This measures the amount of exposure utilized by traders in the derivatives (f&o) space as a component of the total exposure allowed by the regulator. This metric is a gauge of the risk appetite of two marshmallow traders. These are deep pocketed, high conviction traders who roll over their trades to the next session/s. The MWPL data shows swing traders initiated fresh exposure but the same was the lowest compared to the last two expiry months in the comparable week. That tells us the optimism level seems to have tapered off marginally. A dedicated tutorial video on how to interpret MWPL data in more ways than one is available here - The third chart I share is my in-house indicator, 'impetus.' It measures the force in any price move. Last week, both indices rose, but their impetus readings sharply fell. That shows the rally was powered more by short covering than fresh aggressive buying. While short covering can cushion declines or even trigger a temporary rally, fresh buying powers prices to new highs. The final chart I share is my in-house indicator 'LWTD.' It computes lift, weight, thrust and drag encountered by any security. These are four forces that any powered aircraft faces during flight, so applying them to traded securities helps a trader estimate prevalent sentiments. While the Nifty logged net gains after a six-week losing spree, the LWTD reading fell from -0.10 in the prior week to -0.20 last week. That implies that even the short covering that is likely on declines may be a tad weaker in the week ahead. Should there be any negative news, the markets may decline without a lag. A tutorial video on interpreting the LWTD indicator is here - Nifty's Verdict The weekly chart shows a bullish candle after six consecutive weeks of decline. The 24,200 level I advocated as a support level to watch in last week's column was defended by bulls. This level of 24,200 is now a near-term swing low that must be watched in the near future. Optimism may prevail as long as bulls manage to keep the Nifty trading above it. On the flip side, it will take the Nifty staying above the 24,750 level sustainably before bulls can regain their lost initiative. The price is precariously poised above its 25-week moving average, which is a proxy for the six-month holding cost of an average investor. Coercive selling is unlikely as long as the price stays above this threshold. Your Call to Action Watch the 24,200 level as near-term support. Only a breakout above the 24,750 level raises the possibility of a short-term rally. Last week, I estimated ranges between 56,150 – 53,850 and 24,875 – 23,850 on the Bank Nifty and Nifty, respectively. Both indices traded within their specified levels. I estimate this week's ranges between 56,425 – 54,250 and 25,125 – 24,125 on the Bank Nifty and Nifty, respectively. Trade light with strict stop losses. Avoid trading counters with spreads wider than 8 ticks. Have a profitable week. Vijay L. Bhambwani Vijay is the CEO of a proprietary trading firm. He tweets at @vijaybhambwani