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Wall St futures slip ahead of Walmart's results, Fed meet

Wall St futures slip ahead of Walmart's results, Fed meet

Reuters3 hours ago
Aug 21 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures slipped on Thursday, as investors stepped to the sidelines and awaited an earnings report from big-box retailer Walmart and clues on the Federal Reserve's next policy move from a three-day conference in Jackson Hole.
A sharp decline in technology stocks such as Nvidia, AMD, Palantir and Meta earlier this week signaled investor fears that the stocks, which have soared since April lows, are now overvalued, while Washington's growing interference in the sector has also raised alarms.
The selloff could also be a result of investors paring back their stock exposure during a traditionally rocky period for equities, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac.
"Equities could be more at risk of volatility amid this week's selloff in AI-related stocks on the back of renewed doubts about AI valuations," said Raffi Boyadjian, lead market analyst at brokerage XM.
"Although dip buyers have stepped in to stabilize the market, it's too early to rule out a further slump in mega-cap tech stocks."
In premarket trading, Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O), opens new tab and Palantir (PLTR.O), opens new tab were marginally up, while Meta (META.O), opens new tab was flat.
The market focus is now on Walmart's results, expected before the bell. Its shares were down 1.3%. Investors expect the major retailer to strike a cautious tone on customer demand as the labor market cools and inflation ticks up.
Reports from other retailers such as Target (TGT.N), opens new tab and Home Depot (HD.N), opens new tab earlier this week painted a mixed picture, and now investors are trying to gauge how U.S. tariffs would impact holiday sales later this year.
At 05:43 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 110 points, or 0.24%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 6.25 points, or 0.10% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 5.25 points, or 0.02%
The Fed's annual symposium is expected to kick off on Thursday, with Powell scheduled to speak on Friday at 10 a.m. ET. Traders are looking for any commentary from Chair Jerome Powell that would signal an interest rate cut in September following recent job market weakness.
Minutes from the central bank's July meeting showed on Wednesday that policymakers had struck a cautious tone and expect the current interest rates to be not far above the neutral level - where economic activity is neither stimulated nor constrained.
That led traders to pare back odds of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in September to 79% from 99.9% last week, according to data compiled by LSEG.
A weekly report on jobless claims, a private report on business activity and remarks from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, are also expected on Thursday.
Among other market movers, Coty (COTY.N), opens new tab slumped 22% after the beauty products maker forecast a drop in current-quarter sales on weak U.S. spending.
CoreWeave (CRWV.O), opens new tab rose 1.7% after trading firm Jane Street Group reported it has a 5.4% passive stake in the Nvidia-backed company.
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India's Wipro to buy Harman's digital transformation solutions unit for $375 million
India's Wipro to buy Harman's digital transformation solutions unit for $375 million

Reuters

time21 minutes ago

  • Reuters

India's Wipro to buy Harman's digital transformation solutions unit for $375 million

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Claude Flow AI Assistant : Make Claude Code 50x Smarter
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Claude Flow AI Assistant : Make Claude Code 50x Smarter

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If America is in trouble, why do foreigners keep buying US assets?
If America is in trouble, why do foreigners keep buying US assets?

Reuters

time23 minutes ago

  • Reuters

If America is in trouble, why do foreigners keep buying US assets?

ORLANDO, Florida, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Is the U.S. economic outlook so weak that it warrants multiple interest rate cuts? Or are U.S. markets pulling in huge inflows from abroad because the country's outlook is so attractive? Both can't be right, yet those are the respective narratives indicated by current pricing in the rates market and the latest capital flows data. Something doesn't quite add up. Much has been written this year about how foreign investors – spooked by U.S. President Donald Trump's unorthodox, populist policies – were going to reduce their exposure to U.S. markets and deploy that capital elsewhere. But that's not how it is panning out. Treasury International Capital (TIC) figures last week showed that foreign investors bought a net $192 billion of U.S. securities in June. This followed a record net purchase of $326 billion in May, swelled by the largest ever inflow from the private sector. Once U.S. investors' purchases of foreign assets are discounted, the net flow of long-term capital into U.S. securities in June was still a healthy $151 billion, taking the total for the second quarter to a record-matching $410 billion. Zooming out a little further, net inflows in the first half of this year stood at $643 billion, on course to match the record $1.3 trillion net inflow from 2022. And in the 12 months through June, a net $1.27 trillion was poured into U.S. stocks, Treasuries, agency and corporate debt. The end of American exceptionalism? It sure doesn't look like it. Overseas demand for U.S. assets is clearly strong on an aggregate level. The explanation may be quite simple: capital continues to flood into the U.S. because that is where investors around the world believe they will see the strongest growth and thus earn the highest returns. "The flows picture is remarkably robust," says Robin Brooks, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington. "I don't think you can tell a 'de-dollarization' story or 'end of U.S. exceptionalism' story from these inflows." True, there is some justification for the de-dollarization narrative. The greenback is down 10% year to date, having recorded its worst start to a year in over half a century. But most of that slump was in the January-April period. In the last four months, the dollar index has been essentially flat. The dollar's weakness despite the influx of global capital certainly is a head-scratcher. Anecdotal evidence suggests this move partly reflects foreigners hedging more of their U.S. exposure, via currency options and derivatives. Short-term moves based on a dovish Fed outlook may be at play too. But perhaps an even bigger head-scratcher is the disconnect between Fed expectations, the U.S. growth outlook, and capital flows. Traders expect the Fed to cut rates by around 125 basis points by the end of next year. That is, by far, the most dovish expectation for any G10 central bank. History suggests easing on this scale would only occur if there were a pretty sharp slowdown in economic growth. True, there are some red flags in the labor market, parts of 'Main Street' and U.S. public finances, even before factoring in tariff uncertainty. Yet, overall, the U.S. economy appears to be in reasonably decent shape. Economists at S&P Global Market Intelligence on Wednesday raised their 2025 and 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 1.7% and 2.4%, respectively. Is that an economy in need of six quarter-percentage point rate cuts over the coming 16 months, or is the growth outlook relatively rosy precisely because that level of monetary loosening is expected? That remains to be seen. For now, investors around the world continue to hoover up U.S. securities, which suggests they can't be all that pessimistic about the U.S. – or at least U.S. tech companies. It's worth noting that the TIC data showed the large inflows in May and June were mostly in so-called riskier equities rather than 'safer' Treasuries, suggesting foreigners may be more sanguine about Corporate America than the government. The end of U.S. exceptionalism may be around the corner, but it's a long bend. (The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters)

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