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Signs of economic doubt emerge in the US

Signs of economic doubt emerge in the US

Yahoo25-02-2025

As US President Donald Trump charges ahead with his tariff plans and aggressive cost-cutting mission in Washington, signs of pessimism are quietly arising among economists, global investors, and US consumers.
Stocks in the US and Asia fell Tuesday after Trump vowed to go ahead with tariffs against Mexico and Canada next week, while bitcoin, seen as a favorable 'Trump trade,' also fell after months of historic gains.
Experts had warned that Trump's tariff agenda could raise prices for American consumers — but his first month in office was largely well-received by Wall Street. Now, some analysts are sounding the alarm that the market is overvalued. 'Whisper it, but signs are starting to emerge… that the weight of Donald Trump's multi-pronged policy agenda is becoming a bit too much to bear,' Bloomberg's Markets Daily newsletter wrote. Beyond stocks, consumers worried about inflation also grew more pessimistic about the economic outlook this month, according to a leading consumer confidence index, which recorded its largest monthly decline since 2021. 'For good or bad, depending on your politics, we're back to the chaos presidency,' a prominent hedge fund manager told Politico.
Donald Trump's effort to axe government spending through the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency could have spiraling economic ramifications, analysts warned. The mass firings or buyouts of federal workers may amount to the largest job cut in US history, experts told CNBC. 'The economic consequences of layoffs are like a domino effect that spread across local economies to businesses that seem to have no connection whatsoever to the federal government,' a Yale University Budget Lab official said. But while the DOGE cuts could upend livelihoods and local communities, many economists are confident they won't devastate the national economy, CNN reported. 'It's not going to tip the economy into recession by itself,' one expert said.
Trump's embrace of cryptocurrency helped supercharge the digital tokens to new highs after his victory. 'Holding bitcoin is cool again,' the Financial Times declared just two weeks ago; the currency surpassed $100,000 in January. But bitcoin has been falling over the last few days, amid a crypto market decline. Broader economic concerns around tariffs' impact sparked the de-risking selloff, Coin Central wrote, showing an alignment between digital assets and stock markets: 'The days when cryptocurrency moved independently from mainstream financial assets appear to be fading.' A major hack at Dubai-based crypto exchange Bybit also dented investor confidence.

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Donald Trump's Approval Rating Falls to Lowest Point
Donald Trump's Approval Rating Falls to Lowest Point

Newsweek

time31 minutes ago

  • Newsweek

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Falls to Lowest Point

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Several polls show that Trump's approval rating has fallen to an all-time low for his second term. The latest Gallup poll, conducted between June 2-19 among 1,000 adults, shows that Trump's net approval rating stands at -17 points, with 40 percent approving and 57 percent disapproving. That is done from -10 points in May, the previous lowest result recorded by Gallup. The poll had a margin of error of ± 4 percent. Meanwhile, the latest YouGov/Economist poll, conducted between June 20-23 among 1,590 adults, shows Trump with a net approval rating of -14 points, with 40 percent approving and 54 percent disapproving—down slightly from -13 last week. The poll had a margin of error of ± 3.5 percent. Similarly, a new Bullfinch Group poll, conducted between June 17-20 among 1,006 registered voters, puts his net approval at -13 points, with 41 percent approval and 54 percent disapproval. That marks a sharp drop from -5 in May. The poll's margin of error was ± 3.1 percent. Why It Matters The drop comes amid a broader downward trend in Trump's approval rating, which was particularly pronounced after his "Liberation Day" tariffs. But the question of direct U.S. involvement in the conflict between Israel and Iran has visibly contributed to the drop as polls have shown the majority of voters do not support it. Trump ordered airstrikes against three key Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend. In retaliation, Iran fired missiles at a U.S. military base in Qatar on Monday. President Donald Trump speaks with reporters before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House, Tuesday, June 24, 2025, in Washington. President Donald Trump speaks with reporters before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House, Tuesday, June 24, 2025, in Washington. Evan Vucci/AP What To Know The latest Ipsos/Reuters, American Research Group polls also show Trump's net approval rating at record lows for his second term. In the Ipsos/Reuters poll, conducted between June 21-23 among 1,139 registered voters, Trump's net approval rating stood at -16 points, with 41 percent approving and 57 percent disapproving. That is down from a previous low of net approval of -12 points in last week's poll. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Similarly, in the latest American Research Group poll, conducted June 17-20 among 1,100 adults, Trump's net approval rating hit -21 points, with 38 percent approving and 59 percent disapproving, down from a low of -14 points in the previous poll conducted in May. The latest Morning Consult poll, conducted between June 20-22 among 2,205 registered voters, did not show Trump's approval rating at an all-time low. But it did show a notable decline in Trump's approval rating, with 45 percent approving and 53 percent disapproving, giving him a net approval rating of -8 points. That is down from a -6 net approval rating in the previous poll. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 points. Other polls have shown a downward trend in Trump's approval rating in recent days. In the latest J.L. Partners poll, conducted on June 16-17, Trump's approval held steady at 48 percent. But disapproval was up 11 points to 51 percent since the last poll in February. Still, a handful of polls recorded slight gains for Trump, though largely within the margin of error. In the latest Echelon Insights poll (June 17-18), Trump's approval rating was up 2 points at -4, while disapproval was down by 1 point compared to last month. Poll Date Approve Disapprove YouGov/Economist June 20-23 40 54 Ipsos/Reuters June 21-23 41 57 Morning Consult June20-22 45 53 Bullfinch Group June 17-20 41 54 American Research Group June 17-20 38 59 Trafalgar Group June 18-20 54 45 RMG Research June 11-19 53 46 Gallup June 2-19 40 57 Echelon Insights June 17-18 48 52 J.L. Partners June 16-17 46 51 And the most recent RMG Research poll, conducted between June 11-19, put his approval rating up one to 53 points, while his disapproval rating remained the same at 46 points. In the latest Trafalgar Group poll, conducted between June 18-20, 54 percent approved of Trump's job performance, while 45 percent disapproved, giving him a net approval of +9 points. That is up from +8 in last month's poll, when 54 percent approved and 46 percent disapproved. What Happens Next Trump's approval rating could fluctuate in the coming weeks, depending on the outcome of key events.

Trump's Iran-Israel ceasefire is holding. Why hopes for lasting peace are uncertain
Trump's Iran-Israel ceasefire is holding. Why hopes for lasting peace are uncertain

Fast Company

time31 minutes ago

  • Fast Company

Trump's Iran-Israel ceasefire is holding. Why hopes for lasting peace are uncertain

The fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be holding on Wednesday after a rocky start, giving rise to cautious hope that it could lead to a long-term peace agreement even as Tehran insists it will not give up its nuclear program. The ceasefire took hold on Tuesday, the 12th day of the war between Israel and Iran, with each side initially accusing the other of violating it until the missiles, drones and bombs finally stopped. On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump, who helped negotiate the ceasefire, told reporters at a NATO summit in the Netherlands that it was going 'very well.' 'They're not going to have a bomb and they're not going to enrich,' Trump said about Iran. Iran has insisted, however, that it will not give up its nuclear program and in a vote underscoring the tough path ahead, Iranian parliament agreed to fast-track a proposal that would effectively stop the country's cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Vienna-based U.N. watchdog that has been monitoring the Iranian nuclear program for years. Ahead of the vote, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf criticized the IAEA for having 'refused to even pretend to condemn the attack on Iran's nuclear facilities' that were carried out by the United States on Sunday. 'For this reason, the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran will suspend cooperation with the IAEA until security of nuclear facilities is ensured, and Iran's peaceful nuclear program will move forward at a faster pace,' Qalibaf told lawmakers. In Vienna, IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi said he had already written to Iran to discuss resuming inspections of their nuclear facilities. Among other things, Iran claims to have moved its highly enriched uranium ahead of the American strikes and Grossi said his inspectors needed to re-assess the country's stockpiles. 'We need to return,' he said. 'We need to engage.' Questions over effectiveness of the US strikes The American strikes hit three Iranian nuclear sites, which Trump said had 'completely and fully obliterated' the country's nuclear program. From Tehran, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman, Esmail Baghaei, confirmed Sunday's strikes by American B-2 bombers using bunker-buster bombs had caused significant damage. 'Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure,' he told Al Jazeera on Wednesday, while refusing to go into detail. He seemed to suggest Iran might not shut out IAEA inspectors for good, however, noting the bill before parliament only talks of suspending work with the agency, not ending it. But he also insisted Iran has the right to pursue a nuclear energy program. 'Iran is determined to preserve that right under any circumstances,' he said. Trump's special envoy to the Mideast, Steve Witkoff, said on Fox News late on Tuesday that Israel and the U.S. had now achieved their objective of 'the total destruction of the enrichment capacity' in Iran, and Iran's prerequisite for talks — that Israel end its campaign — had also been fulfilled. 'The proof is in the pudding,' he said. 'No one's shooting at each other. It's over.' At the NATO summit, when asked about a U.S. intelligence report that found Iran's nuclear program has been set back only a few months, Trump scoffed and said it would at least take 'years' to rebuild. Israeli military spokesman Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin said Wednesday his country's assessment was also that Iran's nuclear facilities had been 'significantly damaged' and its nuclear program 'set it back by years.' Grossi said he could not speculate on how bad the damage was but that Iran's nuclear capabilities were well known. 'The technical knowledge is there, and the industrial capacity is there,' he said. 'That no one can deny, so we need to work together with them.' Hopes for a long-term agreement An Israeli official, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations, said the ceasefire agreement with Iran amounted to 'quiet for quiet,' with no further understandings about Iran's nuclear program going ahead. In the Fox News interview, Witkoff said Trump is now looking to land 'a comprehensive peace agreement that goes beyond even the ceasefire.' 'We're already talking to each other, not just directly, but also through interlocutors,' Witkoff said, adding that the conversations were promising and 'we're hopeful that we can have a long-term peace agreement.' However, Baghaei, the Iranian spokesman, said Washington had 'torpedoed diplomacy' with its attacks on Iran's nuclear sites, and that while Iran in principle was always open to talks, the country's national security was the priority. 'We have to make sure whether the other parties are really serious when they're talking about diplomacy, or is it again part of their tactics to make more problems for the region and for my country,' he said. China, a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council and close Iranian partner, also weighed in on Wednesday, saying it hoped a 'lasting and effective ceasefire can be achieved so as to promote' peace and stability in the region. China is a major buyer of Iranian oil and has long supported its government politically, blaming Israel for starting the latest conflict and destabilizing the region. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun told reporters in Beijing that in the wake of the conflict, China is willing to 'inject positive factors to safeguard peace and stability in the Middle East.' Grossi said Iran and the international community should seize the opportunity of the ceasefire for a long term diplomatic solution. 'Out of the … bad things that military conflict brings, there's also now a possibility, an opening,' he said. 'We shouldn't miss that opportunity.' Iran executes 3 more prisoners on spying allegations During the war with Israel, Iran executed several prisoners accused of spying for Israel, sparking fears from activists that it could conduct a wave of executions after the conflict ends. It hanged three more prisoners on spying charges on Wednesday, bringing the total number of executions for espionage up to six since June 16. The hangings took place at Urmia Prison in West Azerbaijan, Iran's most northwestern province. State-run IRNA cited Iran's judiciary for the news, saying the men had been accused of bringing 'assassination equipment' into the country. Iran identified the three as Azad Shojaei, Edris Aali and Iraqi national Rasoul Ahmad Rasoul. Amnesty International had previously raised concerns that the men could be executed. During the 12-day war, at least 28 people were killed in Israel and more than 1,000 wounded, according to officials. Tehran on Tuesday put the death toll in Iran at 606, with 5,332 people wounded. The Washington-based Human Rights Activists group released figures Wednesday suggesting Israeli strikes on Iran had killed at least 1,054 people and wounded 4,476. The group, which has provided detailed casualty figures from multiple rounds of unrest in Iran, said 417 of those killed were civilians and 318 were security force personnel. During the war, Israeli airstrikes also targeted Iran's top military leadership and other sites associated with its ruling theocracy. With the ceasefire in place, Iranians are trying to return to their normal lives. State media described heavy traffic around the Caspian Sea and other rural areas outside of the capital, Tehran, as people began returning to the city.

Inside 'Pickaxe Mountain': Iran's underground fortress — that may be stashing uranium
Inside 'Pickaxe Mountain': Iran's underground fortress — that may be stashing uranium

New York Post

time36 minutes ago

  • New York Post

Inside 'Pickaxe Mountain': Iran's underground fortress — that may be stashing uranium

An under construction hidden fortress in Iran — known as 'Pickaxe Mountain' — may potentially be housing any uranium stockpiles that Tehran managed to smuggle out before the US bombed its nuclear sites. The deeply buried installation, which is just minutes from the Natanz nuclear facility — one of the three sites struck over the weekend, has been quietly reinforced in recent years. Multiple reports have now suggested that Pickaxe could be the perfect hiding place for uranium — as speculation mounted that Iran may have been able to remove its cache before the attacks unfolded over the weekend. Advertisement 3 Satellite image of the Natanz uranium enrichment site construction area in Iran. DigitalGlobe/Getty Images Open-source satellite images taken Thursday and Friday showed scores of cargo-style trucks lined up outside of Fordow, arousing suspicion that the theocratic regime could have moved its stockpile of enriched uranium. Almost 900 pounds of uranium enriched to 60% purity has been unaccounted for since the Israeli airstrikes began on June 13. Meanwhile, Iran has been cagey about the Pickaxe Mountain site after satellite imagery emerged earlier this year showing a new deeply buried tunnel and security perimeter close to the existing Natanz site. Advertisement The director general of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency asked Tehran in April about what was going on there — but got a blunt response. 'Since it is obvious it is in a place where numerous and important activities related to the program are taking place, we're asking them, what is this for? They are telling us, it's none of your business,' Rafael Grossi, the director general, said at the time. He added that it 'cannot be excluded' the tunnels would store undeclared material but said he didn't want to speculate on intentions. Advertisement 3 Images released by US defense contractor Maxar Technologies showed more than a dozen trucks lined up outside Iran's Fordow nuclear facility just days before the US carried out its large-scale airstrikes. Satellite image ©2025 Maxar Technologies/AFP via Getty Images 'I've been raising this issue repeatedly, and I will continue to do so,' Grossi said. It wasn't immediately clear if Pickaxe suffered any damage during the latest strikes that targeted Natanz, as well as the Fordow and Isfahan nuclear facilities. President Trump, for his part, has insisted Iran wouldn't have been able to remove any uranium being enriched at the sites before the attacks. Advertisement 3 The deeply buried installation is just minutes from the Natanz nuclear facility. DigitalGlobe/Getty Images 'They didn't have a chance to get anything out because we acted fast,' Trump said Wednesday. 'It would have taken two weeks, maybe. But it's very hard to remove that kind of material, very hard and very dangerous for them to remove it.' Trump, too, has insisted his attacks 'obliterated' Iran's nuclear program and the White House has dismissed a leaked preliminary intelligence assessment suggesting Tehran could salvage it within months.

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