Dog the Bounty Hunter Duane Chapman's grandson accidentally shot and killed by father
The 72-year-old TV star and his wife Francie Chapman are in mourning after Gregory Zecca - Francie's 38-year-old son from a previous relationship - allegedly shot and killed his 13-year-old son Anthony in a tragic accident
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Key Insights The projected fair value for SUTL Enterprise is S$0.68 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With S$0.81 share price, SUTL Enterprise appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value When compared to theindustry average discount of -4,296%, SUTL Enterprise's competitors seem to be trading at a greater premium to fair value Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of SUTL Enterprise Limited (SGX:BHU) by taking the forecast future cash flows of the company and discounting them back to today's value. One way to achieve this is by employing the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. There's really not all that much to it, even though it might appear quite complex. Companies can be valued in a lot of ways, so we would point out that a DCF is not perfect for every situation. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. Step By Step Through The Calculation We use what is known as a 2-stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Seeing as no analyst estimates of free cash flow are available to us, we have extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the company's last reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, so we discount the value of these future cash flows to their estimated value in today's dollars: 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Levered FCF (SGD, Millions) S$4.59m S$4.03m S$3.72m S$3.55m S$3.45m S$3.41m S$3.41m S$3.43m S$3.48m S$3.53m Growth Rate Estimate Source Est @ -18.28% Est @ -12.09% Est @ -7.75% Est @ -4.72% Est @ -2.60% Est @ -1.11% Est @ -0.07% Est @ 0.66% Est @ 1.17% Est @ 1.53% Present Value (SGD, Millions) Discounted @ 7.4% S$4.3 S$3.5 S$3.0 S$2.7 S$2.4 S$2.2 S$2.1 S$1.9 S$1.8 S$1.7 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = S$26m After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the initial 10-year period, we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all future cash flows beyond the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.4%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 7.4%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2035 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = S$3.5m× (1 + 2.4%) ÷ (7.4%– 2.4%) = S$72m Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= S$72m÷ ( 1 + 7.4%)10= S$35m The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is S$61m. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of S$0.8, the company appears around fair value at the time of writing. Remember though, that this is just an approximate valuation, and like any complex formula - garbage in, garbage out. The Assumptions The calculation above is very dependent on two assumptions. The first is the discount rate and the other is the cash flows. Part of investing is coming up with your own evaluation of a company's future performance, so try the calculation yourself and check your own assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at SUTL Enterprise as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 7.4%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.165. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. See our latest analysis for SUTL Enterprise Looking Ahead: Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it is only one of many factors that you need to assess for a company. It's not possible to obtain a foolproof valuation with a DCF model. Rather it should be seen as a guide to "what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?" For example, changes in the company's cost of equity or the risk free rate can significantly impact the valuation. For SUTL Enterprise, there are three fundamental elements you should consider: Risks: To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with SUTL Enterprise (including 1 which can't be ignored) . Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing! Other Top Analyst Picks: Interested to see what the analysts are thinking? Take a look at our interactive list of analysts' top stock picks to find out what they feel might have an attractive future outlook! PS. The Simply Wall St app conducts a discounted cash flow valuation for every stock on the SGX every day. If you want to find the calculation for other stocks just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio
