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Bolivia presidential election: preliminary results put two rightwing candidates in run-off vote

Bolivia presidential election: preliminary results put two rightwing candidates in run-off vote

Yahooa day ago
Bolivia's presidential election will go to a run-off for the first time, with two rightwing candidates competing for the presidency – marking the end of nearly 20 years of dominance by the leftist Movimiento al Socialismo (Mas).
The candidate with the most votes, however, turned out to be a surprise: centre-right senator Rodrigo Paz Pereira, 57, who had started the campaign with just 3% support in opinion polls.
In second came Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga, 65, a rightwing former president who briefly led the country in 2001 after the resignation of ex-dictator Hugo Banzer.
Related: Bolivians go to polls in election that could end 20 years of leftist rule
With just over 92% of ballots counted in the electoral court's 'preliminary' tally, Paz Pereira was on 32.1% and Quiroga on 26.9%.
'I want to thank all the men and women who made this possible and gave a voice to those of us who had none, who didn't appear in the polls, who didn't exist,' said Pereira, the son of former president Jaime Paz Zamora, who governed from 1989 to 1993. Pereira, the senator for Tarija, gave effusive thanks to his running mate, former police captain Edman Lara Montaño, who became known for exposing police corruption and who, according to many analysts, was a decisive draw for voters. 'We will fight corruption head on, dammit!' Pereira shouted to journalists and dozens of supporters waiting for his speech late on Sunday in La Paz.
Quiroga said: 'It is a historic night – not for one party, not for one faction, not for one candidacy, but for all Bolivians who have spoken with strength, with faith, with hope and with dignity. Today, we have taken a giant step towards a better tomorrow.'
The electoral court stressed that the figures are 'preliminary and not definitive'. That is because Bolivia uses two counts: a quicker one, based on photos of each ballot sent to a data-processing centre, and the slower definitive one, where every vote is publicly counted and scrutinised at polling stations before entering the system.
The court has up to seven days to release the official results.
As neither secured more than 50% of the vote, or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the runner-up, a second round will be held on 19 October.
Like the first round, the run-off campaign is expected to be dominated by the economic crisis – the worst in four decades – with shortages of dollars and fuel and rising inflation.
Deeply unpopular president Luis Arce, of Mas, chose not to seek re-election and instead put forward his interior minister, 36-year-old Eduardo del Castillo, who won just 3.15% of the vote.
It is a paltry share compared with the more than 50% that had secured first-round victories for Arce and former president Evo Morales in the past – but just enough for the party to avoid losing its legal status, as the threshold is set at 3%.
According to the preliminary count, 19.1% of ballots were null and void – far above the historic average in Bolivian elections, which has typically been below 5%.
Bolivia's first Indigenous leader, Morales had spent recent weeks urging his supporters to cast null and void votes in protest against rulings by the constitutional and electoral courts that blocked him from seeking a fourth term.
Business tycoon Samuel Doria Medina, 66, who had led polls for much of the campaign, ended up third with 19.89% of the vote.
Doria Medina acknowledged his defeat and announced that he would back Paz Pereira in the run-off.
In the Bolivian press, analysts suggested one possible advantage for Paz Pereira was that the campaign battle in recent weeks had been concentrated between Quiroga, Doria Medina and the left, leaving the senator outside the main line of attacks – or even of fake news campaigns.
Also, polls indicated there were still large numbers of undecided voters before election day.
The highest-placed leftwing candidate was Senator Andrónico Rodríguez, 36, who left Mas to run with a small coalition. Having once polled as high as third, he eventually finished fourth with just over 8%.
More than 2,500 national and international observers, from bodies including the European Union and the Organisation of American States, monitored the vote and were expected to publish their preliminary reports in the coming days. During the day, they said polling had proceeded normally.
According to the electoral court, the election took place without problems, apart from some 'isolated incidents.'
One of them involved Rodríguez. As he voted in Entre Ríos, a Morales stronghold about 50 miles from where the former president remains entrenched, the 36-year-old senator was booed and pelted with stones by what he described as 'a small group of extremists identified as supporters of Morales.'
Rodríguez had to be escorted by a member of the armed forces to cast his vote. He was not injured. Once seen as Morales's natural heir due to his Indigenous roots and leadership in the coca growers' union, the senator was called a traitor for launching his own candidacy.
Wanted on an arrest warrant since October for allegedly fathering a child with a 15-year-old, Morales voted in Villa 14 de Septiembre, about 25 miles from the tiny village where hundreds of coca growers have prevented police and the army from detaining the former president.
Morales denies having committed any crime and claims the case is part of a plan by the current government to destroy him politically.
President Arce, who served as Morales's finance minister before becoming his main rival, cast his vote in La Paz and said he would ensure 'an absolutely democratic transition' in November, when the next president is sworn in.
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What to know about Bolivia's election that elevated a centrist shaking up the political landscape

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What to know about Bolivia's election that elevated a centrist shaking up the political landscape

LA PAZ, Bolivia -- One candidate is Rodrigo Paz, a conservative centrist senator and son of a neoliberal ex-president who is pitching himself as a moderate reformer. The other is former right-wing president Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga, galvanizing voters through promises of harsh austerity and a scorched-earth approach to transforming Bolivia's state-directed economic model after 20 years of leftist dominance. At stake in the outcome of Bolivia's consequential presidential election is the fate of one of South America's most resource-rich nations, where inflation has soared to heights unseen in decades and polls show growing distrust in major institutions. 'There has been a paradigm shift,' said Bolivian sociologist Renzo Abruzzese. 'What is truly historic is that the old cycle is over. It has carried away classical leftist thinking that dominated much of the 20th century.' The shadow of unrest among the fervent supporters of charismatic ex-President Evo Morales, founder of Bolivia's long-dominant Movement Toward Socialism party, or MAS, hangs over the next weeks of campaigning until the men face off in an unprecedented runoff on Oct. 19. Screenshots of the Wikipedia entry for Paz's past political allegiances elicited waggish mockery on Bolivian social media about the fluid ideology of this former mayor and governor. Paz began his political career in the Revolutionary Left Movement of his father, former President Jaime Paz Zamora. His movement emerged as a radical Marxist-inspired party and suffered brutal repression under Bolivia's 1964-1982 military dictatorship. Paz was born in exile in Spain. But his father pivoted right as a pact with former dictator Hugo Bánzer vaulted him to the presidency in 1989. The younger Paz rose through the political ranks over the past two decades in opposition to Morales' platform of generous subsidies and hefty public investment. He joined Quiroga's right-wing party before gradually edging toward Bolivia's technocratic center. Analysts say his enigmatic pragmatism served Paz in Sunday's election, as it did his father before him. 'Voters don't want hard right or hard left. They want things to function,' said Veronica Rocha, a Bolivian political analyst. 'Ambivalence is a political asset right now.' Even his supporters aren't sure how to describe his ideology. 'I don't care about politics, I'm sick of it, I just support the candidate who I think will steal the least," Emma Gesea Mamani, 57, said from her kiosk, selling snacks to hungry truckers wasting their days in lines for diesel as a result of Bolivia's crippling fuel shortages. A former vice president, Quiroga briefly held the presidency after then-President and ex-dictator Bánzer retired for health reasons in 2001. Fluent in English and educated at Texas A&M University, Quiroga has fashioned himself into a pro-business modernizer vowing to save Bolivia from what he calls '20 lost years' under the MAS party. He pledges drastic spending cuts, a bailout from the International Monetary Fund and fire sales of Bolivia's inefficient state-run firms. After years of Bolivia's foreign policy alignment with China and Russia, Quiroga vows to restore relations with the United States and claims to be close with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio. 'For years we lived in a time of darkness and lack of opportunities like Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua,' said 60-year-old engineer Jimmy Copa Vargas. 'With Tuto's government, we'll open ourselves to the world.' Quiroga has run for president three times before, losing twice to Morales. Now 65, he hopes the fourth time's the charm. To attract young voters, Quiroga staged flashy concerts and named a wealthy young entrepreneur as his vice president. He appears in campaign posters wearing a stern expression, tailored suit and Apple Watch and often peppers his speeches with wonky macroeconomic data, fueling the perception among some Bolivians that he's out of touch with the rural poor in this majority-Indigenous nation. 'I can't trust that he's not going to be the first one out on a lifeboat when Bolivia starts sinking,' said Luis Quispe, a 38-year-old taxi driver. Paz went from polling near the bottom of the eight-candidate field to commanding over 32% of the vote on Sunday, stunning the country. He and his popular running mate, former police captain Edman Lara, crisscrossed Bolivian cities holding modest rallies filled with cheap beer and grilled meat, often recording videos to post on TikTok. Despite undergoing emergency knee surgery earlier in the year, Paz hit dozens of stops in the traditional bastions of Morales' party, engaging with voters at once desperate for change but wary of a dramatic lurch to the right. He has rejected an IMF bailout and proposed 'capitalism for all,' touting accessible loans to boost young entrepreneurs and tax breaks to stimulate the formal economy. 'Rodrigo stands in the center, a refreshed version of social democracy,' said Bolivian analyst and former lawmaker Carlos Borth. 'Meanwhile, Tuto has been marked as the radical right. That contrast matters.' Many see Paz's running mate, ex-police captain Lara, known here as El Capitán, as the driving force behind his win. After 15 years in the police force, Lara in 2023 gained national prominence by posting tales of police corruption to his followers on TikTok and Instagram. His videos went viral, becoming must-see dispatches for disgruntled Bolivians and social media-savvy youth who tuned in regularly to watch him talk to the camera. He faced disciplinary measures over the exposés and was fired from the force, solidifying his status as something of a folk hero. After his dismissal, he struggled to scrape by selling secondhand clothing. His wife drove for a ride-hailing app. That has resonated with many workers in Bolivia's vast informal economy who have watched politicians enrich themselves while their own finances collapse and the country's economy spirals. Sunday's presidential election was the first since 2002 without Morales or a stand-in on the ballot. Yet the outcome confirmed the maverick ex-union leader's enduring influence. He transformed Bolivia over three straight terms marked by economic prosperity and political stability until his 2019 disputed reelection and subsequent ouster. Disqualified from the race by a court ruling on term limits, Morales called on his followers to spoil their ballots against what he deemed an illegitimate election. He campaigned hard for null votes nationwide, often attacking his leftist rivals — Eduardo Del Castillo, nominated by the unpopular President Luis Arce, and Senate leader Andrónico Rodríguez, a former protégé and coca farming union activist — more than the right-wing opposition. While Sunday's elections swept aside the MAS party's splintered factions, the null-and-void vote captured third place. Spoiled ballots appealed to nostalgic Morales supporters who fault Arce for Bolivia's economic collapse and to voters disillusioned by politicians across the spectrum who they say are more focused more on their own power games than on the people they are supposed to serve. 'Those who say Evo Morales is finished are mistaken,' Abruzzese said. 'Morales and MAS won't just disappear."

Bolivia heads to a presidential runoff as 2 decades of left-wing dominance ends
Bolivia heads to a presidential runoff as 2 decades of left-wing dominance ends

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time5 hours ago

  • NBC News

Bolivia heads to a presidential runoff as 2 decades of left-wing dominance ends

LA PAZ, Bolivia — Bolivia 's presidential vote headed to an unprecedented runoff after elections Sunday that ended more than two decades of left-wing dominance in the Andean nation but signaled voters' trepidation about a major lurch to the right. A dark horse centrist, Sen. Rodrigo Paz, drew more votes than the right-wing front-runners, although not enough to secure an outright victory, early results showed. Paz, a former mayor who has sought to soften the edges of the opposition's push for tough austerity to rescue Bolivia from a looming economic collapse, will face off against right-wing former President Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga, who finished second. Bolivia holds the presidential runoff — its first since its 1982 return to democracy — on Oct. 19. 'This economic model must change,' Paz declared to crowds who cheered and chanted, 'Renewal!' Paz's campaign gained unexpected traction in recent weeks as he teamed up with Edman Lara, a social media savvy ex-police captain with evangelical backing whose supporters see him as a bold leader willing to stand up to corruption in the security forces. With over 91% of the ballots counted Sunday, Paz received 32.8% of the votes cast. Quiroga secured 26.4%. Candidates needed to surpass 50%, or 40% with a 10-point margin of victory, to avoid a runoff. Addressing fans and flanked by family as confetti hearts sprayed from the ceiling, Quiroga congratulated Paz on his lead. 'What happened is unprecedented,' he said. 'Bolivia told the world that we want to live in a free nation.' The results delivered a stunning blow to Bolivia's hegemonic Movement Toward Socialism, or MAS, party, which has governed Bolivia almost uninterrupted since its founder, charismatic ex-President Evo Morales, rose to power as part of the 'pink tide' of leftist leaders that swept into office across Latin America during the commodities boom of the early 2000s. The official MAS candidate, Eduardo del Castillo, finished sixth with just 3.2% of the vote. A leftist candidate considered to be the party's best hope, 36-year-old Senate president Andrónico Rodríguez, captured 8% of the vote. During his almost 14 years in power, Morales expanded the rights of the country's Indigenous majority, defended coca growers against U.S.-backed eradication programs and poured natural gas profits into social programs. But the maverick leader's increasingly high-handed attempts to prolong his presidency — along with allegations of sexual relations with underage girls — soured public opinion against him. Simmering discontent turned into a tidal wave of outrage as Bolivia's once-stable economy imploded under Morales' protégé-turned-rival, President Luis Arce. The annual inflation rate has soared from 2% less than two years ago to 25% as of last month. A scarcity of fuel has paralyzed the country. A desperate shortage of U.S. dollars needed to pay for essential imports such as wheat has crippled the economy. As the crisis accelerated, MAS leaders traded blame. A power struggle between Morales and Arce fractured the bloc and handed the opposition its first real shot at victory in decades even as its uncharismatic candidates failed to unite. In perhaps the most visible sign of how fed up Bolivians are with the party, leftist politicians casting their ballots across Bolivia on Sunday faced barrages of boos, insults and thrown objects. Blocked from running by a court ruling on term limits, Morales has been holed up in his tropical stronghold of Chapare for months evading an arrest warrant for allegedly impregnating a 15-year-old girl while president. He has branded Rodríguez a traitor for competing and encouraged his supporters to register their anger at his exclusion by casting null-and-void ballots. His followers appeared to heed his calls: An unusually high proportion of votes, 19%, were deemed invalid. Usually the share of blank and null votes does not exceed 6%. Tensions ran high as Morales' supporters mobilized against elections but voting even in the restive jungle largely passed peacefully, authorities said, with only minor disruptions. A dynamite stick went off near the school where Rodríguez planned to cast his ballot in Chapare. When he arrived hours later, pro-Morales crowds assaulted him with bottles and rocks as he voted. Whisked away by guards, Rodríguez later called it a 'difficult moment.'

What to know about Bolivia's election that elevated a centrist shaking up the political landscape
What to know about Bolivia's election that elevated a centrist shaking up the political landscape

The Hill

time8 hours ago

  • The Hill

What to know about Bolivia's election that elevated a centrist shaking up the political landscape

LA PAZ, Bolivia (AP) — One candidate is Rodrigo Paz, a conservative centrist senator and son of a neoliberal ex-president who is pitching himself as a moderate reformer. The other is former right-wing president Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga, galvanizing voters through promises of harsh austerity and a scorched-earth approach to transforming Bolivia's state-directed economic model after 20 years of leftist dominance. At stake in the outcome of Bolivia's consequential presidential election is the fate of one of South America's most resource-rich nations, where inflation has soared to heights unseen in decades and polls show growing distrust in major institutions. 'There has been a paradigm shift,' said Bolivian sociologist Renzo Abruzzese. 'What is truly historic is that the old cycle is over. It has carried away classical leftist thinking that dominated much of the 20th century.' The shadow of unrest among the fervent supporters of charismatic ex-President Evo Morales, founder of Bolivia's long-dominant Movement Toward Socialism party, or MAS, hangs over the next weeks of campaigning until the men face off in an unprecedented runoff on Oct. 19. Front-runner Rodrigo Paz surprises Screenshots of the Wikipedia entry for Paz's past political allegiances elicited waggish mockery on Bolivian social media about the fluid ideology of this former mayor and governor. Paz began his political career in the Revolutionary Left Movement of his father, former President Jaime Paz Zamora. His movement emerged as a radical Marxist-inspired party and suffered brutal repression under Bolivia's 1964-1982 military dictatorship. Paz was born in exile in Spain. But his father pivoted right as a pact with former dictator Hugo Bánzer vaulted him to the presidency in 1989. The younger Paz rose through the political ranks over the past two decades in opposition to Morales' platform of generous subsidies and hefty public investment. He joined Quiroga's right-wing party before gradually edging toward Bolivia's technocratic center. Analysts say his enigmatic pragmatism served Paz in Sunday's election, as it did his father before him. 'Voters don't want hard right or hard left. They want things to function,' said Veronica Rocha, a Bolivian political analyst. 'Ambivalence is a political asset right now.' Even his supporters aren't sure how to describe his ideology. 'I don't care about politics, I'm sick of it, I just support the candidate who I think will steal the least,' Emma Gesea Mamani, 57, said from her kiosk, selling snacks to hungry truckers wasting their days in lines for diesel as a result of Bolivia's crippling fuel shortages. Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga promises spending cuts A former vice president, Quiroga briefly held the presidency after then-President and ex-dictator Bánzer retired for health reasons in 2001. Fluent in English and educated at Texas A&M University, Quiroga has fashioned himself into a pro-business modernizer vowing to save Bolivia from what he calls '20 lost years' under the MAS party. He pledges drastic spending cuts, a bailout from the International Monetary Fund and fire sales of Bolivia's inefficient state-run firms. After years of Bolivia's foreign policy alignment with China and Russia, Quiroga vows to restore relations with the United States and claims to be close with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio. 'For years we lived in a time of darkness and lack of opportunities like Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua,' said 60-year-old engineer Jimmy Copa Vargas. 'With Tuto's government, we'll open ourselves to the world.' Quiroga has run for president three times before, losing twice to Morales. Now 65, he hopes the fourth time's the charm. To attract young voters, Quiroga staged flashy concerts and named a wealthy young entrepreneur as his vice president. He appears in campaign posters wearing a stern expression, tailored suit and Apple Watch and often peppers his speeches with wonky macroeconomic data, fueling the perception among some Bolivians that he's out of touch with the rural poor in this majority-Indigenous nation. 'I can't trust that he's not going to be the first one out on a lifeboat when Bolivia starts sinking,' said Luis Quispe, a 38-year-old taxi driver. Paz's unusual campaign — and running mate Paz went from polling near the bottom of the eight-candidate field to commanding over 32% of the vote on Sunday, stunning the country. He and his popular running mate, former police captain Edman Lara, crisscrossed Bolivian cities holding modest rallies filled with cheap beer and grilled meat, often recording videos to post on TikTok. Despite undergoing emergency knee surgery earlier in the year, Paz hit dozens of stops in the traditional bastions of Morales' party, engaging with voters at once desperate for change but wary of a dramatic lurch to the right. He has rejected an IMF bailout and proposed 'capitalism for all,' touting accessible loans to boost young entrepreneurs and tax breaks to stimulate the formal economy. 'Rodrigo stands in the center, a refreshed version of social democracy,' said Bolivian analyst and former lawmaker Carlos Borth. 'Meanwhile, Tuto has been marked as the radical right. That contrast matters.' Many see Paz's running mate, ex-police captain Lara, known here as El Capitán, as the driving force behind his win. After 15 years in the police force, Lara in 2023 gained national prominence by posting tales of police corruption to his followers on TikTok and Instagram. His videos went viral, becoming must-see dispatches for disgruntled Bolivians and social media-savvy youth who tuned in regularly to watch him talk to the camera. He faced disciplinary measures over the exposés and was fired from the force, solidifying his status as something of a folk hero. After his dismissal, he struggled to scrape by selling secondhand clothing. His wife drove for a ride-hailing app. That has resonated with many workers in Bolivia's vast informal economy who have watched politicians enrich themselves while their own finances collapse and the country's economy spirals. The election may not mean the end for Evo Morales Sunday's presidential election was the first since 2002 without Morales or a stand-in on the ballot. Yet the outcome confirmed the maverick ex-union leader's enduring influence. He transformed Bolivia over three straight terms marked by economic prosperity and political stability until his 2019 disputed reelection and subsequent ouster. Disqualified from the race by a court ruling on term limits, Morales called on his followers to spoil their ballots against what he deemed an illegitimate election. He campaigned hard for null votes nationwide, often attacking his leftist rivals — Eduardo Del Castillo, nominated by the unpopular President Luis Arce, and Senate leader Andrónico Rodríguez, a former protégé and coca farming union activist — more than the right-wing opposition. While Sunday's elections swept aside the MAS party's splintered factions, the null-and-void vote captured third place. Spoiled ballots appealed to nostalgic Morales supporters who fault Arce for Bolivia's economic collapse and to voters disillusioned by politicians across the spectrum who they say are more focused more on their own power games than on the people they are supposed to serve. 'Those who say Evo Morales is finished are mistaken,' Abruzzese said. 'Morales and MAS won't just disappear.'

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