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Trump demands interest rate cut as he blames Powell for shock US jobs slowdown

Trump demands interest rate cut as he blames Powell for shock US jobs slowdown

Daily Mail​a day ago

Donald Trump yesterday demanded a US interest rate cut as he blamed Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell for a shock jobs slowdown.
The president lashed out at 'Too Late' Powell after payroll firm ADP reported that job creation in the world's biggest economy slowed last month to its lowest level in more than two years.
The outburst came as evidence also pointed to a dismal jobs market in Britain. In America, ADP figures showed that private payrolls rose 37,000 in May, the smallest gain since March 2023. Markets had expected an increase of 110,000.
More comprehensive official jobs data will be published tomorrow and will be closely watched for evidence that tariff uncertainty is hurting the economy. But Trump did not wait to go on the attack.
On his Truth Social platform, he said: 'ADP number out.. 'Too Late' Powell must now lower the rate. He is unbelievable. Europe has lowered nine times.'
The remarks are likely to reignite disquiet over Trump's attacks on the central bank's independence. He has previously rowed back on language suggesting he would fire Powell, after a market sell-off.
Meanwhile, in the UK, a survey showed employment in the private sector fell for the eighth month in a row in May, the longest losing streak – aside from the pandemic – since 2008 to 2010 during the financial crisis.
The slide was partly blamed on increased payroll costs, after national insurance and minimum wage hikes introduced by Chancellor Rachel Reeves took effect.
But on a brighter note, the purchasing managers' index (PMI) figures suggested a return to growth for the private sector – thanks to a recovery for services, though manufacturing declined.
Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said the sector 'regained its poise as receding concerns about US tariffs, recovering global financial markets and greater confidence among clients helped support growth'.
It came amid growing hopes of a Bank of England interest rate cut, with markets last night betting on a greater than 50/50 chance of one in August, and another cut later this year seen as increasingly likely.
Today, the European Central Bank is expected to cut its rate. It has already cut seven times since last June –not the nine claimed by Trump.
Figures this week showed a fall in inflation in the euro area to 1.9 per cent last month – below the bank's 2 per cent target for the first time since September.

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Reform and indy will be at the heart of our debate for years
Reform and indy will be at the heart of our debate for years

The Herald Scotland

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  • The Herald Scotland

Reform and indy will be at the heart of our debate for years

Of course, by now you already know the result, so you'll know which of the following scenarios and their consequences are the most accurate. But let me start with what the national polls tell us ought to have happened, by-election peculiarities – which I'll come to – notwithstanding. The SNP should have won with around 33% of the vote, down significantly on the 46.2% it won in 2021, with Labour in a narrow second on around 28% of the vote. Reform should have come third with just under 20% of the vote, while the Conservatives should have collapsed to under 10% of the vote. The rest of the vote, around 10%, will have been split among the Greens, Liberal Democrats, and myriad minor parties and independents. But by-elections rarely work out this way, even when the national polls are accurate. Firstly, voters are more likely to have voted in protest than they are at national elections, which may well help Reform in this case. As Jamie, a service engineer from Hamilton, told a focus group run by More in Common, it's 'time to give someone else a chance,' even if he thinks Nigel Farage is an 'a***hole'. Read more by Mark McGeoghegan Secondly, turnout will likely have collapsed. In the Hamilton and Rutherglen West by-election in October 2023, turnout fell by 43% compared to the 2019 General Election. A similar decline here would see around 15,600 voters who would otherwise turn out in a national election stay at home instead. Given that voters turning out to vote Reform as a protest against both the SNP and Labour governments are likely to be more motivated than SNP and Labour voters, this may also advantage Reform. In fact, assuming predictions based on national polling would otherwise have been accurate, Reform's vote will only have to have been marginally more resilient for it to finish ahead of Labour and narrowly behind the SNP. Factor in that first peculiarity of by-election campaigns, and such a scenario is hardly far-fetched. On the eve of the by-election, Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar accused the First Minister, John Swinney, and journalists of manufacturing Reform's competitiveness in the seat. Nothing could be further from the truth, and a Reform underperformance yesterday will have been more surprising than it coming second. It has demonstrated its strength in a succession of local by-elections, the latest of which saw it beat Labour to come second behind the SNP. Whether or not Reform came second yesterday, its performance will shape the narrative in Scottish politics going into next year's elections in conjunction with its UK-wide polling lead (it has led in 25 consecutive polls going back to the beginning of May) and strong results in recent local elections and Parliamentary by-elections in England. Ultimately, regardless of yesterday's result, the spectre of Nigel Farage looms over Scottish politics. There are three broad scenarios. Firstly, that Reform performed to its Scotland-wide polling, confirming that it is on course to win between 15 and 20 seats in next year's Scottish Parliament election. Secondly, that it did overperform, perhaps coming second, leading to the next 11 months to being dominated by the SNP seeking to present next year's elections as a choice between the SNP and Nigel Farage, and a bitter fight between Reform and Labour for status as the main challengers to the SNP. Thirdly, that it underperformed, in which case the SNP will be quick to emphasise divergence between Scottish and English politics. In any case, the SNP will use the prospect of a Reform government at Westminster to try to increase the salience of the constitutional question, attempting to return independence to the heart of the Scottish political agenda ahead of next year's elections and the following UK general election. It knows that that is its best bet for winning back pro-independence voters who have swung to Labour in recent years. Replacing Humza Yousaf with John Swinney may have stabilised the SNP's support, but the party not really recovered in any meaningful way. The longer Reform leads in UK-wide polls, the more likely that narrative will be to gain purchase among the independence-supporting electorate. Strong Reform showings in Scotland will reinforce the sense that they could win power in 2029; weak performances will emphasise the ways in which Scottish and English politics may be diverging. Both provide hooks for the SNP. 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If Anas Sarwar is frustrated with his opponents' and the media's "obsession" with Reform UK, he should get used to that feeling – they'll be at the heart of Scottish political debate for years to come. Mark McGeoghegan is a Glasgow University researcher of nationalism and contentious politics and an Associate Member of the Centre on Constitutional Change. He can be found on BlueSky @

Sainsbury's is testing a huge change to shelf labels – and shoppers will be divided
Sainsbury's is testing a huge change to shelf labels – and shoppers will be divided

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Sainsbury's is testing a huge change to shelf labels – and shoppers will be divided

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Tesla shares take $150bn plunge as Musk vs Trump erupts
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Tesla shares take $150bn plunge as Musk vs Trump erupts

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