Race-by-race tips and preview for Tamworth on Friday
RACE 1
8. Capsity is the only two-year-old in the field, and she makes her debut for the Brett Cavanough stable. A daughter of prolific sprint sire Capitalist, she starts after two progressive 1000m trials, and is bred to thrive on rain-affected ground. 3. Tough Guy is an ex-Victorian three-year-old having his first start for the new home stable, with a string of gear changes in play, and likely to jump a short-priced favourite. Was never far away in three handy efforts down south before spelling, and been tuned up for a strong NSW debut with a solid soft-track trial at Scone. 1. Jagerschnitzel is another one having his first outing for a new Scone yard since transferring from Victoria. Form this prep is very average, but the blinkers come off. Gap to the rest.
How to play it: Capsity to win.
RACE 2
5. Shamister is an underrated and very fit Dubbo five-year-old that emerges as the one to beat in an average field despite having a poor winning strike rate. Has beaten all but the winner in two of his past three from off the speed, and can settle a bit closer from a softer draw this time, and finish over them. 2. Imezaaki is trained on the course, and right in the hunt third up over the longer trip, with a leading jockey taking over. 7. Libby is still searching for that breakthrough win deep into the prep, but has run home into the placings in her past three, and looking for this longer journey now. 3. Your Temptation, back in grade over further, and 6. Bill Peyto, deep into the campaign, can both add value into exotic plays.
How to play it: Shamister to win.
RACE 3
7. Yanabah is a progressive and locally trained four-year-old primed to break through fifth up. Has hit the line hard to miss out narrowly in his past two from near the speed and much further back, and has placed five times from nine career runs, often by small margins. Gets enough speed on to settle back and round them up late. 9. Halle Bee is another local, and logical threat fourth up with the leading jockey booked to ride. Has a near 50 per cent place rate from 19 starts. 3. Hardhead is over the odds deep into the prep from a soft draw, while 2. Hanoverian is a market watch resuming for only his second start off two trials.
How to play it: Yanabah to win.
RACE 4
2. Louisbugh can start the redemption trail here fourth up coming back 100m in trip three weeks between runs. Has been rolled in his last couple as a short-priced favourite on heavy ground, but winkers come off and drawn further out where he settles with more room in the run home are keys to an overdue win. 1. Justice Warrior is a real toiler that has beaten all but the winner in his past two at the provincials, boxing on OK after leading at Wyong last start. This draw and a drop in distance suit. Watch the betting on 4. Snap Decision, a three-year-old son of Proisir in the local Cody Morgan yard, that makes his debut from the inside draw behind an easy trial. Big gap to the remainder headed by 5. Xerxes, which can run into the minor money resuming off a quiet trial.
How to play it: Louisburgh to win.
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