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Tesla Cybertruck Price Collapse Drives Beast Of A Deal

Tesla Cybertruck Price Collapse Drives Beast Of A Deal

Forbes8 hours ago

Tesla electric cars and a Cybertruck are displayed in a test drive vehicle charging area at a ... More shopping mall parking garage in San Diego, California, on April 23, 2025. Elon Musk will significantly scale back his Trump administration work in May to focus on Tesla, the billionaire announced Tuesday as the electric vehicle maker reported a 71 percent drop in first-quarter profits. (Photo by Patrick T. Fallon / AFP) (Photo by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty Images)
The plunge in Tesla Cybertruck prices has resulted in unprecedented deals for the high-end trim of the Tesla pickup.
Tesla is now selling new Cyberbeast inventory with 'price adjustments," aka discounts, of up t0 $10,550. One new Cyberbeast, a demo with 479 miles, is priced at $94,940. If you include the $7,500 federal tax credit, the price drops to $87,440. That configuration comes with 20'' Cyber Wheels ($3,500) and White Décor ($2,000). Another Cyberbeast is priced at $91,790 with a $10,200 discount. It also comes with 20'' Cyber Wheels and White Décor. Add the $7,500 federal tax credit and the price drops to $84,290. The Cyberbeast comes standard with a tri-motor powertrain and other extras such as Premium Interior with Suede Textile Trim. It is rated at 301 miles of range. (Note that these prices are as of Sunday June 15. But prices change often and vehicles may get sold, rendering the link inactive.)
The price freefall comes against a backdrop of swelling new All-Wheel Drive (dual-motor) inventory on Tesla's Cybertruck page. Some inventory AWD Cybertruck discounts are as high as $8,550, bringing the price down to as low as $69,440 with the federal tax credit. That price includes 20'' Cyber Wheels ($3,500) and White Décor ($2,000).
The Cyberbeast Foundation Series has fallen hard from its rarefied pricing of only a year ago. At that time, the Cyberbeast version of the Cybertruck was being flipped for more than $150,000. That market dynamic is now inverted. A tri-motor Cyberbeast Foundation Series with only 1,200 miles is selling for around $92,000 at a car dealership in Southern California as of Saturday June 14. Another used Cyberbeast with 16,027 miles has an asking price of $89,000. While another used Foundation Series Cyberbeast is selling for $89,620 with 9,974 miles. The Foundation Series comes with Full Self Driving standard, an $8,000 value, and Tesla Powershare vehicle-to-home back-up capability, among other extras.
A new Cyberbeast sells for $99,990 on Tesla's Cybertruck website. Last year at this time it was priced at $119,990 direct from Tesla.
Cars on average lose about 20% of their original value during the first year, according to Kelley Blue Book. But pricing of a virtually new (flipped) Cybertruck has lost as much as 40% of its value in a year. That's because the Cybertruck's used market value was inflated initially due to hype and high demand and meager supply. Overall, used Cybertruck prices have plummeted from a year ago when the average asking price for a used Cybertruck Foundation Series was over $130,000 (see charts). The wedge-shaped stainless steel pickup went on sale in late November of 2023.
Tesla Cybertruck used market prices have come down more than 20% in the last six months.
Tesla Cybertruck used market price has plummeted almost 40% year over year.
Deliveries of the Cybertruck plummeted in the first quarter of this year—essentially cut in half—falling to 6,406 versus 12,991 in the fourth quarter of last year, according to Cox Automotive. Trade-in value for the truck has been a shock for some owners, after Tesla began accepting trade-ins.

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Snowflake's estimated fair value is US$229 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$208 share price, Snowflake appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value The US$227 analyst price target for SNOW is 1.0% less than our estimate of fair value Does the June share price for Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:SNOW) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the stock's intrinsic value by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to today's value. We will use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model on this occasion. There's really not all that much to it, even though it might appear quite complex. We would caution that there are many ways of valuing a company and, like the DCF, each technique has advantages and disadvantages in certain scenarios. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model. We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value: 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Levered FCF ($, Millions) US$902.4m US$1.09b US$1.42b US$1.97b US$2.79b US$3.74b US$4.48b US$5.13b US$5.70b US$6.19b Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x22 Analyst x23 Analyst x22 Analyst x7 Analyst x4 Analyst x4 Est @ 19.61% Est @ 14.61% Est @ 11.11% Est @ 8.66% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 8.1% US$835 US$937 US$1.1k US$1.4k US$1.9k US$2.3k US$2.6k US$2.8k US$2.8k US$2.8k ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$20b We now need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows after this ten year period. The Gordon Growth formula is used to calculate Terminal Value at a future annual growth rate equal to the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield of 2.9%. We discount the terminal cash flows to today's value at a cost of equity of 8.1%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2034 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$6.2b× (1 + 2.9%) ÷ (8.1%– 2.9%) = US$124b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$124b÷ ( 1 + 8.1%)10= US$57b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is US$77b. The last step is to then divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Relative to the current share price of US$208, the company appears about fair value at a 9.3% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. Now the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate, and of course, the actual cash flows. If you don't agree with these result, have a go at the calculation yourself and play with the assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Snowflake as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 8.1%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.188. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. Check out our latest analysis for Snowflake Strength Debt is not viewed as a risk. Weakness No major weaknesses identified for SNOW. Opportunity Forecast to reduce losses next year. Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows. Current share price is below our estimate of fair value. Threat Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years. Whilst important, the DCF calculation shouldn't be the only metric you look at when researching a company. DCF models are not the be-all and end-all of investment valuation. Instead the best use for a DCF model is to test certain assumptions and theories to see if they would lead to the company being undervalued or overvalued. For example, changes in the company's cost of equity or the risk free rate can significantly impact the valuation. For Snowflake, there are three additional items you should assess: Risks: For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Snowflake that you should be aware of. Management:Have insiders been ramping up their shares to take advantage of the market's sentiment for SNOW's future outlook? Check out our management and board analysis with insights on CEO compensation and governance factors. Other Solid Businesses: Low debt, high returns on equity and good past performance are fundamental to a strong business. Why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals to see if there are other companies you may not have considered! PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every American stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. 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