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D-Wave Quantum: Can QBTS Stock Deliver Another 1,000% Gain?

D-Wave Quantum: Can QBTS Stock Deliver Another 1,000% Gain?

Forbes16-07-2025
CHONGQING, CHINA - MAY 06: In this photo illustration, the logo of D-Wave Quantum Inc. is displayed ... More on a smartphone screen, with the company's stylized branding visible in the background, on May 06, 2025, in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by)
D-Wave Quantum stock (NYSE: QBTS) has witnessed immense growth, skyrocketing over 1,000% in the past twelve months due to increasing enthusiasm for quantum computing. Several factors influenced this remarkable performance:
Additionally, if you seek a smoother investment than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and recorded >91% returns since its inception. Furthermore, take a look at – Trump's Russia Math, Simplified
The Path to 10x Growth: Key Catalysts
The quantum computing industry is transitioning from research and development to securing commercial applications. D-Wave's quantum annealing technology is particularly effective for optimization challenges across various sectors including logistics, finance, drug discovery, and artificial intelligence. As these applications evolve from proof-of-concept to commercial usage, the potential for revenue could increase dramatically.
The transition to cloud-based quantum computing services signifies a major revenue opportunity. D-Wave's cloud-based quantum computing offerings position it to gain substantial market share in this swiftly expanding area, enabling customers to utilize quantum computing capabilities without significant capital expenditures. Related – What's Happening With QBTS Stock?
Quantum computing has emerged as a national security priority, with governments worldwide making considerable investments in quantum research and development. D-Wave's established technologies and collaborations position it to secure valuable long-term government contracts, providing consistent revenue streams and validation for commercial applications. For instance, D-Wave has successfully completed a significant defense-oriented installation through its partnership with Davidson Technologies. The physical setup of a D-Wave Advantage2 annealing quantum system is finalized at Davidson's facility in Huntsville, Alabama, marking the first annealing quantum computer to be hosted on-site in the state.
Competitive Advantages Supporting 10x Growth
Historical Examples of 10x Growth
NVIDIA serves as the most pertinent comparison for QBTS's potential growth trajectory. Between 2016 and 2024, NVIDIA stock surged from around $8 to more than $130 (adjusted for splits), marking a 16x increase. This expansion occurred as NVIDIA evolved from a gaming graphics firm to a core component of AI infrastructure. Similarly, D-Wave may capitalize on the burgeoning quantum computing infrastructure market. Additionally, see – NVDA Stock To $200?
Moderna's development of a COVID-19 vaccine propelled its stock from $20 to over $400 in 2020-2021, illustrating how groundbreaking applications can lead to explosive growth. D-Wave's quantum optimization solutions could similarly disrupt industries once they gain commercial traction.
Risk Factors
The company is subject to a variety of inherent risks.
The Verdict
D-Wave Quantum is distinctively positioned to benefit from the shift of quantum computing from research to commercial implementation. The company's technological dominance, first-mover advantage, and an expanding market create major opportunities for growth by tenfold over the next 3-5 years.
The prevailing conditions, characterized by rising computational demands, considerable government spending, and the maturing of quantum applications, resemble the introductory phases of the internet or AI revolution. D-Wave's established technology and commercial emphasis position it to capture disproportionate value as this evolution accelerates.
Although significant risks remain, the chance for revolutionary impact across various industries warrants a premium valuation for investors with the suitable risk appetite and long-term investment perspectives. We underscore the considerable risk tied to this investment; therefore, investors should thoughtfully evaluate these risks or consider professionally managed alternatives, such as the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio with a selection of 30 stocks that has a history of comfortably outperforming the S&P 500 over the last 4-year period. Why is that? As a collective, HQ Portfolio stocks have yielded greater returns with lower risk compared to the benchmark index; experiencing less volatility, as seen in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.
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