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Early, Aggressive BP Lowering Tied to Better ICH Outcomes

Early, Aggressive BP Lowering Tied to Better ICH Outcomes

Medscape12 hours ago

Initiating intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering within a few hours of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) was associated with better neurologic outcomes, fewer serious adverse events, and better mortality compared to the more conservative standard treatment, new research confirmed.
Best results were found when treatment was administered within 3 hours of ICH symptoms, a pooled analysis of the four Intensive BP Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trials (INTERACT1-4) showed.
While current guidelines set a target systolic BP of < 180 mm Hg within 1 hour of ICH symptom onset, the intensive treatment systolic target is < 140 Hg within 1 hour.
The new findings were published online on June 18 in The Lancet Neurology .
Timing Dependent?
In addition to evaluating the safety and efficacy of early intensive treatment for ICH, the investigators also aimed to assess the impact of treatment timing.
The INTERACT1-3 studies included 10,269 adults with acute ACH who presented within 6 hours of symptom onset and had a systolic BP of > 150 mm Hg.
INTERACT4 included 1043 patients with suspected acute stroke who had a systolic BP of ≥ 150 mm Hg within 2 hours of symptom onset. In addition, 1029 study participants had a hemorrhagic form of stroke.
All were randomly assigned to receive either intensive or guideline recommended BP-lowering treatment with locally available BP drugs within 1 hour.
Scores on the modified Rankin scale were used to determine functional recovery, the primary outcome measure for the pooled analysis.
Additionally, a CT substudy of nearly 3000 INTERACT participants was conducted to measure hematoma volume.
Mean systolic BP rates at 1 hour were significantly lower for the intensive treatment group compared to the guideline group (149.6 mm Hg vs 158.8 mm Hg, respectively; P < .0001).
Poor physical function, defined as a modified Rankin scale score of 3-6 at the end of follow-up, was significantly less likely after intensive BP lowering (odds ratio [OR], .85; P = .0001).
The intensive group also had reduced odds of neurologic deterioration within 7 days compared to the guideline group (OR, .76; P = .0002), as well as lower odds of any serious adverse event (OR, .84; P = .0003) or death (OR, .83; P = .002).
CT substudy results showed no significant effect on either relative or absolute hematoma growth in the first 24 hours from intensive vs guideline treatment.
However, when intensive BP lowering was initiated within 3 hours of symptom onset, functional recovery was improved and hematoma growth was reduced in almost 25% of the patients with serial CT scans, investigators noted.
Patients with mild-to-moderate severity, as measured by ICH scores, had even greater reductions in hematoma growth after early intensive BP-lowering treatment.
The new pooled analysis of all four INTERACT trials confirms findings from INTERACT4, presented at the 2024 European Stroke Organization Conference Annual Meeting and reported by Medscape Medical News .
'Time Is Brain'
In an accompanying editorial, David J. Werring, PhD, Department of Translational Neuroscience and Stroke, University College London Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, noted that several previous studies showed no benefit of BP lowering in acute ischemic stroke, 'probably because acutely elevated blood pressure has a role in maintaining brain perfusion.'
However, the pathophysiology of stroke from ICH 'is different, with a major role for hematoma expansion within the first few hours, a therapeutic target which might be reduced' by intensive BP lowering, he wrote.
Still, Werring noted that possible benefits need to be weighed against possible risks; and he pointed out several study limitations, such as the low severity of ICH overall and the inclusion of INTERACT3 data, which may have introduced confounding from BP lowering being just one component of its treatment 'bundle,' alongside strict glucose control and anticoagulant reversal.
'Notwithstanding these important limitations, the data presented make a compelling case for ultra-early intensive blood pressure reduction as a potentially useful intervention to improve outcomes in people with acute ICH,' he wrote, adding that more research is needed.
'Meanwhile, the clear message from this meta-analysis is that earlier treatment is better, meaning that, once again, time is brain for patients with ICH,' Werring concluded.

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Vertical integration with optum: Thanks to Optum, UNH has all its services combined, including pharmacy (over 1.62 billion scripts were handled by OptumRx in 2024), care delivery, data analysis, and provider management. Because of this integration, UNH is ahead in long-term care, managing care effectively, reducing expenses, and boosting results, which other organizations don't have. Overall, UnitedHealth is a leader that is making steady earnings now and is prepared to capture the future of healthcare and population wellness. Now, let's investigate the financial side of UnitedHealth Group. The company had good first-quarter earnings, but it sent a cautious message for the coming months. UnitedHealth Group's quarterly revenue of $109.6 billion was $10 billion higher than the same period last year, showing how much both UnitedHealthcare and Optum are growing. 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There is a massive disconnect here, and it's very unusual for a company as stable as UNH to deviate so much from its fair value estimate. Valuation multiples are also telling the same story. The forward P/E of this stock is 13.42, which is much lower than the average of 17.66, giving a discount of 23.98%. The company's forward EV/EBITDA of 9.61 is better than the sector's ratio of 11.79. On a price-to-sales ratio, UNH is trading at 0.61 times its projected sales, while the healthcare industry is pricing in at 3.43xa discount of 82%. All in all, UNH gives you both quality and value. Almost all of the valuation measures suggest that the company is undervalued in terms of its earnings, sales, and cash flow. Even though the stock is built on solid foundations and pays out more in dividends each year, it still trades at a lower price than its competitors. As a result, long-term investors can take advantage of acquiring a leader in healthcare at a much lower price than its actual value. 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Source: Author generated based on data Going forward, I feel UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) is well-positioned to achieve a price target of $395$410 in the next year and possibly surpass $525$550 by 2027. Despite the stock's recent volatility, the numbers, the company's health, and the outlook seem to fit together nicely. Let's begin our discussion with the short term. Despite many years of increasing earnings and a high rate of cash conversion, UNH is only valued at 13.4 times its future earnings when the stock is trading at $303. Healthcare companies, on the other hand, have a forward P/E of about 17.6, and UNH has generally had a forward P/E between 18x and 20x during calm times. If UNH is valued at just 17 times the expected FY2025 EPS of $22.59, the price would come to $384. At 18x, If stability comes back and the new leaders reassure everyone, the stock could increase to $406. The story gets even better as you look further into the future. Analysts are predicting that EPS will rise to $45.83 by 2030, meaning it will be about double the current earnings in just five years. Multiply the earnings by 15, and the share price comes out to $687. But, let's narrow our focus to conservatism, and for 2027, the predicted EPS is about $34.50. At this multiple of 15x, the price comes out to $517if the market recovers, shares could climb to $550 or more due to the 16x or 17x rating. If the DOJ investigation ends well and Hemsley's efforts to cut costs are successful, the company should do well over the next few quarters. We are not just discussing theory here. Since 2015, UNH's free cash flow per share has more than tripled, its revenue per share has nearly tripled too, and it still has some of the top dividend growth rates in healthcare. Such consistency, size, and under-valuation are hard to find in one company. Let's look at how Wall Street views this area. Looking at the chart, analysts foresee that the price of Apple shares might rise by 26.2% to $382.80 in the next 12 months. It is estimated that the cost can fall anywhere from $270 to $677. To conclude, although there may be short-term ups and downs, it looks like disciplined, patient investors will find more favorable long-term conditions. When Andrew Witty suddenly left his CEO post in May because of profit problems and dropped 2025 guidance, UNH shares fell over 12% to their lowest point in five years and wiped out more than $250 billion in market value. As a consequence, the board brought back former CEO Stephen Hemsley (who headed the company from 2006 to 2017). Within only a few days, Hemsley made a big step by buying nearly 86,700 shares worth about $25 million for $288.60 per share. Hemsley, together with the CFO and several directors, voted to keep the company's value high, and shares rose by about 8% the following trading day. What does it imply? It is clear that the management views the falling share price of UNH as a good time to purchase. The fact that Hemsley has invested his money shows how much he believes in the company after all it has achieved. Yet, this is not a case of blind faith: the company is dealing with an ongoing investigation, higher medical costs in Medicare Advantage, and a cyberattack it suffered recently. From a strategic point of view, all this buying in UNH suggests that the company's leaders believe the worst has passed and risks for the stock are low. The guru trading chart has an interesting narrative. Although UnitedHealth's stock has gone down recently, gurus have been buying it more frequently. Many green bars are appearing, both early in 2024 and again later in 2025, showing that some informed investors are looking at the dip as an opportunity to buy instead of a warning sign. This trend can be seen in the investor's stock portfolio. Vanguard is still the biggest shareholder, but it slightly reduced its holdings. I'm also paying attention to Ken Fisher (Trades, Portfolio) , who bought much more, a solid 52%, and Jeremy Grantham (Trades, Portfolio) , who increased his holding by over 7%. Though there is selling and shares are reduced as well, institutions tend to be cautiously upbeat. Even though UnitedHealth's future looks bright, investors should still pay attention to the risks in the near term. The DOJ is currently investigating the business for possible Medicare Advantage fraud, such as upcoding and billing errors, which is a very serious matter that could result in being fined or charged in court. At the same moment, Washington is paying more attention to supervision. Should reforms reduce the inflation of risk scores or Medicare allowance for nurse practitioners, it could affect the profitability of Medicare Advantage. Q1 faced some issues because the higher use of medical services caused the medical loss ratio to increase to around 85%, and Optum is still learning to handle CMS's updated risk model. Because of these pressures, there could be more budget reductions for guidance. However, the bad news appears to be mostly factored into share prices. For careful investors who believe the company will survive, this could present an opportunity to buy long-term. The headlines can be very tempting, but stepping back, it appears that UnitedHealth is still a powerhouse lurking in plain sight. It is the same old stuff but with a different sentiment. The long-term story is still in place with the reinstatement of Stephen Hemsley, a recent insider purchase, and a long history of expertise in Medicaid-managed care and the Optum platform in value-based care. Most of that bad news, including the increases in care costs, and regulatory noise, appears to be reflected in price. Sentiment can change at any minute as long as we hear a resolution to the DOJ investigation, a slowdown in the trend of rising Medicare costs, or upbeat guidance in coming quarters. Any of those may be the spark. In the meantime, the stock is currently trading at one of the most attractive valuations it has seen in years, and the set-up is of the sort long-term investors tend to reflect back on with gratitude. If you are waiting to have a clear picture, you may miss the opportunity. However, to the patient and longer-term investors, this may be one of those times when interceding in soreness results in actual payoff. In other words, this just might be a smart time to lean in and buy the stock. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Sign in to access your portfolio

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