logo
China says consumer prices stable in July

China says consumer prices stable in July

CNAa day ago
BEIJING: Consumer prices in China remained stable in July, official data showed on Saturday (Aug 9), providing a respite for the world's second-largest economy, which is facing strong deflationary pressure and fragile domestic demand.
The consumer price index (CPI) – a key measure of inflation – was unchanged year-on-year in July, according to data released by China's National Bureau of Statistics.
The reading was better than the 0.1 per cent fall forecast in a survey of economists by Bloomberg.
Prices nevertheless fell year-on-year in rural areas (down 0.3 per cent) and for consumer goods (down 0.4 per cent).
While deflation may be appreciated by consumers, it poses a threat to the broader economy as households tend to postpone purchases in the hope of even lower prices.
However, a long-term crisis in the real estate sector and high youth unemployment have been weighing on Chinese consumer sentiment for several years.
The situation has worsened with the heightened turmoil sparked by US President Donald Trump's trade war.
After four consecutive months of decline, prices nevertheless rebounded in June.
"The downward trend of car and phone prices improved, which contributed to the rise of core CPI," Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, said.
"Nonetheless it is still unclear if this is the end of deflation in China," he said.
"The property sector has not stabilised. The economy is still supported more by external demand than domestic consumption," he noted.
In another alarming sign, Chinese factory gate prices saw another fall in July. The producer price index declined 3.6 per cent year-on-year in July, following a similar decline in June.
This decline, which has been ongoing for almost three years, means reduced margins for companies engaged in a fierce price war that authorities are trying to curb.
This week, China recorded a rebound in its foreign trade in July compared to last year.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

China consumer inflation unchanged amid anti-price war campaign
China consumer inflation unchanged amid anti-price war campaign

Business Times

time2 hours ago

  • Business Times

China consumer inflation unchanged amid anti-price war campaign

[BEIJING] China's consumer prices held steady in July as deflationary pressures eased on the back of a government pledge to contain excessive competition. The consumer price index was unchanged from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Saturday (Aug 9). The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a 0.1 per cent decline. Inflation ended a four-month falling streak in June, turning positive. Factory deflation persisted into a 34th month, with the producer price index falling 3.6 per cent, matching June's decline. Price wars are intensifying deflationary pressures in China, where consumer demand remains fragile. The government has launched campaign to curb the cutthroat competition among businesses that's eroded profits and driven down wages the world's second-biggest economy. China's top leadership vowed at its monthly gathering in late July to ramp up management of overcapacity in key industries but faces a challenge in reflating the economy, and more aggressive efforts to boost domestic demand may be necessary. The state's campaign also seems to have had little effect on people's perceptions, with the price expectation index, based on a central bank survey of households, in decline since late last year. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up A broad measure of prices across the economy, known as the GDP deflator, has declined for nine straight quarters, its longest streak in decades. Resilient demand for Chinese goods overseas has helped the economy hold up surprisingly well in the face of US tariffs, but industrial profits are deteriorating as companies struggle to pass on rising costs to consumers, given weak spending power and poor sentiment. Fierce rivalry at home, fuelled by excess industrial capacity, has driven exporters to slash prices to boost sales, drawing sharp criticism from abroad and deepening trade frictions. The Communist Party's decision-making Politburo, led by President Xi Jinping, listed the goal of addressing 'disorderly competition' among companies as one of its top priorities when it set the economic policy agenda for the rest of the year at its meeting last month. 'The big picture would remain the same – there is still a long way to go before the economy escapes deflationary pressures,' said Eric Zhu, economist for Bloomberg Economics. 'Policymakers are recognising that 'fixing disorderly competition' is key to addressing the roots of deflation – and more steps may follow.' Xi issued a call in July to 'break involution,' using a term for a destructive state of intense competition sparked by excess capacity that forces people to overwork despite diminishing returns. The president has also questioned the need for local governments to crowd into the same emerging industries, such artificial intelligence and vehicles powered by alternative-energy sources. BLOOMBERG

US inflation to rise as higher tariffs feed through
US inflation to rise as higher tariffs feed through

Business Times

time6 hours ago

  • Business Times

US inflation to rise as higher tariffs feed through

[WASHINGTON] US consumers probably experienced a slight pickup in underlying inflation in July as retailers gradually raised prices on a variety of items subject to higher import duties. The core consumer price index, regarded as a measure of underlying inflation because it strips out volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.3 per cent in July, according to the median projection in a Bloomberg survey of economists. In June, core CPI edged up 0.2 per cent from the prior month. While that would be the biggest gain since the start of the year, Americans – at least those who drive – are finding some offset at the gas pump. Cheaper petrol probably helped limit the overall CPI to a 0.2 per cent gain, the government's report on Aug 12 is expected to show. Higher US tariffs have started to filter through to consumers in categories such as household furnishings and recreational goods. But a separate measure of core services inflation has so far remained tame. Still, many economists expect higher import duties to keep gradually feeding through. That's the dilemma for Federal Reserve officials who have kept interest rates unchanged this year in hopes of gaining clarity on whether tariffs will lead to sustained inflation. At the same time, the labour market – the other half of their dual policy mandate – is showing signs of losing momentum. As concerns build about the durability of the job market, many companies are exploring ways to limit the tariff pass-through to price-sensitive consumers. Economists expect government figures on Aug 15 to show a solid gain in July retail sales as incentives helped fuel vehicle purchases and Amazon's Prime Day sale drew in online shoppers. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up 'One reason firms are having trouble hiking prices is that households' real disposable income growth has been dismal – running at a third of the pandemic peak. Incorporating payroll revisions, we estimate that real income growth actually contracted in June,' said Anna Wong, Stuart Paul, Eliza Winger, Estelle Ou and Chris G Collins, economists for Bloomberg Economics. 'Yet nominal retail sales were likely robust in July. We caution against equating a strong headline print with resilient consumption.' Excluding auto dealers, economists have pencilled in a more moderate advance. And when adjusted for price changes, the retail sales figures will likely underscore an uninspiring consumer spending environment. Among other economic data in the coming week, a Fed report is likely to show stagnant factory output as manufacturers contend with evolving tariffs policy. A preliminary trade truce between the US and China is set to expire on Aug 12, but a move to extend the detente is still possible. BLOOMBERG

Chinese state media says Nvidia H20 chips not safe for China
Chinese state media says Nvidia H20 chips not safe for China

CNA

time8 hours ago

  • CNA

Chinese state media says Nvidia H20 chips not safe for China

BEIJING: Nvidia's H20 chips pose security concerns for China, a social media account affiliated with China's state media said on Sunday (Aug 10), after Beijing raised concerns over backdoor access in those chips. The H20 chips are also not technologically advanced or environmentally friendly, the account, Yuyuan Tantian, which is affiliated with state broadcaster CCTV, said in an article published on WeChat. "When a type of chip is neither environmentally friendly, nor advanced, nor safe, as consumers, we certainly have the option not to buy it," the article concluded. Nvidia did not immediately respond to a request for comment. H20 artificial intelligence chips were developed by Nvidia for the Chinese market after the US imposed export restrictions on advanced AI chips in late 2023. The administration of US President Donald Trump banned their sales in April amid escalating trade tensions with China but reversed the ban in July. China's cyberspace watchdog said on Jul 31 that it had summoned Nvidia to a meeting, asking the US chipmaker to explain whether its H20 chips had any backdoor security risks - a hidden method of bypassing normal authentication or security controls. Nvidia later said its products had no "backdoors" that would allow remote access or control. In its article, Yuyuan Tantian said Nvidia chips could achieve functions including "remote shutdown" through a hardware "backdoor". Yuyuan Tantian's comment followed criticism against Nvidia by People's Daily, another Chinese state media outlet.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store